Israeli-Hamas War (Oct 2023)

[Edward64]

Pure speculation but if I was Iran, I'd be testing also. Regardless of Trump or Kamala, it'll get more heated until Bibi goes away.

*Eyes On Iran:* A seismic disturbance was recently detected in a remote area of Iran. Online seismologists have noted that the region is not one prone to seismic activity, and that the magnitude, waveforms, and sudden occurrence with none of the usual warning signs of an

*Eyes On Iran:* A seismic disturbance was recently detected in a remote area of Iran. Online seismologists have noted that the region is not one prone to seismic activity, and that the magnitude, waveforms, and sudden occurrence with none of the usual warning signs of an pic.twitter.com/P21j1El22A

— (((IsraelMatzav))) (@IsraelMatzav) October 7, 2024

[RainMaker]

Lebanese Health Ministry reporting the death toll is now at 2169 with 10212 wounded in strikes in the country.

Israel has fired on UN peacekeepers.

Live: 11 killed following Israeli strikes on Beirut

The US Ambassador to Iraq put out a strange statement begging Israel not to kill Sistani. So it seems like Iraq is next on the menu.

This was from a week ago but does give the US perspective. Sort of feels like they're going to try the old Bush strategy of trying to re-mold the Middle East in their image through regime changes. Might be why they've gotten so close to Cheney and others from that administration.

Just a moment...

And an American journalist has been arrested for reporting on where the Iranian missiles landed. Seems like a very fringe outlet but still bad.

American journalist disclosed secrets during Iran attack, police says

[RainMaker]

So it appears Iran has threatened to strike neighboring oil facilities if their oil facilities are targeted. Those Gulf states are asking the US to step in to prevent that from happening.

reuters.com

I have to imagine that will be a red line for the U.S. before the election. Then again, invading Lebanon is a choice when you have to win Michigan so who knows if they even care.

[SirFozzie]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/natio...planning-iran/

With neighbors like this, I get why Israel is pressing on no matter what international opinion says. Even if they gave in on the demands from a ceasefire (leave gaza, etcetera), you still have a neighbor who actively was plotting to do a 9/11-style attack on Tel Aviv and is calling for your elimination).

Israel is no angels (hardly!) but really, not crushing the snake underfoot just leave s them free to try again.

[RainMaker]

I'm sure that's real and the IDF would not just make stuff up like they have repeatedly done.

Anyways, here is your October surprise. Better fill up your gas tanks.

BREAKING: NBC reports that senior US officials believe Israel will target Iranian state facilities and oil infrastructure in its retaliatory strikes

— The Spectator Index (@spectatorindex) October 13, 2024

[Edward64]

I rather IDF destroy as much of Iranian nuclear capability as possible. But short of that, rather they take out the Iranian navy vs attack some oil facilities.

Also, don't have WaPo but supposedly from an article.

Biden directed the National Security Council to warn Iran’s government to stop plotting against Trump and former U.S. officials, adding that the United States would view any attempts on Trump’s life as an act of war.

I like the warning and hope the Iranians don't push it. Because if there was a declaration of war, it'd seem more than just airpower and cruise missiles.

[RainMaker]

Some horrific videos coming out of Al-Aqsa of children burned alive. They were connected to IV tubes when a missile hit. Worst thing I've ever seen and makes those ISIS videos tame in comparison. JFC

[Edward64]

Lots of reddit chatter that Sinwar is dead. No idea if true. They have a body and DNA testing in progress.


EDIT: IDF has confirmed.

[RainMaker]

Something about every accusation is a confession.

“He told me to take them. In the next attack, use them as a human shield.”

An IDF soldier and five former Palestinian detainees tell CNN that the Israeli military has used civilians as human shields in Gaza, as @JDiamond1 reports. pic.twitter.com/o49EZNtTXS

— Christiane Amanpour (@amanpour) October 24, 2024

[RainMaker]

Buckle up folks, bombs are dropping in Tehran. Even reports of Iraq too. This is going to get ugly.

[Edward64]

Seems to be pretty targeted. 2 deaths reported so far. Supposedly, Iran has said they won't respond. I really would have like to see some Iranian ships sunk. Symbolism would have been great but get it's not a big threat to Israel.

All in all, militarily speaking ... weighing all the dead Hezbollah & Hamas leaders (and some Iranian general?), I'd give this round to Israel.

Both sides have done it, but it'd be interesting to know which countries' airspace (Syria, Iraq, Jordan, Saudi Arabia etc.) got violated.