01-23-2009, 04:36 PM | #701 | |
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
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Quote:
I don't see how the 30 minutes between the time when Real Deal put his post out and when I got back here and started responding is unfavorable to me at all considering the nearly 90 minutes you failed to respond to my posts until just recently. Once again, I think this is a rather silly thing to try to base your innocence on to try to sway voters. And this also is nothing like the case yesterday with PurdueBrad, where I actually caught his clues right away, we discussed it among the angels right away and throughout the day the best way to handle it. You on the other hand chose to either purposely ignore the hints or you didn't see them (which would be a first for you most likely) and instead pushed some conversation and threw a half-hearted vote out his way as well. |
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01-23-2009, 04:39 PM | #702 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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For what it is worth, if you are out at the end of the hour then we probably won't have time for a back-and-forth as I'm having to move onto another conference. I'll defintely be around tonight for anyone who is around to discuss.
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01-23-2009, 04:42 PM | #703 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
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Quote:
Fair enough, but once again, I take offense to the charge that I did not allow you an opportunity to respond to my points as I've been here a solid 2 hours since bringing them up. I also will be here at times tonight, but not dedicated here as I was today, as I'll be sneaking in glances at the board when my wife is not looking. I have a conference call at 6pm ET, then likely dinner and some time with my daughter. I should be back some point between 8:30 and 9 however. |
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01-23-2009, 04:44 PM | #704 |
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
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Bottom line, no you have not stood up and waved a sign during the game saying "Hey guys, I am a demon". But no one else has done so either. Since there has not been a demon yet with risk of a lynch vote (Hannibal vs Telle day 1 and Telle vs RealDeal day 2), the voting behavior does not tell us a ton either.
So you have to go to the next level and look at player behavior, how they voted, when they voted, why they voted. What the conversations they made or tried to make were. I illustrated my points earlier why you were bugging me based on how you were behaving and how it is 180 degrees different from your normal play as a "Vanilla Villager". So based on your deviation from standard behavior, you seem like a quality choice to consider for the vote at least. |
01-23-2009, 05:08 PM | #705 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
I'm back! I read this at work, but couldn't post, but wanted to reply. I'm going to answer this next. |
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01-23-2009, 05:13 PM | #706 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Catching up, will reply to any posts along the way I see.
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01-23-2009, 05:14 PM | #707 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Quote:
Tie-breaker is not longest held vote, its mean vote. So if the votes are Telle then 5 for Render and then 4 for Telle, Render would be lynched. |
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01-23-2009, 05:14 PM | #708 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
This is post 282, by me, bolding done just now. Why did I put in an action right away, locking myself in? Like I said, I wasn't sure if I would be able to post again in time for the deadline. I ended up getting back before, but was not sufficiently caught up. In my next post, I will attempt to demonstrate that when I posted this (first thing in the morning yesterday), there was not much heat on Telle, so a vote for her risked being a throwaway. PLUS, this post itself shows pretty clearly IMO that I was leaning toward not believing Telle, but not sure of it. |
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01-23-2009, 05:15 PM | #709 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Quote:
Pretty much what Alan said. I didn't have much time to go over things too closely before I left, but I think it is likely there is a demon with a vote on Telle. The others probably went to work like Alan said. |
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01-23-2009, 05:17 PM | #710 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Quote:
Very interesting. |
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01-23-2009, 05:21 PM | #711 | |||
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Here's some posts between the end of the day we lynched Hannibal and the beginning of the next day. I figured the writing on the wall was saying that a Telle lynch was not going to happen. And I don't think it would have, if not for DT and RealDeal. I *might* have been able to drive a Telle lynch, or at least drive us close enough to make it interesting and learn something, but not when I wasn't sure I'd be home in time for deadline, let alone missing the bulk of the daytime! Next, my take on some top suspects. |
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01-23-2009, 05:28 PM | #712 |
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Join Date: Oct 2002
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fyi everyone - I am on duty tonight for transporting my brother to and fro some stuff. I won't be on until after 9pm. will try to keep up on the thread on my phone but not sure how well I will be able to or if I can post
__________________
Get bent whoever hacked my pw and changed my signature. |
01-23-2009, 05:34 PM | #713 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
I'll start with hoopsy, since that's the most contentious. My initial impression is that this is typical WW play from Alan -- he usually has some kind of tunnel-vision toward hoops. Your first point is that he didn't react to PB's hint. I'm willing to give him a pass on that, since no one else followed him on the vote. I think BK's post might have helped to throw people off the radar on it. I know you didn't want a role call, but you can probably tell from my posts this morning that I didn't pick up on it, either. Your second point is his reaction to the Telle situation. I think this reaction applies to over half of the players in the game -- myself included since I wasn't posting for most of it (but trust me, I was wringing my hands while reading it). Probably the only ones NOT sitting and waiting were Render and RealDeal -- although I think heinz and JE had early votes on RealDeal in, too. You accuse hoops of posting info with no opinions. I think you're holding him to a higher standard here than everyone else. I think post 644 of his does a decent job of giving some opinions, though I'm not sure what he's trying to say about me in it. |
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01-23-2009, 05:41 PM | #714 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Well, the choices for today look like Jeheinz, Hoopsguy, Pass, Kwhit, or PF.
My vote on Kwhit does not seem likely to be followed up, so he'll probably be out. None of the four remaining strike me as someone I should trust, so my vote is open for any of them. Still, unless a better case is made for one of the others, I'll likely be voting Hoopsguy because if it's basically a crapshoot between the four, I'd rather see the angels get to use their actions to help us elsewhere. |
01-23-2009, 05:42 PM | #715 | ||||
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Next up is PF. Maybe I'm more tuned in to him since he's been coming after me. His first post here throws some accusation my way on something which is pretty obvious IMO that I didn't do -- if I "switched" it would have been in the thread. There's also no post count by my roof work -- it's definitely something done TO me, not BY me. His next post is some excuse-making about why he voted for RealDeal. Since Telle seemed to think this about the rules, I give him a pass, but it does seem like he's setting himself up to have an excuse for being on the wrong side of that one. The next post don't inspire any kind of logical argument in me -- they just give me the creeps. He just seems like he REALLY wants us to believe that he'll finish the walls, so the rest of us don't need to worry. Note that when it was just me yesterday, I made no such posturing -- I even welcomed people doubling up on my work. |
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01-23-2009, 05:45 PM | #716 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Quote:
Some good points here about you seemingly not being responsible for the change in workplace. |
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01-23-2009, 05:50 PM | #717 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Anyone have a summary of actions used for what so far and actions remaining?
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01-23-2009, 05:54 PM | #718 | ||
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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heinz, front and center! I've been suspicious of him most of the game, but looking back, I couldn't find much reason why. His first post here, basically forgoing his vote for the angels, struck me. Then when the angels tell him what to do, he complains about it, but does it anyway. You can already tell from my first two dossiers that I'd rather vote for PF than hoops, so I'm not going to be following the angels, but heinz rates higher than hoops in terms of suspicion as well. |
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01-23-2009, 05:55 PM | #719 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Next up is Passacaglia. Total trust there. I will not be voting for him.
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01-23-2009, 05:56 PM | #720 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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01-23-2009, 06:06 PM | #721 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Hopefully we'll have some more discussion over the next couple hours. It's been really dead for having 14 people still alive since I got home
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01-23-2009, 06:22 PM | #722 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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KWhit I pretty much have no read on. He was on the right side with RealDeal and Telle, but if I recall, the vote was a runaway then, so it's not saying much.
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01-23-2009, 06:25 PM | #723 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Buffalo, NY
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I got nothin...
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01-23-2009, 06:37 PM | #724 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Out for the night.
VOTE PACKERFANATIC VOTE PACKERFANATIC |
01-23-2009, 06:43 PM | #725 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Any chance Pass volunteered to work on the walls because he knew that a fellow demon had the ability to change his work?
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01-23-2009, 06:49 PM | #726 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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I think I am leaning against voting PF or Kwhit now with a choice between Hoops, Pass and Jeheinz
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01-23-2009, 07:05 PM | #727 |
College Starter
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Houston, TX
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Sigh, this sucks.
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01-23-2009, 07:35 PM | #728 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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And what's interesting is all of Jeheinz, Hoops, and Pass are out for the evening, so I doubt we'll be getting anything else to go on.
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01-23-2009, 07:39 PM | #729 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Unvote Kwhit
Vote Hoopsguy Vote Hoopsguy Again, I might change this if there is more info available, but as it stands, I'd rather the angels get to use some of their actions for things other than voting. |
01-23-2009, 07:54 PM | #730 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Chief, Jonathan, what are your thoughts?
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01-23-2009, 08:04 PM | #731 | |
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
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Quote:
Not sure if you're coming back again tonight, but you had thrown out The Jackal's name a few times more of a namedrop than any kind of real heat but as if trying to set up a case for him and your first instinct seemed to be to vote for him. You then changed your mind to Jeheinz and I don't quite get why. I would love to understand more reasoning behind it. It seems a flimsy excuse at best. Several times during the day people had made the comment that they were likely going to follow the angels in voting today. You chose to single out Jeheinz however for actually throwing down the vote because he had to leave. I think it is pretty well known that Jeheinz has a certain schedule and he likely won't be back to defend himself the rest of the evening. There also doesn't seem to be much else to your reasoning other than retaliation on your part. My gut instinct here is that this vote feels more like a vote for someone who already has their vote on you so as to not drive someone else to vote for you as well (such as the jackal who could move his vote), or one of the other people leading in vote counts. My feelings are that this was just a temporary vote holder on someone that couldn't hurt you any further until you got back later to see where you needed to move your vote to try to save yourself. Is there more to it then that? |
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01-23-2009, 08:04 PM | #732 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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My thoughts are that you are on the wrong guy, although I understand your reasoning for doing so. I should be around for the last hour so I'll be happy to answer any questions from now until then.
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01-23-2009, 08:09 PM | #733 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
My thought is that when I'm a wolf I'm happy to go with the flow of the villagers, try to adapt to the play of the guys who are trusted. When I'm a wolf I don't have the worst voting record and I try not to have the best. I want to be as much in the middle as far as public review goes, and hope that my in thread reputation helps me avoid lynch for one more day. I think Heinz is playing it much the same way in this case. It is more of an instinctive vote than one that is finely reasoned, and I normally like to rely on logic more than instinct. But I do not have any strong mathematical play to make. I know that you are starting to get the movement you asked for on me. As a "cleared angel" you are going to likely get a pass on it when it is wrong. And that is fine in the context of this game ... I'm not trying to call for some kind of run on the angels. But I would like for us to get a demon and I would like to be alive to be part of it. Do you want me to bother responding to the posts on the time/accusation stuff? I had several appointments come up this afternoon that I was not able to break away from, even though it would have been convenient for me to do so. I'm not going to try and grind an axe about being able to face my acccusors earlier if you are here now. |
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01-23-2009, 08:14 PM | #734 | |
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I pretty much said my piece about the time discussion from earlier. I fully understand that people can not be here all of the time. My only point was that I was here and you were not, so it was a bit unfair to call me out for not being here when that was never the case. That said, I would rather keep the next hour of our discussion focused on more game related topics then something like that anyhows. I also would love for the next hour to not only be a back and forth between you and I as it helps me learn nothing about anyone else regardless if I am right or wrong about you. Now back to the topic on hand, so you feel that a wolf is more likely to jump on a "poor" vote choice then a different option so you are voting for Jeheinz here? Does this mean that you also feel this way about the previous few days votes where as far as the wolves knew Telle, Hannibal and Real Deal were all poor vote choices? Your vote on Jeheinz seems to suggest that you believe a demon would be out front voting early rather then trying to blend in later, or by not voting at all and instead doing work somewhere? |
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01-23-2009, 08:16 PM | #735 |
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Join Date: Dec 2002
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I think it is only fair after the jeheinz vote question is answered I'll step back a bit and let you try to plead your case with the others. There are plenty of people here now who have not voted that I would love to see in the discussion instead of me dominating it.
You are excellent at talking your way out of jams when you are a bad guy, so it is only sporting for me to give you a chance with everyone here. I'll still be around and will chime in if I feel the need to though. |
01-23-2009, 08:17 PM | #736 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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I'd also love to see more thoughts/posts from CR, Kwhit, and Jonathan, they have all been very quiet this game overall.
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01-23-2009, 08:17 PM | #737 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Conyers GA
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just landed from a very delayed flight. Can someone give me a quick synopsis?
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01-23-2009, 08:19 PM | #738 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Conyers GA
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What's the basic argument against me?
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01-23-2009, 08:19 PM | #739 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Real Deal and AlanT are angels. They feel strongly that Hoopsguy is a demon, but don't have a scan or anything like that go back it up. They hope to use their actions for spiritual growth as opposed to voting, but will if necessary to ensure Hoops is lynched. The other candidates from today seem to be Jeheinz, Pass, Packer and you (I orignally voted for you this morning, but you should be safe now)
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01-23-2009, 08:20 PM | #740 | |
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Quote:
Kind of tough, everyone has been all over the place. My attempt: Hoops, jeheinz and packerfanatic all are doing work on the wall, there is only 1 action left to finish however, so that should be completed. Packerfanatic , Passacaglia and yourself (kwhit) have all been named by several people at times today as people that might get votes. Currently the only votes on you were unvoted however. RealDeal and myself (two admitted angels) have come out with reasons believeing that we think Hoopsguy is a demon and would like to see a vote on him today but have admitted that it is not based on any fact, but instead our interpretation of his game play thus far. Hoopsguy is making a case for jeheinz being bad. That is my attempt at an impartial quick recap as I can... |
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01-23-2009, 08:20 PM | #741 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Conyers GA
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any theories on why we still didn't finish the walls?
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01-23-2009, 08:20 PM | #742 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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You're pretty much out of the discussion now. My reasoning was I felt there was likely a wolf in the middle to late votes on Telle, all of which were proven good except for you and Hoopsguy. Still, I'd rather not focus the discussion on you for tonight as you're kind of out the lynch loop right now. |
01-23-2009, 08:22 PM | #743 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Conyers GA
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why do the angels think hoops is bad?
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01-23-2009, 08:22 PM | #744 |
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Passacaglia's second action on the wall was "moved" to the roof instead. Barkeep stated that his recap was not a mistake so someone moved it. People have brought up that perhaps Passacaglia was happy to work on the wall knowing that would happen however but no one is really gunning too hard at Passacaglia for only that fact alone. |
01-23-2009, 08:24 PM | #745 | |
Coordinator
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Quote:
works for me. Anybody have a vote count? |
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01-23-2009, 08:24 PM | #746 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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His play/posting so far. It's nothing concrete. My reasoning for my vote is #1 Hoops was a part of that group I thought there was likely a demon from and #2 if Hoops is the lynch choice without voted needed from the angels, they can use their actions for other things that can help us. |
01-23-2009, 08:25 PM | #747 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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I do think that wolves will want to build a 2+ person separation if they are not part of the separation. It is hard for me to comment too much on Day 1 as I missed a big portion of it down the stretch. But it had the feel of a very slow march - I do not have any sense of how the wolves approached this day without one of their own on the block (seer/cultist).
Day 2 - I have said that I think the wolves would have wanted to avoid making an attention-raising vote on this day. Double work, or early votes that did not change, seem the easiest way to achieve that goal. |
01-23-2009, 08:25 PM | #748 |
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I am disinclined to think hoops put all that work into that post rundown as a demon. But Alan and Real Deal are proven Angels in my mind. That's what I think.
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01-23-2009, 08:25 PM | #749 |
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Nothing direct, but keeping track of it in my head I think packerfanatic and Hoopsguy are tied for the lead at 3 right now. |
01-23-2009, 08:26 PM | #750 |
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well i'm back. raging headache but here. quick summary anyone?
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