06-02-2008, 04:23 PM | #951 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Conyers GA
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Quote:
Olie is pinging my wolfdar as well. Her suspicion on Lathum doesn't make sense after his reveal and I can't decide if she's just not seeing why her argument doesn't work logically or if she has ulterior motives and is trying to make a push to get a good player (that is somewhat cleared) lynched. |
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06-02-2008, 04:23 PM | #952 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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06-02-2008, 04:24 PM | #953 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: New Mexico
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Another look at day 1:
Coffee Warlord votes Hoopsguy (111) EagleFan votes PurdueBrad (128) KWhit votes jeheinz72 (133) Lathum votes Coffee Warlord (135) The Jackal votes KWhit (140) jeheinz72 votes The Jackal (150) st.cronin votes Lathum (157) PurdueBrad votes st.cronin (168) st.cronin unvotes Lathum, votes PurdueBrad (174) oliegirl votes hoopsguy (185) Lathum unvotes Coffee Warlord, votes PurdueBrad (187) Coffee Warlord unvotes hoopsguy, votes oliegirl (188) jeheinz72 unvotes The Jackal, votes hoopsguy (189) Seolian votes Coffee Warlord (193) EagleFan unvotes PurdueBrad (197) Chief Rum votes PurdueBrad (201) EagleFan votes hoopsguy (203) dangarion votes Lathum (204) Seolian unvotes Coffee Warlord, votes Lathum (207) ***I think this vote was ruled illegal Alan T votes PurdueBrad (209) mccollins votes EagleFan (218) PurdueBrad unvotes st.cronin, votes for mccollins (232) Lathum unvotes PurdueBrad, votes mccollins (235) hoopsguy votes jeheinz72 (250) jeheinz72 unvotes hoopsguy, votes st.cronin (270) mccollins unvotes EagleFan, votes st.cronin (283) KWhit unvotes jeheinz72, votes st.cronin (290) st.cronin gets nervous Passacaglia votes hoopsguy (299) Coffee Warlord unvotes oliegirl, votes PurdueBrad (311) PurdueBrad unvotes mccollins (313) Lathum unvotes mccollins, votes hoopsguy (314) hoopsguy unvotes jeheinz72, votes st.cronin (318) mccollins unvotes st.cronin, votes Coffee Warlord (358) PurdueBrad votes hoopsguy (364) Lathum unvotes hoopsguy, votes st.cronin (366) Passacaglia unvotes hoopsguy, votes PurdueBrad (367) PurdueBrad unvotes hoopsguy, votes st.cronin (371) Passacaglia, I think, has to be considered kitteh. PurdueBrad was under a lot of pressure, but did put a vote on hoopsguy late. He did move this vote, so I'm not sure much can be read into it. KWhit, mccollins, and jeheinz72 all moved onto me fairly late. I am guessing at least one of those is a wolf. |
06-02-2008, 04:28 PM | #954 |
College Prospect
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Nicholasville, KY
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06-02-2008, 04:29 PM | #955 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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I agree with you to a point cronin -- I can't imagine TWO of those three being wolves. I could have seen heinz and mccollins, but not heinz and KWhit.
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06-02-2008, 04:30 PM | #956 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Conyers GA
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Quote:
Well, we all moved based upon the same reason - so there's no mystery as to why we moved at about the same time. Jeheinz pointed out the oddness of your criticising a vote for someone who wasn't in the running for the lynch. He remebered your and my 'discussion' about that from a previous game. When he brought it up, I looked at your previous posts in this game and found the quote (I missed it the first time through). That inconsistency (or at least perceived inconsistency, since I still don't really understand what you were criticizing me for in that previous game) seemed incredibly wolfish at the time. That's why I voted for you. |
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06-02-2008, 04:30 PM | #957 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
That's cool. I can't help but feel we might have learned something from making PB choose one of hoops or cronin to vote. But on the other hand, if you kept your vote on cronin, we would have lost him, so all's well that ends well. |
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06-02-2008, 04:33 PM | #958 |
College Prospect
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Nicholasville, KY
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Alrighty folks, I'm out of here until later this evening.
i is going to home k thx bai |
06-02-2008, 04:34 PM | #959 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Vote OlieGirl
seems like she tried a little to hard to get people to question my reveal despite the miniscule chance I am lying. |
06-02-2008, 04:39 PM | #960 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: New Mexico
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Quote:
It would be pretty incredible if NONE of them were wolves, considering the cunning wolf was on the block. |
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06-02-2008, 05:15 PM | #961 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
I'll reverse it - if you are going to reveal as a seer why would you do it on Day 2 and not Day 1? That is what struck me as odd - there are players who take their role with them to their death, but PB hasn't been one of those in the past. I felt that if he was the seer he would have given us a chance to learn that during the Day 1 lynch rather than chance us gimping the village out of the shoot. His own past behavior suggested this. He also had ample opportunity to do this leading up to the deadline, but he didn't cite a single post within 100 of the deadline where he dropped a hint. I think the more interesting question here is why he didn't fake reveal on Day 1. Did he feel comfortable with the wolves level of control over the vote? Did the wolves know the tie-breaker mechanism? Did he just not think of it with less time to react (24 hours instead of 72 hours)? I don't have an answer for this right now. |
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06-02-2008, 05:20 PM | #962 |
Head Cheerleader
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Caught somewhere between Raising Hell and Amazing Grace...
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Alright guys, it looks like I have to do this...I'm either the fool or the real seer, I don't know which. I scanned CW on night one and he came back with a light aura, I scanned Lathum night two and he also came back with a light aura.
So if you believe Lathum is the seer, that means CW is good. If you believe CW is a dog, then Lathum is lying, and a wolf. This is why I was/am so adamant that Lathum is not cleared. Lathum - who have you scanned each night? This might already be posted somewhere but I'm working and doing my best to multi-task and keep up. |
06-02-2008, 05:23 PM | #963 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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Hoo boy, now my head will go kerboom.
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06-02-2008, 05:24 PM | #964 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fresno, CA
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Good gravy
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06-02-2008, 05:25 PM | #965 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Cronin, agree on Pass and on the vote shifts towards you.
What do you make of Heinz not breaking the tie at the end? Heinz was one of the people who moved his vote to me earlier in the day that I didn't like much at the time. But if he was around at the deadline and had a chance to bury you then that suggests that he may be kitteh. If he is a doggie, then I'm guessing his teammates were unhappy with him at the time and even moreso this morning when your "stray reveal" put the nail in the coffin on the cunning wolf. |
06-02-2008, 05:26 PM | #966 |
Head Cheerleader
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Caught somewhere between Raising Hell and Amazing Grace...
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Sorry - believe me, I was trying my best not to reveal! I dropped what I thought was a good hint early on, said something about being a "fancy cat" and not eating regular cat food, thought that might tip someone off to the Siamese/Persian thing, but I guess not |
06-02-2008, 05:32 PM | #967 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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So, working this out.
Olie scans me, and is the seer: I'm good. Which would jive with Lathum. Olie scans me, and is the fool: I could still show up as good depending on a dice roll at the start of the game, but would not jive with Lathum. |
06-02-2008, 05:32 PM | #968 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
I don't get it. *No one* believes that Lathum is the seer. |
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06-02-2008, 05:33 PM | #969 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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I believe Lathum scanned cronin as good and olie as good.
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06-02-2008, 05:34 PM | #970 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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To continue...
Yeah, I'm just stopping now. I'm not thrilled about your reveal. I honestly don't see how it helps us solve anything, UNLESS Lathum is lying, which your scans can't prove definitively. |
06-02-2008, 05:35 PM | #971 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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And how does Lathum being the seer mean that CW is good? Not that it matters, since like I said, no one does, but this afternoon I seem to be all about pushing points that don't matter anymore, so I might as well ask.
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06-02-2008, 05:37 PM | #972 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
The only thing I can think is that they're both wolves clearing each other -- I can't imagine a scenario where they both scan each other as good. And I can't imagine they would do that as wolves. So I just have to believe that olie revealed when she shouldn't have. |
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06-02-2008, 05:38 PM | #973 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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Quote:
I didn't get that either. I'm trying to wrap all the different scenarios in my head, and it hurts. And while we're on the subject...you have a post # where Lathum said he scanned olie? I don't remember that. |
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06-02-2008, 05:38 PM | #974 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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860
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06-02-2008, 05:42 PM | #975 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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Cool.
Now, what are the odds that both of the 'scanner' people just happened to scan one another with 1 of their available 2 scans? Should look back again to make sure, but I don't recall either sniping much with one another, which is a lot of times who people usually choose to view. |
06-02-2008, 05:45 PM | #976 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
Look at the hour before post 860. |
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06-02-2008, 05:46 PM | #977 | |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fresno, CA
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Quote:
In the interest of full disclosure, I couldn't bury Cronin. I was already voting for him. I could've buried PB had I figured that out quickly enough, but I didn't (boy do I wish I did now). |
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06-02-2008, 05:46 PM | #978 |
Head Cheerleader
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Caught somewhere between Raising Hell and Amazing Grace...
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When I said "So if you believe Lathum is the seer, I meant that the fool is still a seer role, should have said "If you believe Lathum is the fool"...sorry for the confusion.
I swear I'm not a wolf, I voted PB early and have been suspicious of Lathum since Friday, that suspicion increased when he revealed as the fool... |
06-02-2008, 05:47 PM | #979 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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06-02-2008, 05:48 PM | #980 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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06-02-2008, 05:49 PM | #981 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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06-02-2008, 05:49 PM | #982 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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I'm with you, I'm with you.
Fuck. I'm stopping now, going home, and clearing my head. |
06-02-2008, 05:51 PM | #983 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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06-02-2008, 05:52 PM | #984 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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06-02-2008, 05:54 PM | #985 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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And I *still* think hoops might have been leaving himself open for a seer reveal with post 649 -- he uses "see" a bunch of times, in a post where he was talking about PB's hints. Then his next post, 650, he accuses PB, which would point to him being the real seer and not the fool. If anyone's interested, my post 652 is me dropping hints as to my role -- I used "catch" a bunch of times to tell everyone that I am a normal cat!
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06-02-2008, 05:55 PM | #986 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fresno, CA
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06-02-2008, 05:55 PM | #987 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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06-02-2008, 05:57 PM | #988 |
Head Cheerleader
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Caught somewhere between Raising Hell and Amazing Grace...
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My Night One scan request was to scan Hoops, and if something happened to him, scan CW...then I changed it at the last minute and asked Clap to scan CW. My night 2 scan request was to scan Lathum, and if something had happened to him, scan Hoops. I got light aura responses back on both of them.
If I am the fool, then those scans are meaningless, but it proves that Lathum is lying. If I am the real seer, then CW can't be a wolf. That is why I am saying you can't have it both ways. Who else did Lathum scan besides me? Did he say who his Night One scan was? |
06-02-2008, 06:02 PM | #989 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fresno, CA
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Well I'm outta here, for once, I'll wait until the 2nd part of the "day" to cast my initial vote.
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06-02-2008, 06:08 PM | #990 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
No one is saying you must be the fool, so I don't know who you are saying is trying to 'have it both ways' -- and remember, Lathum's N1 scan was cronin -- that's how we know he is the fool (if everyone is to be believed, of course). |
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06-02-2008, 06:14 PM | #992 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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06-02-2008, 06:34 PM | #993 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Man Olie, I don't like your timing here, you really werent in much danger of being lynched.
why come out now? and it's been mentioned before but I scanned Cronin N1 and Olie N2 |
06-02-2008, 06:36 PM | #994 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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dola- just to add to that I don't understand why Olie is so hell bend on disproving me when there is no reason to not take things at face value.
My reveal was supposed to make things eaiser for her, yet she is completly overcomplicating things. |
06-02-2008, 06:39 PM | #995 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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1.Hoopsguy
3.Kwitt 4.jeheinze 5.Lathum- claimed fool, scanned clear by olie 6.Mcollins- claimes lolcat 7.Passacaglia 8.RendeR 9.St. Cronin- claims stray 10.Oliegirl- claims seer 11.Eaglefan 12.the Jackal 13.coffee warlord- scanned clear by olie 14.seolian 15.dangarion 17.Chief Rum |
06-02-2008, 06:40 PM | #996 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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Assuming noone comes out ALSO claiming they are Spartacus, I'm inclined to go with the simplest explanation: Olie is the seer, and Lathum is the fool. It fits.
Though if that IS the case, I think the seer reveal is not a real smooth move. Thinking about it in the car, I don't have a clue why she did. It's not worth revealing yourself just to clear Lathum. The only reason I could think of, if she IS telling the truth, is she thinks I'm a wolf, and if I am, then that WOULD prove Lathum is lying. |
06-02-2008, 06:41 PM | #997 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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That leaves us
Passacaglia RendeR seolian dangarion Chief Rum Hoopsguy Kwitt jeheinze from that group there is probably about 3 wolves, so 30% chance we get one. |
06-02-2008, 06:43 PM | #998 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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dola- this is just my opinion, but I think the show cat should reveal, it will instantly clear another villager.
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06-02-2008, 06:44 PM | #999 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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06-02-2008, 06:58 PM | #1000 | |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Quote:
I don't think the show cat will be a priority for the dogs. I think they would rather take a shot at the BG or olie not being guarded. And the show cat really gives us no value so them being night killed would be better then the BG or Olie. |
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