06-12-2009, 10:43 AM | #1551 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Our wolves must be among the following:
BK, saldana, lerriuqs, USFLTecmo, MartinD, The Jackal, Render and SnDvls Three are wolves. We'll have another cleared tomorrow, presuming the BG protects me. If Lathum reveals a BG, the BG will die tonight, but we'll have another cleared player. Hopefully it is someone on the list above.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
06-12-2009, 10:43 AM | #1552 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Buffalo, NY
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wow, now thats a CoT of 5. Controlling interest anyone? =)
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06-12-2009, 10:43 AM | #1553 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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06-12-2009, 10:44 AM | #1554 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Good list, Jackal, thanks.
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06-12-2009, 10:44 AM | #1555 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Autumn and CR -- can you guys explain your mild trust of RendeR and SnDvls? It strikes me as odd that you both have those two in that category.
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06-12-2009, 10:44 AM | #1556 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Wolves, I was blocked last night attempting to kill CR, you should have a free kill on him tonight barring any unseen roll/ mechanic.
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06-12-2009, 10:45 AM | #1557 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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06-12-2009, 10:45 AM | #1558 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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06-12-2009, 10:46 AM | #1559 | |
H.S. Freshman Team
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Madison, Wisconsin
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Quote:
I wish I had time for this at the moment, but can we get voting records on the eight listed here? It might point us towards someone else that looks off. |
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06-12-2009, 10:46 AM | #1560 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
I was pretty sure you knew. I actually dropped a ton of hints. I thought the wolves would come after me last night. I was also pretty sure Lathum would come after me. Clearly, the BG made a good guess, too. Although that's a bit of a quandary now. I can't be protected tonight.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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06-12-2009, 10:48 AM | #1561 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
BK gets some suspicion for having been "cleared" by Lathum the fake seer, though that doesn't mean much. Saldana and SnDvls have been on my radar the whole game but I don't have anything new or that telling to say there. USFL was the quiet guy Tyrith pointed us towards instead of SnDvls which makes me feel slightly better about him. Lerriuqs seems to be encouraging us this morning not to have a runaway on Lathum which could be a wolf ploy to hope to fix the vote at the end. That's all I have at first thought. |
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06-12-2009, 10:51 AM | #1562 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
Yeah, that's probably a good revision. BK I am a little torn on. It depends on how you read Lathum's actions. On Day One, he came out hard on BK, and then did the turnaround on Day Two. The suggestion is he read BK as a wolf with his first scan. But then would Lathum have even brought up BK in his lie reveal if that were true? He knew from the second he revealed that he would be found out, and his "scans" parsed in the aftermath. So if BK is really a wolf, why put the target on him? And that's on top of BK making what would be the odd move in nominating Schmidty right away. So I am leaning against voting BK at the moment, actually. Maybe put him in a TBD department. saldana's a good choice.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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06-12-2009, 10:51 AM | #1563 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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06-12-2009, 10:52 AM | #1564 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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Quote:
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06-12-2009, 10:52 AM | #1565 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2001
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vote jail lathum
he's just stiring up trouble, but we could use his numbers later on if needed. Pass can always off him in jail if needed too and we'd still get a lynch vote with Pass offing him in jail. |
06-12-2009, 10:53 AM | #1566 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Conyers GA
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Quote:
You couldn't have done this one day earlier? Bah! |
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06-12-2009, 10:55 AM | #1567 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Could Lathum have changed position on BK because he knew that BK was a wolf, and the wolves would not kill him if he turned in this way -- accusing a wolf, then changing his tune to thinking he was good? This way, he tips his hat that he's the seer to villagers, but the wolves wouldn't really think that's possible?
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06-12-2009, 10:55 AM | #1568 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
This doesn't save us any time as we still have to vote to jail him. In addition, we don't know what his hidden conversion mechanic is, he may already be converted. |
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06-12-2009, 10:57 AM | #1569 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Final Day 1 Vote Count:
Pass Jail - 10 - Clap (222), USFL (253), MartinD (261), Hoops (300), path12 (344), Tyrith (366), lerriuqs (372), Pass (380), Jackal (383), BK (395) BK Jail - 8 - Lathum (177), Render (210), SnDvLs (233), DT (235), saldana (278), CR (295), Danny (349), Kwhit (369) KWhit Jail - 2 - Autumn (254), Telle (320) KWhit Lynch - 1 - Schmidty (298) Day 2 Final Vote Count: Abe/Clap Jail - 5 - USFL (528), Telle (618), DT (624), CR (626), KWhit (666) BK Jail - 4 - Lathum (497), MartinD (527), Sndvls (532), lerriuqs (547) Abe/Clap Lynch - 3 - Saldana (503), The Jackal (560), BK (698) Pass Jail - 3 - Tyrith (718), Autumn (770), RendeR (783) USFL Lynch - 2 - Path (557), Schmidty (558) KWhit Lynch - 1 - Clap (656) Telle Jail - 1 - Danny (736) Final Day 3 Vote Count: Abe Jail - 6 - RendeR (1056), CR (1060), Jackal (1063), lerriuqs (1065), KWhit (1095), DT (1168) Abe Lynch - 4 - Path (1042), Martin (1045), USFLTecmo (1074), BK (1108) Autumn Lynch - 4 - SnDvls (1050), Lathum (1077), Saldana (1178), Pass (1194) DaddyTorgo Jail - 3 - Autumn (1087), Abe (1112), Telle (1126) Day 4 Final Vote Count: KWhit Lynch - 14 - Lathum (1258), Pass (1321), Autumn (1323), Lerriuqs (1326), SnDvls (1328), Path (1338), CR (1342), USFL (1350), Saldana (1359), Jackal (1377), Telle (1382), Barkeep (1397), MartinD (1435), RendeR (1440) Lathum Lynch - 1- KWhit (1380) |
06-12-2009, 10:57 AM | #1570 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
I'm not saying it definitely is. But on a day where we have a known bad guy on the block, introducing any other votes makes it possible that somehow or other we don't manage to vote Lathum out today. A voting record of a known bad guy against a new target isn't going to help us much, but it introduces the possibolity that Lathum escapes justice. |
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06-12-2009, 10:57 AM | #1571 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2001
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damn...let me fix that
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06-12-2009, 10:59 AM | #1572 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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Quote:
If he was blocked - he's not converted as per the rules. If he was converted and then blocked, he'd be dead. |
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06-12-2009, 10:59 AM | #1573 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
For Render, it is largely his continued support of jailing even yesterday. KWhit was jail supporter #1, but Render was right there. Plus, I have a good vibe off his play. With SnDvls, it's mostly been vibe. He has made the same reads on things I have, which hints that he's looking at it from the same perspective, and since I'm the seer, I figure that's a good thing. Plus, I thought he was unfairly targeted early on, and there wasn't a lot of support fighting him off as a target when that happened, as there would have been with four wolves around. BTW, my assumption is four wolves to start the game. So adjust that number to whatever you feel meshes with your view.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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06-12-2009, 11:00 AM | #1574 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Ok this made me snort pepsi... |
06-12-2009, 11:01 AM | #1575 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Lerriuqs, I believe we don't know what his conversion mechanic is once the Dark One is gone. It may be something that can still be fulfilled even if he's sent to jail.
In addition, we don't know that he was really blocked, that could be more BS. Notice he didn't reveal who his target was until after CR revealed. |
06-12-2009, 11:01 AM | #1576 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Lerriuqs, I believe we don't know what his conversion mechanic is once the Dark One is gone. It may be something that can still be fulfilled even if he's sent to jail.
In addition, we don't know that he was really blocked, that could be more BS. Notice he didn't reveal who his target was until after CR revealed. |
06-12-2009, 11:02 AM | #1577 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Final Day 1 Vote Count:
Pass Jail - 10 - Clap (222), USFL (253), MartinD (261), Hoops (300), path12 (344), Tyrith (366), lerriuqs (372), Pass (380), Jackal (383), BK (395) BK Jail - 8 - Lathum (177), Render (210), SnDvLs (233), DT (235), saldana (278), CR (295), Danny (349), Kwhit (369) KWhit Jail - 2 - Autumn (254), Telle (320) KWhit Lynch - 1 - Schmidty (298) Day 2 Final Vote Count: Abe/Clap Jail - 5 - USFL (528), Telle (618), DT (624), CR (626), KWhit (666) BK Jail - 4 - Lathum (497), MartinD (527), Sndvls (532), lerriuqs (547) Abe/Clap Lynch - 3 - Saldana (503), The Jackal (560), BK (698) Pass Jail - 3 - Tyrith (718), Autumn (770), RendeR (783) USFL Lynch - 2 - Path (557), Schmidty (558) KWhit Lynch - 1 - Clap (656) Telle Jail - 1 - Danny (736) Final Day 3 Vote Count: Abe Jail - 6 - RendeR (1056), CR (1060), Jackal (1063), lerriuqs (1065), KWhit (1095), DT (1168) Abe Lynch - 4 - Path (1042), Martin (1045), USFLTecmo (1074), BK (1108) Autumn Lynch - 4 - SnDvls (1050), Lathum (1077), Saldana (1178), Pass (1194) DaddyTorgo Jail - 3 - Autumn (1087), Abe (1112), Telle (1126) Day 4 Final Vote Count: KWhit Lynch - 14 - Lathum (1258), Pass (1321), Autumn (1323), Lerriuqs (1326), SnDvls (1328), Path (1338), CR (1342), USFL (1350), Saldana (1359), Jackal (1377), Telle (1382), Barkeep (1397), MartinD (1435), RendeR (1440) Lathum Lynch - 1- KWhit (1380) |
06-12-2009, 11:03 AM | #1578 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
Only thing is he didn't start the game knowing any wolves. He wouldn't have known BK was a wolf on Day One, when he came after him strongest.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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06-12-2009, 11:04 AM | #1579 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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Quote:
Why would he BS about that? He's the cultist, he wants the wolves to win. If they get the seer today, it's a huge help - he doesn't have to lie about that and the BG doesn't have to show regardless. |
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06-12-2009, 11:06 AM | #1580 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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Quote:
Except Lathum isn't an unknown, we can always get him tomorrow. But if some late shenanigans happen, you get a helluva lot more information than from a runaway. |
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06-12-2009, 11:07 AM | #1581 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
I think if his plan was to scan him N1, and he was a villager, he would just keep attacking, instead of backing off. Although, looking at the vote log, did he really vote BK on D2? |
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06-12-2009, 11:07 AM | #1582 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2001
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this list is w/ CR's list added COT FYI
Quote:
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06-12-2009, 11:08 AM | #1583 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
Frankly I'm not going to claim to be able to think as deviously as Lathum. So, I'm not sure. But I think it's possible he's just trying to mislead us more. If he doesn't have a night kill or conversion ability yet he may fake it just to freak us out. Perhaps he's simply trying to keep us from leaving him alone and lynching a wolf instead. I just don't want to operate on any basis htat starts with the assumption "What Lathum said was correct." |
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06-12-2009, 11:08 AM | #1584 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
He did but he said it was because he wanted him to get King scanned so we could make him the second king. |
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06-12-2009, 11:09 AM | #1585 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
I lean towards BS myself. With Pass out there, and the prison, it wouldn't have made much sense for the BG to protect me last night (someone he wasn't sure his allegiance).
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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06-12-2009, 11:09 AM | #1586 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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SnDvls, Path should be marked in blue as well.
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06-12-2009, 11:10 AM | #1587 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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06-12-2009, 11:11 AM | #1588 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
Also, the good news is that if I'm killed, you'll absolutely know I'm a villager, and therefore you'll be 100% sure that Abe is good. |
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06-12-2009, 11:12 AM | #1589 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2001
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06-12-2009, 11:12 AM | #1590 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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well, I have to go fix a toilet seat. have fun!
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06-12-2009, 11:14 AM | #1591 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2001
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06-12-2009, 11:15 AM | #1592 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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BK's allegiance is the only one that unlocks a lot of voting information, so I'd be likely to vote for him tomorrow I think.
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06-12-2009, 11:18 AM | #1593 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
You're right though, it wouldn't make sense for Lathum to mislead the wolves. Assuming he's a cultist. If he's a wolf he may simply be playing the cultist card to entice us into leaving him around. |
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06-12-2009, 11:22 AM | #1594 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
It's a good point. I think it casts enough suspicion on BK that we should scan or lynch him and find out. |
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06-12-2009, 11:24 AM | #1595 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Is there really any good reason to keep him alive?
From what I can see he counts as a villager, so jailing him does give us a +1 towards winning if we keep him around till later. As the cultist, if thats what he really is, he's a conversion prospect, but we don't know exactly HOW that works. We know he's a darkfriend, but what real damage can he do at this point? I'm torn between lynching (75%) and jailing (25%) |
06-12-2009, 11:30 AM | #1596 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Not too far away
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06-12-2009, 11:30 AM | #1597 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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I have to get some work done, so I am checking out for a bit. I'll be back later.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
06-12-2009, 11:32 AM | #1598 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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That always is kind of a nice thing.
__________________
We have always been at war with Eastasia. |
06-12-2009, 11:34 AM | #1599 | |
H.S. Freshman Team
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Madison, Wisconsin
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Quote:
There's some way the cultist can do a night kill, which means we're losing a "villager" one way or the other, if he's able to execute it at any point. I'd rather it be one that wants us to lose rather than one of the rest of us. |
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06-12-2009, 11:34 AM | #1600 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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That happens more than you'd think. I always notice it.
__________________
We have always been at war with Eastasia. |
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