Severe Weather

[CrescentMoonie]

And just like that we've gotten over half an inch in about 15 minutes and it looks like the inside of a giant snow globe outside. Radar suggests a solid hour or so of this, so we could get a very quick 3"-4".

[CrescentMoonie]

Picked up nearly 3" in less than an hour and the hole in the radar filled in suggesting this could last another 45-60 minutes at least.

[claphamsa]

what part of the exurbs are you in? I have maybe 3/4 inch here, and its coming down pretty solidly now.

[CrescentMoonie]

Originally Posted by claphamsa

what part of the exurbs are you in? I have maybe 3/4 inch here, and its coming down pretty solidly now.

I'm in southern Fauquier.

[Eaglesfan27]

We have at least 6 inches here and it is still coming down rapidly and is expected to continue for a few hours. New "forecasts" from weathermen is 8-12 inches in our area.

[Vince, Pt. II]

California is set to endure an 'Atmospheric River' event this weekend, dumping as many as 18" of rain in some parts. For places who get less than 6" annually, there are huge flash flood, mudslide, and rockslide warnings all over the place.

[PilotMan]

Originally Posted by Eaglesfan27

We have at least 6 inches here and it is still coming down rapidly and is expected to continue for a few hours. New "forecasts" from weathermen is 8-12 inches in our area.

Got in to Newark from Panama to this awesomeness. Flight home cancelled, number 30 on the stand by list for Chicago. Didn't even get close. Now I'm on a flight to Detroit where I hope I can make a right connection and double cross my pinkies that there's a seat to Cincinnati. This is not fun after a work week.

[tarcone]

Temp hit 72 today. That means an ice storm is coming.

1/4 to 1/2 inch of ice Friday morning to Saturday noon.

Oh boy.

[MizzouRah]

Originally Posted by tarcone

Temp hit 72 today. That means an ice storm is coming.

1/4 to 1/2 inch of ice Friday morning to Saturday noon.

Oh boy.

Stay safe.. we are supposed to get like .08 or something.

At least I was able to get the motorcycle out for a nice ride today!

[Radii]

the snow in the south changed my schedule for coming up here... now the ice is gonna change my schedule going back. I'm in Indiana for a couple days, was going to leave on Saturday to drive back to Raleigh. The projected ice in southern Indiana and Ohio Saturday is probably going to cause me to leave Friday night unless things change.

[Mizzou B-ball fan]

Originally Posted by tarcone

Temp hit 72 today. That means an ice storm is coming.

1/4 to 1/2 inch of ice Friday morning to Saturday noon.

Oh boy.

Yeah, it's going to be a fun weekend here in KC too.

[tarcone]

You guys stay safe, also.

They have upped to a possible 3/4 inches.

[CrescentMoonie]

72 at 2pm today outside of DC, increasing chance for freezing rain/snow tomorrow night.

[Mizzou B-ball fan]

Originally Posted by tarcone

You guys stay safe, also.

They have upped to a possible 3/4 inches.

We had a storm with that level of ice in 2003. We didn't have power for five days. It was awful.

[Mizzou B-ball fan]

They just added the north and west end of Missouri to the Ice Storm Warning. Expecting a half inch of ice here.

We're closing my business on Sunday. Best price on tickets for the Chiefs game a week ago was around $150 for the top row of the stadium. Now, with the ice storm forecasts getting worse, you can get into most of the upper deck for around $30. I'll admit it. I have the itch to go at those prices, even if it takes 2 hours that day to make what normally is a 20 minute drive.

[MizzouRah]

I'm home tomorrow.. kids are off.. I have plenty of beer!

[Mizzou B-ball fan]

Looks like KC will steer clear of the bad stuff until tailgating starts on Sunday around 6:30 am.

[tarcone]

Joplin is forecasted to get 2 inches of ice.
Thats crazy.

[Mizzou B-ball fan]

Originally Posted by tarcone

Joplin is forecasted to get 2 inches of ice.
Thats crazy.

When we had one inch of ice, we were without power for seven days.

On a sobering note, there's large areas of Joplin that don't have any trees due to the tornado, which should help from a power perspective.

[MizzouCowboy]

Originally Posted by tarcone

Joplin is forecasted to get 2 inches of ice.
Thats crazy.

And they missed it by 1.99 inches. It's just been a cold, nasty rain with minimal ice accumulation. Was expecting an '08 ice storm where power was out for weeks in some areas. Glad we didn't get hit (so far anyway), but this has been quite the missed forecast.

[tarcone]

Good deal. I think everything went North. We got about 1/2 an inch. But the main roads are not terrible. Not that I would go out.

We got more than predicted.

[BishopMVP]

Originally Posted by MizzouCowboy

And they missed it by 1.99 inches. It's just been a cold, nasty rain with minimal ice accumulation. Was expecting an '08 ice storm where power was out for weeks in some areas. Glad we didn't get hit (so far anyway), but this has been quite the missed forecast.

Those where it's right around 32F are the hardest ones to predict. When they miss badly up in Boston it's usually for the same reason, especially when people take the predicted rain/snow line as gospel, because you can often see 12 inches of snow in one town and then 3 or less a 20 minute drive east closer to the coast.

[nilodor]

Shout out to Winnipeg in the latest XKCD what if?

If you happen to live in the Canadian city of Winnipeg, you can check this experimentally. The winter temperature at night in Winnipeg is about the same as the inside of a freezer, so the environment there effectively simulates a freezer with infinite capacity to absorb heat. Suppose you put a toaster out on your porch one night, plugged in by an extension cord, and leave it running for a few hours, going outside every so often to collect the toast and put in some fresh bread. What will happen? Simple: You'll quickly be eaten by wolves.

Toaster vs. Freezer

[PilotMan]

Well, that was a doozy of a storm last night/this morning. Tornado Watch/SvTS Warn at 330a, then right as the kids were about to go to school a blistering squall line came through with at point registering 85mph, that just ripped roofs off, and knocked down 50ft trees. Our subdivision was super lucky, just a quarter mile west there was substantial damage. The kids told a story of a bus driver emptying the bus into a families basement to get out of the weather. It ended up cancelling school in 2 of the 3 NKY counties, and many schools were cancelled today because of flooding. It's been a wild couple of days here in Cincy/NKY.

[Fidatelo]

Originally Posted by nilodor

Shout out to Winnipeg in the latest XKCD what if?



Toaster vs. Freezer

Haha that's kind of awesome. It also feels self-evident to someone who has spent enough time in the cold, but I enjoyed reading the proper science behind it.

In severe weather news, this winter has been pretty weird here in the 'Peg. We've had a lot of abnormally warm weather, to the point that using the outside like a big extra freezer hasn't worked as well as normal (we put half of a DQ ice cream cake out on the top of the BBQ after my mom's birthday the other day only to find it all melted a couple days later). We also had a couple 10 day spells of brutal cold (-30ish) back around Christmas and a bit in January. But we have had very, very little of the -7 to -15 stuff, which is ultimately the best winter weather for actually doing winter things, like outdoor skating, tobogganing, etc. As an adult that isn't super outdoorsy I think I prefer it, but I sort of feel like it would suck if I was a kid.

[CrescentMoonie]

And here comes the mid March blizzard?

[Julio Riddols]

We were supposed to get 6 inches from it, but its all gone already.

[CrescentMoonie]

I almost want to wander up to Boston if this thing hits. I imagine St. Patrick's Day celebrations would be the perfect end to a couple of days of blizzard cleanup.

[Comey]

Originally Posted by CrescentMoonie

I almost want to wander up to Boston if this thing hits. I imagine St. Patrick's Day celebrations would be the perfect end to a couple of days of blizzard cleanup.

I'm going up there on Friday night, will be there through the weekend. Should be a great time.

[General Mike]

Hate snow. This was a relatively good winter, and now we get crapped on right at the end. Can't deal with it anymore.

[CrescentMoonie]

All the forecast models today were downgrading snow in the DC area, with my location being considered more likely to have sleet and freezing rain. While it's still too cold to stick, it's been snowing fairly hard for 45 minutes already.

[claphamsa]

WMATA has already gone to a weekend schedule tomorrow, that basically ties OPMs hands...

[Thomkal]

State of Emergency for all counties in NY, with 12-18 inches expected. Glad I don't live there right now

[JPhillips]

Originally Posted by Thomkal

State of Emergency for all counties in NY, with 12-18 inches expected. Glad I don't live there right now

18-24 for Orange County with snowfall rates of four inches an hour or more.

[CrescentMoonie]

I've got a niece up in Watertown now, we don't even mention snow to her.

[Comey]

Looking at 8-14 and up to 75 mph winds here along the CT shoreline. Good times. Statewide travel ban sets in at 5am tomorrow. So if you were inexplicably wishing to travel through Connecticut tomorrow, don't.

[Suicane75]

I am not looking forward to this.

[MrBug708]

It's been 90 here for the past couple of days and been miserable

[Thomkal]

Originally Posted by JPhillips

18-24 for Orange County with snowfall rates of four inches an hour or more.

oof

[Thomkal]

so how is everyone holding up? Friends and relatives in NY state reporting a foot or more-lots of pictures of buried cars on Facebook.

[claphamsa]

We got 2.5 inches snow and a ton of ice....But it's all melting now, but once either refreezes we could have days of ice. Then 60 on Saturday.

[CrescentMoonie]

Same here. The melting and refreezing is going to be the problem. Our total was less because it turned to sleet then rain for several hours, washing out some of the snow.

[henry296]

Completely missed here in Pittsburgh. At one point forecast was 4-8, barely even got an inch.

[claphamsa]

Originally Posted by CrescentMoonie

Same here. The melting and refreezing is going to be the problem. Our total was less because it turned to sleet then rain for several hours, washing out some of the snow.

pretty sure you are only like 20 miles from me.

[CrescentMoonie]

Originally Posted by claphamsa

pretty sure you are only like 20 miles from me.

I'm right across the street from the western border of Quantico.

[claphamsa]

oh, thats farther than i assume, maybe 60 miles. still close

[JPhillips]

Originally Posted by Thomkal

so how is everyone holding up? Friends and relatives in NY state reporting a foot or more-lots of pictures of buried cars on Facebook.

I'm guessing about 20 inches, but the blowing makes the total a little unreliable. It's a damn lot, that's for sure!

[General Mike]

Only 7 inches in Central New Jersey, but sleet mixed in to make for heavy shoveling snow.

[Thomkal]

Originally Posted by JPhillips

I'm guessing about 20 inches, but the blowing makes the total a little unreliable. It's a damn lot, that's for sure!

yeah have some friends in New Paltz area with 30 inches.

[Easy Mac]

They've let kids out of school early today due to severe weather/possible tornadoes. Is this a thing that has always happened?

They called for the same weather Monday and it was just steady rain with a few alleged tornadoes that did no damage. So far the same today.

I'm pretty much at the point to where I just assume the opposite of what the weather people say on TV. Tornadoes/hail/death, mild rain. Mild rain, hail. Snowstorm, maybe a dusting. Maybe a dusting, snowed under. The fact that most got their degrees from Mississippi State makes me not believe them.