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View Poll Results: What will the results be of the mid terms?
Red Wave- take control of both house and senate 23 50.00%
Blue Wave-keep control of both house and senate 4 8.70%
Split- Dems keep senate, lose house 19 41.30%
Split- Dems lose senate, take house 0 0%
Voters: 46. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 11-08-2022, 07:21 PM   #101
Lathum
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These Virginia numbers for congress are a really bad sign
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Old 11-08-2022, 07:35 PM   #102
Hillary Clinton
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Donald Trump was an illegitimate President, and I intend to challenge the 2016 result when the Supreme Court has a more favorable makeup. I can wait.
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Old 11-08-2022, 07:37 PM   #103
larrymcg421
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Key races on PredictIt right now

PA - Fetterman 55%
GA - Walker 53%
AZ - Kelly 61%
NV - Laxalt 71%
WI - Johnson 85%
OH - Vance 92%
Dem Senate - 37%
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Old 11-08-2022, 07:40 PM   #104
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Donald Trump was an illegitimate President, and I intend to challenge the 2016 result when the Supreme Court has a more favorable makeup. I can wait.

Meet me at the Olive Garden in Vienna, VA. We have some scheming to do. Bring cash, I'm using my Chase Reserve card to rack up some points.
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Old 11-08-2022, 07:45 PM   #105
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Holy crap. Mrs. Clinton, what is your opinion on trout and giant squid?

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Old 11-08-2022, 07:46 PM   #106
Hillary Clinton
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That works for me. I have a satanic child sex ring business that I run in a pizza restaurant nearby.

Last edited by Hillary Clinton : 11-08-2022 at 07:52 PM.
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Old 11-08-2022, 07:48 PM   #107
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Holy crap. Mrs. Clinton, what is your opinion on trout and giant squid?

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I prefer my squid to be collosal. I also admire and relate to trout, because they have to swim against the flow, just like a woman in politics in the United States.
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Old 11-08-2022, 07:49 PM   #108
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Old 11-08-2022, 07:52 PM   #109
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I prefer my squid to be collosal. I also admire and relate to trout, because they have to swim against the flow, just like a woman in politics in the United States.

How can I fudge a bank statement?
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Old 11-08-2022, 07:53 PM   #110
Hillary Clinton
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How can I fudge a bank statement?


Honestly, that's probably a question that Bill can answer better than I can.
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Old 11-08-2022, 07:54 PM   #111
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I feel like I just walked into one of those Conan sketches where he is interviewing someone on the TV screen and they replace the mouth to give goofy answers

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Old 11-08-2022, 07:55 PM   #112
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Is it true that Bill is both cocky and funny?

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Old 11-08-2022, 07:56 PM   #113
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Warnock is under 50% now. 1.5% lead with 52% of the vote in.

This is fine. There is no cause for alarm. I am composed and will not freak out at all.

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Old 11-08-2022, 07:56 PM   #114
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Is it true that Bill is both cocky and funny?

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"Bill, can you tell us about HornyManiac?"

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Old 11-08-2022, 07:56 PM   #115
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Is it true that Bill is both cocky and funny?

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Bill's definitely cocky, but I don't find him to be very funny.

Last edited by Hillary Clinton : 11-08-2022 at 07:57 PM.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:00 PM   #116
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The way that Steve Kornacki touches that big board makes me feel like a lusty young woman again.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:03 PM   #117
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Looks like Beto is done for
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:04 PM   #118
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Unfortunately losing and running again generally doesn't go well.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:05 PM   #119
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Walker just took the lead. I think that is the one that is the biggest gut punch. How anyone can vote for him is beyond me.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:05 PM   #120
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Good news from a GOP stronghold (Oconee County, Ga.). Walker is underperforming Loeffler by 2 points with 95% of the vote in. If that holds up state wide, it woukd be huge.

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Old 11-08-2022, 08:05 PM   #121
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Unfortunately losing and running again generally doesn't go well.


Just ask the Detroit Lions.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:07 PM   #122
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scratch that, big dump from Atlanta puts Warnock back up
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:07 PM   #123
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Agreed on Walker, but the last update apparently was big for Warnock; up to 51.5% again. In terms of why, it's the same old 'voting for the platform not the candidate' bit.

Last edited by Brian Swartz : 11-08-2022 at 08:08 PM.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:08 PM   #124
larrymcg421
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Warnock back ahead.

STOP THE COUNT
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:12 PM   #125
GrantDawg
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Warnock also out performing his run-off numbers in Dekalb County (really big suburban Atlanta county).

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Old 11-08-2022, 08:14 PM   #126
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Beasley is also out performing Biden in rural counties of North Carolina.

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Old 11-08-2022, 08:16 PM   #127
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Sarah Huckabee Sanders is now the governor-elect in Arkansas. That's going to be fun.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:17 PM   #128
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Honestly, that's probably a question that Bill can answer better than I can.

How was the sex with jbmagic?
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:17 PM   #129
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With 58% of the votes in, Warnock and Kemp have almost the exact number of votes.

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Old 11-08-2022, 08:19 PM   #130
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Beasley is also out performing Biden in rural counties of North Carolina.

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If she winds have to assume dems hold the senate
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:20 PM   #131
GrantDawg
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Btw, Abrams actually has more votes than Walker. The third party candidate is pulling 1.8% in the Senate race while the one on the governors race is only getting .6%.

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Old 11-08-2022, 08:25 PM   #132
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The NYT needle is down right now. Hard to make sense of the current numbers vs. expectations.

PredictIt still likes Walker.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:28 PM   #133
Hillary Clinton
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How was the sex with jbmagic?

ai not good
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:31 PM   #134
GrantDawg
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One analyst just said that Florida had a large shift right compared to 2020, but elsewhere so far the shift is only averaging less than a point.

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Old 11-08-2022, 08:35 PM   #135
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It is looking like all but one of those toss-up seats for Incumbent Democrats in Virgina have stayed blue. They just called for Spanbetger.

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Last edited by GrantDawg : 11-08-2022 at 08:35 PM.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:39 PM   #136
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Aaaaand Warnock is back under the 50% mark in Georgia. 71% in.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:39 PM   #137
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After a lot of bad news for the Democrats over the last month, today so far is looking better than it had. The biggest sign for me so far is the quick call on the Colorado Senate for Bennet.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:44 PM   #138
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The biggest sign for me so far is the quick call on the Colorado Senate for Bennet.

I haven't seen it called in several places yet, and no votes listed from Colorado Springs or Pueblo yet, two very red cities. It's highly unlikely that was ever going to be a competitive seat, but O'Dea might be closer than I thought.

edit: NOW it's being called. Like I said, not surprising, but I think the final result is gonna be closer than what I figured.

Last edited by Coffee Warlord : 11-08-2022 at 08:54 PM.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:44 PM   #139
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The NYT needle really likes Walker right now. It has him at 63%
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:45 PM   #140
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Does the needle have a 'runoff' option?
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:52 PM   #141
larrymcg421
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Does the needle have a 'runoff' option?

Doesn't look like it. They project Walker to win by 1.8 right now, so it depends on how much the Libertarian will get.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:55 PM   #142
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Super. And Walker re-takes the lead, both of them almost a full percent below the 50% mark. I have no idea where the remaining vote is, but I would bet on runoff at this point.
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Old 11-08-2022, 09:01 PM   #143
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Here's the needle if anyone wants to follow it...

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...-forecast.html

It has moved back towards Warnock a little bit. Walker now at 59%
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Old 11-08-2022, 09:03 PM   #144
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55% now. Crazy!
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Old 11-08-2022, 09:07 PM   #145
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I am not the needle, but I don't see it. There are large number of metro Atlanta votes yet to come that are goung to go very heavily Warnock.

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Old 11-08-2022, 09:08 PM   #146
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I mean, I hope you're right. I'm following the needle because they were the first indicators that Biden could win GA in 2020. That doesn't mean they'll be right again.
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Old 11-08-2022, 09:10 PM   #147
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FWIW, PredictIt now sees it the same way as you. Warnock is at .58 there
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Old 11-08-2022, 09:16 PM   #148
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Gwinnett is a very large county and only has 48% reporting. Doughtery is midsized County with only 8% reporting. Fulton, Cobb and Dekalb still have 30+%. Heck my county is less than 50, and it isn't small. They are all heavy Warnock.

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Last edited by GrantDawg : 11-08-2022 at 09:17 PM.
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Old 11-08-2022, 09:17 PM   #149
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I hope we'll eventually see exit polling that shows how GOP women voted. If things stay the way they look now I'd bet a lot of them stayed registered for the GOP but voted to some degree for Dems.
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Old 11-08-2022, 09:22 PM   #150
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Steve Kornacky is no way predicting but is suggesting that there is a slight possibility the Democrats hold the House. Possibly, maybe.

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Last edited by GrantDawg : 11-08-2022 at 09:34 PM.
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