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Old 06-20-2006, 09:22 AM   #451
Qwikshot
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All this talk of two elite guards...it is a possibility...anything is possible in this game.

We /know/ there is one pharoah.
We /know/ there is one, at least one, elite guard.
We /know/ there are multiple baddies, at least one is a boss, and a few underlings (4 or 5)
We /know/ there is one, at least one, seer.

These are the things we know...we know the ruling class lost a member due to the lynch.

These are the absolutes, along with no deaths last night. Perhaps a conversion?

This game is going to be more interesting because the baddies don't know each other, which means we can buy some time until we can find them, but like sands in the hourglass, or the Sahara for that matter, we're running out of time.
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Old 06-20-2006, 09:23 AM   #452
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Above when I meant (4 or 5) to baddies, that includes the boss.
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Old 06-20-2006, 09:29 AM   #453
Alan T
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Qwikshot
All this talk of two elite guards...it is a possibility...anything is possible in this game.

We /know/ there is one pharoah.
We /know/ there is one, at least one, elite guard.
We /know/ there are multiple baddies, at least one is a boss, and a few underlings (4 or 5)
We /know/ there is one, at least one, seer.

These are the things we know...we know the ruling class lost a member due to the lynch.

These are the absolutes, along with no deaths last night. Perhaps a conversion?

This game is going to be more interesting because the baddies don't know each other, which means we can buy some time until we can find them, but like sands in the hourglass, or the Sahara for that matter, we're running out of time.

I am guessing last night there wasn't a conversion. Who would they convert if they do not even know who the other bad guys are? My guess is just like we have the day time to discuss who is or is not on our side, they must have some mechanism for building their circle of trust too.

My guess is they spent last night to start working on their circle of trust instead of blindly killing anyone.

So far from what I can tell in this game, the fireworks are all going to start on day 3. Several roles don't get to do certain things till day 3, and it will take a few days for the bad guys to figure out who each other are.
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Old 06-20-2006, 09:45 AM   #454
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Originally Posted by Qwikshot
This game is going to be more interesting because the baddies don't know each other, which means we can buy some time until we can find them, but like sands in the hourglass, or the Sahara for that matter, we're running out of time.

However, BECAUSE they don't know each other, these early votes are doubly useless. We can't try and connect any of the votes to bad guys, because not even the bad guys know who they are voting for.
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Old 06-20-2006, 09:59 AM   #455
Passacaglia
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Originally Posted by Barkeep49
My guess? The threat has not been overstated. No sir, no overstatement..

No, I think there are no necromancers at all! Yay, we win!

Anyway, hopefully we're not back to square one -- maybe someone will show up with a report of something that happened on Night 1.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:01 AM   #456
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Qwik: How do we know there is an EG? How do we know there is a seer?
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:02 AM   #457
Alan T
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Originally Posted by Passacaglia
No, I think there are no necromancers at all! Yay, we win!

Anyway, hopefully we're not back to square one -- maybe someone will show up with a report of something that happened on Night 1.


Its kind of funny, but it made me think of an interesting twist for a Werewolf game though... Would be fun to play a game where there might not be any wolfs at all, and the only thing against you is your own paranoia.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:02 AM   #458
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Originally Posted by Coffee Warlord
However, BECAUSE they don't know each other, these early votes are doubly useless. We can't try and connect any of the votes to bad guys, because not even the bad guys know who they are voting for.
I believe they can search at night instead of killing. This search gives them some way of finding the other bad guys. This mechanism is not real well fleshed out in the rules but is there in the bad guy description. Presumably this is what they did last night.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:03 AM   #459
Alan T
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Originally Posted by Barkeep49
I believe they can search at night instead of killing. This search gives them some way of finding the other bad guys. This mechanism is not real well fleshed out in the rules but is there in the bad guy description. Presumably this is what they did last night.


Yeah, thats pretty much what I figured and mentioned above. Like I said earlier this morning I have a feeling its going to be day 3 before we really start to see things develop
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:05 AM   #460
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Originally Posted by Alan T
Its kind of funny, but it made me think of an interesting twist for a Werewolf game though... Would be fun to play a game where there might not be any wolfs at all, and the only thing against you is your own paranoia.
Also I think CW hit on a limitation on us that we don't normally have: We can't assume coordinated bad guy action. This does mean that even once we find the first bad guy the info gleaned will be of minimal value in finding the next bad guy.

Still, compared to the handicaps the bad guys have I don't think we're nearly as handicapped, so there have to be mechanics out there we don't know about.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:05 AM   #461
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Originally Posted by Alan T
Yeah, thats pretty much what I figured and mentioned above. Like I said earlier this morning I have a feeling its going to be day 3 before we really start to see things develop
I wouldn't be surprised. D3 is often when games in general start to heat up and this game more so. Though I do believe some powers can't be activated until D4 as they are N3 actions.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:08 AM   #462
Alan T
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Originally Posted by Barkeep49
Also I think CW hit on a limitation on us that we don't normally have: We can't assume coordinated bad guy action. This does mean that even once we find the first bad guy the info gleaned will be of minimal value in finding the next bad guy.

Still, compared to the handicaps the bad guys have I don't think we're nearly as handicapped, so there have to be mechanics out there we don't know about.


Well some of our tools are limited, but our goal is still the same as every game. We need to develop ways to enlarge our circle of trust. It will kind of be like dealing with terrorist cells this game when we catch a bad guy, there is no gurantuee they will have any knowledge of any other bad guy, so not as much to go on. However if we create a tight enough circle of trust that is bulletproof, its only a matter of time to find them.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:09 AM   #463
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Didn't I read in the rules about a disease too...could be someone will be dying without knowing it in a few nights and we'll have multiple deaths. Some might confuse this as a good assassian role too. just wanted to get that out there.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:10 AM   #464
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I agree circles of trust continue to be our best friend. Alas I have nothing to contribute to starting a circle.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:10 AM   #465
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Originally Posted by Alan T
Its kind of funny, but it made me think of an interesting twist for a Werewolf game though... Would be fun to play a game where there might not be any wolfs at all, and the only thing against you is your own paranoia.

I think everyone would kick your ass after it was over.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:12 AM   #466
Barkeep49
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The head bad guy has a power to cause someone to die after 2 days. This can be used twice. I don't think he'd use it yet since presumably more efforts were made to find the bad guys.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:13 AM   #467
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Ok, I think it's obvious that yesterday's voting data is completely meaningless in terms of finding a necromancer. Since they are not capable of synchronizing their votes yet, and since, presumably, they don't even know who they are yet, they were voting as blindly as we were - only, instead of hoping to hit a necromancer, they were hoping to not hit a necromancer.

However, while VOTES from D1 are meaningless, POSTS are not. I haven't identified any suspects from the posts yet, but I feel sure that somebody could.

Also, I agree that the necromancers most likely spent last night searching each other out.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:13 AM   #468
Barkeep49
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In fairness to Alan I am likely going to be running a game on another forum where the game does not end for the good guys simply because they have found all the bad guys, as the good guys will be fighting with each other as well.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:14 AM   #469
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By the way, what is a "scarab?"
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:14 AM   #470
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cronin I agree posting is still useful which is why I am OK, though not happy, with voting out Swaggs. I generally think posts only become useful after we gain some more context so I'm not sure how useful a d1 examination would be but would love to hear anything you find.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:15 AM   #471
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Originally Posted by st.cronin
By the way, what is a "scarab?"
Basically a jewel. Often has a religous/political significance attached to it.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:16 AM   #472
Alan T
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Originally Posted by Barkeep49
In fairness to Alan I am likely going to be running a game on another forum where the game does not end for the good guys simply because they have found all the bad guys, as the good guys will be fighting with each other as well.


I watched a movie over the weekend for the first time called "Cry_Wolf" in it people play a WW type of game I guess, but they expand it to some bigger RL thing. It just made me think of that some
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:23 AM   #473
Alan T
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Originally Posted by Barkeep49
cronin I agree posting is still useful which is why I am OK, though not happy, with voting out Swaggs. I generally think posts only become useful after we gain some more context so I'm not sure how useful a d1 examination would be but would love to hear anything you find.


The biggest problem I have with voting for someone like that on day 1 is you honestly don't know what reason is keeping them from the game. Maybe really swamped at work, or something in RL. I remember last game Blade voted for me because I wasn't there day 1 even though I said a week before the game even started that I wouldn't be in town till the following day if we started then

I just think it gives an easy "out" vote to bad guys that doesn't look suspicious (he wasn't here, why wouldn't I vote for him?).

I agree fully that someone who is not contributing to discussion or votes is not much better than a vote against you, but I usually like to at least give them a day or so to make sure something didn't come up. Everyone gave Tanglewood that luxury for instance but did not extend it to Swaggs. If tangle doesn't show up today I think he is fair game however.

Day 1 votes is a crapshoot no matter which way you go I suppose. Just hate to see someone kicked out if something truly came up that day.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:25 AM   #474
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Well swaggs came in to post two words. Even a "I'm swamped" would have been OK. And he was in the thread at least once after that vote.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:27 AM   #475
st.cronin
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Originally Posted by Barkeep49
cronin I agree posting is still useful which is why I am OK, though not happy, with voting out Swaggs. I generally think posts only become useful after we gain some more context so I'm not sure how useful a d1 examination would be but would love to hear anything you find.

Nothing has jumped out at me yet. I'm very much in the dark at this point.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:35 AM   #476
Qwikshot
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Originally Posted by Barkeep49
Qwik: How do we know there is an EG? How do we know there is a seer?

Well, we have a Pharoah, and there is the Elite Guard order, ergo, there should be at least one Elite Guard...it makes sense.

As for the seer(s), well that's easy, reading the rules about the scarabs...they're useless unless there was a seer in the game...

This is of course Qwikshot logic not to be mistaken for Quiksand logic which is far superior.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:35 AM   #477
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Necromancers!
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:36 AM   #478
Coffee Warlord
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Originally Posted by Barkeep49
I believe they can search at night instead of killing. This search gives them some way of finding the other bad guys. This mechanism is not real well fleshed out in the rules but is there in the bad guy description. Presumably this is what they did last night.

Yeah, that I understand. If I had to guess, I'd say this works much like a seer ability. Target someone at night, and find out if they are on your side.

My point was largely that the early votes are going to be even more pointless than usual. We can't hope to ascertain a bad guy pattern when the bad guys themselves don't know each other, and probably won't for a couple more days.
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Old 06-20-2006, 10:36 AM   #479
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Ok I'm willing to buy your seer argument. The EG bit though? Not as much. Just because a pharoah can order it doesn't mean he can order it in this game.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:23 AM   #480
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Well swaggs came in to post two words. Even a "I'm swamped" would have been OK. And he was in the thread at least once after that vote.

I got in late. Started to review the thread with like 25 minutes until the deadline and got a long distanced phone call, so I voted so I wouldn't miss the deadline. I was in the thread after the deadline but didn't want to be sour grapes.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:27 AM   #481
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I'm sorry to hear that. I look forward to seeing you next game.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:30 AM   #482
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won't be the same without charlie around.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:33 AM   #483
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won't be the same without charlie around.

It never is.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:33 AM   #484
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Originally Posted by Barkeep49
Qwik: How do we know there is an EG? How do we know there is a seer?

As far as I can tell, my night order to the EG went through (got no notification that it didn't), so I think that might point to there being one.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:34 AM   #485
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As far as I can tell, my night order to the EG went through (got no notification that it didn't), so I think that might point to there being one.
I don't want to get too caught up in this since I believe there to be 1, and only 1, EG. However, I also think that hoops would play it the sameway whether there was 0, 1, 2, or 12.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:35 AM   #486
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Ok so now we go back to what we did yesterday?

day = vote
night = hope I don't get killed

This is basically the order of operations?
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:35 AM   #487
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Ok so now we go back to what we did yesterday?

day = vote
night = hope I don't get killed

This is basically the order of operations?
You got it. Seems like you're well on your way to being a WW pro
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:39 AM   #488
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You got it. Seems like you're well on your way to being a WW pro

Well I gotta try and help the good guys identify the bad guys before I can be a pro

You suggested "outing" the EG earlier or waiting for someone to claim they are the EG? Why would someone claim to be the elite guard when they aren't?
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:41 AM   #489
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Well I gotta try and help the good guys identify the bad guys before I can be a pro

You suggested "outing" the EG earlier or waiting for someone to claim they are the EG? Why would someone claim to be the elite guard when they aren't?

If they were bad and wanted to not be lynched they might claim a good role.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:42 AM   #490
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I don't want to get too caught up in this since I believe there to be 1, and only 1, EG. However, I also think that hoops would play it the sameway whether there was 0, 1, 2, or 12.

Yeah, I wasn't referring to numbers (and feel that's a blind alley), but just the fact that the order appears to have gone through suggests that there is a guard.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:44 AM   #491
Alan T
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Originally Posted by Chubby
Well I gotta try and help the good guys identify the bad guys before I can be a pro

You suggested "outing" the EG earlier or waiting for someone to claim they are the EG? Why would someone claim to be the elite guard when they aren't?


One of the things we try to do is validate who is on our side through the roles they may have or the actions they do. The EG is listed as one of the Good guy roles, so we know whoever it is (if we have one), is on our side.

So hypothetically speaking, if the bad guys were pretty confident they killed the EG one night before he revealed himself, one of them could pose as him and try to get our trust and into our inner circle.

So this would make you think that well the EG should come out and reveal themselves now so they don't have that chance! The downside to that is once the EG does reveal himself, he becomes a target for the bad guys to kill off. Since his role is fairly useful for us, the EG has to balance when the best time to come out and reveal is. Usually its once they have been about as useful as they can (ie: have already protected the seer or some other important role). This game complicates that decision some however since the pharoah can repeatedly order the EG to guard an important person if they choose.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:44 AM   #492
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Did you recieve an affirmative resposne or just no response? An affirmative response, meaning hoops sent you something, would seem to confirm the existence. No response though I think just means no response and we're still in the world of uncertainty.

Chubby: Fake role reveals are an important part of this game. The bad guys can claim to be something they're not so we trust them and as such don't kill them.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:45 AM   #493
st.cronin
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All this talk about the EG makes me nervous. I don't want to know who the EG is, and I don't want anybody else to know either. Not yet.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:47 AM   #494
Alan T
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All this talk about the EG makes me nervous. I don't want to know who the EG is, and I don't want anybody else to know either. Not yet.


Thats why I wrote what I did. To try to encourage the EG to NOT reveal themselves at this point.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:47 AM   #495
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Chubby: I have referred a few times to a circle of trust. This is an essential part of the game. The reasoning behind this was well illustrated last game: enough of us could vouch for other players that we greatly reduced the people who could be suspects. This gave us a smaller pooler to vote from and led to us eventually winning the game.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:49 AM   #496
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Did you recieve an affirmative resposne or just no response? An affirmative response, meaning hoops sent you something, would seem to confirm the existence. No response though I think just means no response and we're still in the world of uncertainty.

Chubby: Fake role reveals are an important part of this game. The bad guys can claim to be something they're not so we trust them and as such don't kill them.

K, that makes sense. I kinda learned that basically everyone says "I'm a good guy" at the beginning so they don't look like a wolf tho it has something do with the seer tho it might not apply to this game due to hoops running it or something.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:49 AM   #497
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All this talk about the EG makes me nervous. I don't want to know who the EG is, and I don't want anybody else to know either. Not yet.
Ok so would you want to know any role? Last game hoops came out as the BG exceedingly early and it turned out well for us. I agree we don't want to know who the EG is yet. But I'm trying to think of how we start to build a circle of trust without at least some role reveal. Is there any role out there we'd want to reveal? If the answer is no, which is most likely correct, how do we proceed today?
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:50 AM   #498
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K, that makes sense. I kinda learned that basically everyone says "I'm a good guy" at the beginning so they don't look like a wolf tho it has something do with the seer tho it might not apply to this game due to hoops running it or something.
There is a role described for this game which can test how true a sentence is. Hoops has said that not all roles are in the game so we don't know if this role is around. However, hoops has also said the role cannot test the statement "I am a good guy" or the like. So I'm not sure what kind of statements would be tested by this hypothetical role.
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:53 AM   #499
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Ok so would you want to know any role? Last game hoops came out as the BG exceedingly early and it turned out well for us. I agree we don't want to know who the EG is yet. But I'm trying to think of how we start to build a circle of trust without at least some role reveal. Is there any role out there we'd want to reveal? If the answer is no, which is most likely correct, how do we proceed today?

I like role reveals that also give information - when hoops revealed, he was also able to provide info that allowed that circle of trust to build. There have been other honest role reveals in other games that provided no info, and were therefore useful only to the bad guys.

So at this point, unless somebody is a witness and knows a necromancer, or something like that, I'd prefer not to know any roles.

Maybe the ruling class?
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Old 06-20-2006, 11:55 AM   #500
Alan T
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Barkeep49
Ok so would you want to know any role? Last game hoops came out as the BG exceedingly early and it turned out well for us. I agree we don't want to know who the EG is yet. But I'm trying to think of how we start to build a circle of trust without at least some role reveal. Is there any role out there we'd want to reveal? If the answer is no, which is most likely correct, how do we proceed today?


I think Hoops was a bit lucky too last game with how that went. We also had a seer reveal close after to his reveal plus there were clearly a few more roles more important than the Bodyguard out there known to deal with.

I generally would say the bodyguard is good to keep in your back pocket until you have your seer reveal.. so you can have extended life from your seer. That does not apply to all games, but its something nice to have in my opinion. Coming out as the bodyguard before the seer reveal usually ends up in a dead bodyguard and no one to protect the seer.

That said, I agree fully about coming out with roles when there are ways to validate them. Thats how the circle is formed.. but on certain roles that are key to exposing the bad guys, keeping them in the back pocket until they can provide us more info is good I think.

You wouldn't want your seer to come out day 1 and say i dont have any info for you all, but I'm the seer!
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