06-29-2009, 03:40 PM | #501 |
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yeah - i chuckle at whoever said this is over. this is a long way from over.
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06-29-2009, 04:47 PM | #502 | |
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I continue to stand by my opinion that we have turned the corner on this and are heading in to the home stretch and I mean all of that in a bad way.
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06-29-2009, 05:31 PM | #503 | ||
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Of course you stand by your opinion. That would mean that you were wrong. Heaven forbid!
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06-29-2009, 06:10 PM | #504 | |
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there is nothing more I want to be wrong about than this opinion so I, indeed, hope to be proven wrong and Iran and it's people get freed from that Theocracy. I simply dont see the numbers, firepower, or international support ot bring about the massive change that is needed and see it ending like it did in China did too many years ago.
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06-29-2009, 08:23 PM | #505 | ||
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It amazes me this guy can keep a straight face through half of the shit he says. |
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06-29-2009, 08:32 PM | #506 |
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Sullivan has a post that says the recount shows an even greater margin of victory for Ahmadinejad. If you're going to lie make it a big lie.
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06-29-2009, 08:46 PM | #507 | |
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yeah - except the people didn't buy the initial lie so there's zero chance they buy the bigger one
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07-02-2009, 07:32 AM | #508 |
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Interesting read discussing the current tensions amongst the clerics. The Supreme Leader's integrity and power structure has really been compromised at this point. He's made a lot of enemies in recent days.
http://tehranbureau.com/widening-divide/ |
07-05-2009, 10:38 AM | #509 | |
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Huge news coming out of Iran today. The most important religious group in Iran has called out the Supreme leader and his associates and declared the results to be illegitimate. Reports just out say that their site has been blocked by the government. This is likely to be a huge boost to the opposition. It puts the Supreme Council and the President on an island.
Leading Clerics Defy Ayatollah on Disputed Iran Election - NYTimes.com Quote:
Last edited by Mizzou B-ball fan : 07-05-2009 at 10:38 AM. |
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07-05-2009, 10:41 AM | #510 |
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More great news. A U.S. programmer has created an application that allows Iranians to circumvent the government controls. Should allow information to start flowing much more freely again.
Austin Heap » Blog Archive » Haystack: Good Luck Finding That Needle |
07-05-2009, 10:50 AM | #511 | |
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As much as the "Government" in place will again acuse us of meddling, something little like this probably has a positive affect on the population in the way they view the west. Of course the population that wants/needs this probably already viewed us favorably anyway, while the ones that hate us will continue to. Maybe a drop in the bucket, but it allows the opposition to stay informed and in touch and eventually even drops will fil a bucket. The really good news for me in all this, is the Iranians now have an internal problem that is very much on the world stage and won't be explained away with propaganda and anti-west rhetoric. |
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07-05-2009, 11:08 AM | #512 | |
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Unfortunately the stature of the group that is calling out the people in charge, is questionable....the article below calls it a counter:
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Pro-reform clerical body protests Iran elections - Yahoo! News I love the new program and HOPE that it becomes widespread to get the ball rolling again. As I said before, IMO, this is over and will take another 3-5 years to make another attempt....but like I said to Duckman, I hope and pray I am wrong.
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07-05-2009, 11:18 AM | #513 | |
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DOLA:
This carries more weight IMO: Quote:
Hopefully Rafsanjani can move the ball forward behind the scenes but the street protests are largely over while the chants continue at night.
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07-05-2009, 12:00 PM | #514 | |
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Exactly. Many of the pro-reform groups that were listed as outcasts by the theocracy/dictatorship represent the views of the majority in Iran. With the options online being reopened and the groups being termed as opposition or outsiders now carrying the support of the majority (they did before the election, but now they are able to voice their support), it's quickly coming to a point where the theocracy leaders need to start compromising or it's going to be a steady decline of their power structure. The opposition is in an excellent position to undermine everything the leaders think they can control. It can be done methodically and efficiently without much international help. |
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07-05-2009, 12:26 PM | #515 | |
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Or alternately they can take the gloves off, cut the head off the proverbial snake (no offense intended, just a useful metaphor), and simply wait for the body to die around sundown. I'd give you better odds on that scenario than the one you propose.
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07-05-2009, 02:42 PM | #516 |
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Videos are slow to come out, but they continue to leak out slowly. More video of protesters taking down police two days ago as the violence continues in the streets. The control structure has taken a heavy hit at this point when you have people openly taunting and beating police three weeks later.
YouTube - iranians beating the anti riot police (July 3rd 2009---Please share) Last edited by Mizzou B-ball fan : 07-05-2009 at 02:43 PM. |
07-06-2009, 08:02 AM | #517 |
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Saudi Arabia has now given Israel the OK to fly through their airspace to attack Iran........
Saudis give nod to Israeli raid on Iran - Times Online |
07-06-2009, 04:00 PM | #518 | |
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Perhaps that video was a stealth riot, or one of the last or misdated?
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Iran's opposition leader makes public appearance - Yahoo! News Im not sure that there wont be a more strategic time for a revolution in the next few years but IMO this isn't the right time once the momentum began to falter.
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07-06-2009, 04:13 PM | #519 | |
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How exactly can the West's relationship with Iran get any worse?
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07-06-2009, 04:21 PM | #520 |
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the Evil Eye.
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07-07-2009, 08:28 AM | #521 |
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Good article that details just how important the clerical group release calling the election illegitimate really is. It puts both the Supreme leader and the religious military groups in a bind. The religious establishment has issues at this point, both in the open and behind the scenes, that won't go away anytime soon.
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07-08-2009, 11:03 AM | #522 |
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Some brutal reports from Iranian doctors...........
Iran: doctors denounce terror in hospitals - National Council of Resistance of Iran - Foreign Affairs Committee |
07-09-2009, 08:28 AM | #523 |
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Large protests expected today in Iran. Videos have been circulated detailing how to disable Basij motorcycles.
Also, more news coming out regarding the quickly widening cracks in the Supreme Leader's power. He has put his son in charge of the Basij, indicating increased disloyalty amongst the Basij ranks, who are little more than paid mercinary thugs for the most part who have no loyalty to the regime. The problem is that most of the clerical leaders see this move as a power grab. The only thing keeping the clerics from speaking out is a realization that their dissent could cause the entire political structure to collapse, opening the door wide for a full revolution. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009...s-iran-militia It's amazing that this situation has reached this level of instability and we haven't even reached the 40th day mourning protests that are likely to be very large and bloody. |
07-09-2009, 10:48 AM | #524 |
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I hope youre right in your expectations.
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07-09-2009, 12:11 PM | #525 | |
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We could begin an indiscriminate bombing campaign that results in the widespread loss of life and turns what pro-Western (or at least ambivalent-Western) people do exist in Iran, against us as well. Hey, you asked. |
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07-09-2009, 12:54 PM | #526 | |
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I hope MBBF's definition of Large is flexible:
Quote:
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07-09-2009, 02:07 PM | #527 | |
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Actually, if there is one thing that historically has turned a group of civilians further away from hostility and belligerence--it's been indiscriminate bombing in rediculously large doses. |
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07-09-2009, 02:08 PM | #528 |
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Incredible videos of the demonstrations over at Huffington Post. Pretty amazing how bad the MSM has been in reporting the number of protesters. They've really missed the boat on Iran over the past month. As Andrew Sullivan has pointed out in recent weeks, their reporting is relatively worthless if you're looking for good information. He's linked some live blogs where good information can be found.
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan A dozen are reported dead, which is bad news for the regime. That just adds to the mourning protests and increases the opportunities for future protests. It's yet another situation that mirrors the issues that the Shah's regime had in 1979. It's almost eerie in its similarity. Last edited by Mizzou B-ball fan : 07-09-2009 at 02:20 PM. |
07-09-2009, 02:22 PM | #529 |
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More info coming out regarding protests. Many of MSM reports are only covering one protest, hence the reason for their inaccurate reports. A new tactic used today was to have many small protests across the city. The Basij and paramilitary were preparing for one large protest and are not equipped well for multiple clashes spread out over the city. It appears to have worked well as there are several reports where protesters overwhelmed the undermanned Basij in some areas. Probably will see more of this kind of tactic moving forward.
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07-09-2009, 03:16 PM | #530 | |
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One would think that it's the sort of tactic that works best the first time it's used & then with decreasing effectiveness afterwards. Unless of course the opponent is simply to stupid to adjust accordingly.
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07-09-2009, 03:17 PM | #531 |
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if 2000-3000 is large what is your definition of small?
I do not think the words "accurate" or "innacurate" means what you think it means.
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07-09-2009, 07:04 PM | #532 | |
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Are the numbers from CNN accurate? They have done a horrible job of covering the crisis, and have noone inside Iran anymore, methinks.
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07-09-2009, 09:12 PM | #533 |
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dunno, but that info is just as good as MBBF's garnered from Blogs....
{shrug} MBBF has an agenda in this thread (much like many others) and it would be nice to see him be 'real' instead of spinning one way or the other ESPECIALLY considering that 100% of the people in this thread support the Iranian people in this and hope that they do get democracy, true democracy, and their freedom(s). I mean why is MBBF spinning the people that are walking lockstep with him...like were in Jonestown or something.
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07-10-2009, 01:10 AM | #534 | ||
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Just like Flasch trying to prove he's the authority of what is right or decent, but coming off as a self centered piece of trash. It's more important to be right than anything else that is meaningful.
Again, MBBF = Flasch.
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07-10-2009, 07:19 AM | #535 |
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mmmmk.
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07-10-2009, 07:46 AM | #536 | ||
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They've shown several tactic changes thus far. Most of the changes follow the blueprint of the 1979 revolution and have worked well. They'll have to make sure they keep switching on the fly. Quote:
Crowd estimates on the ground yesterday were around 25,000. As mentioned before, they were in 6-8 locations until joining together late in the day. Last edited by Mizzou B-ball fan : 07-10-2009 at 07:47 AM. |
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07-10-2009, 04:12 PM | #537 |
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Link?
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07-10-2009, 08:06 PM | #538 |
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Give it a rest Flasch. It's a big enough story that it was on the front page of the Washington Post today (color picture above the fold, story on page A12). You're trying to pick a fight where there's no need for one.
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07-10-2009, 08:54 PM | #539 |
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I dont get the Washington Post nor do I troll the online newspapers daily (maybe I should). I was truly hoping he could point me in the direction of the data, from a reliable source, so I can believe what he is 'seeing'. We're all rooting for them but he peppers his posts with so much spin it's hard to know what is real and spin...For example the police building set on fire...well not really. Im not asking for much when I ask for a link from a reputable news source as opposed to a blog or twitter account.
and than FWIW we have this thread be a partisan free zone and he starts using these colorful adjectives in his posts that make it hard to get only facts so one HAS to start digging for the data and cobbling their own opinions (like mine). I have no idea if Im right or wrong, much to Duckman's chagrine, but from what I read, from trusted sources (whether or not the right who the F knows) I form an opinion, like everyone else. As I said Im on MBBF's side on this but want the facts (whatever there are and less PS3 spin).
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07-11-2009, 09:53 AM | #540 |
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It really hard not to get the news from Twitter or Blogs, since thats where CNN is getting their news from. I don't think CNN has a reporter within 500 miles of Tehran.
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07-11-2009, 11:15 AM | #541 | |
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You call this assy post "truly hoping he could point me in the direction of data"? First of all, he already said before this that he's seen reports of 25,000. Therefore, he's not saying that 2000-3000 is large, he's saying that 25,000 is large. Also, I love the princess bride and all, but that line is so condescending and insulting when used in real life. If you want something to respond to, you can say what you're thinking about his use of the word "accurate" rather than pull this crap. And if you ARE going to do it, at least spell "inaccurate" properly, and use proper conjugation! |
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07-11-2009, 11:15 AM | #542 |
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I would venture to guess that CNN, which Im actually quite dismayed about, is filtering through all the twittering and blogging (which makes their channel unbearable) and would vocalize and paint the stuff that has some semblance of credility or slap the all too often used "unsubstantiated" in the bottom right corner of the screen. I dont watch much MSNBC because they seem to be the same as Fox so Im left watching CNBC. {shrug} which aint too bad after all.
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07-11-2009, 11:21 AM | #543 | |
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thats not true. In his earlier post he said large and the news reports were 2000-3000 so it is a valid question to ask if he considers that large, small, and vice versa. 25,000 was drummed up later in the thread. My apologies on the spelling, sometimes my speed trumps my spelling but it doesnt change the fact that this thread, one in which we are all in the same fan club, gets spun when it doesnt need to be, as Wade pointed out earlier. Everyone is entitled to their opinion. I stated mine a few pages earlier that we are seeing this wind down. I continue to stand by that opinion and hope to be proven wrong. MBBF's newsdrops just simply are not accurate {shrug} but spun....in a thread that doesnt need to be. The Obama thread, sure. The Palin thread. Ok. PS3 v Xbox. fire away....But why here?
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07-11-2009, 11:25 AM | #544 | ||
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Typical Flasch response. Read the sig.
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07-11-2009, 11:47 AM | #545 |
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yup, im one piece of trash in this world.
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07-12-2009, 01:08 PM | #546 | |
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Troops willing to die to stop Iran unrest, general says - CNN.com
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07-12-2009, 01:13 PM | #547 |
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I still find all the folks who seem enamored with the latest urgently breaking mega mond news from the techno doodads incredibly amusing.
Largely out of touch with reality (and realpolitik in particular) & likely targets for future sales of bridges, swamp land, and incredible opportunities for substantial wealth from Nigeria ... but amusing nonetheless.
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07-12-2009, 01:15 PM | #548 |
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Jon, that sentence hurt my head
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07-13-2009, 10:02 AM | #549 |
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I'd like to point out that if you're in the oil business, there are, in fact, opportunities for incredible wealth from Nigeria and most involve being in a swamp, coincidentally.
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07-13-2009, 10:16 AM | #550 | |
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My wife's great grandparents had a large plot of land in Canada that they farmed in the late 1800s. They sold it after a couple of years for pennies on the dollar. Nothing would grow on the land because they had all this black ooze coming up everywhere on the property. |
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