Fantasy Football 2016 Advice Thread

[albionmoonlight]

SELL HIGH:

Willie Snead. He's a good player with good chemistry with Brees, but as any former Marques Colston owner can tell you, the Saints' passing game does not force feed any one player the ball. Now that defenses know to pay attention to him, I expect his numbers to go down a bit.

Matt Forte. He's too old to keep getting 25 carries a game and stay healthy, right?

[wustin]

I think I'm screwed at the running back position for this week. I have 3 dead backs and apparently Langford may his lose starting job for week 3. I probably won't be able to nab Coleman or Crowell from free agency either.

[dubb93]

What is good value to be looking at getting for Todd Gurley at this point? I know he's a buy low guy right now and his numbers suggest he is going to have a turnaround...but if he's the sore spot on an otherwise solid looking team?

The only couple of offers I'm even tempted to send out in my league at this point would be Gurley/Enunwa or Chris Hogan for McCoy/Marvin Jones and/or Gurley/Enumwa or Chris Hogan for Doug Martin/Allen Robinson.

I have a feeling the 2nd offer would get laughed at, do I have a shot at the first one and is that really fair value? I don't really know what to do. I've watched the Rams games with Sunday ticket this year so far and I do not have the faith that Gurley is going to turn it around that the experts and/or his numbers would suggest. I think the Rams are a flawed offensive team from the top to bottom. If I were to trade him I would need a guy that would be a low end RB1 and a guy that could be my WR3 over Cobb and/or rotate with Cobb based on matchups.

I look at this league and I don't NEED to make a move. I'm in a coin flip game this week and could fall to 1-2, but besides a guy that has the unsustainable production of Kelvin Benjamin/Stephon Diggs/Matt Ryan who are are 3/1/1 ranked at their position so far...I'm only 12 points off the top producer so far in the league and I haven't have crazy production so far from anyone. I'm also about to upgrade Kirk Cousins for Tom Brady in a few weeks. My other major backs in this 12 team league besides Gurley are Lamar Miller and Melvin Gordon.

[thesloppy]

Originally Posted by dubb93

The only couple of offers I'm even tempted to send out in my league at this point would be Gurley/Enunwa or Chris Hogan for McCoy/Marvin Jones and/or Gurley/Enumwa or Chris Hogan for Doug Martin/Allen Robinson.

I have a feeling the 2nd offer would get laughed at, do I have a shot at the first one and is that really fair value? I don't really know what to do. I've watched the Rams games with Sunday ticket this year so far and I do not have the faith that Gurley is going to turn it around that the experts and/or his numbers would suggest. I think the Rams are a flawed offensive team from the top to bottom. If I were to trade him I would need a guy that would be a low end RB1 and a guy that could be my WR3 over Cobb and/or rotate with Cobb based on matchups.

I would chase that Mccoy/Marvin Jones trade all day. Marvin Jones is the #1 WR on that pass-heavy Lions team (not Golden Tate), has been since camp, and the rest of the league/fans still haven't caught on yet. He had 10 targets week 1, and 11 targets in week 2, and will likely see that kind of action all year long. Gurley, Robinson, McCoy, Martin & Enunwa all feel like toss-ups at the moment, but Jones' team & position looks relatively secure.

[BishopMVP]

I think Golden Tate & (longer term) John Brown stand out as buy low guys. Some people seem to be down on Alshon Jeffrey too.

UW contingent, what's the deal with Dwayne Washington? He's already gone in my leagues, but that size/speed combo makes it hard to believe he didn't get more touches (at least before the emergence of Gaston). Sounds like he had some fumbling issues and played some receiver too?

[wustin]

Adrian Peterson is practically gone for the rest of the season.

[BishopMVP]

Terrelle Pryor worth a long look if he's available, especially for these next 2 weeks. I could be playing QB there... somebody still has to get targets!

(Of course, he's now the 5th Brown I have on my dynasty team. Gordon, Coleman, Barnidge, Duke Johnson... Feel I bought low on all those guys and the WR's are a product of availability, but I am not excited to have 5 offensive players on any one team, let alone Cleveland!)

[BishopMVP]

Got an interesting dynasty league trade offer. (12 keepers, so draft picks are fairly low value, especially past the first five or so picks... And I should be in the 4-8 range in a rebuilding year.)

Receive: Doug Martin + 3rd round pick
Trade: Kenneth Dixon + 1st round pick

Now, I like Charles Sims as a backup, but with the money they gave Martin I assume he'll at least be in a 50/50 timeshare when he gets back (prediction is 3 weeks.) Martin also has two of his 4 seasons washed out due to injury, paired with 2 dominant ones.

The Ravens other backs (Forsett, Allen, West) all blow and Dixon looked great in preseason, though the O Line there is pretty weak too. So I'm assuming Dixon has a good chance at being the bell cow by mid-October, but he's also a rookie who hasn't proven anything.

I'm leaning towards keeping Dixon because Martin's injury history scares me so much, but I know I always overvalue young guys & potential... Is this a case I should be jumping on the proven producer?

[bhlloy]

Brandon Marshall or Quincy Enuwa this afternoon?

[dubb93]

I still got Melvin Gordon/Todd Gurley/Lamar Miller in a league without a flex play so I can't ever start them all the same week. All my options fell through last week and after Marvin Jones went for 200 yards that trade is completely off the table. I still have a potential play for Hopkins/Allen Robinson, but I play that guy this week and he is already 0-3.....I would like to just eliminate him from the playoff picture. I feel better about that if he has a backup RB and a third string guy than I do if he had Todd Gurley.

Speaking of Gurley, I woke up to an offer of Dez Bryant for Gurley. We would basically be swapping first round picks as I took Gurley at 1.5 and he took Dez at 1.12. I had basically written Dez off on draft day due to the Romo injury and his own injury history. I seem to have been right on both parts so far. Should I consider this trade?

[bhlloy]

If his MRI checks out I might do that trade - put it this way which WR are you holding out trying to get that is better than him? Both Robinson and Hopkins are subject to the same up and down QB play so far this year and I'm not that confident that Gurley isn't going to have more games that look like the first two rather than last week's total offensive explosion

[korme]

My team is a dumpster fire and it is largely to do with my receivers. However, through negotiations this is on the table:

I'd receive:
Steve Smith
Randall Cobb
Emmanuel Sanders

I'd send:
Allen Robinson
Tyrell Williams

On paper on a name basis this looks like I'm committing highway robbery. However I am hesitant to pull the trigger because I'd be giving up two essential #1 options for basically three #2's.. Yet they would all three be immediate starters for me. Am I overthinking this?

[bhlloy]

Don't love Cobb but do really like the other two you are getting and think they are pretty close to the #1 options on their respective teams. If Cobb is a significant upgrade over anything you can get on waivers I would do it.

[wustin]

Cobb is due some big games because Rodgers has been a dud the first two weeks and teams forgot that Jordy Nelson used to be an elite receiver. Once Nelson starts to see more double coverage I think Rodgers will throw the ball to Cobb a lot more to exploit the 1-on-1 matchup.

[RainMaker]

Originally Posted by korme

My team is a dumpster fire and it is largely to do with my receivers. However, through negotiations this is on the table:

I'd receive:
Steve Smith
Randall Cobb
Emmanuel Sanders

I'd send:
Allen Robinson
Tyrell Williams

On paper on a name basis this looks like I'm committing highway robbery. However I am hesitant to pull the trigger because I'd be giving up two essential #1 options for basically three #2's.. Yet they would all three be immediate starters for me. Am I overthinking this?

I'm not a fan of Cobb but I like the trade. Then again I think Robinson is a bit overrated in fantasy and that Jaguars offense is a dumpster fire.

[tarcone]

Start the players that will score the most points.

That will get you closer to a win then anything.

[lungs]

Sterling Shepard or a Carson Palmer-less Larry Fitzgerald?

[MrBug708]

Rank 'em!

Jeremy Hill
Frank Gore
LeGarrett Blount
Jordan Howard
Randall Cobb
Eddie Royal
Travis Benjamin

I have a variety of these players in 3 different leagues. Think Flex and RB so they can be mixed

[Thomkal]

well I think Blount is a given with Brady back-the others are all toss ups I think. Cobb if healthy? Benjamin?

[dubb93]

Still holding on to Gurley. Might just make trying to get max value for him an every week thing at this point. Newest offer that I think I'm finally going to accept.

Todd Gurley, Quincy Enunwa, and Jacob Tamme leaving my team with Isiah Crowell, Gary Barnidge, and Will Fuller heading to my team. Seems like alot of Browns. I countered changing Fuller with Crabtree and offering him an upgrade at qb, but he hasn't said anything yet and the deadline is looming at 1p. Probably more like 1230 if I ever want to trade with him again.

[murrayyyyy]

Originally Posted by MrBug708

Rank 'em!

Jeremy Hill
Frank Gore
LeGarrett Blount
Jordan Howard
Randall Cobb
Eddie Royal
Travis Benjamin

I have a variety of these players in 3 different leagues. Think Flex and RB so they can be mixed

Similar situation with Gore/Murray/Blount/Hyde and I ended up going with Gore/Murray.

[dubb93]

Originally Posted by MrBug708

Rank 'em!

Jeremy Hill
Frank Gore
LeGarrett Blount
Jordan Howard
Randall Cobb
Eddie Royal
Travis Benjamin

I have a variety of these players in 3 different leagues. Think Flex and RB so they can be mixed

Blount and Howard as the first two. Would lean towards Cobb over Hill in the 3 as I suspect the Packers took some time during the bye week figuring out how to get Cobb more involved and the pass attack rolling again. If you disagree with that then you could argue Hill or even Gore.

[BishopMVP]

Is Cam Meredith the next Terrelle Pryor and worth spending a big chunk of the waiver budget in a dynasty league on or just a beneficiary of an injury glut?

[Honolulu_Blue]

I can start 3 RBs...

My options:
Blount vs. Pitt
Gordon vs. Atlanta
Ajayi vs. Buffalo
Knile Davis vs. Chicago

[BishopMVP]

I'd go first three... sounds like there's a good chance GB just uses Montgomery & Cobb out of the backfield the majority of the time because Davis doesn't know the playbook. (Short week hurts there.)

[Butter]

Have to bench Davis I think, considering he literally just got traded there.

That means he'll go off for a buck fifty and two scores.

[wustin]

Knile Davis is an awful running back. He is like a slightly better version of Trent Richardson, all he can do is run in a straight line. He was the Chief's RB4 for a reason.

[panerd]

I agree it has to be the first three though the first two are legit RB's and Ajayi has produced one good week, two weeks with bad performances and garbage touchdowns, and two bad weeks. He is definitely a guy I would sell high on if you can because both the Dolphins and their committee of running backs aren't good.

Of course this probably means he goes off for 40+ points this week!

[Neuqua]

Trying to figure out the GB running game this week. I picked up Montgomery and my rival picked up Jackson.

[Honolulu_Blue]

Thanks, fellas!

That's where I was leaning as well.

[BishopMVP]

If Terrelle Pryor can't go this week, I have to start one of the following... and I probably need to drop one for a TE with Olsen on a bye.

Latavious Murray @ JAX
Jalen Richard @ JAX
Dwayne Washington vs WAS
Kenneth Dixon @ NYJ

(yah, I'm desperately searching for another 3-down back. And unfortunately Will Fuller is playing Monday night so I can't trust him playing after last week's late breaking injury report, plus he's against Denver anyways...)

I'm leaning towards starting Washington (go big or go home with Riddick definitely out, right?) and dropping Richard? Friggin Terrence West had to turn into a respectable running back just when he got some competition.

[Comey]

Running Back is an issue...gotta pick two:

James White
Terrance West
Jay Ajayi
Mike Gillesee (could pick him up)

I'm also stuck on my second W/T spot, between Delanie Walker, Hunter Henry, Kenny Britt, and Sterling Shepard. Currently going with Walker, but I'm thinking game flow may force the Chargers to throw more, which would lead to bigger numbers for Henry.

[Thomkal]

well have to go with Ajayi after that last game. West maybe with the GB trade and Charles not likely to play? White seems a good choice too.

[Comey]

I worry about game flow. Feel like Baltimore will be ahead a lot. The Dolphins may be losing much of the game, and Ajayi contributes nothing.

I'm going West and White, currently. I would have gotten Gillesee had Shady been out. Now, it's too unpredictable.

[lungs]

Would you go with Dez Bryant coming back from injury or Cole Beasley in a PPR?

[Honolulu_Blue]

Originally Posted by Honolulu_Blue

I can start 3 RBs...

My options:
Blount vs. Pitt
Gordon vs. Atlanta
Ajayi vs. Buffalo
Knile Davis vs. Chicago

Originally Posted by BishopMVP

I'd go first three... sounds like there's a good chance GB just uses Montgomery & Cobb out of the backfield the majority of the time because Davis doesn't know the playbook. (Short week hurts there.)

Originally Posted by Butter

Have to bench Davis I think, considering he literally just got traded there.

That means he'll go off for a buck fifty and two scores.

Originally Posted by wustin

Knile Davis is an awful running back. He is like a slightly better version of Trent Richardson, all he can do is run in a straight line. He was the Chief's RB4 for a reason.

Originally Posted by panerd

I agree it has to be the first three though the first two are legit RB's and Ajayi has produced one good week, two weeks with bad performances and garbage touchdowns, and two bad weeks. He is definitely a guy I would sell high on if you can because both the Dolphins and their committee of running backs aren't good.

Of course this probably means he goes off for 40+ points this week!

This advice worked out exceptionally well!

[BishopMVP]

Originally Posted by lungs

Would you go with Dez Bryant coming back from injury or Cole Beasley in a PPR?

I tend to go big & would bet on Dez. But with an 8:30 start maybe you'll be able to see if you need a huge game or the higher floor Beasley will bring. (Though I doubt Dez will be very limited in snap count.)

Russell Wilson vs the Saints or Marcus Mariota tonight vs the Jags? Leaning "don't overreact" and play Wilson, but I will be able to watch Mariota's game, which is a bonus tiebreaker...

[lungs]

Originally Posted by BishopMVP

I tend to go big & would bet on Dez. But with an 8:30 start maybe you'll be able to see if you need a huge game or the higher floor Beasley will bring. (Though I doubt Dez will be very limited in snap count.)

Good thinking, thanks.

Russell Wilson vs the Saints or Marcus Mariota tonight vs the Jags? Leaning "don't overreact" and play Wilson, but I will be able to watch Mariota's game, which is a bonus tiebreaker...

I'd probably go with Wilson. If he was mine, I figure he'd end up going off if I benched him.

[albionmoonlight]

Jeremy Hill (vs. Buffalo) or Larry Fitzgerald (@ Minn) for flex?

[Honolulu_Blue]

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight

Jeremy Hill (vs. Buffalo) or Larry Fitzgerald (@ Minn) for flex?

I think Jeremy Hill.

[bhlloy]

Lost a game this week because Blake Bortles lost 4 points for 2 interceptions and another 4 on top of that for one going back for a TD - is that standard scoring for anyone? My instinct is that it should be minus 6 as the first INT shouldn't be double counted, but never came across this before (or wasn't paying enough attention to notice)

[BishopMVP]

It's not standard, but I guess I understand the rationale, even though I think what happens once a ball is picked is pretty much all luck from the QB's side.

Clawed all the way back to a potential playoff spot, having easily my best week, and I got steamrolled Sunday Night by the Kirk Cousins/Rob Kelley train. Ahh, the joys of weekly head to head scoring

[bhlloy]

I can see the rationale too, but in a 4 point per passing TD league it's a bit obscene you can lose 6 for a pick 6 going the other way

What actually lost me the game, by the way, was that absurd second interception he threw. Along with Crowder not getting the touchdown which looked pretty good to me.

I know bad beats are part of fantasy football, but I've had a couple this year that make the days where I could just watch a game and enjoy it for the action look pretty good.

[BishopMVP]

Who to start?

Cam Meredith vs TEN
Corey Coleman vs NYG
Wendell Smallwood vs GB

Unfortunately Smallwood is going Monday night, so I likely won't know if Mathews/Sproles are playing by then, but I'm leaning to him with his upside. Meredith is the clear #1 left in Chicago, and in my .5 PPR league backup QB's aren't the worst thing. Coleman's probably the "safest" bet of the 3, weird as it is to call him that.

[AlexB]

I have been insanely lucky in fantasy football this year. My QBS are Tannehill and Osweiler (just picked up Kap for Brockley though), RBs Blount, Crowell and Riddick, WRs Nelson, Landry, Crowder, Lloyd, Rogers, Fuller, and in points I'm 8th highest of 14.

At the same time I've clinched a playoff spot with a week to spare, have the joint best record in my division and joint 2nd overall and if I win this week (I'm favoured to do so) I have every chance of getting a first round bye.

All with a largely crap team! The downside is I'm second in the division because of my poor scoring, and if the other team I'm tied with wins, I'm likely to face the team that broke the 14 year old league single week scoring record by 12% last week...

[Honolulu_Blue]

Need help!

I can start three of these RBs:
Gordon vs. Carolina
Blount vs. Baltimore
Ajayi vs. Arizona
Rawls vs. Green Bay (at GB)
Riddick vs. Chicago

Which QB?
Stafford at home vs. Chi
Big Ben on road vs. Buffalo

[Honolulu_Blue]

Originally Posted by Honolulu_Blue

Need help!

I can start three of these RBs:
Gordon vs. Carolina
Blount vs. Baltimore
Ajayi vs. Arizona
Rawls vs. Green Bay (at GB)
Riddick vs. Chicago

Which QB?
Stafford at home vs. Chi
Big Ben on road vs. Buffalo

Hello?

[albionmoonlight]

Originally Posted by Honolulu_Blue

Hello?

I think Carolina might have given up, so I say

Gordon
Rawls
Ajayi

And Stafford's having a great year. Take him in the dome.

[Honolulu_Blue]

Originally Posted by albionmoonlight

I think Carolina might have given up, so I say

Gordon
Rawls
Ajayi

And Stafford's having a great year. Take him in the dome.

Thanks! That's my current line-up as of this morning.

[cmp]

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