11-03-2020, 08:00 PM | #5851 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: The Satellite of Love
|
Quote:
I think it's because PA won't start counting a large portion (some counties, all) of their mail in ballots until tomorrow, so having a needle seems pointless. We won't know the results from PA for days, if not a week. |
|
11-03-2020, 08:00 PM | #5852 |
Checkraising Tourists
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cocoa Beach, FL
|
Fox News analytics now shows Biden with an 89% chance of winning North Carolina.
|
11-03-2020, 08:01 PM | #5853 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
|
I think TX is done. Lots of rural areas still out.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
11-03-2020, 08:01 PM | #5854 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
NC NYT number seems weird. 74% of vote in and Biden up 51-47, but still showing 79% Trump?
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-03-2020, 08:01 PM | #5855 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
|
Quote:
Yeah, I don't get the arrow on the NYTimes site still heavily favoring Trump.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
|
11-03-2020, 08:01 PM | #5856 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: May 2006
|
Vote totals seem to be tracking with at least a 65% turnout, quite possibly higher with the late-counted ones. That part is good news.
|
11-03-2020, 08:02 PM | #5857 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Back in Houston!
|
WTH is going on with the Virginia reporting?
SI
__________________
Houston Hippopotami, III.3: 20th Anniversary Thread - All former HT players are encouraged to check it out! Janos: "Only America could produce an imbecile of your caliber!" Freakazoid: "That's because we make lots of things better than other people!" |
11-03-2020, 08:03 PM | #5858 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: May 2006
|
Biden's NC lead is steadily going down, so perhaps they expect it to continue to do that based on where the outstanding vote is. Very weird to have NYT leaning that far Trump though and Fox leaning Biden. .
|
11-03-2020, 08:03 PM | #5859 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
heh....so I'm not the only one that thinks that NYT projection is a little strange...
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-03-2020, 08:03 PM | #5860 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
|
The NYT needle is really confusing me as well. I also just saw that metro Atlanta is much more Biden than Clinton and a lot of Fulton County absentee won't be counted for hours due to the water main break in State Farm.
Sent from my Pixel 4 XL using Tapatalk
__________________
"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams |
11-03-2020, 08:04 PM | #5861 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: The Satellite of Love
|
Quote:
At least you have that option. I've spent my adulthood failing at life, so I doubt there's any country out there that would take me. (Not that Donald alone would make that decision for me. I'm about 99% there on wanting to live abroad for a good chunk of my life anyway) |
|
11-03-2020, 08:04 PM | #5862 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
|
Quote:
It just went up to 81% Trump.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
|
11-03-2020, 08:04 PM | #5863 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
51-48 now at 75%. Maybe same-day votes only are coming in now?
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-03-2020, 08:05 PM | #5864 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: May 2006
|
One of the two is going to feel really stupid when we figure out what it is that NC did.
|
11-03-2020, 08:05 PM | #5865 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
|
CNN is really bullish on NC for Biden as well from what I'm overhearing from the other room, so somebody is wrong.
|
11-03-2020, 08:05 PM | #5866 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Oct 2004
|
Quote:
Easier said than done unless you are already from Europe (maybe you are, I don’t know). |
|
11-03-2020, 08:05 PM | #5867 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
|
Looks like Graham is pulling away from Harrison
|
11-03-2020, 08:06 PM | #5868 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Maryland
|
I'd like for it to be wrong, but I trust the NYT with numbers a bit more than Fox News.
__________________
null |
11-03-2020, 08:06 PM | #5869 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
|
This is definitely the most FOFC posters I've seen in one place since, you know, last election. 94 viewers.
Last edited by molson : 11-03-2020 at 08:07 PM. |
11-03-2020, 08:07 PM | #5870 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
|
Seeing those exits polls from AZ feels really important right about now
|
11-03-2020, 08:07 PM | #5871 |
College Prospect
Join Date: Oct 2020
|
It's over. At least last time I was in Thailand and didn't have to go back to real life for a week.
|
11-03-2020, 08:07 PM | #5872 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
|
Wife got offered a role for her company in England. We could live by her sister and our nieces, rent our house, then she would take over as president of N America for a Buffet company when we come back in 2-3 years. Looks pretty damn good right about now.
|
11-03-2020, 08:07 PM | #5873 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
|
Quote:
NC up to 85% Trump now.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
|
11-03-2020, 08:08 PM | #5874 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: May 2006
|
2020 man, 2020. I was just to check in for about half an hour tonight, confirm my expectations, and spend the rest of the evening doing other things.
About that ... |
11-03-2020, 08:08 PM | #5875 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
|
Predicit crashed. "Closed for Maintenance"
|
11-03-2020, 08:08 PM | #5876 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
So either Fox News or NYT is just plain broken on NC. Fox is up to 91 Biden. NYT is 85% Trump.
Or maybe both are broken???
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-03-2020, 08:10 PM | #5877 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
|
Quote:
The explanation I'd seen somewhere for the NYT prediction is that the counties that would go Biden came in very early, plus the early voting results, and so there is an expectation for the numbers in the state to slowly swing red throughout the rest of the count. I'm stunned to see the stark differences between sites/news outlets though. |
|
11-03-2020, 08:11 PM | #5878 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: The Satellite of Love
|
At ~70% reporting, Biden's lead was at ~200k. With 77% reporting, his lead is down to ~140k.
NYT is pretty sure Trump makes up that ground, and Fox News is pretty sure he doesn't., I guess |
11-03-2020, 08:12 PM | #5879 | |
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
|
Quote:
This seems to be the one thing we all forgot about... 2020. When all else fails, it's still 2020.
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete." |
|
11-03-2020, 08:12 PM | #5880 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
|
Just saw the reporting from HAmilton county in Ohio and I am cautiously optimistic
|
11-03-2020, 08:12 PM | #5881 | |
Checkraising Tourists
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cocoa Beach, FL
|
Quote:
I don’t know. Fox News is using an entirely different model this year that doesn’t use any exit polls in their analysis. They called Virginia almost instantly for Biden after the polls closed there. |
|
11-03-2020, 08:13 PM | #5882 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
78%....50.8-48.1
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-03-2020, 08:15 PM | #5883 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Back in Houston!
|
Quote:
CNN is doing their best to try and make the horse race interesting. I'm having a hard time watching their analysis. NBC, too. It's all about the horse race, not about the likely outcome SI
__________________
Houston Hippopotami, III.3: 20th Anniversary Thread - All former HT players are encouraged to check it out! Janos: "Only America could produce an imbecile of your caliber!" Freakazoid: "That's because we make lots of things better than other people!" |
|
11-03-2020, 08:15 PM | #5884 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Whittier
|
|
11-03-2020, 08:15 PM | #5885 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Pacific
|
NC going Trump. The rural areas win the election again.
__________________
Excuses are for wusses- Spencer Lee Punting is Winning- Tory Taylor The word is Fight! Fight! Fight! For Iowa FOFC 30 Dollar Challenge Champion-OOTP '15 |
11-03-2020, 08:20 PM | #5886 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
NC: Fox now at 92% Biden, NYT at 88% Trump.
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-03-2020, 08:21 PM | #5887 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Seven miles up
|
I am counting on all of you, because I honestly cannot watch.
__________________
He's just like if Snow White was competitive, horny, and capable of beating the shit out of anyone that called her Pops. Like Steam? Join the FOFC Steam group here: http://steamcommunity.com/groups/FOFConSteam |
11-03-2020, 08:21 PM | #5888 |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
|
Interesting:
|
11-03-2020, 08:21 PM | #5889 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: May 2006
|
Fox also has Georgia going Biden. Agree with Vegas Vic, it's gotta be a major difference in analysis. They're either going to look like idiots or genuises. I'm guessing the former.
For whatever it's worth, they're saying Trump's early lead in Michigan isn't a mirage and are saying it's a tossup. |
11-03-2020, 08:22 PM | #5890 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
|
Also Hickenlooper beats Gardener in Colorado, so that's 1 flipped Senate seat so far.
Sent from my Pixel 4 XL using Tapatalk
__________________
"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams |
11-03-2020, 08:23 PM | #5891 |
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
|
This was set up for maximum pain on Biden supporters, too. All the EV tallied first, and then slowly watch the ED votes which apparently broke hard for GOP slowly choke the will out of you as the lead dwindles.
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete." |
11-03-2020, 08:25 PM | #5892 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Back in Houston!
|
It's like a mirror of 2016 where it felt like Clinton fell behind in spots she needed to and was scrounging for votes in the end that never came.
SI
__________________
Houston Hippopotami, III.3: 20th Anniversary Thread - All former HT players are encouraged to check it out! Janos: "Only America could produce an imbecile of your caliber!" Freakazoid: "That's because we make lots of things better than other people!" |
11-03-2020, 08:26 PM | #5893 |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
|
Check this thread. Cohen is saying the NYT thread in GA?NC is based on Florida, and it might not be reading the states differences well.
|
11-03-2020, 08:27 PM | #5894 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
|
Looking at the urban areas in Ohio and the projected percentage of votes left, it looks pretty good for Biden, I think.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
11-03-2020, 08:28 PM | #5895 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: May 2006
|
Interesting. AFAIK, demographics do tend to be pretty consistent. If that's the source of the issue I'd still lean NYT.
|
11-03-2020, 08:29 PM | #5896 |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
|
Nate Silver:
|
11-03-2020, 08:29 PM | #5897 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: PDX
|
Y'all talking about those FoxNews numbers led me over there, and ironically their probability page is actually soothing my fears.
Probability Dials | Elections 2020 | Fox News
__________________
Last edited by thesloppy : Today at 05:35 PM. |
11-03-2020, 08:30 PM | #5898 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
|
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
11-03-2020, 08:30 PM | #5899 |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
|
|
11-03-2020, 08:31 PM | #5900 |
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
|
If this isn't the 2020 election in a screenshot, I don't know what is.
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete." |
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 5 (0 members and 5 guests) | |
Thread Tools | |
|
|