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Old 08-08-2007, 06:51 PM   #551
path12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PurdueBrad View Post
If I make it back in time and want to change my vote, do I edit (thought I read that we shouldn't edit) or make another post stating unvote and put in new vote?

You don't edit posts. You make a new post that

UNVOTE (NAME)
VOTE (NAME)


and that will do it.
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Old 08-08-2007, 06:54 PM   #552
path12
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Originally Posted by KWhit View Post
I think I'm leaning toward voting Path or st.cronin as they were the 1st two to follow me onto ntndeacon, and I agree that one out of the ntndeacon voters is likely a wolf.

Jack Parkman was pretty clear that his vote was to take heat off of Pedro at the time. Jack Parkman thinks this is scant evidence for a vote.
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Old 08-08-2007, 06:54 PM   #553
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Dammit. Switched tenses again.
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Old 08-08-2007, 07:00 PM   #554
path12
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Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
So the easiest one to isolate with those assumptions is the Torgo vote for Cronin - it is the only one cast by someone still alive that isn't on BK/NTN.

Next question - would Torgo go on a crusade against a player on Day 1 as a wolf? What does it get him? A lot of attention if we follow his lead at some point.

For now, I'll make that Assumption #3 on the day - DaddyTorgo is not a wolf.

Jack Parkman would like to point out that a throwaway vote on day 1 is actually not the kind of thing that usually gathers a lot of attention. The scrutiny comes in the main candidates votes. Jack Parkman thinks the best time to come out against a fellow wolf is day 1, especially if that fellow wolf is not gathering enough attention to actually be lynched.

There is also the fact that DT has come at Lathum much harder than he did with Cronin.

Jack Parkman concludes that Assumption #3 is a shaky one.
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Old 08-08-2007, 07:28 PM   #555
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Path, I thought DT's play was much more aggressive than a "throw-away" Day 1 vote. The bold nature of it almost begged for scrutiny. What I'm saying is that I agree with your concept as you laid it out, but don't see DT's play in quite the same light.
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Old 08-08-2007, 07:35 PM   #556
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OK, I feel strong enough

UNVOTE ST.CRONIN
VOTE DADDYTORGO
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Old 08-08-2007, 07:41 PM   #557
MikeVic
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Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo View Post
i think the problem people are having, and one that you will come to appreciate is that you are overstating your degree of trust.

ie...you say "i trust hoops is a villager" when you mean "he's slightly more likely to be a villager than a wolf"

the word "trust" in a WW game is very heavy. as are all declarative statements "i know" etc.

The "trust" and "know" are kind of like for the time being. If I were to say "I'm definitely positive that from this day on cronin is a villager," that would be my equivalent to "trust" and "know."
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Old 08-08-2007, 08:25 PM   #558
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Right now MikeVic loses all tie-breakers, since he got the early vote today.

Despite some of his posts that I dredged up earlier today, I lean towards thinking that Mike is on our side, playing an open and honest first game. I would prefer that he is not lynched today.

So that leaves Daddy Torgo and St. Cronin - I could go with another candidate, but we are getting later in the process and I'm ready to see what happens when we turn the heat up a little bit. I think Torgo's reasons for suspecting Cronin are kind of thin (vote post too quickly after saying he was reading) but Cronin's defense was also a concern (not playing in the spirit of the game).

VOTE CRONIN
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Old 08-08-2007, 08:42 PM   #559
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I got an answer from ChiefRum, and I don't want to say too much regarding my confusion. I don't want to make it seem like I'm breaking the rules. But based on the response I received, I think the only thing I can really say is that the wording in the PM I received made me think two words were interchangable, when in reality they aren't.

I don't know if that helps, but like I said, I don't want to me labelled a cheater or rule-breaker.

I think right now, I have to

VOTE CRONIN

to help save myself. I'll try to get back on nearer the deadline again.
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Old 08-08-2007, 08:45 PM   #560
Jonathan Ezarik
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I don't have a good feel on anyone and I'm not really sure what's been learned so far. I'm off tomorrow so I'll have some time to really go through the thread and hopefully have some ideas. But since I have to vote for someone now, I'll throw this out just to keep it close.

VOTE DADDYTORGO
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Old 08-08-2007, 08:57 PM   #561
hoopsguy
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Votes heading into the final hour (current as of Post #560):

Cronin - Torgo (401), Purdue (511), Hoops (558), MikeVic (559)
Torgo - Path (426), Lathum (556), JE (560)
MikeVic - Cronin (377), Barkeep (535)
JE - Pass (452)
Path - KWhit (532)

Not voted - Gonzo
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Old 08-08-2007, 08:59 PM   #562
Gonzo
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I'm suspicious of St. Cronin, but not really enough to vote for him. I'm not even sure if I should vote for DaddyTorgo, but then again I have to vote today.

VOTE DADDY TORGO
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:01 PM   #563
hoopsguy
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If Cronin gets back, he can save himself here.
If not, then ... time to see if there were any earlier votes that aren't there now.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:03 PM   #564
KWhit
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At this point, I trust MikeVic and am suspicious of anybody who has their vote on him. So between BK and Cronin, I gotta vote for the guy who is actually in contention tonight.

UNVOTE PATH12
VOTE ST.CRONIN
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:04 PM   #565
MikeVic
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Unfortunately I have to leave for the next couple of hours. I won't be here for the deadline, and so I'll leave my vote on cronin.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:06 PM   #566
hoopsguy
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Updated votes:
Cronin - Torgo (401), Purdue (511), Hoops (558), MikeVic (559), KWhit (563)
Torgo - Path (426), Lathum (556), JE (560), Gonzo (562)
MikeVic - Cronin (377), Barkeep (535)
JE - Pass (452)

And there are no earlier votes on Torgo or Cronin prior to #401 where Torgo votes Cronin. So Cronin would need help - can't just move his vote - to avoid a lynch this evening.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:09 PM   #567
Lathum
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KWhit, why do you trust mike?
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:15 PM   #568
MikeVic
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I'm waiting for a ride, so I'll be on until they come get me.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:24 PM   #569
Barkeep49
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Man I don't really feel like I understand why anyone is on anyone. I'm going to go ahead and unvote MikeVic since it doesn't look like we're going in that direction and I see no need to keep a symbolic vote there. But I'm not really sure where my vote will land.

Unvote MikeVic
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:37 PM   #570
path12
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Jack Parkman acknowledges that he has been absent for awhile staring into a mirror to determine that, although it is a very close call, Jack Parkman is going to insist on being photographed on his right side.

While Jack Parkman is tempted to switch his vote to Cronin, Jack Parkman is (due to Jack Parkman's incredible intelligence) almost more interested to see how the last half hour comes down, especially since Jack Parkman does not have much to go on this early.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:38 PM   #571
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Ok I've thought it over and I've decided I don't like the way cronin talked about the step ups, including having lied about whether or not he steppd it up yesterday. I'm going to go that direction.

Vote st.cronin
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:39 PM   #572
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path I'll just say that I've really enjoyed your role playing this game.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:41 PM   #573
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Hmmm, I was definitely hoping that at least one of our candidates would be around at the deadline to take part in the conversation
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:46 PM   #574
path12
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Originally Posted by Barkeep49 View Post
path I'll just say that I've really enjoyed your role playing this game.

Being a consummate entertainer (among his other skills), Jack Parkman is not surprised, yet is gracious enough to accept the praise, though Jack Parkman knows that it is merely his due.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:46 PM   #575
Passacaglia
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Checking in. Not sure if I will catch up in time to change my vote.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:48 PM   #576
hoopsguy
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Originally Posted by path12 View Post
Being a consummate entertainer (among his other skills), Jack Parkman is not surprised, yet is gracious enough to accept the praise, though Jack Parkman knows that it is merely his due.

I need a clapping smilie for this.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:48 PM   #577
path12
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Originally Posted by Passacaglia View Post
Checking in. Not sure if I will catch up in time to change my vote.

Jack Parkman could read this thread in three and one half minutes.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:49 PM   #578
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A review of posts by the two players indicates that Cronin is unlikely to be back while Torgo hoped (but was not sure) he would be back before the deadline.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:49 PM   #579
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Originally Posted by path12 View Post
Jack Parkman could read this thread in three and one half minutes.

But alas, the rest of us ballplayers have not the same skill at speed-reading that Jack Parkman possesses.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:51 PM   #580
DaddyTorgo
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i'm back. Anyone wanna tell me quick-like if I need to move my vote based on stuff that's happened?
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:53 PM   #581
hoopsguy
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Pass, if you have a strong inkling that Torgo is more guilty than Cronin I would be willing to change my vote. But it has to be fast ...

I don't think either of the two parties are likely to be our seer, which is my biggest worry heading down the stretch with absentee lynch candidates.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:53 PM   #582
path12
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Originally Posted by Gonzo View Post
But alas, the rest of us ballplayers have not the same skill at speed-reading that Jack Parkman possesses.

*sigh* Jack Parkman's innate superiority over his fellow humans is Jack Parkman's cross to bear.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:54 PM   #583
hoopsguy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo View Post
i'm back. Anyone wanna tell me quick-like if I need to move my vote based on stuff that's happened?

Vote stands at 6-4, with Cronin losing the tie-breaker.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:54 PM   #584
Passacaglia
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We're tied 5-5 with 6 minutes left? Geez.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:55 PM   #585
Passacaglia
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Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
Pass, if you have a strong inkling that Torgo is more guilty than Cronin I would be willing to change my vote. But it has to be fast ...

I don't think either of the two parties are likely to be our seer, which is my biggest worry heading down the stretch with absentee lynch candidates.

My inclination is to vote for cronin, since Torgo feels so strongly about it, and it's his butt if he's wrong. But I read the thread pretty quickly. Does that sound fair?
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:55 PM   #586
DaddyTorgo
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i'm here!
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:55 PM   #587
hoopsguy
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Pass, I show 6-4. Do you have something different?

Cronin - Torgo (401), Purdue (511), Hoops (558), MikeVic (559), KWhit (563), Barkeep (571)
Torgo - Path (426), Lathum (556), JE (560), Gonzo (562)
MikeVic - Cronin (377)
JE - Pass (452)
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:56 PM   #588
Passacaglia
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No, hoops, sorry, I counted BK's vote wrong.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:57 PM   #589
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Originally Posted by Passacaglia View Post
My inclination is to vote for cronin, since Torgo feels so strongly about it, and it's his butt if he's wrong. But I read the thread pretty quickly. Does that sound fair?

Only if DT was the seer - his suspicion started on Day 1 so he could have scanned him Day 2 to follow his gut. But we would have to lynch DT first to learn that, and right now we are on Cronin.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:57 PM   #590
DaddyTorgo
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it is my butt if I was wrong. But others have also said cronin has made some questionable plays already this game, so I feel okay about it.

in case I die I reiterate: we need to get the step-ups thing sorted out and not let it distract us from normal-ww play.

on that note: am I stepping up again hoops?
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:59 PM   #591
hoopsguy
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DT, I had asked Lathum to fill in for you since, as you pointed out, we don't learn anything new about us relative to each other with you going again tonight.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:59 PM   #592
Passacaglia
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Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
Only if DT was the seer - his suspicion started on Day 1 so he could have scanned him Day 2 to follow his gut. But we would have to lynch DT first to learn that, and right now we are on Cronin.

It doesn't look like I can save cronin anyway.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:59 PM   #593
DaddyTorgo
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hoops

i'm not the seer.

i'm hoping the seer has scanned cronin though and agrees, since there has generally been more "vote for cronin" reasoning given than "don't vote for cronin".

Guess the seer could have scanned someone else though. But if the seer scanned cronin and he was innocent, I think someone would have made a bigger push at me/to keep cronin unlynched.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:59 PM   #594
Passacaglia
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Anyway, I think this vote seems fine. I don't know who to trust in this, but I'm interested in what happens.
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Old 08-08-2007, 09:59 PM   #595
path12
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It doesn't look like I can save cronin anyway.

Would you if you could?
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Old 08-08-2007, 10:00 PM   #596
DaddyTorgo
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oh that's right hoops. Thanks for reminding me
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Old 08-08-2007, 10:01 PM   #597
Passacaglia
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Would you if you could?

No. Like I said, my gut was saying to vote for cronin -- I don't think DT as a wolf would come out against cronin so much as a wolf.
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Old 08-08-2007, 10:01 PM   #598
Passacaglia
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And with that, I am out. Hope we're right!
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Old 08-08-2007, 10:02 PM   #599
Chief Rum
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Time.

Votes being tabulated.
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Old 08-08-2007, 10:02 PM   #600
DaddyTorgo
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that was really the crux of my play. I definitely felt in my gut cronin is wolf and saw evidence of it, but I made a stink to try to get the seer to scan him, figuring then the seer could either support me on d2 or push against someone else/push for cronin's innocence.

havn't seen either...so either the seer scanned someone else or the seer scanned cronin and he's guilty and the seer sees no reason to reveal with me doing the pushing

and if i'm wrong, i'm just a marginally useful normal dude anyways
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