10-29-2006, 05:48 PM | #1501 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2003
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Quote:
FYI, I changed my vote from LSG to SnDvls before I read your vote. If you see the LSG post I quoted with my vote, you'll see that's where I was in thread. I hadn't gotten to your post before replying. |
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10-29-2006, 05:49 PM | #1502 | |
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Quote:
I find it unlikely that chief is umbrella just because he could have saved Lathum and purposely didn't. He could have done what others did and vote the easy way out with a third party candidate, leaving the vote with Lathum in the lead as well and putting the ball in ntndeacon's court. Instead Chief made the conscious decision to lynch Lathum regardless of what ntndeacon voted , lAthum would be lynched. I have a hard time believing Chief is umbrella from that vote. It doesnt say anything about him being a zombie or not however. I find it weird that you are using his late votes as an arguement against him though. I mean its not like Chief doesn't have a well established job cycle that -always- puts him in at that time of night over the course of several games. Could he be using it to his advantage this game as a zombie? Sure. But its weird you are using that as an arguement against him here. |
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10-29-2006, 05:52 PM | #1503 | |
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My comment was more directed at chief than you in the sense he went ahead and put the vote in for sndvls before admittedtly doing the research to backup what i had said in the thread previously. |
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10-29-2006, 05:54 PM | #1504 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Spleen, are you moving the vote because you believe SnDvls is Umbrella/Zombie or out of self-preservation? Either is a fine reason, but you didn't list either when you changed the vote.
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10-29-2006, 05:57 PM | #1505 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Alan, I'm looking at the Chief vote because he initially voted for Cronin. If he had come in and voted for Lathum, without first voting for the other player, then I would have not given it a second thought.
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10-29-2006, 06:02 PM | #1506 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Re-read my post on the "late" votes - I said that I do not equate it to the Glen/Fouts mirror votes because the votes are coming in late. Two separate points.
1st point - that two people who are in same faction are unlikely to have mirror votes. After raising that I saw that Chief's votes this game were identical to my own. I went on to note that his votes were coming late, so he was usually putting a vote on a clear leader rather than deciding votes with the Lathum vote as an exception 2nd point - I asked about Chief initially voting for Cronin, before switching to Lathum and brought up thoughts on what that could mean in terms of his faction. There was never a point saying "Chief is voting late, that isn't like him" |
10-29-2006, 06:02 PM | #1507 | |
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I was hardly the only one looking at st. cronin. He got a lot of votes on Days 1 and 2, and then got lynched on Day 3. If you're looking at me for voting for cronin when it turns out he was STARS, you have a lot of other suspects to look at--including yourself. I voted on my gut there. st cronin struck me as off on Day 2, and I saw there was merit in Alan's plan that day, based on the presence of a PC. That theory has since been somewhat disproven, but there was some validity to it on Day Two and into Day Three as well.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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10-29-2006, 06:03 PM | #1508 |
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10-29-2006, 06:06 PM | #1509 | |
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Quote:
1st point-- two people in the same faction who can PM each other and have reason to hide their association with each other would avoid mirror votes. Since you and I are very likely both STARS with no PM abilities and just going on our guts and analysis, I would say there is little significance to the mirror votes other than that we obviously somewhat think alike (at least in this game). 2nd point-- I have addressed the cronin vote before and just did again above. Given what I knew then at the deadline of Day Two, I still would have prefered cronin over Lathum. If Lathum telegraphed his Umbrella-ness, I missed it. I only switched to Lathum for the reason mentioned: a tie would hurt us badly.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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10-29-2006, 06:07 PM | #1510 |
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Appleton, WI
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Unvote LoneStarGirl
Vote Spleen I said they were both at the same point on my suspicion list, and I thought their fight was staged. Spleen was the first of the two to do what I expected, so I'm giving him my vote. |
10-29-2006, 06:11 PM | #1511 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
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(3) Sndvls - Alan (1484), sndvls (1491), spleen (1497)
(3) Spleen - Lonestargirl (1448), Hoopsguy (1469), BrianD (1510) (1) Lonestargirl - mr.wednesday (1488) |
10-29-2006, 06:11 PM | #1512 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Chief, people should be asking questions about my votes as well as they sort through their vote today. I feel like I have bigger concerns than your vote on Day 2 today but I had not seen anyone offer any thoughts about your play (or lack of it, depending on viewpoint) this game.
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10-29-2006, 06:30 PM | #1513 | |
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Fresno, CA
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Quote:
I have explained my votes for snDvls a couple of times. On day two, the only one of the very visible posters I was comfortable to vote for was Alan. I didn't really have that option. I didn't follow the Lathum logic, so I wanted to stay away from that vote. snDvls pops off with something I found suspicious. Much more suspicion that either of the others receiving votes. On day three, I entered the day leaning toward trusting Hoops and Cronin, they got pitted against each other and left me, essentially clueless. I misinterpreted a revisit of the snDvls activity on Day 2, and did exactly what snDvls did the day before. I voted along with a misstatement. Since I still wasn't completely satisfied with snDvls explanation, I went with him again. I'm ok with the UtR approach, as I do believe that Alan is probably Umbrella so shouldn't be targetted for a while. Hoops could be Umbrella as well, the two of them driving discussion with the goal of eliminating as many stars as possible. Both of those are fairly bold plays, especially for a zombie. So while I dont think they are stars, I think the chance either or both of them being zombies is remote. So I'm unhappy with either of the two people I feel like I have a reasonable handle on. snDvls was suspicious on Day 2. But that hasn't been fleshed out much. I've got to take off for a bit, but will be back in an hour or so. I'm going to vote snDvls and see what happens. I'm not emphatic about this vote and can be swayed. We need something to go on. If nothing develops I'm seriously tempted to vote Alan or Hoops, if we can't actually get a head of steam worked up on a UtR. That is somewhat motivated so that I know NOW, rather than later, how they played everyone. I'm starting to fear that a few strong personalities drove false conversation to prevent a real effective CoT from forming. This angle also goes back to sort of an Occam's razor thought. maybe that isn't right. Maybe it goes to a bird in the hand is better than one in the bush? Alan has a good chance of being evil, and slight chance of being a zombie. I'd rather hit him rather than someone who is almost randomly selected. |
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10-29-2006, 06:31 PM | #1514 | |
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I understand that. As I have suggested, I have been a little surprised to not have come up more often in any UTR discussions. I was often fearing I would have to defend myself the past few days, but not much ever was coming at me. I guess it is better now to be here and able to respond to anything than to start a new work week tomorrow and go into daytime disappear mode again, when I might become a lynch target and unable to respond until near deadline.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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10-29-2006, 06:35 PM | #1515 |
Unregistered
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10-29-2006, 06:38 PM | #1516 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Here is what I have for current votes:
(4) Spleen - LSG (1448), Hoops (1469), MrW (1488), BrianD (1510) (4) SnDvls - AlanT (1484), Rum (1491), Spleen (1497), Glen (1513) |
10-29-2006, 06:39 PM | #1517 |
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Join Date: Dec 2002
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I think I chose poorly in my choice on who to vote for between Sndvls and Glengoyne.
I don't really like Glen's explanations about his vote for Sndvls or really about much of anything. If I change my vote to him at this point though, it ties things back up and its a throw away vote unless others switch to him. So I'll just stay here, but right now I think Glen feels more suspicious to me than Sndvls now. |
10-29-2006, 06:41 PM | #1518 | |
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Quote:
Mr.W voted for Lonestargirl, not spleen. (4) Sndvls - Alan (1484), chiefrum (1491), spleen (1497), Glengoyne (1513) (3) Spleen - Lonestargirl (1448), Hoopsguy (1469), BrianD (1510) (1) Lonestargirl - mr.wednesday (1488) |
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10-29-2006, 06:50 PM | #1519 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Glen, I think the only way that it doesn't come out today that Alan is Umbrella/STARS is if the Internal Affairs guy was converted last night.
There is a real chance of that having happened - something along the lines of 1/9 or 1/10 (they could have converted an Umbrella)? But if it has, then we are screwed. So I read this that no one coming out against Alan puts me in a position where I have to trust Alan today. If you think Alan and I are Umbrella, and we are the players you have a handle on, then I think it make sense to go the opposite of where you go, frankly. |
10-29-2006, 06:51 PM | #1520 |
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Bleh, still 4 hours. Might as well.
At least I know you aren't IA so no risk killing the seer accidentally from being UtR Unvote Sndvls Vote Glengoyne |
10-29-2006, 06:55 PM | #1521 |
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For the past two days i have been saying that SNDVLS had to be bad, but Spleen obviously is too, so i am going to stick with spleen unless it looks like a tie is going to happen.
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10-29-2006, 07:44 PM | #1522 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
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And a hush has fallen over the crowd.
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10-29-2006, 07:44 PM | #1523 | |
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Fresno, CA
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Quote:
I was wondering where you were going when you were saying that Alan was as close as you could imagine coming back clean. I guess that I wasn't even all that concerned with that opinion, since I don't have all of the warm fuzzies coming back on you. On day two, I was pretty firmly reading you as stars, even getting the seer vibe. I was preparing to follow your votes, until you flipped on Cronin. That had me questioning everything I had previously assessed. If no one else is poking holes in your theory, I'll back off pushing for Alan's head before yours. I wouldn't expect me to drop it entirely, as I think I've mentioned before that one of my weaknesses is that I hold tightly to my own theories, even in the face of apparent evidence to the contrary. |
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10-29-2006, 07:50 PM | #1524 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Quote:
LSG, first of all, I don't think you're bad. But I really wish you would give some reasoning behind your thoughts. When you say something like the above about SnDvls, it just comes off as a hit and run attack with nothing behind it. Personally, it really tends to make me discount your posts, and I think you're better at this than that.
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10-29-2006, 07:53 PM | #1525 |
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Glen, I wish that someone had come out and said Alan was Umbrella or Zombie. I had advocated having Internal Affairs come out today regardless of what faction Alan was associated with, but everyone has checked in and no one has staked a claim. I would think they would almost have to do it with Alan being anything but STARS.
I sincerely wish that I was a seer role - I can guarantee that this game would have gone much differently, for better or worse if I had either of those roles. Hopefully whoever does will explain in the post-game what their thought process was because I've been just baffled by their play up to this point. The vote this afternoon feels overly random and subject to manipulation, but I don't know how to avoid that at this point. Hopefully Umbrella is equally committed to helping us get a Zombie today. |
10-29-2006, 07:54 PM | #1526 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Now, I don't get the SnDvls vibe that many are talking about. He's quiet, yes, and that's not helping a ton, but other than the odd post on day 2 I haven't seen anything to make me suspect him.
Spleen I suspect because of the difference in style/post counts, and I agree with what BrianD said about the attack on LSG seeming a bit forced. One way or another, I do not believe for a moment that he is stars. The problem I have is that I'm not sure he's a zombie either -- I just get Umbrella off of him.
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We have always been at war with Eastasia. |
10-29-2006, 07:57 PM | #1527 | |
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Quote:
I'm assuming at this point that Alan is stars because there has been nothing come out to the contrary. It's really making me rethink a lot of things, because I would have sworn he was Umbrella.......which also tells me that my analysis is not very good this game.
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10-29-2006, 07:58 PM | #1528 |
Coordinator
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I better get a vote in. This could change. I've given my reasons a couple times.
Vote Spleen
__________________
We have always been at war with Eastasia. |
10-29-2006, 08:02 PM | #1529 |
College Starter
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: California
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Since day 2 I have been thinking that SnDvls is Umbrella. If you look back, he was trying to divert attention away from Lathum. That is why I have been voting for him.
I have no idea on the way spleen has played. He has been very UtR up until now. The question is, do I vote for a probable Umbrella, or a shot in the dark at spleen? |
10-29-2006, 08:02 PM | #1530 |
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3 hours to go
(3) SnDvls - Chief Rum (1491), spleen (1497), glengoyne (1513) (1) lonestargirl - Mr Wednesday (1488) (4) spleen - lonestargirl (1448), hoopsguy (1469), BrianD (1511), path12 (1528) (1) glengoyne - Alan T (1520) |
10-29-2006, 08:05 PM | #1531 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Fouts, can you reference posts where SnDvls was trying to divert attention from Lathum? When he cast his vote for Alan on Day 2 there was not a single vote on Lathum.
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10-29-2006, 08:11 PM | #1532 |
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10-29-2006, 08:12 PM | #1533 |
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The game is slowing down, so I'm about to liven it up some.
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10-29-2006, 08:15 PM | #1534 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
I don't get the response here. Are you suggesting he was diverting attention from the guy with zero votes by voting for one of the people in a 4-4 tie? Looking forward to something that livens up the game. |
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10-29-2006, 08:15 PM | #1535 |
College Starter
Join Date: Nov 2003
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I am Internal Affairs. My initial thoughts were to stay alive for 4-5 days and build up a list of cleared subjects, or hit a zombie. I wanted to scan some UtR people for the endgame, figuring those in the spotlight would be killed or stay alive and be proven a bad guy.
I think we are at a point where a cleared list will help us win the game. Alas, I have not hit a zombie, but my list might help us narrow it down. I don't expect to live past the next night or two. There are 12 players left, I am about to give you 5 non-zombies. |
10-29-2006, 08:16 PM | #1536 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2003
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Quote:
While, I would like to stay in the game, I'm just an everyday, run of the mill STARS member. Me being out of the game does nothing but help the Zombies. So, self preservation is not what I was thinking. I wanted to get LSG to talk a bit. I never intending on her being my final vote. So, I switched it to someone that has reasons to be voted for. One of the reasons I'm not all that active with posting this game is because I haven't picked up on as much as everyone. So, I figure it is safe just to be quiet. Also, if I play more in the future, I don't want there to be a pattern of the way I play. There is someone in this game that knows I am telling the truth about my allegiance. So, if you vote for me, then you are not STARS in my mind. |
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10-29-2006, 08:18 PM | #1537 |
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Make that 4 people, my bad.
non-Zombies; LSG SnDvls Hoopsguy and of course, Fouts. Some of those may, in fact, be Umbrella. |
10-29-2006, 08:22 PM | #1538 |
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Fouts, why would you not have scanned Alan by now? I assume you picked me instead of him?
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10-29-2006, 08:25 PM | #1539 | |
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Quote:
Alan seemed pretty obvious Umbrella to me. He is continually putting up Stars members. I put him on the Umbrella seer role. I thought knowing your affinity would prove a lot to me, as you kept asking for a role reveal. I would rather have scanned path or glen, but you were in the forefront. |
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10-29-2006, 08:25 PM | #1540 |
General Manager
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Can you go through your thought process for who to scan each night?
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10-29-2006, 08:27 PM | #1541 |
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10-29-2006, 08:29 PM | #1542 |
College Starter
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2.5 hours to use my information.
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10-29-2006, 08:29 PM | #1543 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2003
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We know that SnDvls is not a zombie per Fouts, assuming Fouts isn't lying. So, I'm not going to vote for SnDvls. He not someone I need dead to win the game.
Glengoyne has voted for SnDvls 2 days in a row. path's votes have also been following the crowd. I think he needs to be watched as well. UNVOTE SnDvls VOTE Glengoyne |
10-29-2006, 08:29 PM | #1544 |
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So people can adequately assess your claim. I would not be shocked if someone emerged to dispute you in this role.
Also, did you list them in the order you scanned them? That is important for considering a conversion. |
10-29-2006, 08:30 PM | #1545 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2003
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If you are STARS, do not vote for me. I am on your side, I promise you.
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10-29-2006, 08:30 PM | #1546 |
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Hmm, I was already pretty sure Hoops and Fouts were non-zombies. If this reveal is true, I am disappointed to see SnDvls and LSG cleared--they semeed very suspicious to me, and that throws things into heck a bit for me.
What is the going thoughts on spleen? I know the back and forth between him and LSG seemed odd earlier today, and, regardless of what he says, he is playing this game much different than before. I am leaning to believing Fouts, and if so, then I think I should not vote for SnDvls, but then who do I vote for? Fouts, if you were going to check out UTR players, why hoops? At this point, I kinda wish you had investigated Alan. His actions have driven a lot of actions in this game.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
10-29-2006, 08:31 PM | #1547 | |
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Quote:
Go ahead and watch me. But don't lie about me. I was the first vote on the only bad guy we've gotten so far. You really hate it when I vote for you.
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We have always been at war with Eastasia. |
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10-29-2006, 08:31 PM | #1548 | |
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Quote:
Looks like asked and answered.
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10-29-2006, 08:33 PM | #1549 |
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Night 1 - LSG. I wanted to scan a known UtR for endgame purposes. She made a couple flippant comments about people, and her comment about not voting for bullet because she didn't want to sealed the deal.
Night 2 - SnDvls. I was very suspicous of his hit and run, and other things small things he has said. Also, he was playing a lot quieter than past games. Night 3 - Hoops. Had to choose either Alan or Hoops here to make sure things progress. Hoops seemed more zombie-like as Alan was playing an Umbrella and too up in our face to be a zombie. I wanted to wait one more night, but I didn't like the direction of tonights vote and thought I might be a target of the zombies soon anyway. |
10-29-2006, 08:35 PM | #1550 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2003
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Quote:
You got me there. You voted as part of the crowd. Poor choice of words on my part. Honestly, I'm not paying attention to who is voting for me. I just put you out there after looking at voting history. |
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