04-02-2015, 01:06 PM | #651 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Fresno, CA
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As I was catching up this morning I've gone from reading Grover's actions as a desperate good guy to a desperate bad guy, and finally just desperate. I voted for him yesterday with the thought that I'd rather see him get lynched than cheeki, who was the other leading candidate. Now I'm not seeing a viable alternative to lynching Grover today.
If he turns out to be good I think we have some insight into the game's mechanics. If he's a baddy, then it was all a bunch of lies that we can disregard but we've caught a wolf and there will be trails to sniff out and follow. Vote Grover |
04-02-2015, 01:14 PM | #652 | |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Quote:
Because no lynch is almost always a result for wolves. Unless he's a seer and can get a scan in. A double lynch is acceptable but obviously not what he was looking for. |
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04-02-2015, 01:15 PM | #653 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Fresno, CA
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Woo hoo I did manage to bold something on the tablet. I'm on a train for a few hours, and then I'll be running around Sacramento with the family and afk until the hour before deadline.
Regarding mechanics what is a nightfall vote? If it is what I'm guessing then I don't see that helps the us at all. |
04-02-2015, 01:19 PM | #654 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Nightfall allows results to be found out quicker near end game. Everyone has to nightfall in order for the lynch to go through. No, it doesn't help the village.
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04-02-2015, 01:20 PM | #655 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Quote:
I'd say it is different because we didn't get any lynch, the wolves got an extra night kill and we learned absolutely nothing and now have to lynch Grover again at some point.
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04-02-2015, 01:23 PM | #656 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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Which reminds me.
Vote Grover No other option. |
04-02-2015, 01:25 PM | #657 | ||
College Prospect
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Baltimore, MD
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Quote:
Maybe traditionally, but the rules for this game states - Quote:
Not that he saw that rule and based his decision off of that. I'm saying using his power to save himself is a self preservation move. Allowing himself to be lynched may ultimately be better for the team of villagers, but his neck was on the line and he used his power to save himself. If you say you'd allow yourself to be lynched, when you have the power to save yourself, for the team - I don't believe you. Especially when these games have individual goals at play, and not just team goals. |
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04-02-2015, 01:25 PM | #658 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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Anyway. Grover? If you turn out to be good...what's your reads on people?
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04-02-2015, 01:28 PM | #659 | |
College Prospect
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Baltimore, MD
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Quote:
Not sure who you were directing that comment at. If it was to me, then I am familiar with all this. Not sure what your last sentence was in reference to. |
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04-02-2015, 01:28 PM | #660 | ||
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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Quote:
However. Quote:
So if he's being truthful, he got incredibly lucky with pretty much the only combination of votes and target (me) that would actually save him. |
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04-02-2015, 01:28 PM | #661 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Meh. My ping is being pung by Coffee but there are reasons I think voting for him would be sub-optimal all things being equal. Well, reason, anyway.
My votes staying. If you're on the side of light you should try to post your analysis and thoughts Grover. |
04-02-2015, 01:30 PM | #662 |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Central Minnesota
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Day 3 Vote
Grover [8] - Narcizo (538), Zinto (542), cheekimonk (550), Grover (562), timmae (568), path12 (571), Glengoyne (651), Coffee Warlord (656) Timmae [1] - Vaimes (620) Cheekimonk [1] - Raven (636) Nightfall [1] - Grover (563) |
04-02-2015, 01:31 PM | #663 |
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04-02-2015, 01:32 PM | #664 | |
Pro Starter
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Location: Lisboa, ME
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Quote:
My target on night one was actually Vaimes, who voted for me originally. I was able to change his vote onto cheeki with mine.
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04-02-2015, 01:33 PM | #665 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Nov 2011
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With so little out there, it has been pretty hard to try and prove my case as good.
I have strong feelings that Zinto and path12 are wolves. Especially with the strength that they came out with in voting for me today. I generally seem to lean that cheeki is good, though I do have questions about him. I am on the fence with CW, but could definitely see him being a wolf here.
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04-02-2015, 01:38 PM | #666 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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If you're good then I would be shocked if Zinto is bad given the way he's led the charge against you. Wolves are the only ones who know who the other wolves are.
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04-02-2015, 01:41 PM | #667 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Nov 2011
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Quote:
Can you clarify this? If he knows who the other wolves are, he would actively avoid voting for them, unless it was to try and make a vote look good. Am I right in this thinking? If he's bad, why not lead a charge on someone who has come out saying what I have? It makes sense to get the village on his side to lynch me. It serves his purpose as a wolf.
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04-02-2015, 01:47 PM | #668 | |
College Prospect
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Baltimore, MD
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Quote:
No. Seems to me (from what he is saying) is that he gets to pick someone to use a power on at night, with a random effect, and then finds out the next day what that effect is. Though Grover may have to confirm this is what he is saying, this is what I think he is saying. So night 1 he chose someone, and then day 2 found out that he could influence their vote. (I forget who he said he picked). Then night 2 he chose someone else (you), and on day 3 found out that that person could not be lynched that day. |
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04-02-2015, 01:49 PM | #669 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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I don't know where else I could go with a vote today. I totally get why you might see that as "after you", but it is based on your own actions.
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04-02-2015, 01:50 PM | #670 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
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Quote:
This is how I read what he is saying as well.
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04-02-2015, 01:51 PM | #671 | |
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Quote:
This is correct. I can process my action before 10PM. After the deadline, I find out the effect on the person I targeted.
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04-02-2015, 01:52 PM | #672 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Quote:
I missed this. Coffee, are you saying that your vote was switched?
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04-02-2015, 02:03 PM | #673 | |
Pro Starter
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Quote:
If it was, it was not switched by me. I used my channeling on Vaimes for night one. His vote DEFINITELY got switched. Regardless if he knew it or not.
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04-02-2015, 02:07 PM | #674 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
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Quote:
Ah, OK. Vaimes, did you become aware that it was your vote being switched?
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We have always been at war with Eastasia. |
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04-02-2015, 02:16 PM | #675 |
Mascot
Join Date: Mar 2015
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No.
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04-02-2015, 02:16 PM | #676 |
Mascot
Join Date: Mar 2015
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I'm actually kind of flattered I was someone's N1 target.
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04-02-2015, 02:18 PM | #677 |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Nashville
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Just for confirmation that I'm reading the rules correctly, anyone have comments on this that I posted earlier:
Wait, you've said you're Illian but you can also channel AND you could be the Dragon Reborn? I'm fairly certain that makes you a male channeler. That means you are either the Dragon Reborn, a false Dragon, or Forsaken. Now, of the Forsaken we know "...they were wielders of the Power in the days of Legend, capable of things that are no longer even imagined. They were sealed away when the Dark One was, but not so tightly, and before the Dark One escapes, they will. It is possible one walks the world right now, his abilities so far beyond those of the Aes Sedai that they could stand in front of him and not recognize him." He's not Aes Sedai because his power would not have "random effects" as he has claimed. Aes Sedai belong to an Ajah which strictly defines their power. He also claims that it was he who switched the vote. That's a power that I can't see any role having outside the Aes Sedai and I don't even see an Ajah that could accomplish such a thing. Combining the "random effects on anyone" with the ability to swap the vote, these sound like abilities "that are no longer even imagined...". I think Grover is Forsaken. |
04-02-2015, 02:18 PM | #678 |
Pro Starter
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I'm guessing the person that my spell protected for tonight has no idea that they have been protected. Hopefully, the wolves try to night kill him and get scuppered.
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04-02-2015, 02:20 PM | #679 | |
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Quote:
I have stated numerous times that I am a male channeler. Hence the wieldy and unknown results to my channeling.
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04-02-2015, 02:24 PM | #680 | |
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Quote:
If it was, I wasn't notified. I was working off my prior, apparently incorrect assumption of how Grover was explaining his power. He had said he targeted me yesterday, I thought that meant I was the one whose vote got changed. |
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04-02-2015, 02:25 PM | #681 |
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No one else willing to go in on nightfall votes?
The conversation for my survival seems to be smoldering, at best. May as well put me out of my misery.
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04-02-2015, 02:27 PM | #682 | |
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Quote:
Where did he say he targeted you yesterday?
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04-02-2015, 02:28 PM | #683 | |
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Join Date: Oct 2000
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Quote:
Putting aside even the conversation of putting someone out of his misery at his own request, I can already guarantee you you won't get a unanimous vote because I refuse on principle to vote Nightfall in this situation. That is to be used on obvious wolf situations, and definitely not on the target's request.
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04-02-2015, 02:30 PM | #684 |
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Fair enough.
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04-02-2015, 02:34 PM | #685 |
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04-02-2015, 02:44 PM | #686 |
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Location: Fresno, CA
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I read Grover's posts As a claim that he was targeting CW then says that his target probably doesn't know it. Misdirection? Or too many tales to keep straight?
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04-02-2015, 02:46 PM | #687 | |
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Quote:
Well, CW fits his earlier description of his target, but I guess Grover wasn't as interested in keeping that a secret from wolves as he first claimed. Grover, if you want the wolves to trip up trying to lynch the mystery target of your power, why did you let the world know who the target is?
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. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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04-02-2015, 02:48 PM | #688 |
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04-02-2015, 02:59 PM | #689 |
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Misdirection.
I'm not stupid enough to let the wolves know who NOT to lynch.
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04-02-2015, 03:04 PM | #690 |
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I'm leaning toward CW being a wolf than anything, to be honest.
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04-02-2015, 03:11 PM | #691 |
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04-02-2015, 03:18 PM | #692 |
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. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
04-02-2015, 03:49 PM | #693 |
Head Coach
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Location: Colorado Springs
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Nope, nope, I think my previous line was correct.
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04-02-2015, 03:53 PM | #694 |
Head Coach
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EagleFan [5] - britrock88 (96), Narcizo (113), The Jackal (148), timmae (153), cheekimonk (163)
Timmae [4] - vaimes (83), Chief Rum (135), MartinD (151), EagleFan (190) The Jackal [2] - Zinto (160), fontisian (182) Grover [2] - path12 (147), Coffee Warlord (170) Vaimes [1] - Grover (110) As a side, final tallies from day 1, knowing what we know. Zinto looks interesting, and it's more than a little likely that one of the 3 unknowns on timmae is a wolf. |
04-02-2015, 04:32 PM | #695 |
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04-02-2015, 04:44 PM | #696 |
High School Varsity
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As per my post earlier, I'm not convinced that Grover is of the Shadow, but (as we no longer have a seer) the only way that we can find out for certain is to lynch him.
VOTE GROVER |
04-02-2015, 04:54 PM | #697 |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Central Minnesota
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Day 3 Vote
Grover [9] - Narcizo (538), Zinto (542), cheekimonk (550), Grover (562), timmae (568), path12 (571), Glengoyne (651), Coffee Warlord (656), MartinD (696) Timmae [1] - Vaimes (620) Cheekimonk [1] - Raven (636) Nightfall [1] - Grover (563) |
04-02-2015, 05:21 PM | #698 |
Mascot
Join Date: Mar 2015
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Wow.
So Raven's probably town. |
04-02-2015, 05:40 PM | #699 |
Hall Of Famer
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Where is timmae anyway? Has he posted today and I missed it? He got a lot of Day One interest, and not much on him since.
Not that I am saying he has done anything I find particularly suspicious--it just seems funny to think he was in the running on Day One, and interest in him has now dropped off the map.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
04-02-2015, 05:43 PM | #700 | |
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Quote:
Someone noted the classic wolf tactic to split votes yesterday, and using that, I was particularly interested in Zinto. As we knew that font was a villager, the one unknown on The Jackal (also good) could very well have been a wolf. Grover is a runaway at this point, so this vote won't get any traction (nor should it), but I am going with Zinto for now. VOTE ZINTO
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. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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