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View Poll Results: Who will take the White House? | |||
Obama | 151 | 68.95% | |
McCain | 63 | 28.77% | |
Surprise? (Maybe Mr. Trout?) | 5 | 2.28% | |
Voters: 219. You may not vote on this poll |
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Thread Tools |
09-27-2008, 08:51 AM | #5801 |
Pro Starter
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I think it was a decent showing for both sides.
For all the spin that Obama isn't a good debater, my expectations of him were pretty high and he didn't seem to be as "on" as he is during a straight speech. For all the spin that McCain is a master debater (snicker), my expectations of him were pretty low, but he did a very good job IMO. While my overall impressions were that the debate last night was pretty much as wash, John McCain impressed me as the person who would make the better legislator, Barack Obama impressed me as the person who would make the better chief executive. |
09-27-2008, 09:05 AM | #5802 |
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Staunch Republican here...Obama won...plain as day. You can not overestimate what I call "calm command". 80-85% of the people have already made up their mind. If I'm a trully neutral voter watching that last night, there's no way I wouldn't go with Obama after that viewing.
I think McCain has a strong dislike for Obama and that's why he doesn't look at him. Plain and simple, he doesn't like him, doesn't trust him, and doesn't want to see him be president. I'm sure he also feels as any multi-term senator would having to debate a "kid" who has barely seen the senate floor compared to McCain. I must say, I'm not a huge fan of McCain but the thought of Obama being president, with a democratic congress, scares me to no end. America will take its first massive strides to becoming a socialist nation. (not that it's not taking small strides already) Last edited by rowech : 09-27-2008 at 09:06 AM. |
09-27-2008, 09:26 AM | #5803 |
Coordinator
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Side bar, Free Market Capitalism works until it doesnt. than the shit hits the fan. I love seeing the new Republican 'bailout' talk where they defend the new plan they have as being based in Capitalism. Here's an education for ya lady...if you want free market capitalism, pass nothing this weekend or next week, and see what's left in a month when the 'market' fixes itself. That'll teach ya.
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Jacksonville-florida-homes-for-sale Putting a New Spin on Real Estate! ----------------------------------------------------------- Commissioner of the USFL USFL Last edited by Flasch186 : 09-27-2008 at 09:27 AM. |
09-27-2008, 10:12 AM | #5804 |
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Hmm, I thought the reason that McCain didn't look at Obama directly on is that it would be viewed as too aggressive. I have to think if McCain stared down Obama at every argument, there would be a ton of people bringing intimidation (even some bringing up race). While I can see why McCain got dinged a bit for not looking Obama in the eye on every argument, I think he had to be real careful here and it was better to be on the side of talking directly to the "American people" (ie camera) than looking like a bully against Obama.
I also take a completely different approach to these debates. IMO, Obama needed to do very well on foreign policy (just like McCain needs to do real well on the economy). These are the areas that people who are undecided aren't comfortable with and each candidate needs to better than expectation to show they can handle it. I don't think anyone who was uncomfortable with Obama dealing with Foreign Policy feels any better about that after the debate. Same goes for McCain in the economic debate. If he just goes out there on the defensive and simply blocks Obama's shots, he won't convince undecideds that he can handle the economy. The elephant in the room may be the fact that foreign policy may not be that important to people in this election with the uncertainty around the economy. So, even if McCain had a knockout (and I would say it's closer to a win via the scorecard), I really think this climate is helping Obama and he's still in the catbird seat looking forward. |
09-27-2008, 10:17 AM | #5805 | ||
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Quote:
Well apparently more than one poll this morning is saying that not only am I wrong that McCain won last night, but that youre wrong about the fence sitters especially. It's ok to be wrong. Quote:
Well the only thing ill say is I was confused about the 'freeze' comment but got that cleared up. I wonder if other people were confused by it and wont get it cleared up. shrug.
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09-27-2008, 10:30 AM | #5806 |
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From my wife, an undecided voter who watched the debate last night:
Obama had better priorities, but his plans (what few he'd discuss beyond "I have a plan") didn't feel like the right way to accomplish them. McCain is MUCH better for our national security than Obama.
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09-27-2008, 12:14 PM | #5807 | |
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Quote:
Eisenhower's second speech, noted here amongst others, simply said: "Our landings in the Cherbourg-Havre area have failed to gain a satisfactory foothold and I have withdrawn the troops. My decision to attack at this time and place was based on the best information available. The troops, the air and the Navy did all that bravery and devotion to duty could do. If any blame or fault attaches to the attempt, it is mine alone." I believe Eisenhower probably expected to be asked to resign if D-Day failed, but this was not, technically, a resignation at this time. However, Eisenhower took accountability, which I think was McCain's point. The fact that McCain got some of the details wrong is small potatoes given the outright lies elsewhere in his campaign. |
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09-27-2008, 12:17 PM | #5808 | |
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Quote:
I already had the previous post open in another tab to make this exact point. The problem with Dems getting giddy over the Palin-Biden debate is that her expectations are in the crapper as it is. If she does well, or even ok, the McCain camp should just let that go as her meeting America and then never let her out except on the stump the rest of the election. SI
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09-27-2008, 12:20 PM | #5809 | |
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Quote:
Flasch should also point out the out-right lie in Obama's answers. He said that he never said he'd meet with the president of Iran without pre-conditions, but that is exactly what he said a year ago. Even his camp admitted it was a mistake at the time (that there would have lower level talks first). He then said Kissinger agreed with Obama's stance of President level talks, which is false. Kissinger clearly stated he was Secretary of State level talks. I personally don't think either of these (McCain's or Obama's) "mistakes" or "spins" are a big deal, but they both were completely false. |
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09-27-2008, 12:22 PM | #5810 |
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Speaking of managing expectations, the Obama camp did a really good job managing them coming into the debate. For the most part, there wasn't much chatter for the last few weeks but I heard whispers about how Obama is a better speaker, would win, etc. But then the last couple of days, this whole "Foreign policy is McCain's strong point" meme came up and it changed the dynamic so that a tie (which, for all intents and purposes it was- GOP thinks their guy won, Dems are split but the polls show a slight Obama win) goes to Obama and nothing really changes.
SI
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09-27-2008, 12:28 PM | #5811 | |
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Quote:
Sure. If she doesn't completely scrub it, it will be a win. A worst-case senario for the Dems is she's bad, but not that bad. If the press then plays up how awefull they thought she was (and they will, because they are very angry about lack of access), it will probably play right to the "picking on her" idea. It will make her a even more sympathetic figure ("Look at liberal media attacking one of us!"). |
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09-27-2008, 12:30 PM | #5812 | |
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Quote:
Thanks for the laugh on a Saturday morning. |
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09-27-2008, 12:35 PM | #5813 |
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http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/2008Debate1.pdf
These numbers aren't good for McCain among undecideds. Obama prepared to be President jumped from 44 pre debate to 60 post debate. Which candidate understands your needs is 79% Obama and 41% McCain post debate. McCain has an 8 point lead on who would do better in Iraq, but Obama has a 24 point lead on the economy. Rasmussen has Obama increasing his lead to 50-44. The first day the rolling average will count all post debate polling is Tuesday. |
09-27-2008, 12:38 PM | #5814 | |
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Quote:
There will be a small percentage of voters who cast their ballot for McCain based solely on this. It's a given that the democrats will retain (and almost surely increase) their majority in the house and senate. The thought of Obama, Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi controlling all of the executive and legislative branches of government will be enough to win McCain some votes, but not enough to make a difference in the outcome. |
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09-27-2008, 12:40 PM | #5815 |
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09-27-2008, 12:50 PM | #5816 | |
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Quote:
I think that they ALL are. I didnt know the Kissinger statement was wrong or a lie, until you just said it....so that is not a good thing and Obama should release a qualification today IMO. Obama, already stated his clarification of the Iran thing so McCain bringing it up as if it wasn't qualified is disingenuous.
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Jacksonville-florida-homes-for-sale Putting a New Spin on Real Estate! ----------------------------------------------------------- Commissioner of the USFL USFL Last edited by Flasch186 : 09-27-2008 at 12:52 PM. |
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09-27-2008, 01:17 PM | #5817 | |
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Quote:
Actually, I'm starting to think that might be the best thing that could happen.
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09-27-2008, 01:18 PM | #5818 | |
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Quote:
Then we'll get what we deserve for failing to prevent it.
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09-27-2008, 01:36 PM | #5819 |
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09-27-2008, 01:39 PM | #5820 | |
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Quote:
And Im starting to think that people who think that way dont realize how 'bad' 'bad' really is.
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09-27-2008, 01:44 PM | #5821 |
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09-27-2008, 01:45 PM | #5822 |
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Canada sure is looking nice these days. And I like the snow!
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09-27-2008, 02:29 PM | #5823 | |
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Quote:
{shrug} The more I see the more I lean toward believing that the actual impact of not bailing out this incompetence is being overstated by a staggering exponent. Next thing I expect them to tell us is that if the gazillion dollars isn't approved five minutes ago then we'll see cats & dogs living together. And to cut right down to it, it's starting to smell more & more like a set of rich politicians (on both sides of the aisle) looking to save the bacon of some incredibly rich cronies who fucked up royally.
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"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis Last edited by JonInMiddleGA : 09-27-2008 at 02:40 PM. |
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09-27-2008, 02:33 PM | #5824 | |
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Quote:
All? You need to take a deep breath. Sometimes, these things are honest mistakes (as when Obama agree to unqualified talks with Iran in the Dem debate. I don't think he complete understood what he was agreeing to at that point). It could be that McCain thought there was a resignation offered, but wasn't, and could be that Obama thought Kissinger said Presidential level talks when he said SOS level (which he clearly did). If you expect perfection from everyone, you are always going to be disappointed. |
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09-27-2008, 02:42 PM | #5825 |
College Prospect
Join Date: Oct 2004
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I still can't stand either VP. I really dislike Palin.
I thought Obama and McCain did really well. I actually feel pretty good about either choice right now. I don't think I ever felt that way. I agreed with both of them on some issues. I think for the first time in a while, either choice might not be so bad. |
09-27-2008, 02:45 PM | #5826 | |
World Champion Mis-speller
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Quote:
I'm with you. I'm not scared of McCain (esp. since he'll be dealing with a Dem congress), but I would prefer Obama for a number of reasons. I wish we had McCain of 2000, and not Neo-Con McCain of the last 8 years. |
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09-27-2008, 05:34 PM | #5827 | |
"Dutch"
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Quote:
Fact check for reference. "Our landings...have failed...and I have withdrawn the troops. My decision to attack at this time and place was based upon the best information available. The troops, the air and Navy did all that bravery and devotion to duty could do. If any blame or fault attached to the attempt it is mine alone." -General Eisenhower The Victors, Stephen Ambrose, Page 74 |
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09-27-2008, 05:43 PM | #5828 | |
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Quote:
exactly, thanks. He didnt say anything about resigning. FDR also didnt go on TV during the Depression. Small misses but still irritates me because they'll (both sides) not go on TV or put out in statements regarding corrections. Maybe I'm too much of a stickler, I get it, but it still chafes. Same thing Obama's Kissinger rhetoric. He should come out and release a statement clarifying.
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09-27-2008, 06:26 PM | #5829 |
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Rasmussen came on the news today and stated that poll is a 3-day tracking poll and all answers were made prior to the debates. He thinks that Tuesday's poll will completely reflect any changes from the debates.
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09-27-2008, 06:28 PM | #5830 |
"Dutch"
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09-27-2008, 06:36 PM | #5831 | |
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I see a lot of Bill Clinton in him and think that he would be OK. I would prefer McCain/Palin, but I can't really think of one substantive area where the country will be much different if the other was in power. I think McCain will handle some of the Iran/North Korea/Russia things a little better and that Obama will be more focused on economic issues. I don't think either will change a thing in Iraq (we'll leave in 2-3 years under both) and both will do a solid job on Afghanistan. I wasn't real thrilled with Gore or Kerry for many reasons, but I think it's different with Obama. I started out not liking a lot of his policies, but the more time passes, the more he's kind of inching over to my perspective on some issues. So, I'm a little with Grant Dawg and Astro in that I think we will be fine either way. Now, I will still take the conservative (esp fiscal) stance in this thread and be pro-McCain - don't get me wrong. But I have no dread or fear of the opposing candidate winning. |
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09-27-2008, 07:07 PM | #5832 | |
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Quote:
A lot of it will depend upon Congress asserting its influence on a new president whose ties helped propelled him to office. Obama will be able to dictate some bills but he will also have to go along with bills that will be given to him by Congress. He is not going to veto anything that may contradict any of the views stated above. But in the end, we'll still be ok regardless of who is president, we always have been throughout our (once we got the Civil War thing out of the way). |
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09-27-2008, 07:48 PM | #5833 | |
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Quote:
you cant know what he intended, perhaps neither, unless he says it outright, just like people cant intend to know what Palin meant by her speeches about "Gods war." You cant use assumption to provide an out on one side and then use assumption to argue against the other. Set a precedent and stick to it (and I know it wasnt you but others in this thread argued that you cant say she meant one thing or another when she said that because she meant something else).
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09-27-2008, 08:09 PM | #5834 |
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McCain is a fighter on the ropes. He didn't win the round but he didn't get KO'ed either. It's been a tough week for him, so living to fight another day isn't the worst outcome in the world.
Re: Palin, at first I was also thinking that if she managed to stay upright and not urinate on the moderator, her performance would exceed expectations. But then again, we thought that about the Couric interview too. Anything could happen in that one. All we know is that the Republicans try to frame any attack Biden makes as sexism, and it will work for a lot of voters.
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09-27-2008, 08:46 PM | #5835 |
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09-27-2008, 10:15 PM | #5836 | |
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Quote:
I'm wondering if this theoretical $250B bailout isn't just a pile of crap, too. It's not like Paulson and Bernake haven't known about this for a few months. So, they probably have been coming up with this plan for a while. They shot for the moon with "$700B and blank check" and I bet "$250B and minor congressional checks and balances" looks just fine as a fallback point. It's something to the effect of "I want a billion dollars for this piece of lint" "It must be worth something, how about a million" "Great! (heh, I just sold a piece of lint for a million dollars)" "Great! (heh, I just bought something for a billion dollars for a million)" Again, after reading about the way Sweden dealt with an almost identical situation tells me we should something very similar. Also, as an aside for the economics debate, McCain's going to have to go stronger on something more than earmarks. Next to $700B, $16B is such a minuscule amount, we're starting to get desensitized to numbers that "small". SI
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09-27-2008, 10:25 PM | #5837 | |
"Dutch"
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Quote:
Don't sweat it, scolding me for something I didn't say is okay. I'm fairly predictable. |
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09-27-2008, 10:27 PM | #5838 |
"Dutch"
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09-27-2008, 10:42 PM | #5839 | |
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Quote:
I definitely dont view anything I say as scolding but perhaps that word means something less harsh than I think it means.
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09-27-2008, 11:06 PM | #5840 |
"Dutch"
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09-28-2008, 12:22 AM | #5841 | |
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This is pretty chilling:
Quote:
http://www.kmov.com/video/index.html?nvid=285793&shu=1 |
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09-28-2008, 12:44 AM | #5842 |
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Say wha? They realize that Obama is a public figure and thus whatever false statement must be proven to be made maliciously, right?
Or.. they just don't care about the 1st Amendment (which could be the case).
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09-28-2008, 12:49 AM | #5843 |
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Yeah, I can't imagine this going over well if it were two prosecutors in Mississippi doing the same regarding McCain. You would think the ACLU would come out against it. Yet, there's nothing on their site and no PRs on it. But, I guess civil liberties are only worth protecting when they involve people they agree with using the first amendment.
Last edited by Arles : 09-28-2008 at 12:51 AM. |
09-28-2008, 12:55 AM | #5844 |
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The story came out Friday... give 'em time.
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09-28-2008, 12:57 AM | #5845 | |
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After all:
American Civil Liberties Union : ACLU of New Jersey Successfully Defends Republican Candidates' Right to Political Speech Quote:
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"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams Last edited by ISiddiqui : 09-28-2008 at 12:57 AM. |
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09-28-2008, 01:01 AM | #5846 |
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+1 I'm pretty sure they don't work weekends. Arles - are you going to eat your words when the ACLU does step up in this case? Or are you going to try to spin it like they stepped up reluctantly because of some pressure or whatever? |
09-28-2008, 01:46 AM | #5847 |
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I will give the ACLU a ton of credit if they come out against this action in St. Louis. Here's hoping we hear from them early next week.
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09-28-2008, 07:51 AM | #5848 | |
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Well, I do hate 527's so perhaps they do deserve to be burned, on both sides. However, this is ridiculous.
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09-28-2008, 08:35 AM | #5849 | |
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Nice. |
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09-28-2008, 08:36 AM | #5850 | |
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Quote:
The video had nothing about libel charges. Is there a source for that?
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