09-23-2009, 02:12 PM | #1151 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Little Rock, AR
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Quote:
Why was Lerriuqs and Schmidty a poor vote? And I was one of the first votes each day, so the information I have is minimal compared to other people's votes. But if you want to vote and lynch me you will probably not learn a lot. I am a regular villager. Now if you want to make this a race I would rather it be Schmidty vs Lathum |
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09-23-2009, 02:12 PM | #1152 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: SoCal
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I totally saw that coming
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"Two there should be; no more, no less. One to embody power, the other to crave it." ―Darth Bane "Tell me what you regard as your greatest strength, so I will know how best to undermine you; tell me of your greatest fear, so I will know which I must force you to face; tell me what you cherish most, so I will know what to take from you; and tell me what you crave, so that I might deny you…" ―Darth Plagueis the Wise |
09-23-2009, 02:15 PM | #1153 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Early, TX
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Quote:
That's totally not true as of late. I've hardly been around in recent games, much to the chagrin of others. This time, I actually have time to play, and have been far from UTR. I have 50 posts, whereas you have 26. So who's actually UTR? Basically what I'm saying is that your argument is bunk. No offense.
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Just beat the devil out of it!!! - Bob Ross |
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09-23-2009, 02:20 PM | #1154 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Early, TX
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Quote:
How many votes have you missed?
__________________
Just beat the devil out of it!!! - Bob Ross |
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09-23-2009, 02:22 PM | #1155 |
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
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09-23-2009, 02:23 PM | #1156 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Early, TX
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And actually, talking to lerriuqs in PM, I had said this "I don't think Telle is bad simply because I don't think she'd stoop so low as to miss 2 votes and pretend like it was real life stuff." So basically what I'm saying is that you were in my top 4 suspects list, but the least likely of the 4 to be a wolf. With the way you jumped on me with not really anything substantial to go on though, gives me pause. At this point, I'm going to back off of a "revenge vote", and let the day play out. Unvote Telle
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Just beat the devil out of it!!! - Bob Ross |
09-23-2009, 02:36 PM | #1157 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Quote:
Well thank you for having some level of confidence in my integrity. The problem is that right now there's not a lot to go on. There's no "smoking gun". So it's a matter of looking at the voting records and trying to glean something from it. And really there's not anything all that damning on anyone.. so when anyone does come up with a theory, it's a little better than speculation. |
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09-23-2009, 02:36 PM | #1158 | ||||
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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LSG, good to have you available during the day. Let's take a look at your votes and reasonings:
D2: Quote:
Ok, you didn't have time to hash them out, but unfortunately it's a sad coincidence that at this point the wolves had a pretty good idea he was the BG and that's who you selected to vote for...or you tried to get a run on him so the wolves could get an NK somewhere else. D3: Quote:
I didn't understand the logic at the time, I don't really get it now. You think the wolves would've all been late votes? One of the known wolves (Jackal) was a middle-of-the-pack vote. Here are the other D1 votes: Day 1 vote: No Lynch 4 -- Kwhit (103) MartinD (133) DaddyTorgo (182) PurdueBrad (185) MartinD 9 -- Mia Ow (142) Schmidty (154) Telle (183) claphamsa (192) The Jackal (207) Lathum (262) Alan T (282) lerriuqs (285) Danny (293) claphamsa 2 -- LoneStarGirl (156) Darth Vilus (159) lerriuqs 3 -- Chief Rum (242) GoldenEagle (245) JAG* (296) * - vote was No Lynch until 1 min. before deadline Didn't vote: J23 We have 3 of 4 cleared people on No Lynch and one on No Lynch that's shading towards trusted. Two wolves were already on MartinD. While the voting was open with no wolf on the line, I wouldn't suspect all the wolves bunched up on D1, especially if there end up being 5. D4: Quote:
Quote:
I don't have any hard info as you can see, but to me it just feels like too much is off. That and I don't have a better reason to vote for someone else. |
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09-23-2009, 02:49 PM | #1159 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Little Rock, AR
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Did anyone else not how Schmidty fought like hell to get me lynched yesterday? The wolves knew the secret that clap was the seer and if that was revealed, Jackal was sure to be lynched. Schmidty only reluctantly agreed to switch his vote once it was apparent that clap was going to be lynched.
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Xbox 360 Gamer Tag: GoldenEagle014 |
09-23-2009, 02:50 PM | #1160 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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I think PB needs to get so me scrutiny here. In addition to me having a creepy feeling about him, he voted no lynch days 1 and 2, voting in a different place day 1 from 2 known wolves.
Day 3 no vote because of connection issues. Day 4 voted on GE who is an unknown and day 5 we can chuck out. |
09-23-2009, 02:59 PM | #1161 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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Quote:
Have his votes been more suspicious than others though? Alan revealed J23 was one of the two people they discussed thinking were wolves, though that shouldn't be a permanent get-out-of-votes card for him. I haven't played WW with him much. Compared with previous games I've seen, this game he strikes me as being quieter and less engaged than usual, possibly due to connectivity / busy-ness? |
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09-23-2009, 03:26 PM | #1162 |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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Updated...
Day 1 vote: No Lynch 4 -- Kwhit (103) MartinD (133) DaddyTorgo (182) PurdueBrad (185) MartinD 9 -- Mia Ow (142) Schmidty (154) Telle (183) claphamsa (192) The Jackal (207) Lathum (262) Alan T (282) lerriuqs (285) Danny (293) claphamsa 2 -- LoneStarGirl (156) Darth Vilus (159) lerriuqs 3 -- Chief Rum (242) GoldenEagle (245) JAG* (296) * - vote was No Lynch until 1 min. before deadline Didn't vote: J23 Day 2 vote: Chief Rum 1 -- LoneStarGirl (387) No Lynch 6 -- Kwhit (423) Chief Rum (425) PurdueBrad (430) J23 (457) lerriuqs (505) GoldenEagle (506) GoldenEagle 6 -- claphamsa (433) Lathum (450) Schmidty (464) The Jackal (467) Darth Vilus (489) JAG (490) The Jackal 1 -- Alan T (466) Didn't vote: Mia Ow, Telle, DT Day 3 vote: lerriuqs 5 -- LoneStarGirl (590) Lorena (603) claphamsa (701) The Jackal (723) J23 (739) Darth Vilus 1 -- Lathum (627) J23 8 -- Alan T (706) lerriuqs (713) Kwhit (716) DaddyTorgo (717) Darth Vilus (728) Schmidty (735) JAG (743) GoldenEagle (746) Didn't vote: Telle, PB Day 4 vote: The Jackal 1 -- claphamsa (756) claphamsa 8 -- Lathum (825) The Jackal (900) Telle (911) JAG (934) GoldenEagle (949) Kwhit (952) Darth Vilus (965) Schmidty (979) GoldenEagle 4 -- Lorena (838) PurdueBrad (897) lerriuqs (944) DaddyTorgo (967) |
09-23-2009, 03:27 PM | #1163 |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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This would be a very good day for the duke to come out especially if you're in the danger zone as far as being lynched goes...
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09-23-2009, 03:36 PM | #1164 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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Quote:
I think it'd be wiser for them to keep quiet. At some point they'll be able to reveal and we'll have a COT of 1 (if a wolf fake reveals, the real duke would just duke it to them). If they end up with the most votes, they can just use their power and take a random shot at someone uncleared. If they reveal now though, the wolves will just NK them. We might want them as an insurance policy if today and/or tomorrow don't go well because they're the only instant COT we have left. |
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09-23-2009, 03:42 PM | #1165 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Little Rock, AR
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I am not really sure if we have any viable candidates for a lynch at this time.
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09-23-2009, 03:50 PM | #1166 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: DeKalb, IL
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Obviously nobody wants to be considered at this point but what I do agree with here is that nobody really has a free pass here (except KWhit that is). I agree with GE actually in that we don't have much to go on but I also don't think we have a lot of soccer points so I don't believe we can stall out a victory that way either. |
09-23-2009, 05:24 PM | #1167 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Little Rock, AR
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Quote:
My argument is based on past games we have played together, not games you have played lately. And I am comparing you to the old you, not comparing you to me... we all know why I have a mere 26 posts. |
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09-23-2009, 05:30 PM | #1168 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Little Rock, AR
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Quote:
I still wouldn't mind voting for lerriuqs. Didn't I vote for him day 2? But I know I will have a hard time getting momentum against him. It appears that a lot of people want to go after Lathum, which I wouldn't mind, but I dont want it to be a runaway like it has the potential to be. |
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09-23-2009, 06:04 PM | #1169 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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Quote:
You voted for me Day 3. Why are you still going after me now? What have I done that makes you so suspicious? |
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09-23-2009, 06:11 PM | #1170 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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I am also getting a creepy feeling from Lerriuqs.
Playing the very helpfull role, plus he has suggested a few times that the duke reveal and IMO that would be a poor move. |
09-23-2009, 06:15 PM | #1171 |
College Starter
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Little Rock, AR
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09-23-2009, 06:30 PM | #1172 |
Unregistered
Join Date: May 2004
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lerriuqs? really? I don't know about that:
Day 3 vote: lerriuqs 5 -- LoneStarGirl (590) Lorena (603) claphamsa (701) The Jackal (723) J23 (739) Darth Vilus 1 -- Lathum (627) J23 8 -- Alan T (706) lerriuqs (713) Kwhit (716) DaddyTorgo (717) Darth Vilus (728) Schmidty (735) JAG (743) GoldenEagle (746) Didn't vote: Telle I'm not sure about lerriuqs being a wolf. If you look at Day 3, it was he against J23. The red are wolves. Before Jackal and J23 casted their votes, it was 4-3 for J23, still pretty close but the wolves chose to vote for lerriuqs. I find it hard to believe that 2 wolves would vote against one of their own when it's that close. Unless, of course 2 wolves were on the block, but I think that's highly unlikely. |
09-23-2009, 06:31 PM | #1173 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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Quote:
Why? If it's someone sitting in a position of trust in most circles I don't think it makes sense, but if it's someone who's not looking trusted right now, I think it makes a whole bunch of sense. If the duke chooses to stay hidden, I don't care, but if that's the best you've got that's pretty minor. |
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09-23-2009, 06:35 PM | #1174 | |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Quote:
With no BG the duke is dead the night they reveal. |
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09-23-2009, 06:35 PM | #1175 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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Quote:
I also was voting jackal earlier in that day prior to his fake reveal... |
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09-23-2009, 06:38 PM | #1176 |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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09-23-2009, 06:42 PM | #1177 |
Unregistered
Join Date: May 2004
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I still think the most incriminating vote history is GoldenEagle's, especially Days 3 and 4. Day 2 is understandable, he voted to save himself, but Day 3 he was the last person to vote for J23 which was a meaningless vote (J23 already had the votes) @ 2 minutes before deadline (was he maybe waiting for other wolves to vote for someone else and when no one made a move he voted for a fellow baddie?) . Day 4 he voted for clap in a runaway vote.
Vote GoldenEagle |
09-23-2009, 06:44 PM | #1178 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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09-23-2009, 06:47 PM | #1179 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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Quote:
Fine, disagree. I'm looking for some sanity in this and way to create a COT. If that goes against other thoughts fine, ignore it. But unless you've got something else, you don't have much. |
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09-23-2009, 07:01 PM | #1180 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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09-23-2009, 07:36 PM | #1181 | |
Unregistered
Join Date: May 2004
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Quote:
The more I think of it, the more I'm convinced GE is a baddie. If someone else would have switched from J23 to lerreqs, it would have been 7-6 J23, then if GE switched to lerreqs, he could have forced a no lynch but since no one came, he decided to vote for J23 @ 2 mintues before deadline. |
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09-23-2009, 07:40 PM | #1182 |
Unregistered
Join Date: May 2004
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Hmm... Telle is another one I'm looking at. I don't have time to write everything down so I'll do it when I come back.
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09-23-2009, 08:34 PM | #1183 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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Quote:
I was anti-GE earlier. I still don't understand where he's coming from with some of what he says. However, on D2 the currently known wolves had their votes split as if they didn't really care if GE was lynched. But clap had a specific post on D3 saying we needed to find out about GE. It seems unlikely he wouldn't have scanned him that night, which unfortunately we don't know because he didn't reveal who he had scanned. The next day when clap was lynched, he didn't vote GE in self-defense. That part is shaky as I'm not going to put a lot of emphasis on clap's play since I think it's incomprehensible that he would die without revealing his scans. Just to put this out there, if GE is a wolf, lerriuqs' vote to help save him on D2 is ... interesting. If he were a wolf it would go against more evidence to the contrary though. At this point I'm willing to forgive his drive to find the duke. And I agree with Lathum, just to restate this there's no benefit for the duke to come out at this point. We have either a 7-2 lead or a 8-1 lead, so we have some leeway. The duke coming out now gives us a COT of 1 out of 9 people (and they die tonight if the wolves aren't gone), in a couple of days (if we're unlucky) that would be 1 out of 5 people, which would be a lot more significant. |
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09-23-2009, 10:50 PM | #1184 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Little Rock, AR
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Quote:
At one point, near the deadline, I had my vote on you. I still think its very possible that you are a wolf. But this move is risky if you are one. If your vote gains momentum, then it does not look good that you started the vote on a villager. This is just a strange vote.
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Xbox 360 Gamer Tag: GoldenEagle014 |
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09-24-2009, 07:32 AM | #1185 |
College Starter
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Little Rock, AR
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I really dont like being the first vote of the day but I am back to work today and wont be able to check WW until 4 or 5. This is probably the hardest day we have yet, with no clear leader getting votes. Since this is day 6 and we have caught 3 out of the 4 wolves, then this last wolf has done a great job of not drawing negative attention to themselves. I figure this person either has to be really good at being a wolf or has been UTR for the game, and out of sight, out of mind.
vote lathum Know for his great play, and I am surprised the wolves haven't killed him yet, which makes me sort of suspicious. |
09-24-2009, 09:27 AM | #1186 |
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
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votes as of post #1185:
1 - LoneStarGirl - JAG (1144) 1 - GoldenEagle - Lorena (1177) 1 - Lathum - LoneStarGirl (1185) |
09-24-2009, 11:03 AM | #1187 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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09-24-2009, 11:12 AM | #1188 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Vote PB
just looking at the voting record and comparing them to known wolves his looks the worst. |
09-24-2009, 11:27 AM | #1189 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Little Rock, AR
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Four different votes cast for four different people. Interesting.
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09-24-2009, 11:31 AM | #1190 |
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Yeah.. basically shows that we don't have a freaking clue. Wolves gotta be loving this.
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09-24-2009, 11:34 AM | #1191 |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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Going with my gut...I don't like how late Lathum's nightfall vote was...FYI I likely won't be around for the deadline today.
Vote Lathum |
09-24-2009, 11:36 AM | #1192 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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09-24-2009, 11:51 AM | #1193 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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Quote:
I'm really not trying to be stupid, but what makes his voting record worse than everyone else's? I assume voting for wolf = good, voting for villager = bad. He missed the only day there was a definite wolf to be voted off, but that day Lorena, LSG, and you voted for an unknown though IMO likely villager instead of the player that ended up being a wolf. The other votes it's possible there was no other wolf in the runoff if GE is good, so why wouldn't almost everyone be dinged the same for those votes? |
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09-24-2009, 11:54 AM | #1194 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Little Rock, AR
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Here is my thinking right now.
Trusted List lerriqus - He may have made one hell of a play, but his saving of me on Day 2 means that he is trusted and like a 99% chance that he is a villager. Neutral List Telle - Nothing has stuck about her play. She has defended me with logic, which makes her closer to the trust list as opposed to the not trusted list. Purdue Brad - I am not sure where he stands. At one time, I was thinking he was a wolf but his convo with Alan and the fact that Alan seemed to trust him stands out. JAG - He was encouraging us to go for wins in his earlier posts, something that I think the wolves would want us to do. But I don't think that means he is wolf. Other posts make me lean more toward trusted then not trusted. Lathum - I asked him in our PMing session if he was a wolf, and he said no. But I have not been getting any vibes as a wolf from him, but he is a tricky one. Lone Star Girl - No real reads, other than she has not been paying much attention this game. Not Trusted List Schmidty - His play has been curious. He voted for villagers on the first two days and he was adamant about voting for me on day 3 until he switched his vote. I still say the wolves did not want clap to be lynched, since it meant death for The Jackal. Lorena - Always seems to jump on the early candidate which has been a villager everytime. She voted for me early, figuring that I would be a lynch candidate. That is likely, considering I have been one everyday except Day 1 and Day 4. I really like to see us vote either Schmidty or Lorena today.
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Xbox 360 Gamer Tag: GoldenEagle014 |
09-24-2009, 12:04 PM | #1195 | |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Quote:
It is basically who he didn't vote with. He voted opposite of known wolves each day, seeming to me he was trying to seperate himself from other wolves |
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09-24-2009, 12:07 PM | #1196 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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dola- I am considering switching to Lerriuqs.
Him saying he doesn't like my nightfall vote is a really weak argument. How can you not like a nightfall vote? IT was obviously a joke since Jackal was a goner. Did he really think I thought I was going to swing things away from Jackal? Makes no sense |
09-24-2009, 12:08 PM | #1197 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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double daol- I do think his voting record is very solid though
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09-24-2009, 12:15 PM | #1198 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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Quote:
Alright, thanks for clarifying. That's true on D1 and 4, but he did vote with J23 on D2. LSG hasn't voted with the wolves at all (or more accurately they didn't vote with her), except on D3 when there was a wolf on the line. What do you think of her? |
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09-24-2009, 12:17 PM | #1199 | |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Quote:
I considered that, but LSG has had to vote early every day. Now this could be a way to hid, but for now I am willing to give her the benefit of doubt based on her schedule |
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09-24-2009, 12:23 PM | #1200 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Little Rock, AR
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Does anyone have any sort of defense for Schmidty and/or Lorena?
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