11-04-2022, 05:49 AM | #6751 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Oh look! Another thread about to be trashed by Edward!
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11-04-2022, 07:10 AM | #6752 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2005
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Quote:
I'll take this as you couldn't find the quote. No problem. Everyone makes mistakes once in a while. (But if you ever do find the quote, we can always take it to the other thread and not bother everyone) |
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11-04-2022, 07:15 AM | #6753 |
Head Coach
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11-05-2022, 08:41 AM | #6754 |
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
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I don't know what this means/whether it will translate on Election Day, but this thread is pretty interesting - although it does come from a Dem source, presumably with accurate info (?).
The upshot being that Republicans are concentrating on paying pollsters to drop R-leaning poll after poll to skew the averages to appear like a red wave is coming with momentum, when the reality of early voting is that Dems are outdoing their 2020 performance. Whether that continues or election day momentum swings enough to the Rs... we'll see. But this has me hopeful. I guess my question is how accurate are the D/R early voting numbers.
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11-05-2022, 09:55 AM | #6755 | ||||
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2005
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Quote:
They babble quite a bit but 538 says below on early voting. The Case For A Democratic Surprise On Election Night | FiveThirtyEight Quote:
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Beats me. My guess is the Republicans do have momentum and better than 50-50 that they will get both chambers. |
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11-05-2022, 09:56 AM | #6756 |
College Starter
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: The Dirty
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I would imagine R vote turnout will be heavier on election day since the Rs have spend the last 6 years talking about how early voting and non-election day voting is a fraud.
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11-05-2022, 10:26 AM | #6757 |
Hall Of Famer
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Unfortunately, I think a lot of that matters relative to what they have done in the past as I think the GOP holds a pretty big voting day advantage.
Just to give an example, Jon Ralston was an amazing read throughout the 2020 election cycle and here's his in-depth take on how the Nevada numbers look right now: The early voting blog, 2022 – The Nevada Independent I think there's some credence to the GOP pollsters giving themselves a bump or maybe just not factoring things in that they know are relevant (polls getting noisier and getting more red because younger people don't answer their phones type stuff). But I just don't know. The CW has been "early voting numbers don't matter" for a while now but wisdom keeps being anything but conventional the last few election cycles and if the Dems do keep the Senate, for instance, that will be one of the narratives. If they keep the House, then it'll most likely be lost to the political violence story that follows. Both parties seem to act like the close races we expect are the close races with major surrogates going to the places you'd think like Pennsylvania. It seems a little odd that Trump is going to Florida and Ohio, two places solidly red, but Trump is going to go where Trump wants to go, not where the party wants him to go. SI
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11-05-2022, 12:26 PM | #6758 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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The only reason I could see the Rs cooking the books with the polls is so they can claim fraud. I just don't see it. I think Dobbs peaked too early and a lot of suburban women in places like PA, GA, Ohio, etc...are pissed their grocery bill is $35 higher each week.
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11-05-2022, 05:54 PM | #6759 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2002
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That's my expectation, unfortunately
SI
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11-05-2022, 06:06 PM | #6760 |
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
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Probably. I did see some analysis that Nevada looks bad. Early voting is essentially tied and you have to expect an R advantage on election day. So that's one state that is likely going red.
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M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete." |
11-05-2022, 09:35 PM | #6761 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
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Quote:
This article claims that Dems lead NV early voting by more than they did in 2018, when they won. Nevada early voting shows Democrats hold lead over GOP in Clark, Washoe counties | Las Vegas Review-Journal
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11-06-2022, 08:07 AM | #6762 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
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He nails it
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11-06-2022, 09:32 AM | #6763 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2003
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11-06-2022, 10:28 AM | #6764 | |
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
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Quote:
Hmm. I read some twitter thread that showed Dems lead in Clark was less than 1000 votes and that's not good when you factor in what to come on Tuesday. I believe they were looking at 2020 comps, not 2018.
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M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete." |
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11-06-2022, 05:50 PM | #6765 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Land O Lakes FL
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Homeland Security Admits It Tried to Manufacture Fake Terrorists for Trump
Sounds like the taxpayer got good value for the money spent to create those narratives in Portland.
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11-06-2022, 06:57 PM | #6766 |
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
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They're only saying that now because it's the Biden administration and it's the mid-term elections!
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete." |
11-06-2022, 08:07 PM | #6767 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2003
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Quote:
Remember when we lived in a world where things like that mattered? |
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11-07-2022, 07:59 AM | #6768 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2005
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11-07-2022, 08:39 AM | #6769 | |||||||||
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2005
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McCarthy's plans if/when he becomes speaker.
Devil's in the details (and the execution of the policies). Kevin McCarthy outlines Republicans' agenda days before midterms | CNN Politics Quote:
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I doubt anything new will come out of additional investigations on the Covid outbreak. Good for political theatre vs China so sure, go for it. I don't get the third item of "admin has dealt with parents and school board meetings". Whatever that is, doubt it rises to the level of a congressional investigation. Quote:
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11-07-2022, 08:58 AM | #6770 |
College Starter
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: The Dirty
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I'm sure the first order will be a bill to prosecute Hunter Biden and investigate the DOJ. The same one that they were weaponizing to try and win elections. The second one will be an impeachment hearing because Biden tripped over a wire and therefore has dementia.
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Commish of the United Baseball League (OOTP 6.5) |
11-07-2022, 09:26 AM | #6771 |
Coordinator
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Jacksonville, FL
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We can't go by anything but the exact text of the bill so I'm not sure why you added his quotes and such. You have already set your precedent that we only can go by the actual context of the bills themselves. SMH
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11-07-2022, 09:37 AM | #6772 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2005
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Quote:
I have said (paraphrased) "go with what was written in the bill" like what was written in the "Don't Say Gay" bill that was passed. However, in this case, there is no "bill" that has been passed? So not tracking on why I can't quote a CNN article? |
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11-07-2022, 09:47 AM | #6773 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Seven miles up
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Jill Biden's a WITCH!!
Ex-MLB star Lenny Dykstra pins Phillies' World Series struggles on Jill Biden's appearance | Fox News Quote:
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11-07-2022, 09:48 AM | #6774 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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How does the US Congress pass a bill requiring Mexico to allow immigrants to stay in their country until the US is ready to adjudicate their cases?
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11-07-2022, 09:58 AM | #6775 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
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Easy, just go back to a solution someone on this board advocated, tell them you'll execute them at the border if they cross. Plain and simple. No questions, no age or gender limits. Just straight executions at will. That will teach them who's boss.
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11-07-2022, 09:59 AM | #6776 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Back in Houston!
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Quote:
By threatening them with border patrol violence and taking away their kids so they make the "correct decision" to remain in Mexico? Can't make an omelet without committing a few humans rights violations. You know, the Stephen Miller plan - he did not zee this as a problem, more of a feature than a bug. SI
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11-07-2022, 10:01 AM | #6777 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2003
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11-07-2022, 10:07 AM | #6778 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2005
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Quote:
In retrospect, a sincere apology and public slap-down should have been good enough. That only happened in 2018 (thought it was further back). I think the "when it mattered" was further back. |
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11-07-2022, 12:03 PM | #6779 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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Quote:
I know how this might work for the immigrants, but if Mexico says, nah, fuck that, how does a GOP Congress write legislation that makes them?
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11-07-2022, 12:55 PM | #6780 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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11-07-2022, 12:58 PM | #6781 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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If anyone thinks the GOP strategy the next two years will be anything other than BS hearings and revenge politics I’ve got a bridge to sell them. Get ready for MTG to be front and center yelling about Fauci and Hunter for the next two years. Their supporters will love it because governance has become a sport for them where the goal is to own the libs. Nothing else matters.
Also GTFO with Afghanistan. That was always going to be messy and if anything it’s on trump and pompeo for negotiating with the taliban and leaving the incoming administration in a terrible spot. . |
11-07-2022, 02:38 PM | #6782 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2005
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Quote:
There is no doubt Trump set the stage and somewhat force Biden's hand to withdraw. But are you also saying Trump & his admin are the primary cause of the messy withdrawal e.g. Jun-Jul-Aug 2021? |
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11-07-2022, 02:43 PM | #6783 | |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Quote:
Absolutely. Trump forced his hand not only with the timing, but by not working at all with the incoming administration on coordinating and possibly outright sabotaging the new admin. It was always going to be messy. Do you think it would have been better under trump? What could Biden have done significantly differently? |
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11-07-2022, 03:12 PM | #6784 | ||
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2005
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Quote:
Disagree on timing. Trump said May. Biden pushed it to Sep. Biden could have continued to push it if he wanted to. I don't know if the withdrawal would have been better under Trump. It could have been worse (e.g. more US deaths) but it could have been better also. If the question was could Biden have negotiated a better withdrawal agreement in Doha 2020, probably yes. An article that discusses the withdrawal including what could have been done differently. Plenty of blame to go around but Trump & admin is not the major culprit in the actual withdrawal. I think the quote below sums it up for me. A year on, everybody is responsible for the Afghanistan withdrawal tragedy - Vox Quote:
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11-07-2022, 03:33 PM | #6785 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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If Biden pushed the deadline a second time that would have shown bad faith and possibly lead to tensions with the Taliban. You are never leaving a country after 20 years of military occupation cleanly, especially when the prior administration set you up for failure.
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11-07-2022, 03:34 PM | #6786 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Highlands Ranch, CO, USA
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Quote:
Judging by the way he pulled out of northern Syria, abandoning our Kurdish allies to Turkey and all the ISIS prisoners they were detaining, I don't see any likelihood Afghanistan would have been handled better.
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11-07-2022, 03:39 PM | #6787 | |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Quote:
It was a poison pill left for Biden, plain and simple. Likely orchestrated by Pompeo, Trump is too stupid to set that up. To even meet with the Taliban and legitimize them on the world scale should have been an impeachable offense. |
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11-07-2022, 04:41 PM | #6788 |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
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And he wanted to bring them to Camp David on September 11th.
Sent from my SM-G996U using Tapatalk |
11-07-2022, 05:18 PM | #6789 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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11-08-2022, 03:27 PM | #6790 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
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Quote:
What happens when they start imprisoning US citizens and kidnapping their children? Maybe Biden can watch the Prince fuck his wife too. This relationship seems to be great for both sides.
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11-08-2022, 06:29 PM | #6791 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
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What are talking about? Entire US policy is now based on one part of a story that's totally unrelated to anything?
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11-09-2022, 05:47 AM | #6792 |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
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Just putting this here to open discussion. After last night, what are your thoughts?
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11-09-2022, 05:52 AM | #6793 |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
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My thoughts? Whitmer and Newsom are interesting choices. Fetterman and Shapiro ran great campaign and possibly have a strong future, but they would have to basically turn around and start running right now. I don't see that happening. Warnock maybe most intriguing. I would say that commercial of his ex-wife claiming he ran over her foot is not going to play well on a National stage.
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11-09-2022, 07:06 AM | #6794 |
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Join Date: Apr 2002
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I don't think any of those names are ready for a prime time Presidential run in 2024. Maybe Newsom, but ideally these are some names for 2028 or beyond. And I'm not sure how many of those names really have national potential.
SI
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11-09-2022, 07:11 AM | #6795 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
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I think Mayor Pete is still the future star of the party. Newsome is the only one on that list I can see getting traction.
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11-09-2022, 07:16 AM | #6796 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2013
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Quote:
Mayor Pete needs to win an election other than mayor for the 4th largest city in Indiana.
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11-09-2022, 07:23 AM | #6797 |
World Champion Mis-speller
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Location: Covington, Ga.
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How do you come to that conclusion? Newsom is the Governor of the biggest state in the country (basically a country in itself), and is prominent on the National stage. Whitmer is entering a second term as a Governor of a large mid-western state and just oversaw the flipping of her House and Senate to the Dems. If that doesn't prepare you for a National stage, what in the heck does? They both have way more a resume than Obama did before he became President.
Last edited by GrantDawg : 11-09-2022 at 07:24 AM. |
11-09-2022, 07:26 AM | #6798 |
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Newsome has specifically said he won't run. Take a politician at their word, I know, but he still said it.
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11-09-2022, 08:10 AM | #6799 |
Resident Alien
Join Date: Jun 2001
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I'd like to see Jon Stewart throw his hat in the ring.
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11-09-2022, 08:22 AM | #6800 |
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I agree. I think the left needs someone who can actually give it back with passion and facts. It comes down to someone with camera time. As much crap as Zeliniski(sp) took for being an actor and comedian, but that's exactly who the left needs to be putting up. I know Franken is just now hitting the circuit with his book, but someone like him could really connect.
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