OT - 2003/2004 UEFA Champions' Predictions Competition

[MIJB#19]

Originally Posted by MIJB#19

The draw for remaining rounds:
FC Porto vs Olympique Lyon
Milan AC vs Deportivo La Coruña
Real Madrid vs AS Monaco
Chelsea vs Arsenal
Porto/Lyon vs Milan/Deportivo
Madrid/Monaco vs Chelsea/Arsenal
Porto/Lyon/Milan/Deportivo vs Madrid/Monaco/Chelsea/Arsenal
See for your predictions below!

Last Eight Predictions
The predictions for the final stages can be made now!
Post your predicted semi finals and you predicted final, with in all games your winner listed first, preferably in the following format, which also represents my own prediction:
Milan AC > Olympique Lyon
Arsenal > Real Madrid
Arsenal > Milan AC

This still stands...

[daedalus]

Porto vs Lyon: Porto
Milan vs Deportivo: Milan
Real Madrid vs Monaco: Madrid
Chelsea vs Arsenal: Arsenal

Deportivo vs Porto: Porto
Madrid vs Arsenal: Arsenal

Arsenal vs Porto Arsenal

Okay, okay . . . I not THAT confident in the Gunners actually winning the whole thing, but I can at least hope!

[MIJB#19]

Overall Standings Going Into Quarter Finals
rk pt fofcer
01 27 pim
01 27 Scholes
03 26 Katon
04 25 Alf
05 24 atatange1
05 24 BreizhManu
05 24 ice4277
05 24 rufusjonz
09 22 daedalus
09 22 Neuqua
11 21 cornbreaD
11 21 klayman
13 20 cartman
13 20 condors
15 19 3ric
15 19 Critch
17 16 The Afoci
18 14 MIJB#19
18 14 JPhillips
20 12 ntdeacon

These are the current standings, but with 50 points maximum for the last three rounds, all is wide open for the victory. Included are only those people who already sroced points in the previous stages. Note that from the top 10 predictors, pim, ice4277, rufusjonz and Neuqua have no predictions in for the last stages.

[MIJB#19]

Dolabump?

With a lot of the top 10 after two stages not sending in their last eight predictions, I will keep bumping this thread up.
Especially since the next games are coming up in 36 hours.

[Alf]

You could always send PMs to every participant (it worked quite OK when I did it for Hattrick FOFC CUP V)

[MIJB#19]

That could work.
I hope they'll read them within 9 hours, or else they're unable to score points.

[ice4277]

Porto vs Lyon: Porto
Milan vs Deportivo: Milan
Real Madrid vs Monaco: Madrid
Chelsea vs Arsenal: Chelsea

Milan vs Porto: Milan
Madrid vs Chelsea: Madrid

Madrid vs Milan: Milan

[The Afoci]

FC Porto vs Olympique Lyon: Porto
Milan AC vs Deportivo La Coruña: Milan
Real Madrid vs AS Monaco: Madrid
Chelsea vs Arsenal: Chelsea

Porto vs Milan: Milan
Madrid vs Chelsea: Chelsea

Chelsea vs Milan: Milan

[Critch]

Porto vs Lyon: Porto
Milan vs Deportivo: Milan
Real Madrid vs Monaco: Madrid
Chelsea vs Arsenal: Arsenal

Milan vs Porto: Milan
Madrid vs Arsenal: Arsenal

Arsenal vs Milan: Milan

[MIJB#19]

I see PMing worked like a charm and 3 of the 9 absentees hve a late entry entered right on time.

[ice4277]

Originally Posted by MIJB#19

I see PMing worked like a charm and 3 of the 9 absentees hve a late entry entered right on time.

I like to consider myself a fashionably late-arriver

[Alf]

My Mian prediction did work OK yesterday whereas my Lyon prediction over Porto is far from being successful...

[Alf]

Originally Posted by Alf

FC Porto vs Olympique Lyon : Lyon
Milan AC vs Deportivo La Coruña : Milan
Real Madrid vs AS Monaco : : Real
Chelsea vs Arsenal : Arsenal

Milan over Lyon
Real over Arsenal

Real over Milan

MIJB, I thought you were asking for the losers of the game. I am perfect, no ?!

[MIJB#19]

Originally Posted by Alf

MIJB, I thought you were asking for the losers of the game. I am perfect, no ?!

Originally Posted by MIJB#19

Last Eight Predictions
The predictions for the final stages can be made now!
Post your predicted semi finals and you predicted final, with in all games your winner listed first, preferably in the following format, which also represents my own prediction:
Milan AC > Olympique Lyon
Arsenal > Real Madrid
Arsenal > Milan AC

I think you missed the point of th CL predictions competition.
Everybody knows I always go for long shots and end up at the bottom of the rankings, so going with the same 4 semi finalists as me means your chances are doomed to score points.

Or maybe I jinxed Milan, Lyon, Arsenal and Real Madrid by going for the more obvious once in a lifetime... Who knows?

[MIJB#19]

Originally Posted by MIJB#19

Overall Standings Going Into Quarter Finals
yadda-yadda

People, yesterday I figured out I made a small mistake in the calculation of points for the Round of 16, I forgot to include the outcomes of the Wednesday games in that round, meaning some people missed points, with a maximum of 8.

So, for what it's worth, here are the real scores after the Round of Sixteen:
rk pt fofcer
01 35 pim
01 35 Scholes
03 33 Alf
04 32 BreizhManu
04 32 ice4277
04 32 Katon
04 32 rufusjonz
08 30 daedalus
09 28 atatange1
09 28 cartman
09 28 condors
12 27 3ric
12 27 klayman
14 22 MIJB#19
14 22 Neuqua
16 21 cornbreaD
17 19 Critch
17 16 The Afoci
19 14 JPhillips
20 12 ntdeacon

Also, with 8 potential scenario's left for the remaining rounds, I will calculate the final standings in any possible situation, but this will follow later.

[Crapshoot]

Im glad I picked Porto to go all the way- they look good. Of course, given the league so far- who the hell knows anymore ?

[MIJB#19]

I forgot to supply the points base for the quarter finals and on.
They are as follows:
Predict a team will win the CL and they win the CL, you will get 13 points
Predict a team will win the CL and they lose in the final, you will get 6 points
Predict a team will win the CL and they reach the semi's, you will get 2 points
Predict a team will win the CL and they lose now, you will get 0 points
Predict a team will lose in the final and they win the CL, you will get 6 points
Predict a team will lose in the final and they lose in the final, you will get 11 points
Predict a team will lose in the final and they reach the semi's, you will get 3 points
Predict a team will lose in the final and they lose now, you will get 0 points
Predict a team will reach the semi's and they win the CL, you will get 2 points
Predict a team will reach the semi's and they lose in the final, you will get 2 points
Predict a team will reach the semi's and they reach the semi's, you will get 7 points
Predict a team will reach the semi's and they lose now, you will get 0 points
Predict a team will lose now and they win the CL, you will get 0 points
Predict a team will lose now and they lose in the final, you will get 0 points
Predict a team will lose now and they reach the semi's, you will get 0 points
Predict a team will lose now and they lose now, you will get 3 points


[Spoiler alert!]
So maybe, I shouldn't spoil the final stages, but there are only 2 competitors left for the 2003/2004 title, where Deportivo reaching the final hands Scholes the victory and a victorious Porto giving BreizhManu the overall win.
Second place has a similiar situation, with Daedalus taking it if Porto reaches the final, Klayman claiming silver if Chelsea beats Deportivo in the final and otherwise Ice4277 taking silver.
Bronze is for Scholes if the final reads Porto-Chelsea, Atatange1 takes the medal with Monaco beating Deportivo, Ice4277 takes it witch Porto-Monaco playing and if Chelsea beats Deportivo, while Klayman takes bronze in the other two situations being Deportivo over Chelsea and Monaco over Deportivo.
Fourth place will be Scholes' with Porto-Monaco, Ice4277's with Porto-Chelsea, BreizhManu's with Chelsea-Deportivo, but Atatange1 has the better odds with a Deportivo-Chelsea final and if Monaco beats Deportivo, while Klayman ranks here with Deportivo beating Monaco.
Fifth place is Klayman's with a Chelsea-Porto final, Atatange1's with Porto reaching the final, BreizhManu's with a Monaco-Deportivo matchup.

So it's clear there are only 6 contestants for the top 5 spots left.
For all, their best possible final rankings are:
BriezhManu - 1st if Porto reaches the final
Scholes - 1st if Deportivo reaches the final
Daedalus - 2nd if Porto reaches the final
Ice4277 - 2nd if Monaco-Deportivo is the final or if Deportivo beats Chelsea
Klayman - 2nd if Chelsea beats Deportivo
Atatange1 - 3rd if Monaco beats Deportivo
Katon - 6th with Deportivo in the final
Cartman - 6th with Deportivo losing the final
Pim - 8th if Porto reaches the final
The Afoci - 8th if Chelsea loses the final
3ric - 8th if Deportivo beats Monaco
Alf - 10th with Porto-Monaco or Chelsea beating Porto
Rufusjonz - 11th with Porto-Monaco or Chelsea beating Porto
Condors - 13rd with a Porto-Monaco final
Critch - 14th if Deportivo reaches the final
Aadik - 15th if Porto takes the trophy
MIJB#19 - 16th if Porto doesn't win it all
Neuqua - 16th if Porto doesn't win it all
ConrbreaD - 18th if Porto doesn't win it all
JPhilips - 19th with Deportivo in the final
Ntdeacon - 19th with Deportivo in the final

[Alf]

Impressive work as usual my friend !

[klayman]

great summary MIJB!

[rufusjonz]

I missed a couple rounds , but i was doing so well i wanted to finish it out if possible.

Chelsea - Monaco -- winner: Chelski
FC Porto -- Deportivo La Coruna -- winner: Deportivo

Deportivo - Chelsea -- winner CHELSEA!

[BreizhManu]

Go Porto !

I want to keep my title

[MIJB#19]

Well, beware, you never know when it turns out I made another mistake in my calculations.
So for now, the odds seem clear, but you never know for sure when the final scores are revealed.

To Rufusjonz,
Sorry, but I think it's a little bit late to let people in this late at the stages, after I send PMs 9 hours before the deadline (which was not my original plan), but mostly because my spreadsheet is not prepared for entries for only the semi's and final round, so if I want to add your predictions, I'd have to temper with the spreadsheet, which I feel negative about.
So, sorry.
But your predictions still stand as out of competition obviously, especially if you don't edit your post later on.

[Scholes]

Go Deportivo!

I want the title!

BTW, kind of a lack of the big guns in the semis this season, eh?

No Milan, Real, Bayern, Man U, Juventus, Valencia, etc.

[Scholes]

Noooooooo!!!!!!!!! My title hopes dashed on a penalty.... oh well. I gave it a good run.

[fantastic flying froggies]

Looks like Manu wins it all...

[BreizhManu]

as usual

[BreizhManu]

The 2 finalists : Monaco and Porto

Deportivo 0 - Porto 1
Chelsea 2 - Monaco 2

[MIJB#19]

Congrats Breizh!
Finals rankings 1 through 14 have been given away, only the 15th place is still on the block (as are all those rankings from 16 and down...)

[klayman]

Congrats Breizh.

[daedalus]

Good show, Manuel.