Vanilla Flavored Werewolf-Villagers Win

[britrock88]

Originally Posted by EagleFan

double dola: revenge for burning the White House?

This joke has staying power.

[britrock88]

1 Mau-EF(422)
2 Path-Autumn(426), CR(441)
1 EF-Path(432)
1 Chief-Danny(436)
1 Danny-Mau(444)

[britrock88]

v-------<-------<-------<-------<--
Danny->	Chief->	Path->	EF->	Mau^
	Autumn--^

Eh?

[mauchow]

I get the feeling that those who haven't placed a vote today are going to be the ones we need to be after.

[Autumn]

Going to be a busy evening. I will try to check in several times but may not have much time.

[DaddyTorgo]

hmm - where was that awesome quoted vote layout by britrock...

[britrock88]

Originally Posted by britrock88

Day 1

time	post	voter	votee	#
04:21	39	JAG	saldana	1
09:16	43	brit	Autumn	1
09:46	48	Autumn	DT	1
10:29	50	path12	mauchow	1
11:23	51	EF	JAG	1
11:59	53	CR	saldana	2
14:52	60	mauchow	Autumn	2
17:04	64	font	saldana	3
17:18	66	DT	Autumn	3
17:21	67	JAG	x sal	2
			DT	2
17:45	73	Danny	font	1
17:48	77	RA	Autumn	4
18:49	106	Danny	x font	0
			DT	3
18:53	110	font	x sal	1
			DT	4

Day 2

time	post	voter	votee	#
08:29	184	mauchow	Autumn	1
09:15	188	path12	Autumn	2
10:35	193	EF	mauchow	1
11:51	197	Danny	DT	1
14:24	214	Autumn	DT	2
14:26	215	Danny	xDT	1
			Autumn	3
14:31	217	DT	Autumn	4
14:25	220	Danny	xAutumn 3
			font	1
16:29	231	CR	font	2
16:35	232	font	DT	2
16:51	233	font	xDT	1
17:01	234	RA	CR	1
17:06	236	font	saldana	1
17:18	238	DT	xAutumn	2
17:47	243	mauchow	xAutumn	1
18:02	245	path12	xAutumn	0
			font	3
19:02	265	Danny	xfont	2
			brit	1
19:20	280	saldana	DT	2
19:20	281	Danny	xbrit	0
			saldana	2
19:30	290	font	xsal	1
			mauchow	2
19:32	291	Danny	xsal	0
			DT	3
19:34	294	DT	mauchow	3
19:44	307	EF	xmau	2
			path	1
19:45	311	EF	xpath	0
			brit	1
19:50	315	DT	xmau	1
			brit	2
19:50	316	Danny	xDT	2
			brit	3
19:52	317	font	xmau	0
			brit	4
20:00	333	EF	xbrit	3
			DT	3

[/quote]

Here it is, DT.

[britrock88]

And I've been out at deadline x 2, including missing out on voting altogther yesterday (accidentally, of course), and being a slowpoke today. My voting never does me any favors...

[britrock88]

Myself, DT, and saldana are the 3 holdouts, for completeness.

[Danny]

I think no one and everyone is a wolf

[britrock88]

And naturally, I think I'd have an easier time justifying a vote on most of the 4 that don't have votes on them than the 5 that do.

[DaddyTorgo]

Okay - here we go

Voters for me on D1, in order

Autumn
JAG (unvoted saldana to vote me)
Danny (unvoted font to vote me)
font (unvoted saldana to vote me)

Voters for me on D2

Danny (later unvoted and revoted)
Autumn
font (later unvoted)
saldana
Danny (unvoted sal and voted me again, later unvoted and moved to brit)
EagleFan
mauchow (tried to vote me but missed due to time)

Based on this - autumn is the only person who voted for me early both days, and nobody voted for me in the middle and stayed on me both days. So maybe Autumn is indeed a wolf?
-saldana voted for me in the middle on d2 and stayed on me


Autumn voters on d1
brit, Mauchow, daddytorgo, raidersarmy

non-autumn/non-dt voters on d1
path (on mauchow), EF (on JAG), CR on saldana

britrock voters on d2
font, danny, daddytorgo

So mauchow participated in the causing of a tie on d1, and then tried to snipe me at deadline on d2. Not sure a wolf would leave an early vote on a fellow wolf on d1 with a tie developing, so either autumn or mauchow seem better to me.

[DaddyTorgo]

path and mau are more suspicious to me, as is autumn. I think based on d1 we can learn about autumn+mau by lynching one of them.

CR is always a tough read for me.

[DaddyTorgo]

Let's see what happens - I'll be around from now till deadline.

VOTE MAUCHOW

[britrock88]

I'm a little disturbed by the remote possibility that Day 1 was a w/w tie -- that'd explain the lack of movement at that deadline. It also plays out very well for the wolves in that continued interest in lynching Autumn or DT would wane. (Autumn's D2 votes disappeared early, and DT, while saved by another tie mechanism, is getting zero attention today.)

[britrock88]

If I'm wrong about that, though, and yesterday was v/v between me and DT, mau's attempted last-minute vote seems wolfish. After D1's tie, you know that tie mechanisms will be weird and not necessarily favor wolves. So it behooves a wolf to make sure a villager gets lynched.

[britrock88]

Time to drive home and mull this over.

[DaddyTorgo]

Originally Posted by britrock88

If I'm wrong about that, though, and yesterday was v/v between me and DT, mau's attempted last-minute vote seems wolfish. After D1's tie, you know that tie mechanisms will be weird and not necessarily favor wolves. So it behooves a wolf to make sure a villager gets lynched.

I'm 100% a villager, so D1 was not w/w, and I can speak for myself being villager yesterday, although I can't speak for you brit.

[path12]

Nothing happening with EF, so:

UNVOTE EAGLEFAN
VOTE MAUCHOW

Reasoning should be pretty clear - self interest.

[mauchow]

unvote danny
Vote path

Unfortunately I have to put on the defensive vote now as wife n I are headed to hospital shortly where I will get to hold 2 lb baby girl for first time tonight. I'll be starting to hold her aboit 15 minutes before deadline but once she is in my hands I'm not allowed to have cell phone anymore. I'll get to check in once maybe twice before that 15 minutes prioe to deadline. No shenanigans from me tonight unless my wife posts for me...which she said she wouldn't lol

[DaddyTorgo]

Enjoy your time with your babygirl mauchow.

[mauchow]

Thanks.

FYI, I am a villager for those who need convincing.

[Chief Rum]

Headed to the other job again, and I won't be around until well after the deadline. Hopefully we don't tie it again.

[Autumn]

WEll, if D1 was wolf/wolf (for the sake of argument) and DT was in another tie vote D2, at least one of those wolves would be scanned, if not now, by tomorrow. So I don't think it's worth wasting much time chasing that remote possibility until we see some evidence of it.

[britrock88]

I'll follow the line of thinking I put out there earlier that mau tried to break the D2 tie because, as a wolf, he feared a second no-lynch.

VOTE mauchow

And this is the count:

4 Mau-EF(422), DT(464), Path(469), Brit(475)
3 Path-Autumn(426), CR(441), Mau(470)
1 Chief-Danny(436)

Saldana yet to vote.

[Danny]

Crap

unvote chief

[Danny]

vote path

[DaddyTorgo]

Why crap danny?

[Danny]

Cause I don't feel good about any vote, usually by now I feel better about a vote im making

[britrock88]

Great question, DT.

4 Mau-EF(422), DT(464), Path(469), Brit(475)
4 Path-Autumn(426), CR(441), Mau(470), Danny(477)

[Danny]

The good news however is that the cultist is likely just as lost as the rest of us lol

[DaddyTorgo]

Also we haven't hit a roled villager yet, and neither have the wolves, so that's helpful.

[britrock88]

I really wish saldana would weigh in on this...

[Danny]

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo

Also we haven't hit a roled villager yet, and neither have the wolves, so that's helpful.

That's true. However, based on percentages, there is a good chance at least one of our candidates today is a wolf or a roled villager.

[DaddyTorgo]

Originally Posted by Danny

That's true. However, based on percentages, there is a good chance at least one of our candidates today is a wolf or a roled villager.

But a roled villager (or maybe/probably the cultist) would likely reveal/fake reveal if they were on the block, especially in a small game where they could really swing things with any info regarding their personal CoT.

Hopefully one is a wolf!!

[Danny]

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo

But a roled villager (or maybe/probably the cultist) would likely reveal/fake reveal if they were on the block, especially in a small game where they could really swing things with any info regarding their personal CoT.

Hopefully one is a wolf!!

Im basing off the assumption we have 6 roled people with 9 left alive and both you and Autumn not likely a roled villager. Actually, hmm, I just thought of something. Post more on that after I make the poopies

[britrock88]

Hahaha, what a great note to leave on.

[mauchow]

Well also if its any consolation I would have fake revealed or revealed a role I might have had. I'm going into the final part of the day knwoing I won't be around at deadline. As a matter of fact I will probably be checking in after about two hours after deadline when I'm done.. it ain't no ploy.

I got nothin else. I'd rather it be me though if its me and another villager though as I'm just a vanilla roleless villager.

[mauchow]

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo

But a roled villager (or maybe/probably the cultist) would likely reveal/fake reveal if they were on the block, especially in a small game where they could really swing things with any info regarding their personal CoT.

Hopefully one is a wolf!!

Ah I just posted the same damn thing.. oh well my point still counts the same.

[Danny]

Originally Posted by mauchow

Well also if its any consolation I would have fake revealed or revealed a role I might have had. I'm going into the final part of the day knwoing I won't be around at deadline. As a matter of fact I will probably be checking in after about two hours after deadline when I'm done.. it ain't no ploy.

I got nothin else. I'd rather it be me though if its me and another villager though as I'm just a vanilla roleless villager.

You, Autumn and DT all claim to be vanilla villagers. I know one of you is lying (not that anyone else would) because I am a vanilla villager and there can be only three of them left.

[Danny]

DId Zinto confirm that all roles were in the game?

[Danny]

So we have 9 players alive

6 are roled, we have

Wolf
Wolf
Cultist
Seer
BG
Hunter

So we have a maximum of three vanilla villagers.

[mauchow]

Originally Posted by Danny

You, Autumn and DT all claim to be vanilla villagers. I know one of you is lying (not that anyone else would) because I am a vanilla villager and there can be only three of them left.

Well lets be honest would I pass up the chance to fake reveal ?

I'm fine going with autumn for the third straight day or to dt if necessary.

[Danny]

Autumn was in the lead on day 1 most of the day and for a while right up until deadline. I have to believe if he was a wolf or a cultist, he would have fake revealed. FOr that reason I think Autumn is least likely to be lying about being a vanilla villlager. SO no between DT and Mauboy

[DaddyTorgo]

Originally Posted by Danny

You, Autumn and DT all claim to be vanilla villagers. I know one of you is lying (not that anyone else would) because I am a vanilla villager and there can be only three of them left.

Assuming you're telling the truth, I know I'm vanilla, so that'll leave us finding out about Mau tonight hopefully, or maybe the seer enlightening us soon?

[mauchow]

Or if roled I'd definitely say it by now especially this close to deadline and me not gonna be around in roughly 15 minutes

[Danny]

DT has never really been in a position in which he was forced to have to fake reveal or where one would have been bought. Mau was an early candidate today and I could see him throwing up a fake reveal.

So out of the three, I think DT is the most likely to not be a vanilla villager which would mean he is a bad guy.

[Zinto]

Official Vote Count:
4 Mau-EF(422), DT(464), Path(469), Brit(475)
4 Path-Autumn(426), CR(441), Mau(470), Danny(477)

[mauchow]

If others want danny up instead of us two I'm game.

[Zinto]

Ding Dong 30 Mins to Deadline