01-13-2010, 03:21 PM | #551 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
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My first thought is that you are doing the wolves a favor by not making them come kill you. I would like having you around later in the game as a villager; you make good decisions when there is potentially actionable info on the table. I'm inclined to agree with the Vengeful God thing; that it is pro-village to share that info early. But if it was someone besides you/Lathum looking for this info, I would be suspicious that it is a wolf trying to flush out a role that is dangerous for them. That is still on the table for you two, but I'm probably 85-90% sure you guys are both villagers. |
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01-13-2010, 03:22 PM | #552 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
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I suppose it prevents us from losing the seer accidentally, but costs us a villager. It would be a great move if the seer hasn't scanned you yet as it would clear Lathum as well. If they are a wolf they'll probably reveal to avoid the axe, but we at least take away that danger. Or they pretend they didn't know anything about it, let you die and then reveal. I'm not sure, depends how scared we are about the role. It would make sense to insist that player reveal though I think. There's just too slim a chance of catching a wolf with it. |
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01-13-2010, 03:23 PM | #553 | ||
Grizzled Veteran
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Before I tried this I'd have to be 100% sure that the vengeful god was a wolf.
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01-13-2010, 03:24 PM | #554 | |
General Manager
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Location: Chicago
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I've cleared for more stupid stuff than this Seriously, we all get to figure out why we want to trust above/below the norm for everyone, and my argument here may not hold sway with others. Or with me much later in the game. But it is good enough for today. |
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01-13-2010, 03:26 PM | #555 |
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01-13-2010, 03:27 PM | #556 | |
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I kind of get a better feeling about PB after reading that, just because of the move to unvote CF. He had no idea I or anyone else would follow on J23 (though I did say I had suspicions of a group he was part of). I think the wolfier thing would be to try and cement the vote on CF. Unless CF is bad as well. But even then the sequence is kind of funky.
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01-13-2010, 03:28 PM | #557 | |
General Manager
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This is something that I (and several others) have lamented over the years. It has also spawned, at different times, a "lynch the quiet ones!" philosophy that is kind of harsh but is intended to drive people to post in the thread more. |
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01-13-2010, 03:30 PM | #558 | |
Coordinator
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Can you think of a reason that role wouldn't reveal as a villager? Only thing I can think of is in order to try and lure wolves onto them to vote, but that's a pretty big stretch IMO.
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01-13-2010, 03:31 PM | #559 | |
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Yeah, both the main candidates made moves that werne't in their best interest if just trying to get out of a vote. Unless they were both bad, which is in the realm of possibility. I'm inclined to think that we should hope the seer checks these guys out, as I hate to vote on the assumption that we had a group of 2-3 wolves in the running yesterday. |
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01-13-2010, 03:31 PM | #560 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Jul 2007
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Nobody told me we were required to wear underwear, so technically my panties are just in a bunch on the bedroom floor. Actually, I like Autumn's analysis. It in no way clears me, but looking at my play, I feel very comfortable that most will see it for what it was. If Hoops wants to continue to push for yesterday's candidates so be it, lynchings smile at us all, sometimes all we can do is smile back. |
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01-13-2010, 03:32 PM | #561 | |
Head Coach
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I think players like going for the big play. So I could imagine a villager holding mum just because it would be "awesome" to catch a wolf this way. I agree it's not a good play, but we've seen similar ones. |
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01-13-2010, 03:33 PM | #562 | |
General Manager
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Disagree with this one a bit. You had indicated that you suspected the voters on PB. There was a reasonable expectation that you would follow him to whatever one he picked and then he can see where the chips fall after that. FWIW, right now I think that J23 was the right candidate of the three - me, CF, or J23 - to pick for moving the vote. But he wasn't going to vote for me because he had done it yesterday so he was picking between two candidates. And you had already indicated that you were looking for an alternate candidate than CF, as you had already voted/unvoted him. I think he made the play he thought was best to bring you along that put him at the least amount of risk. I actually think this was pretty wolfy when I read it. |
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01-13-2010, 03:35 PM | #563 | |
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It's a totally valid strategy in the RL game for sure. If they don't help at all and don't talk at all then they are a hindrance, whether a wolf or not. Taking them out early is very good practice. If we're going to end up lynching a villager anyway may as well be an unhelpful one. Which means henry, ntn, jackal, EF, and anyone else I've already forgot....PLEASE SAY SOMETHING! |
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01-13-2010, 03:35 PM | #564 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
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He also had already voted CF earlier that day and could have feared the Vengeful God role. It seems to be affecting a lot of our voting (I know I'm more gunshy because of it). That also may be the reason people haven't gone back to the candidates from earlier days. |
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01-13-2010, 03:35 PM | #565 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Votes tell, eventually. But this is also why people like Autumn are so valuable, whether or not you think it makes them suspicious. I don't always get where he's coming from, but if I'm down to a choice between who is active and someone who isn't I'll almost always go for the latter. Unless I'm a wolf. Or trying not to be predictable. Or something else.
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01-13-2010, 03:36 PM | #566 |
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I'm thinking it's the wisest time to reveal, since I'm the leading vote getter right now. I am the Vampire, which is a good role, but unfortunately one that is probably impossible to demonstrably prove. I'd be happy to trade myself for a wolf if they want to counter reveal though. So I will reveal early enough in the day that no one can say they didn't have time, and so that people can move their votes in a rational fashion.
I wanted to hang on as long as I could before revealing, but no sense ruining a day of voting just to demonstrate that some people thought I was a wolf. |
01-13-2010, 03:40 PM | #567 | |
Coordinator
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This could be true, I was certainly trying to single out J23 (though was also interested in seeing more about how people were viewing you). I've been thinking of CF as novice, but now that he has talked about playing offline it makes me reconsider your thoughts about finding out about him sooner rather than later.
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01-13-2010, 03:41 PM | #568 |
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There is a consistent push, albeit subtle enough to keep it from being damning, from Hoops to push me out. My vote is a return to my day 1 vote, this time with the reasoning that he is pushing to lynch my only known good guy (me). If this turns it into a me vs. Hoops showdown tonight, so be it.
The only sticking point, that makes me want to choose one of two others, is that Hoops is still publicly pushing to lynch me which could/would come back to haunt him if he were a wolf. But here's my vote, although I will move if needed in order for it to be relevant. vote Hoopsguy |
01-13-2010, 03:42 PM | #569 | |
Coordinator
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Did you control someone's vote yesterday?
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01-13-2010, 03:42 PM | #570 |
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BTW the reason I voted for PurdueBrad in the first place. Was that after the Lathum/path combo voted for me, he jumped on board. (although he wasn't the only one. And of course since he had a lot of votes, I voted for him to up his total. Him voting for me was convenient in trying to save himself, but I think I wasn't THAT much in trouble yet until he voted for me. Seems suspicious.
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01-13-2010, 03:46 PM | #571 |
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01-13-2010, 03:48 PM | #572 | |
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I'm going to wait a little bit for a counter reveal against Autumn and if there is none I will be moving my vote. Not real sure where my vote will go, most likely back to Saldana, with the plus that if I end up dead from that vote that will we know 100% that Saldana is the vengeful god and most likely a wolf.
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01-13-2010, 03:51 PM | #573 | |
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If you put a vote on him to up his total to match yours, why would you find it suspicious that he put a vote on the leader at the time to put some distance between himself and that leader?
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01-13-2010, 03:51 PM | #574 | |
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What about day 1? Or am I reading the every 2 cycles thing wrong?
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01-13-2010, 03:52 PM | #575 |
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Dola, I have no issue with you not saying who at this point.
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01-13-2010, 04:07 PM | #576 | |
High School Varsity
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I agree Crimson, makes no sense to me either. First, the reasons Eaglefan uses to justify a vote for me don't seem to have anything to do with that I might be a wolf. Second, I'm not sure how I could "orchestrate" voting for or against me. The vote count against me will be adjusted by whether or not the person is on my love or hate list, but I don't have any ability to control who votes for me. I wish I had that sort of power. My role is frankly dumb, which is why I revealed it. Eaglefan is a highly experienced player, so this contorted reasoning is beyond odd to me. Right now, my list of folks from which I will choose my vote is the following: EF, PB and Kwhit. We had two suspects last night, there was a tie, neither got lynched, and so far both those guys are skating free right now. Very short attention span we have. |
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01-13-2010, 04:10 PM | #577 |
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I will say this, though, just to further rattle Eaglefan's grill: Eaglefan is one of the two people I am aware of so far who are on my love list, so he is incapable of having his vote counted against me.
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01-13-2010, 04:12 PM | #578 |
Favored Bitch #1
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Location: homeless in NJ
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01-13-2010, 04:13 PM | #579 |
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01-13-2010, 04:20 PM | #580 | |
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ahh Dubb, my old friend....i of course remember you...[/ricardomontalbanvoice] i can assure you that you will not die if you vote for me, and I can also assure you that neither will I. |
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01-13-2010, 04:37 PM | #581 | |
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I saved my ability for day two. I was actually hoping to use it on Granny to create a CoT that way, but then I found out from Danny that the other person wouldn't know that their vote is controlled. Then Granny died. |
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01-13-2010, 04:59 PM | #582 |
Favored Bitch #1
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01-13-2010, 05:00 PM | #583 |
Coordinator
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Location: Seattle, WA
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01-13-2010, 05:00 PM | #584 | |
General Manager
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I don't think I've been all that subtle, actually. I think you are a wolf, but I would be running a risk voting for anyone a second time. I'm not sure enough that I'm going to make that bet just yet. But I'm hoping that you are scanned sooner rather than later. This "Vengeful God" thing, and the less discussed "Gladiator" are really cramping my game a little bit in terms of putting pressure on people in the thread. I know that me blowing up or getting dueled = -1 villager, and I don't know that I'm getting a 1:1 trade in the process. Which is frustrating, as I would absolutely take 1:1 if given the chance. But I haven't really worked out what % of certainty (70%, maybe?) that I would consider it worth the risk. |
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01-13-2010, 05:01 PM | #585 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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dola- Does anyone see a reason why the whiney bitch shouldn't reveal? After day 1 their ability is useless and the basically becoe a vanilla villager, but if they are lying there can be a counter.
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01-13-2010, 05:01 PM | #586 |
Favored Bitch #1
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01-13-2010, 05:04 PM | #587 |
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01-13-2010, 05:07 PM | #588 |
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01-13-2010, 05:08 PM | #589 | ||
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Eh, fine with me. That would be my role.
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01-13-2010, 05:09 PM | #590 | |
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And I am most definately a villager.
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01-13-2010, 05:10 PM | #591 | |
Grizzled Veteran
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Unvote Autumn
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01-13-2010, 05:12 PM | #592 | |
Coordinator
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Interesting. I had taken Jackal's comment after N1 to mean that he was the Whiny Bitch.
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01-13-2010, 05:28 PM | #593 |
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01-13-2010, 05:29 PM | #594 |
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01-13-2010, 05:29 PM | #595 |
Head Coach
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Does the vengeful god role work immediately when you cast the vote? OR is it saved for the deadline and the overnight stuff?
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01-13-2010, 05:29 PM | #596 |
Head Coach
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I didn't get a chance to decide on a vote before dinner. I will vote later, before deadline of course.
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01-13-2010, 05:29 PM | #597 |
Favored Bitch #1
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01-13-2010, 05:30 PM | #598 |
Coordinator
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I did mean about my Borg idea, they killed Lathum that night and he was my created character and I was pissed!
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01-13-2010, 05:31 PM | #599 | |
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Yup here's proof of that. Jackal was merely complaining that the wolves destroyed the person with his role before he got to use it. |
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01-13-2010, 05:32 PM | #600 |
Coordinator
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Oh, OK. I didn't keep track of any of that pregame stuff.
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