09-25-2021, 05:43 AM | #51 | ||||
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12-18-2022, 07:41 AM | #52 | ||||
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A caravan (or more) has arrived at the border and a crisis has to be dealt with.
Photos: El Paso sees surge in border crossings | CNN Quote:
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Biden administration prepares for surge of migrants ahead of the forced end of a Trump-era border policy | CNN Politics Quote:
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12-18-2022, 08:01 AM | #53 | ||
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I think it's a no brainer. It should be one of his top policy pushes.
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12-18-2022, 08:38 AM | #54 |
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We're in the same place we've been for twenty years, the GOP won't let any immigration plan through. Just last week McConnell killed the deal Sinema and Tillis were working on. I don't know what Biden can do through executive orders, but there's no chance of an immigration deal with the GOP in congress.
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12-18-2022, 08:40 AM | #55 |
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There's a compromise bill there somewhere. There's stuff that both sides agree to. Question is does Biden want to compromise (enough) as he did with Infrastructure. IMO don't let perfection get in the way of good enough.
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12-18-2022, 08:45 AM | #56 | |
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Is there though? The border being a disaster is great business for the GOP. |
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12-18-2022, 08:54 AM | #57 |
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McConnell just killed the compromise being worked on by Sinema and Tillis. The GOP leadership isn't interested in a compromise. I'm not sure the GOP would pass a standalone wall funding bill if it would potentially help a Dem president, so they certainly aren't going to do anything that will make the processing of immigrants go faster and work better.
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12-18-2022, 09:04 AM | #58 | |
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12-18-2022, 09:12 AM | #59 | |||
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I don't think you can blame McConnell for that. I'm thinking trying to get this divisive issue rushed through a lame duck Congress is, understandably, fraught with failure.
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Per earlier articles, if Biden wants to make something happen, he needs to push it and spend the political capital. I think the below bolded is the main area for him to focus on and compromise. Key facts about U.S. immigration policies and Biden’s proposed changes | Pew Research Center Quote:
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12-18-2022, 09:17 AM | #60 |
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What political capital? He barely was able to work with Schumer and Manchin to rope-a-dope through a slimmed down spending bill via reconciliation. Everything else he's done, he's had to do with executive orders or administrative actions as Congress has been deadlocked and won't be able to do even less in the next 2 years (meanwhile, the Supreme Court is looking to completely gut the administrative powers of the executive branch).
They're going to spend the next two years Lucy'ing the football away from any political victory. Biden loves making deals, even if he comes out behind, but if the other party doesn't want him to have any victories but has to sign off on anything, even something they want, it's not going to happen. SI
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12-18-2022, 09:28 AM | #61 | |
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Granted that Political Capital is a nebulous term but it applies also to Dems, not just Reps. But here's an example (not saying its the right one). Put on the table he's offering everyone on his original proposal but stripping out below (other than for DACA) ...
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I know there will be a lot of Dem resistance and won't go for that. Just like having it is a non-starter for many Reps. This is where the compromise needs to be. Last edited by Edward64 : 12-18-2022 at 09:28 AM. |
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12-18-2022, 10:53 AM | #62 | |
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12-18-2022, 11:04 AM | #63 | |
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And that's probably why there's not been much movement either way. There's a lot of other stuff that both parties can compromise on but this is the crux that either parties don't want to budge on. Not quite the political third rail that is SS/Medicare but pretty close. |
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12-18-2022, 01:33 PM | #64 | |
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In all seriousness, you fashion yourself a centrist - and we can all have a good laugh and debate about this another time. But let's say, for this exercise, that you're the arbiter of the center and want to broker a "compromise" deal. What does that deal look like? And I don't mean in general policy terms of "each side compromises something and a deal gets done" - you could say that about any bill. It also makes those negotiating in bad faith like they're actually trying to govern when, really, they're just trying to stonewall to make the person or party in charge look bad. What policies would actually be in it? I mean, in broad strokes - I don't expect it to be like "10.5M path to citizenship in 8 years" unless you want to get that granular. But I'm also curious about something with a bit more detail than "some people get more citizenship while we strengthen border security" because that's what both sides, to greater and lesser degrees (which I think matter but maybe you don't), have been saying for decades because it allows them to be vague enough to not be accountable while also not having to do anything and blame the other side. And then handicap its chances on getting through a GOP House and Dem Senate - which would have a harder time passing it? SI
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12-18-2022, 01:51 PM | #65 |
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Dem would vote, tomorrow, for a narrow bill that funded the immigration system to an extent that they could process claims quickly and clear up some of the backlog at the border, but the GOP won't do that. There is room for compromise, but only on the Dem side. The GOP has kneecapped every immigration bill for twenty yers even though most of them have d majority support.
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12-18-2022, 01:57 PM | #66 | |||
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I describe myself as moderate but if you define centrist as below, I'd generally agree with it. Quote:
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I would love to explore this with you. But as you've said below, we've had less than successful discussions. So my proposal is -- can we have a discussion that does not involve personal insults, answering questions with sarcasm etc. but an exchange of ideas, asking questions and also answering them? Let me know and I'll be glad to share my ideas and ask you for yours. |
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12-18-2022, 02:00 PM | #67 | |
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I would be interested in reading more, please provide some links. |
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12-18-2022, 02:01 PM | #68 |
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Just read up on the Sinema Tillis bill. This was the major focus.
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12-18-2022, 02:11 PM | #69 | ||
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I thought we had already discussed that, see quote from above. If you have others, feel free to share them. Quote:
My perspective is both parties share blame (not necessarily equal, but significant enough) in not moving forward and trying to compromise, when they've both owned the Executive & Congress. |
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12-18-2022, 03:24 PM | #70 |
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Your perspective is that both parties share blame, but yet you also admit you're not particularly well-versed in the recent (20 years) history of immigration legislation.
You want it to be one way, but really it's the other way. In 2005 and 2006 the House and Senate, respectively, passed immigration bills. The House version, passed with 92% of Republicans in support and 82% of Democrats opposing, was a set of draconian anti-immigrant measures. The Senate version, authored by a bipartisan set of Senators, passed the Senate 62-36, with 39 Democrats and 23 Republicans in support and 33 Republicans and 3 Democrats in opposition. It was a more even-handed set of measures. Since the two bills could not be reconciled, nothing ended up being passed. In 2007, at the urging of President Bush, the Democratic majority Senate tried a compromise bill of the 2005 & 2006 efforts which eventually failed cloture votes. In 2013, the Senate passed a bipartisan bill on immigration 68 to 32, with all Democrats & Independents, and 14 Republicans voting for the bill. The House, however, never took up the bill due to threats from conservative Republican legislators. The next year, sitting GOP Majority Leader Eric Cantor lost his primary (the first sitting House Majority Leader to lose his primary since 1899) in part due to his open-ness (not even support) towards immigration reform. |
12-18-2022, 04:54 PM | #71 | ||||
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I actually did not admit that? Sometimes, it's good to get sources so you know what is being discussed vs opinions. Hence, I asked for sources. Thank you for providing yours. You are right that I cannot recall every Immigration Reform proposal (not an Immigration attorney) but, as an immigrant myself, I am very interested in reform and pay attention to them when they come up (or not). Therefore, I will say that I have more knowledge than the common person, have strong opinions (with what I believe are good rationale), but definitely not an expert. Quote:
For the remaining quotes/sources you provided, I assume this is in support of JPhillips contention below. I will gear my answers to that, tell me if I got your intent wrong. I don't believe the 2 of us have butted heads to the point of below. But if you feel don't want to accommodate, I'd asked you to just tell me now and save us time. Otherwise, I'll do my research and post my responses over the next day or two.
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12-18-2022, 04:58 PM | #72 |
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Here we go again with this nonsense...
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12-18-2022, 05:15 PM | #73 |
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Feel free not to participate or block me
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12-18-2022, 05:24 PM | #74 |
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I'll bite.
So Edward (or anyone for that matter), what would your idealistic Immigration bill look like? What do we do with people here already illegally, whether they are adult or minor, or came across as adult or minor. What should we do with the people who have left their countries and are currently trying to enter our country? What do we do with people who have overstayed their Visas? What penalties should people who knowingly employ illegal immigrants face? What relevant issues have I missed?
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12-18-2022, 05:40 PM | #75 | |
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Happy to have this conversation with you. But I'm going to defer until after I respond to flere-imsaho post first. I think I know my answers but need to dig up the sources/links when I respond. So stay tuned. |
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12-18-2022, 05:58 PM | #76 | |
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I think your example of the infrastructure bill is a good one, but it ought to lead you in the opposite direction. There is zero chance, none whatsoever IMO, of getting anything substantive done on immigration - a highly contentious issue - with a divided Congress. The infrastructure bill was far less divisive by comparison and what they got basically made almost nobody happy, barely passed as it was, and left a lot of people with a bad taste in their mouth regarding the idea of trying further ideas on anything as substantive as agreeing water is wet I also think this is a situation where on reason for a lack of compromise is the amount that would be needed to compromise is so high, that from the perspective of one, sometimes both sides the current terrible situation is preferable by comparison. What GrantDawg said about a path to citizenship is on point. There's a significant amount of people for whom having that is a non-negotiable, and others for whom having it is completely unacceptable. There are many situations where compromise is the right thing to do; there are others where it is not. Last edited by Brian Swartz : 12-18-2022 at 06:02 PM. |
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12-18-2022, 06:07 PM | #77 | |
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Don't bother. You've couched your responses in a sufficient number of caveats & weasel words (as usual) that fundamentally you can argue all positions at once, and no positions at once. E.g.: Quote:
A position so vague as to be meaningless. Not worth my time. |
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12-18-2022, 06:10 PM | #78 | |
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Okay, np. FWIW, I actually do have strong feelings & specifics about Immigration reform Last edited by Edward64 : 12-18-2022 at 06:11 PM. |
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12-18-2022, 06:11 PM | #79 | |
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That quote is nonsense and almost certainly from McConnell's side. If there was a deal there was plenty of time to pass something. The real issue is that McConnell said he wouldn't support it so there's no chance it gets to 60 and beats the filibuster.
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12-18-2022, 06:19 PM | #80 | ||
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I'm not optimistic but I wouldn't call it zero chance. IIRC, there were some on this board that said Biden would not be able to find compromise with GOP because of how screwed up we were post Trump. Biden, through his cigar filled backroom (I think) negotiations, was able to find compromise from a $3.5T to $1.2T infrastructure bill. If he can do that, I have hopes he can do immigration reform ... Quote:
Yes, I know what GD said is true, for many it's non-negotiable. I do believe this is the key issue on why big immigration reform bills haven't gone anywhere. |
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12-18-2022, 06:33 PM | #81 | ||
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FWIW, I think Rollcall is pretty "center", see below. If you have a non-partisan source, provide the link. Also, if it was so urgent & important, why bring it up during a lame duck session. Why not before mid-terms when it would have had plenty of time for public discourse. (Rhetorical question, we know why and that applies to both Dems & GOP) https://rollcall.com/2022/12/15/immi...n-out-of-time/ Quote:
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12-18-2022, 06:45 PM | #82 | ||
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Now that my time is freed up as flere-imsaho doesn't want to discuss with me ... I knew I wrote up something a while ago. And guess what, it was to you. See Front Office Football Central - View Single Post - The Trump Presidency – 2016 Quote:
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12-18-2022, 07:28 PM | #83 | |||||||
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See post above on my thoughts 4-5 years ago. I'd like the opportunity to amend as needed but it gives you a sense of where I'm coming from. I assume below questions are geared towards illegals south of the border (other than for the visa question). I also assume you aren't really talking about felons and like, but just regular folks. So under the assumption there is a holistic immigration reform compromise (e.g. so there are good/bad for everyone) including much better border control ... Quote:
DACA, Dreamers - path to citizenship Others - my compromise is to limit pathway to citizenship. Possible scenarios are (1) no citizenship but special class of permanent residency that allows them to stay & work legally, but will be kicked out if they commit a felony, no voting rights (2) pathway to citizenship for those that entered before XXXX year but not for others. I personally would not be in favor for pathway to citizenship for all illegals. Quote:
My personal answer is I like the "Remain in Mexico" policy. Trump "bullying" Mexico into it arguably did more to stop illegal immigration than The (incomplete) Wall. Quote:
Assuming you mean overstay egregiously vs just want to extend my vacation another month. I say buy them a one way ticket home and note they are persona non-grata for X years. I'd think the majority of people that overstay their visa have some means vs south of the border. The problem is there is no good way to track these situations currently. Immigration reform needs to address creating a system/database that can track/report/alert etc. I honestly don't know why this isn't already in place. Quote:
I think the laws in place are okay. But think the problems are (1) not enforced consistently (2) there is a verification system and employer can check but it's not perfect.
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For immigration in general - increase highly skilled immigrants significantly, get them a quick path to permanent residency/citizenship (especially those that come to US for school). Helps with our < 2.1 kids Last edited by Edward64 : 12-18-2022 at 07:31 PM. |
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12-20-2022, 08:30 PM | #84 | |
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Joe, good move asking for +1 week extension as it didn't seem we were ready for Title 42 to expire this week. I assume this buys you time to get more people & processes in place for the expected large increase. But not convinced an additional week (especially during holiday season) will be that impactful, but you (and Kamala) own this now so its your call.
Title 42: Biden administration wants Supreme Court to allow Trump-era policy restricting migrants to end -- but not for at least a week | CNN Politics Quote:
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12-27-2022, 08:32 PM | #85 | ||
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Bought another 2-3 months to prepare for the inevitable even-more surge.
What is Title 42 and what happens next at the border? | CNN Politics Quote:
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Joe, let's do Immigration reform next year. Negotiate & compromise with the GOP and come up with something. IMO pathway to citizenship is the key issue (non-Dreamers). Last edited by Edward64 : 12-27-2022 at 08:33 PM. |
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12-27-2022, 08:55 PM | #86 | |
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Insanely naïve of you to think the GOP will EVER negotiate immigration reform. What is their incentive when they can continue to sell it to voters as a Biden failure? |
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12-27-2022, 09:08 PM | #87 | ||
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I've said before and will restate, there are many shared goals that can be negotiated on. The key crux is legalization/pathway to citizenship. The Dems want it. The GOP don't want it. BTW Sinema hasn't given up. Sinema Says Immigration Talks ‘Coming Back Strong’ Next Year (1) Quote:
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12-27-2022, 09:11 PM | #88 |
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Guess you are that naïve...
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12-27-2022, 09:39 PM | #89 | |
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lol |
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12-28-2022, 07:58 AM | #90 |
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It's very unlikely that anything will come out of the Senate, but even if the GOP in the Senate agrees to something, the GOP House will never bring it to a vote.
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12-29-2022, 07:36 AM | #91 | ||
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I think its a good bet that the anticipated expiration of Title 42 was the main driver for the latest border crisis/influx. I'm guessing it'll happen again when SCOTUS is nearing a decision. Hope Joe has a better plan if SCOTUS strikes it down (or not).
Dramatic before and after photos show how flood of migrants crossing El Paso border has reduced | Daily Mail Online Quote:
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12-29-2022, 10:21 AM | #92 |
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Biden's Immigration Reform
@lathum
Careful, you might get suspended while FOFC has become a soap box for one. Perhaps that’s because many people are leaving to avoid having to read the same person’s diatribes that seem to just be targeted at himself or Reddit is just a better conversation forum. I dunno but someone recently posted a photo elsewhere of the top 5-10 threads here at that time and they were dominated by one. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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12-29-2022, 12:57 PM | #93 | |
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12-29-2022, 01:06 PM | #94 |
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but do you post incessently just to hear yourself talk or smash down dissenting opinion or dodge accountability for things you've posted in the past all the while sucking up as much energy as possible, Colin Robinson?
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12-29-2022, 01:18 PM | #95 |
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How did you know that was my alter-ego? Damn. You figured me out.
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12-29-2022, 01:38 PM | #96 |
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01-06-2023, 07:36 AM | #97 | ||||
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But it'll probably fail because there is that legalization/path to citizenship thing again, a red line in the sand item for both sides. Joe, try a very focused proposal (e.g. nothing about legalization) on just increasing guest worker program, see if the GOP bites. Last edited by Edward64 : 01-06-2023 at 07:53 AM. |
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01-06-2023, 07:41 AM | #98 |
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
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These guys are probably looking for some reform/rehab:
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01-06-2023, 07:43 AM | #99 |
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01-06-2023, 08:47 AM | #100 |
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Not sure how you can look at the shit show of the GOP House and think a major immigration bill could pass if Dems were just a little more willing to compromise.
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