Predicting Movies - Page 2

TazFTW · 04-09-2005, 04:53 PM

http://www.boxofficemojo.com

Pyser · 04-11-2005, 10:55 PM

another week, another wrong guess. i thought sahara was too much like national treasure, but that turned out to be a good thing. it made $18m to come in first.

opening this week:

• The Amityville Horror

a couple others are opening smaller (including the excellent House of D), but it's Amityville all the way. early guess - $24m.

sachmo71 · 04-12-2005, 10:11 AM

I'll say Amityville with 14 million.

TazFTW · 04-13-2005, 09:49 PM

Hmmm, horror films have done well lately, it will open in over 3000 theaters, no competition this week or from last week's offerings, and it has a 75% fresh rating at rottentomatoes (only 8 reviews in).

I'd say it gets $22 million.

Pyser · 04-17-2005, 05:47 PM

Well, it was an easy week, but it's nice to finally get one right.

Amityville made $23.3m.

Pyser · 04-19-2005, 10:50 AM

opening this week:

# HAPPILY EVER AFTER
# THE INTERPRETER
# KING'S RANSOM
# KUNG FU HUSTLE
# A LOT LIKE LOVE

im not putting it past king's ransom...a dumb comedy could do well this week. the interpreter seems too high-brow for most americans...and a lot like love...hmm...ashton is becoming a bit of a draw. and then there's amityville again.

early gut picks the surprise king's ransom at 16m.

TazFTW · 04-20-2005, 01:38 AM

With the theater counts I've seen, King's Ransom would not be #1 as it will be only shown on 1500 screens.

I'd say The Interpreter makes $20 mil, followed by Kung Fu Hustle and A Lot Like Love. I pick Kung Fu Hustle over A Lot Like Love because it has gotten a great per screen avg, 52 good reviews at Rottentomatoes, Ashton Kutcher blows, and if it comes to a screen near me I'll be seeing it on Friday.

sachmo71 · 04-20-2005, 08:31 AM

I'll take Kung Fu Hustle for 17 million, Chuck.

Pyser · 04-20-2005, 10:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TazFTW

With the theater counts I've seen, King's Ransom would not be #1 as it will be only shown on 1500 screens.

are you sure about that? seems wrong to me.

if thats the case, i may go with amityville again....ill have to check up on this.

TazFTW · 04-20-2005, 12:12 PM

This is what I got from BoxOfficeMojo,

Friday
22

NEW IN THEATERS	DISTRIBUTOR	RELEASE
The Interpreter Thriller	Universal	2,758
King's Ransom Comedy	New Line	1,508
A Lot Like Love	Buena Vista	2,502
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room	Magnolia	3 (NYC, Houston)
The Game of Their Lives	IFC	64
Madison Drama	United Artists	93

EXPANDING

Kung Fu Hustle

Sony Classics

2,500

[edit]Added a more up to date theater count

Pyser · 04-22-2005, 01:46 PM

ok, assuming that info is right, ill extremely reluctantly go with the interpreter, at 17m.

TazFTW · 04-22-2005, 09:55 PM

Kung Fu Hustle got my 6.50 today, although with the amount of people in the theater today, I think A Lot Like Love has a chance to take second.

TazFTW · 04-24-2005, 12:28 PM

I should just stick to picking who'll win. I'm more correct that way.

Pyser · 04-26-2005, 01:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TazFTW

I should just stick to picking who'll win. I'm more correct that way.

but thats way too easy (sometimes).

this weekend we see xxx2: state of the union, vs. hitchhikers guide to the galaxy.

now, hitchhikers is one of my favorite books, and as such, i know ill be seeing it (if only to quickly say, "the book was better"), but from everything ive heard, its awful.

clearing the way for a very easy xxx win. early guess: 27m.

TazFTW · 04-29-2005, 12:08 AM

If XXX was rated R, I'd probably pick Hitchhikers. However, it is PG-13, will be on 350 more screens, and is 20 minutes shorter than Hitchhiker's (reasoning being a screen should be able to show XXX one more time than it could show Hitchhiker's). Hitchhiker's does have better reviews so far (50% as opposed to XXX's 15% at Rottentomatoes).

I say XXX gets $32 million, Hitchhiker's gets $22 million.

Pyser · 04-29-2005, 12:56 AM

stop putting so much thought into this!

Pyser · 05-01-2005, 01:18 PM

well, i got this one wrong, but was glad to do so.

xxx2 came in THIRD at 14m (interpreter 2nd). and hitchhikers guide came in 1st, at 21m or so.

i loved the book, im glad to see it come in first. guess i should see the movie.

opening next week:

Crash
House of Wax
Kingdom of Heaven

very tough to call. but i do know this. GO SEE CRASH RIGHT AWAY. it will rank as one of the top 5 movies of the year. its truly incredible, and actually has something to say, as well. easily my favorite of the year.

that said, this week hinges on kingdom of heaven. is orlando bloom enough of a star to carry the movie? the guys will want to see it because its essentially Gladiator. the girls...will bloom pull em in? or does everyone want to see paris hilton die in house of wax?

early nod to house of wax, at the standard 20m. not trusting legolas right now.

JeffNights · 05-01-2005, 01:50 PM

Kingdom of Heaven has the scale, the subject and the star.

They will take in 36 million.

TazFTW · 05-01-2005, 03:17 PM

Well, at least I got the Hitchhiker's total almost dead on. Should have went with the reliable, "If I see it, it'll be #1" theory*. Would have expected Ice Cube to draw more and it had X to the Z Xzibit pimping a ride.

It'll be interesting next week with all 3 of the major releases being rated R.

*Been correct for 3 of the last 4 movies I've seen (Sin City, Sahara, and now Hitchhiker's).

Pyser · 05-02-2005, 08:12 PM

edit, nevermind. sorry.

TazFTW · 05-05-2005, 04:01 PM

I say Kingdom of Heaven gets $25 million. My main concern is that it clocks in at 2 hours 25 mins, and I am not sure about peoples' attention span.

Pyser · 05-06-2005, 10:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TazFTW

I say Kingdom of Heaven gets $25 million. My main concern is that it clocks in at 2 hours 25 mins, and I am not sure about peoples' attention span.

I'm really hearing bad things. Really bad things.

That said, why is every movie coming out this weekend rated R? WHY THE HELL IS HOUSE OF WAX RATED R?

even so, House of Wax wins. teenagers would rather see paris hilton die than orlando bloom fight the crusades. Plus, it's an hour shorter.

House of Wax- $21m.

(and i expect a solid weekend from Hitchhikers Guide, since everything else is an R. good for them!)

TazFTW · 05-07-2005, 01:51 PM

Rank*	Title (Click to view chart)	Friday 5/6 (Estimates)	Saturday 5/7	Sunday 5/8	Monday 5/9
1	KINGDOM OF HEAVEN 3,216	$7,150,000 -- / $2,223 $7,150,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	HOUSE OF WAX 3,111	$4,780,000 -- / $1,536 $4,780,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	THE HITCHHIKER'S GUIDE TO THE GALAXY 3,133	$2,860,000 168.1% / $913 $28,849,000 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	CRASH 1,864	$2,800,000 -- / $1,502 $2,800,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	THE INTERPRETER 2,814	$2,245,000 175.3% / $798 $48,826,000 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A

CHEMICAL SOLDIER · 05-07-2005, 11:18 PM

Anyone seen Kingdom of Heaven yet? your thoughts?

TazFTW · 05-08-2005, 02:02 AM

I've seen it and it's not bad. The story is a bit iffy as is Orlando Bloom in the lead.

Will probably check it out again on DVD if what I've heard is true and Ridley Scott cut out an hour (which will be put back in for a director's cut DVD).

Pyser · 05-10-2005, 11:39 PM

jeez, i am TERRIBLE at this. kingdom of heaven won the week, at just under $20m. interestingly, the box office has been down for 11 straight weeks, when compared to last year. but i think thats cuz the movies have been bad (though some are blaming dvds and such, which i dont buy).

ok, last pre-star wars week. what opens?

• Kicking & Screaming
• Mindhunters
• Monster-in-Law
• Unleashed

kicking & screaming is my pick here. $25m, as kids and teens see this thanks to mr. ferrell. and i feel like 25 might be a bit low. i think this movie will surprise.

Karlifornia · 05-12-2005, 05:25 PM

Wow this is a tough week. A lot of possible number 1's, with no runaway. Monster-In-Law has been been mondo hype. Jet Li movies always have a following, so Unleashed could take it. Will Ferrell has, somehow, become box-office silver (not quite gold) in recent years. I guess if I had to guess, I'd say Monster In Law-29 mil

TazFTW · 05-12-2005, 11:23 PM

Looking at the screen counts

Friday
13

NEW IN THEATERS	DISTRIBUTOR	RELEASE
Kicking and Screaming	Universal	3,457
Mindhunters	Dimension	1,040
Monster-in-Law	New Line	3,424
Unleashed	Focus	1,955

I'm gonna have to eliminate Mindhunters and Unleashed from consideration. With the anti-J.Lo mentality and the fact that her last several films have bombed, I suspect Monster-in-Law will tank. Giving Kicking and Screaming the win with let's say $22 million. I would have gone higher but the box office just seems to be in a snide the past couple months.

TazFTW · 05-14-2005, 02:31 PM

Well damn

Rank*	Title (Click to view chart)	Friday 5/13 (Estimates)	Saturday 5/14	Sunday 5/15	Monday 5/16
1	MONSTER-IN-LAW 3,424	$7,900,000 -- / $2,307 $7,900,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	KICKING AND SCREAMING 3,455	$6,150,000 -- / $1,780 $6,150,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	UNLEASHED 1,955	$3,700,000 -- / $1,893 $3,700,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	KINGDOM OF HEAVEN 3,219	$2,740,000 112.3% / $851 $28,212,000 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	HOUSE OF WAX 3,111	$2,150,000 185.8% / $691 $17,533,000 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A

Pyser · 05-14-2005, 05:15 PM

there is just no accounting for taste in this country.

kingfc22 · 05-14-2005, 11:12 PM

WOW!!! That is surprising. Who watched that crap that is J-Lo's acting skills.

Buccaneer · 05-15-2005, 01:01 PM

It looks like KoH fell hard

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Cost*	Week #
1	N	Monster-in-Law	NL	$24,025,000	-	3,424	+2,508	$7,016	$24,025,000	$43 / -	1
2	N	Kicking and Screaming	Uni.	$20,851,000	-	3,455	-	$6,035	$20,851,000	$45 / -	1
3	N	Unleashed	Focus	$10,587,000	-	1,957	-	$5,409	$10,587,000	$45 / -	1
4	1	Kingdom of Heaven	Fox	$9,625,000	-51.0%	3,219	+3	$2,990	$35,097,000	$130 / -	2
5	4	Crash	Lions	$7,200,000	-20.9%	1,876	+12	$3,837	$19,793,000	- / -	2
6	2	House of Wax	WB	$6,270,000	-48.1%	3,111	-	$2,015	$21,653,000	$40 / -	2
7	3	The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy	BV	$4,788,000	-51.1%	2,770	-363	$1,728	$43,255,000	$50 / -	3
8	5	The Interpreter	Uni.	$4,384,000	-44.0%	2,602	-212	$1,684	$60,954,000	$80 / -	4
9	6	XXX: State of the Union	SonR	$2,200,000	-60.1%	2,387	-1,093	$921	$24,406,000	- / -	3
10	N	Mindhunters	Dim.	$2,003,000	-	1,040	-	$1,925	$2,003,000	- / -	1
11	7	Sahara	Par.	$1,900,000	-44.6%	1,565	-951	$1,214	$64,457,000	$130 / -	6
12	8	The Amityville Horror (2005)	MGM	$1,600,000	-52.2%	1,434	-1,044	$1,115	$63,060,000	$19 / -	5
13	9	A Lot Like Love	BV	$1,068,000	-66.2%	1,522	-631	$701	$20,839,000	$30 / -	4
14	10	Fever Pitch	Fox	$800,000	-64.1%	975	-566	$820	$40,525,000	$30 / -	6
-	11	Kung Fu Hustle	SPC	$505,000	-57.8%	347	-557	$1,455	$15,785,000	$20 / -	6
-	19	Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room	Magn.	$400,000	-1.2%	112	+14	$3,571	$1,636,000	- / -	4
-	14	Sin City	Dim.	$341,000	-60.4%	343	-659	$994	$72,946,000	$40 / -	7
-	17	Millions	FoxS	$265,000	-43.7%	223	-73	$1,188	$5,617,000	- / -	10
-	22	Million Dollar Baby	WB	$182,000	-30.1%	345	-45	$527	$100,150,000	$30 / -	22
-	28	Look at Me	SPC	$126,000	-4.9%	69	+11	$1,826	$1,144,000	- / -	7
-	21	The Upside of Anger	NL	$100,000	-66.4%	212	-324	$471	$18,402,000	$12 / -	10
-	N	Layer Cake	SPC	$82,600	-	10	-	$8,260	$82,600	- / -	1
-	37	Dear Frankie	Mira.	$45,400	-31.8%	62	-11	$732	$1,193,000	- / -	11
-	25	King's Ransom	NL	$40,200	-75.9%	86	-251	$467	$3,946,000	- / -	4
-	56	The Holy Girl	FL	$34,000	+61.4%	10	+8	$3,400	$106,000	- / -	3
-	42	The Aviator	Mira.	$32,500	-24.5%	95	-43	$342	$102,566,000	$110 / -	22
-	45	Hostage	Mira.	$24,200	-33.9%	80	-12	$302	$34,418,000	- / -	10
-	54	3-Iron	SPC	$20,000	-18.3%	17	-2	$1,176	$86,000	- / -	3
-	64	The Sea Inside	FL	$14,500	+0.9%	19	-3	$763	$2,089,000	- / -	22
-	72	Brothers	IFC	$10,900	+33.6%	3	+1	$3,633	$24,100	- / -	2
-	108	Up for Grabs	L/Z	$5,057	+168.8%	4	+2	$1,264	$7,557	- / -	2

JeeberD · 05-15-2005, 01:21 PM

My girlfriend and I did our part for The Interpreter this weekend. Very enjoyable movie, IMHO...

Pyser · 05-15-2005, 02:25 PM

i guess the massive media blitz worked for monster in law. just a terrible, terrible movie, overall though.

it speaks volumes that the best movie in this list (by MILES), is in 5th place...though it is still in limited release. but i cant recommend Crash enough.

but damn. i guess its weekeneds like this that keep j.lo employed.

Pyser · 05-15-2005, 02:29 PM

and now, the week we've all been waiting for!!!

the (excellent) revenge of the sith opens at 12:01 a.m. on thursday, where hundreds, if not thousands of screenings are already sold out. so for this week, let's do multiple predictions.

1) Opening day total (thursday)
2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday)
3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction
4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith (not counting the 3-D version coming in a few years).

Bee · 05-16-2005, 08:06 AM

I think Monster in Law will hold off the Revenge of the Sith. I just don't see it doing that well.

Pyser · 05-16-2005, 04:06 PM

having done no research whatsoever, ill take the first stab:

1) Opening day total (thursday) - $31m
2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday) - $93m
3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction - $124m
4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith (not counting the 3-D version coming in a few years). - $420m

TazFTW · 05-18-2005, 03:45 AM

Opening Day: $37 million
Opening Weekend: $97 million
Thursday-Sunday: $134 million
Domestic Total Gross: $434 million

kcchief19 · 05-18-2005, 12:36 PM

1) Opening day total (thursday): $36 million
2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday): $103 million
3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction: $139 million
4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith: $385 million

I'm starting to think the good word of mouth and newly invigorated anticipation will ratchet it up a bit, but I think ROTS may suffer what TPM and AOTC suffered, which is a lot of people deciding to wait a week to avoid the crowds. I'm starting to think the only way to get Spider-Man type openings any more is to have an event movie that not everyone thinks is THE movie to see opening weekend.

kingfc22 · 05-18-2005, 02:02 PM

1) Opening day total (thursday) - $42M
2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday) - $105M
3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction - $147M
4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith (not counting the 3-D version coming in a few years). - $419M

Buccaneer · 05-18-2005, 10:38 PM

I am guessing that it won't do as well as hoped because they will lose the revenues of the < 10 yr olds?

I say that solely in comparing to other $100+m openings - Harry Potter and Spiderman, where they appealed to all age groups (necessary to get to the $100m opening?).

TazFTW · 05-19-2005, 04:17 PM

$17 million for the midnight showings.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/thr..._id=1000928850

Pyser · 05-20-2005, 02:18 PM

50 million in 1 day.

50. FIFTY.

fifty.

50,000,000.

just.....damn.

TazFTW · 05-20-2005, 03:06 PM

sooooo

Is it too late to edit my weekend total?

kcchief19 · 05-20-2005, 08:29 PM

I'm stunned. Discounting the midnight shows, that's still a $36 million open -- on a Thursday before school is out in most places. Amazing.

I don't know which way this will go. Friday will be down, but by how much? You could slide the $16 million from the midnight screenings off the top and go with $34 on Friday, then you'd think Saturday would be up a bit, maybe closer to $40, then down on Sunday again. If I made my guesses knowing the Thursday number, I'd probably bump my weekend guess up to $110 million.

It will be interesting to see what happens Saturday. If it can hit close to $45 million Saturday, I think Spiderman will go down.

Pyser · 05-20-2005, 08:49 PM

well, the most amazing thing about spidermans opening was it was a regular friday release. i dont know if there were even midnight screenings. so the 114m or whatever it was over 3 days was just mind boggling.

but i think 50m on a thursday is even more impressive.

TazFTW · 05-21-2005, 01:48 PM

1	STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH 3,661	$35,500,000 -29% / $9,697 $85,514,000 / 2	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	MONSTER-IN-LAW 3,424	$4,475,000 194% / $1,307 $34,299,000 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	KICKING AND SCREAMING 3,469	$3,335,000 382.7% / $961 $26,810,000 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	CRASH 1,905	$1,565,000 188.9% / $822 $23,668,000 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	UNLEASHED 1,962	$1,135,000 143.6% / $578 $14,862,000 / 8

Pyser · 05-22-2005, 08:27 PM

Final numbers for first week:

1) Opening day total (thursday) - $50m
2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday) - $108.5m
3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day total - $158.5
4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith (not counting the 3-D version coming in a few years) - n/a

all in all, EVERYONE who tried their hand at predicting this film undersold it. pretty amazing.

so on we go. the new contenders to try and unseat star wars:

The Longest Yard
Madagascar

All 3 realistically have a shot at #1. I think Star Wars will have excellent repeat business ($30m or so), which to me is enough to edge out the 2 newcomers...i think.

TazFTW · 05-23-2005, 10:14 PM

Interesting. It made more on Saturday and Sunday than Friday (Friday is usually the biggest day of the weekend take).

Sunday	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday
15	16	17	18 Rank Wknd Rank Daily Gross Wknd Gross Change Y/L* Wknd Chng Thtrs/% Theaters / Average Wknd Thtr Avg Gross-to-date	19 1 $50,013,859 - / - 3,661 / $13,661 $50,013,859 / 1	20 1 $33,529,613 -33% / - 3,661 / $9,159 $83,543,472 / 2	21 1 $40,693,760 21.4% / - 3,661 / $11,115 $124,237,232 / 3
22 1 1 $34,212,468 $108,435,841 -15.9% / - / 3,661 / $9,345 $29,619 $158,449,700 / 4

Pyser · 05-23-2005, 10:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TazFTW

Interesting. It made more on Saturday and Sunday than Friday (Friday is usually the biggest day of the weekend take).

wouldnt that be because friday is usually "opening day"? thursday kind of took its thunder away...making friday more like a saturday...only people had to work, on top of that.

05-01-2005, 03:17 PM	#69
TazFTW Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Honolulu, HI	Well, at least I got the Hitchhiker's total almost dead on. Should have went with the reliable, "If I see it, it'll be #1" theory. Would have expected Ice Cube to draw more and it had X to the Z Xzibit pimping a ride. It'll be interesting next week with all 3 of the major releases being rated R. Been correct for 3 of the last 4 movies I've seen (Sin City, Sahara, and now Hitchhiker's). Last edited by TazFTW : 05-05-2005 at 03:58 PM.

05-02-2005, 08:12 PM	#70
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	edit, nevermind. sorry. Last edited by Pyser : 05-02-2005 at 08:12 PM.

05-07-2005, 11:18 PM	#74
CHEMICAL SOLDIER College Starter Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Henderson, Nevada	Anyone seen Kingdom of Heaven yet? your thoughts? __________________ Toujour Pret

05-12-2005, 05:25 PM	#77
Karlifornia Grizzled Veteran Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: San Jose, CA	Wow this is a tough week. A lot of possible number 1's, with no runaway. Monster-In-Law has been been mondo hype. Jet Li movies always have a following, so Unleashed could take it. Will Ferrell has, somehow, become box-office silver (not quite gold) in recent years. I guess if I had to guess, I'd say Monster In Law-29 mil __________________ Look into the mind of a crazy man (NSFW) http://www.whitepowerupdate.wordpress.com

05-14-2005, 11:12 PM	#81
kingfc22 Head Coach Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Morgan Hill, CA	WOW!!! That is surprising. Who watched that crap that is J-Lo's acting skills. __________________ Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Arsenal

04-11-2005, 10:55 PM	#52
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	another week, another wrong guess. i thought sahara was too much like national treasure, but that turned out to be a good thing. it made $18m to come in first. opening this week: • The Amityville Horror a couple others are opening smaller (including the excellent House of D), but it's Amityville all the way. early guess - $24m.

04-12-2005, 10:11 AM	#53
sachmo71 The boy who cried Trout Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: TX	I'll say Amityville with 14 million.

04-13-2005, 09:49 PM	#54
TazFTW Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Honolulu, HI	Hmmm, horror films have done well lately, it will open in over 3000 theaters, no competition this week or from last week's offerings, and it has a 75% fresh rating at rottentomatoes (only 8 reviews in). I'd say it gets $22 million.

04-17-2005, 05:47 PM	#55
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	Well, it was an easy week, but it's nice to finally get one right. Amityville made $23.3m.

04-19-2005, 10:50 AM	#56
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	opening this week: # HAPPILY EVER AFTER # THE INTERPRETER # KING'S RANSOM # KUNG FU HUSTLE # A LOT LIKE LOVE im not putting it past king's ransom...a dumb comedy could do well this week. the interpreter seems too high-brow for most americans...and a lot like love...hmm...ashton is becoming a bit of a draw. and then there's amityville again. early gut picks the surprise king's ransom at 16m.

04-20-2005, 01:38 AM	#57
TazFTW Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Honolulu, HI	With the theater counts I've seen, King's Ransom would not be #1 as it will be only shown on 1500 screens. I'd say The Interpreter makes $20 mil, followed by Kung Fu Hustle and A Lot Like Love. I pick Kung Fu Hustle over A Lot Like Love because it has gotten a great per screen avg, 52 good reviews at Rottentomatoes, Ashton Kutcher blows, and if it comes to a screen near me I'll be seeing it on Friday.

04-20-2005, 08:31 AM	#58
sachmo71 The boy who cried Trout Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: TX	I'll take Kung Fu Hustle for 17 million, Chuck.

04-22-2005, 01:46 PM	#61
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	ok, assuming that info is right, ill extremely reluctantly go with the interpreter, at 17m.

04-22-2005, 09:55 PM	#62
TazFTW Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Honolulu, HI	Kung Fu Hustle got my 6.50 today, although with the amount of people in the theater today, I think A Lot Like Love has a chance to take second.

04-24-2005, 12:28 PM	#63
TazFTW Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Honolulu, HI	I should just stick to picking who'll win. I'm more correct that way.

04-29-2005, 12:08 AM	#65
TazFTW Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Honolulu, HI	If XXX was rated R, I'd probably pick Hitchhikers. However, it is PG-13, will be on 350 more screens, and is 20 minutes shorter than Hitchhiker's (reasoning being a screen should be able to show XXX one more time than it could show Hitchhiker's). Hitchhiker's does have better reviews so far (50% as opposed to XXX's 15% at Rottentomatoes). I say XXX gets $32 million, Hitchhiker's gets $22 million.

04-29-2005, 12:56 AM	#66
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	stop putting so much thought into this!

05-01-2005, 01:18 PM	#67
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	well, i got this one wrong, but was glad to do so. xxx2 came in THIRD at 14m (interpreter 2nd). and hitchhikers guide came in 1st, at 21m or so. i loved the book, im glad to see it come in first. guess i should see the movie. opening next week: Crash House of Wax Kingdom of Heaven very tough to call. but i do know this. GO SEE CRASH RIGHT AWAY. it will rank as one of the top 5 movies of the year. its truly incredible, and actually has something to say, as well. easily my favorite of the year. that said, this week hinges on kingdom of heaven. is orlando bloom enough of a star to carry the movie? the guys will want to see it because its essentially Gladiator. the girls...will bloom pull em in? or does everyone want to see paris hilton die in house of wax? early nod to house of wax, at the standard 20m. not trusting legolas right now.

05-01-2005, 01:50 PM	#68
JeffNights College Prospect Join Date: Mar 2002 Location: Michigan	Kingdom of Heaven has the scale, the subject and the star. They will take in 36 million.

05-05-2005, 04:01 PM	#71
TazFTW Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Honolulu, HI	I say Kingdom of Heaven gets $25 million. My main concern is that it clocks in at 2 hours 25 mins, and I am not sure about peoples' attention span.

05-08-2005, 02:02 AM	#75
TazFTW Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Honolulu, HI	I've seen it and it's not bad. The story is a bit iffy as is Orlando Bloom in the lead. Will probably check it out again on DVD if what I've heard is true and Ridley Scott cut out an hour (which will be put back in for a director's cut DVD).

05-10-2005, 11:39 PM	#76
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	jeez, i am TERRIBLE at this. kingdom of heaven won the week, at just under $20m. interestingly, the box office has been down for 11 straight weeks, when compared to last year. but i think thats cuz the movies have been bad (though some are blaming dvds and such, which i dont buy). ok, last pre-star wars week. what opens? • Kicking & Screaming • Mindhunters • Monster-in-Law • Unleashed kicking & screaming is my pick here. $25m, as kids and teens see this thanks to mr. ferrell. and i feel like 25 might be a bit low. i think this movie will surprise.

05-14-2005, 05:15 PM	#80
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	there is just no accounting for taste in this country.

05-15-2005, 01:21 PM	#83
JeeberD General Manager Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: The Town of Flower Mound	My girlfriend and I did our part for The Interpreter this weekend. Very enjoyable movie, IMHO... __________________ UTEP Miners!!! I solemnly swear to never cheer for TO

05-15-2005, 02:25 PM	#84
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	i guess the massive media blitz worked for monster in law. just a terrible, terrible movie, overall though. it speaks volumes that the best movie in this list (by MILES), is in 5th place...though it is still in limited release. but i cant recommend Crash enough. but damn. i guess its weekeneds like this that keep j.lo employed.

05-15-2005, 02:29 PM	#85
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	and now, the week we've all been waiting for!!! the (excellent) revenge of the sith opens at 12:01 a.m. on thursday, where hundreds, if not thousands of screenings are already sold out. so for this week, let's do multiple predictions. 1) Opening day total (thursday) 2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday) 3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction 4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith (not counting the 3-D version coming in a few years).

05-16-2005, 08:06 AM	#86
Bee Pro Starter Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Fairfax, VA	I think Monster in Law will hold off the Revenge of the Sith. I just don't see it doing that well.

05-16-2005, 04:06 PM	#87
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	having done no research whatsoever, ill take the first stab: 1) Opening day total (thursday) - $31m 2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday) - $93m 3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction - $124m 4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith (not counting the 3-D version coming in a few years). - $420m

05-18-2005, 03:45 AM	#88
TazFTW Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Honolulu, HI	Opening Day: $37 million Opening Weekend: $97 million Thursday-Sunday: $134 million Domestic Total Gross: $434 million Last edited by TazFTW : 05-18-2005 at 03:52 AM.

05-18-2005, 12:36 PM	#89
kcchief19 Pro Starter Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Kansas City, MO	1) Opening day total (thursday): $36 million 2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday): $103 million 3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction: $139 million 4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith: $385 million I'm starting to think the good word of mouth and newly invigorated anticipation will ratchet it up a bit, but I think ROTS may suffer what TPM and AOTC suffered, which is a lot of people deciding to wait a week to avoid the crowds. I'm starting to think the only way to get Spider-Man type openings any more is to have an event movie that not everyone thinks is THE movie to see opening weekend.

05-18-2005, 02:02 PM	#90
kingfc22 Head Coach Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Morgan Hill, CA	1) Opening day total (thursday) - $42M 2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday) - $105M 3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction - $147M 4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith (not counting the 3-D version coming in a few years). - $419M __________________ Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Arsenal

05-18-2005, 10:38 PM	#91
Buccaneer Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Colorado	I am guessing that it won't do as well as hoped because they will lose the revenues of the < 10 yr olds? I say that solely in comparing to other $100+m openings - Harry Potter and Spiderman, where they appealed to all age groups (necessary to get to the $100m opening?). Last edited by Buccaneer : 05-18-2005 at 10:39 PM.

05-19-2005, 04:17 PM	#92
TazFTW Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Honolulu, HI	$17 million for the midnight showings. http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/thr..._id=1000928850

05-20-2005, 02:18 PM	#93
Pyser Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Los Angeles	50 million in 1 day. 50. FIFTY. fifty. 50,000,000. just.....damn.

05-20-2005, 03:06 PM	#94
TazFTW Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Honolulu, HI	sooooo Is it too late to edit my weekend total? Last edited by TazFTW : 05-20-2005 at 03:07 PM.