02-17-2011, 01:16 PM | #1351 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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So I think we still don't know who won Cassie Night 4.
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02-17-2011, 01:16 PM | #1352 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Alabama
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I was talking about night 4 on tank, but Janet was only offered the once
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02-17-2011, 01:17 PM | #1353 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Alabama
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I won cassie last night
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02-17-2011, 01:17 PM | #1354 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: SoCal
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I have to get going to work guys, sorry i won't be around to discuss this more. For the record I won the check cashing for $50 (i really didnt know what it did) and won the escort for $800. I also won some monney for McKerney
Vote Zinto I think he was a Lathum voter and I don't really buy the wedding chapel thing
__________________
"Two there should be; no more, no less. One to embody power, the other to crave it." ―Darth Bane "Tell me what you regard as your greatest strength, so I will know how best to undermine you; tell me of your greatest fear, so I will know which I must force you to face; tell me what you cherish most, so I will know what to take from you; and tell me what you crave, so that I might deny you…" ―Darth Plagueis the Wise |
02-17-2011, 01:18 PM | #1355 |
Coordinator
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02-17-2011, 01:19 PM | #1356 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Aug 2009
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Good luck guys and I hope we can keep the ball rollin.
__________________
"Two there should be; no more, no less. One to embody power, the other to crave it." ―Darth Bane "Tell me what you regard as your greatest strength, so I will know how best to undermine you; tell me of your greatest fear, so I will know which I must force you to face; tell me what you cherish most, so I will know what to take from you; and tell me what you crave, so that I might deny you…" ―Darth Plagueis the Wise |
02-17-2011, 01:21 PM | #1357 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
While I think that's a good vote and that he's my #2 candidate as a wolf, I think that as a wolf, his story is more likely to be true. It makes a little send that as a newbie villager, he doesn't want a possible wolf messing with his head, but as a newbie wolf, he doesn't want a possible villager finding him out. |
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02-17-2011, 01:23 PM | #1358 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Alabama
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night 4 is last night right. Last night is the tank bid. I think i have completely confused myself. So let me say this again...
Last night I bid on Tank, Mario, betting paror, and Cassie...winning the last 2. I bid 300 on Tank and a larger amouunt on Mario. On a non related note, I also was the winner of Janet Williams services on a different day. (she has only been offered once Ibelieve) |
02-17-2011, 01:24 PM | #1359 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Alabama
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oh and
Vote Cougarfreak |
02-17-2011, 01:25 PM | #1360 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Nov 2003
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02-17-2011, 01:25 PM | #1361 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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last night was night 5, NTN
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02-17-2011, 01:26 PM | #1362 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Vote count as of post 1361
cougarfreak (2) - passacaglia 1312, ntndeacon 1359 Zinto (1) - Darth Vilus 1354 |
02-17-2011, 01:27 PM | #1363 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Alabama
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I got no bids in on night 4 as I was out til after the deadline and had forgotten to put in a bid earlier in the day.
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02-17-2011, 01:28 PM | #1364 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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Vote cougarfreak
Barring further analysis or a point I overlooked, I think the argument against him is stronger than the others. If he turns up wolf, which side he's on would influence my thoughts on Zinto also. |
02-17-2011, 01:28 PM | #1365 |
College Starter
Join Date: Jan 2011
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Ok since it seems everyone is revealing bet and bid winnings I will say that I only won the wedding chapel and have not won any of my bets. My bet on Lathum the first day was because he told us to bet on him so I assumed he would have a higher percentage to be lynched compared to another player and this made a target on my back which in turn made me not want to use the wedding chapel as I feared being led around by another player would eventually lead to my death.
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02-17-2011, 01:30 PM | #1366 |
College Starter
Join Date: Jan 2011
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If that makes sense I am just trying to give everyone an idea what went through my head when I won the chapel.
Vote cougarfreak |
02-17-2011, 01:30 PM | #1367 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
Bumped to the current page. |
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02-17-2011, 01:34 PM | #1368 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Well, I was waiting for cougar to get in the thread and answer about the mckerney bet discrepancy, but looks like we're pretty sure on it, so,
VOTE COUGARFREAK |
02-17-2011, 01:39 PM | #1369 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Nov 2003
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Cougar & Zinto were the next two I was looking at. But seems like we've found some evidence that Cougar hasn't come in to dispute. I'm willing to go ahead and make my vote as well:
VOTE COUGARFREAK |
02-17-2011, 01:39 PM | #1370 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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I also had the Day One list somewhere on Day Two, if you want to look for that. Keep in mind, on mau's list, I am not listed with PF because he changed that (in a good bit of inspiration on his part). But my vote was on PF--I set it up that way to go with my duking to PF that day.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
02-17-2011, 01:41 PM | #1371 | |
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Quote:
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02-17-2011, 01:42 PM | #1372 |
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So, ntn, you have the betting parlor today? Any comment on my theory regarding the betting parlor winner and the last Lupino wolf?
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
02-17-2011, 01:44 PM | #1373 | |
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
I think it's four. mckerney was likely to have a lot of bettors. He and saldana were clearly being looked at going into the night before. I would expect most of the bets to have been split between them.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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02-17-2011, 01:47 PM | #1374 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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One thing I don't get, especially with two wolf teams. There have been hints all game as to who has money: me, The Jackal, ntndeacon, etc.
Why didn't either wolf team take a crack at us? I have tried to dissuade attacks by being careful about admitting what money I had until I spent it all (and after a second straight night of spending over $3000, I am finally back with the paupers, I believe), so maybe that worked, but I can't explain the lack of targeting on some others.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
02-17-2011, 01:51 PM | #1375 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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Quote:
Wait, he won it for today, meaning he had the winning bid last night? Because here I figured a wolf won the betting parlor because the winning bid for it was the same amount as the two black market bids. Or else that would be a stunning coincidence. |
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02-17-2011, 01:53 PM | #1376 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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The only thing I can figure with me is that I clearly spent a large chunk of my money N2 on Tank and Mario, and I was in no way "cleared" for scanning someone. JAG had a lot of money too, but it was pretty clear he bought the BG the first night and the NK the second night. First they were aiming more for experienced players, then for cleared players?
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02-17-2011, 01:55 PM | #1377 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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I don't have warm, fuzzy feelings about NTN at this point. It seems more likely Zinto would be lynched before him, but is that the right move? Maybe Mario will help clear that up tonight.
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02-17-2011, 01:59 PM | #1378 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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Quote:
Actually I never bought the BG which is why I didn't know if it could stop Cassie. They could have made a bundle on me that night. |
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02-17-2011, 02:10 PM | #1379 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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Unvote cougarfreak
Vote ntn Appreciate you being open and honest, but those equal winning bids are too much of a coincidence for me. |
02-17-2011, 02:11 PM | #1380 |
Coordinator
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02-17-2011, 02:13 PM | #1381 |
Coordinator
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That was N3 right JAG?
The going rates for services on Day 3: Tank Wallace, Professional Bodyguard - $1,551 Mario Juarez, Private Investigator - $1,551 |
02-17-2011, 02:13 PM | #1382 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Whoops didn't quote that correctly, sorry Autumn.
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02-17-2011, 02:13 PM | #1383 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Yeah, that was N3.
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02-17-2011, 02:14 PM | #1384 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Bizarre that JAG and someone else would spend the exact same amount on Tank and Mario.
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02-17-2011, 02:14 PM | #1385 |
Coordinator
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dola
not trying to say it makes JAG look suspicious, just curious |
02-17-2011, 02:14 PM | #1386 |
Coordinator
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Location: Big Ten Country
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02-17-2011, 02:15 PM | #1387 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
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The Jackal, I'm not sure what you're trying to show, but I don't think JAG has won either Tank or Mario.
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02-17-2011, 02:15 PM | #1388 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Er, except for Night 1.
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02-17-2011, 02:20 PM | #1389 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Oh, I've confused myself. Nevermind. I thought JAG won mario that night, not ntn. JAG cleared CR much earlier.
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02-17-2011, 02:20 PM | #1390 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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So JAG used most of his winnings on Knuckles, I'm not sure why I thought he had purchased Tank and/or Mario before that. So much info in this game!
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02-17-2011, 02:23 PM | #1391 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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The fact that ntn bid the same earlier on Tank/Mario supports what JAG just said up there too, the correlation of the same bids on the black market service. 1001 isn't the strangest of numbers, but it is questionable.
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02-17-2011, 02:26 PM | #1392 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Vote count as of post 1391
cougarfreak (6) - passacaglia 1312, ntndeacon 1359, Zinto 1366, The Jackal 1368, tyketime 1369 Zinto (1) - Darth Vilus 1354 ntndeacon (1) - JAG 1379 |
02-17-2011, 02:27 PM | #1393 |
Head Coach
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Location: Bath, ME
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02-17-2011, 02:28 PM | #1394 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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Quote:
Excellent point and makes me feel even better about this. Something else I considered for the bidding today. *Assuming the people who win BG and seer are not the same tonight, is there merit in a public reveal of who won each service so the BG protects the seer and guarantees a scan for the next day? *On the plus side, we guarantee getting a scan tomorrow as there is no escort service tonight and add to our trust list (or better yet, find a wolf) because there's no weird wolf-only services tonight. *It also makes it easier for the village to outbid the wolves since we can put our money towards one instead of two options (trying to get both bg and seer) *On the minus side, we give the wolves a free pass to miss the BG using the thief and NK and their odds of hitting the seer arent all that favorable. *I think it might be worthwhile, but I can understand if people are uncomfortable with it and don't like it. |
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02-17-2011, 02:40 PM | #1395 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
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I'm heading out and won't be back until shortly before deadline so I won't be able to field questions or such until then.
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02-17-2011, 03:37 PM | #1396 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
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I am heading off from work in a sec, and it may be a busy afternoon. So I better get a vote in now.
I would prefer we have a two man race so we can get voting points to consider, but I can't argue with the logic that cougar might be a wolf. I will go with cougar for now, in case I don't get back before deadline.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
02-17-2011, 03:38 PM | #1397 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Oh yeah...
VOTE COUGARFREAK
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
02-17-2011, 04:09 PM | #1398 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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I'll leave some room for a little two-man action:
UNVOTE COUGARFREAK VOTE NTN |
02-17-2011, 04:10 PM | #1399 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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I'm leaving in an hour or so and will probably be out past deadline, but I'll see where things are at before I'm gone. I'm honestly fine if cougar bites it here without any movement. I don't know how much we'll get considering the wolves left are on opposite sides.
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02-17-2011, 04:20 PM | #1400 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
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It would only matter if there were more than two wolves left. Even then, I'd be more inclined to give weight to earlier votes.
And yeah, a lynch of either is fine by me |
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