10-06-2011, 08:00 AM | #1701 |
High School Varsity
Join Date: May 2011
|
I am going to trust Danny's hunch as well
Vote MrBug |
10-06-2011, 08:26 AM | #1702 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Surfside Beach,SC USA
|
|
10-06-2011, 08:29 AM | #1703 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Surfside Beach,SC USA
|
|
10-06-2011, 08:31 AM | #1704 | ||
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
|
Quote:
Quote:
Figured I would pull up the dead bad guy descriptions together. My initial takeaway from this is that NTN was not a vampire. Zinto was explicitly listed as a vampire, NTN was not. The death descriptions, going from memory did not allude to NTN as a vampire but did call out Zinto as one (you know how to deal with his kind, or something to that effect). No idea how the Servants may operate, but I think there is enough here to suggest two bad guy teams. |
||
10-06-2011, 08:33 AM | #1705 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Surfside Beach,SC USA
|
|
10-06-2011, 08:33 AM | #1706 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
|
Quote:
I think there are a lot of potential explanations for the Sheriff's lackluster performance, with conversion being one of them. But I would take "the field" over conversion, if I was a betting man. |
|
10-06-2011, 08:35 AM | #1707 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Surfside Beach,SC USA
|
Quote:
I'm thinking their might have been three to start the game-maybe different factions, but yes ntn and zinto had to be original wolves. The converted likely voted for me yesterday, so I'll be voting for one of them today unless someone comes up with some different information for us. |
|
10-06-2011, 08:39 AM | #1708 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Surfside Beach,SC USA
|
well have to vote for one of the people who voted for me yesterday. Did not like the late votes from both Raiders and Chief on me, so lets start there.
vote raiders army |
10-06-2011, 09:01 AM | #1709 | |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
|
Quote:
Interesting. I hadn't really thought in terms of there being two teams if there were that would radically change the way you'd need to look at the game. As they are both Red Death you'd have to think that they have a common goal but can't PM between the two teams and, potentially, don't know who the other team is. I did notice that one roles seemed geared to vampires (MInister) while another seems geared to werewolves (Sheriff). I think it's a possibility to bear in mind but I don't think it needs to be thought about too much at the moment. But if it's two teams then they would have to be pretty weak, probably two apiece. |
|
10-06-2011, 09:03 AM | #1710 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
|
Quote:
Pulled this from Thomkal's post #584 (he quoted it there) but it shows that Zinto ended up away from NTN. Obviously a tiny sample set, but you can construe that the Servant's know of each other even if they are not both vampires. Zinto also, if memory serves correctly, voted for Jackal on Day 2. Who is the only person who remains alive from the end-of-day runoff (Saldana + Lathum both dead Lightbringers). So add me to the list of people who have some trust for Jackal. |
10-06-2011, 09:05 AM | #1711 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2001
|
Quote:
Yup already brought this up |
|
10-06-2011, 09:29 AM | #1712 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
|
Wish I had time to do the vote tallies.Barring that
Day One Dubb 1 - thomkal NTN 9 - grammaticus, Danny, Commo, bhlloy, mauboy, j23, RaidersArmy, CF, Autumn Mauboy 4 - hoops, chief rum, Eaglefan, mckerney J23 6 - zinto, sndvls, saldana, jackal, Lathum, dubb Bhlloy 1 - ntndeacon Lathum 1 - narc crimson fox 1 - mrbug Day Two saldana 8 - eaglefan (662) SnDvls (789) mauboy (851) crimsonfox (861) mckerney (874) chief rum (1054) Lathum (1080) jackal (1088) mckerney 2 - narcizo (645) mrbug (758) lathum 5 - dubb (660) raiders (794) thomkal (905) danny (1018) hoops (1083) jackal 6 - autumn (843) commo (908) saldana (921) dzilla (991) j23 (993) zinto (1095) autumn 1 - grammaticus (779) Day Three Thomkal 8 - EagleFan (1241) MrBug (1402) Zinto (1372) mauboy (1407) dzilla (1431) mckerney (1438) Raiders (1494) Chief Rum (1523) EagleFan 1 - Narcizo (1271) Zinto 11 - Commo_Soldier (1322) hoopsguy (1345) SnDvls (1351) dubb (1375) Grammaticus (1380) J23 (1401) Thomkal (1468) Danny (1472) Autumn (1478) CrimsonFox (1526) Jackal (1533) |
10-06-2011, 09:36 AM | #1713 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
|
If the lifegiver is in the game, Danny wouldn't be a bad resurrection. Just sayin'
|
10-06-2011, 09:36 AM | #1714 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
|
Though it's not spelled out in the rules, I wonder if people that are resurrected retain the powers they had beforehand. In that case it would be wise to wait and do it with a seer or something. But for sheer impact Danny is at the top of the list right now.
|
10-06-2011, 09:41 AM | #1715 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
|
Quote:
So this right here is pretty much why I moved off of Bug, he seemed to be hinting that he had scanned me. Now, I didn't want to point to it too heavily last night in case it would make him a kill target, but now that it looks very likely that there's gonna be a runaway on him, I think it's better to reveal early if you are in fact the seer. There's people in place that can protect you - and if you are a wolf, well, you can reveal and get countered on! |
|
10-06-2011, 09:46 AM | #1716 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
|
1. CrimsonFox - voted Zinto
2. The Jackal - Weak Zinto vote 4. Autumn - voted Zinto 8. MrBug708 - 9. J23 - voted Zinto 10. Narcizo - Me 11. Thomkal 14. dzilla77 - Claimed role 15. Raiders Army - 16. Chief Rum - 17. mckerney - Claimed role 18. EagleFan - 19. Commo Soldier - voted Zinto 20. mauboy1 - 21, SnDvls - voted Zinto 22. dubb93 - voted Zinto 23. hoopsguy - voted Zinto 24. Grammaticus - voted Zinto So Bug, Thomkal, Jackal, Raiders, Chief, Eagle and mau are of interest to me today. Again I'm not saying that the Zinto voters can't be wolves but to make things easier for myself I'll not look at them today. Not a hugely different picture from yesterday, it has to be said. Interesting that many of the same names crop up (mine included, as others have noted). But they can't all be wolves, one would assume. I guess that Bug is going to get a lot of votes because of the whole Danny thing so I don't see any point chasing him. I don't really think we want a runaway on him so we probably need to find another candidate or two. Thomkal. The only real way I can see this being the case is if he had a conversion power that he had to use yesterday. Otherwise I'd have thought that he'd try to take the bullet for the leader. Jackal. Voted by Zinto on day two at the close. If he was a wolf then Zinto showed a lot more nerve then I would have had. Leans me to him having been good at that stage. Raiders. Take away his "forced" vote of NTN on day one and I don't think it looks too good for Mr Army. No worse that it does for me, admittedly, but I know I'm good. I think. Chief. Voting looks pretty poor really (again, I know, throwing stones in glasshouses etc etc) Hasn't really contributed much because of illness. I can possibly see him being a day one conversion as well. He didn't vote NTN but Zinto might have thought that was too obvious. Was converted last game so maybe Zinto would think he wouldn't be considered this game. Eagle. Don't see much difference from yesterday when I voted him really. The only thing in his favour today is that Zinto voted for him early yesterday. Zinto moved his vote later so I don't know how much can be read into that but for the now I think th. Mau. Has a vote in the middle of the NTN voters which is a possibility for him but makes me think he isn't the best candidate. I'm not sure he would be Zinto's choice for conversion either. |
10-06-2011, 09:47 AM | #1717 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
|
Quote:
BTW, I passed this last night, not night two as I posted. I figured w/ item passing being the last action, I didn't feel the need to reveal I still held it in case the wolves thought it an important item. |
|
10-06-2011, 09:47 AM | #1718 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
|
Going to
Vote Chief Rum for the time being. |
10-06-2011, 09:50 AM | #1719 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
|
Quote:
I assumed as much as well, and it is why I moved my vote a little while after CF had brought it up in the thread. I also figured Danny and CF, and were using the post-lynch antics to try to make sure he wasn't the nightkill target last night. |
|
10-06-2011, 09:54 AM | #1720 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
|
Interesting to see some kind of "don't lynch Bug" sentiment coming up. I was starting to get the feeling that he was a villager and Danny was an extra-good kill choice because it would set him up so convincingly. Plus Bug being more active posting last night felt to me like the "I'll show them they are wrong, and have the 'I TOLD YOU SO' post-lynch" Bug than the wolf in trouble Bug.
Bottom line, I'm happy that there is at least some contrarian thought to the runaway vote on him due to Danny's posts and subsequent death. |
10-06-2011, 09:55 AM | #1721 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
|
Quote:
Catching up, but this was addressed to me. Thomkal I felt was playing a stronger more active role than usual. It made me think he might have been a roled villager - a lot fo times when people get an important role they suddenly get into the game more than usual. Zinto, it just seemed people were voting because he was among the under the radar candidates. That didn't strike me as great reasoning giving all the info we were working with. I honestly thought there were probably much better votes. I missed whatever it was that people saw about him, or we just got lucky. In my favor though, I stated well before deadline that I would pick him over Thomkal, which I wouldn't have boxed myself in that way in such a close vote if I was a wolf (or I would have done like CF, said it and then try not to do it ;-) ) |
|
10-06-2011, 10:00 AM | #1722 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
|
Agree with Jackal that Bug probably wants to reveal at this stage if he's the seer. Sheriff can protect the same person every day so he should be safe until the Sheriff buys it.
|
10-06-2011, 10:04 AM | #1723 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
|
I don't think we should necessarily assume all roles are in the game. Yes, we have a lot of players, but there's also the possibility of multiple roles. Maybe we got two ministers and no sherrif. Let's not base our play on anyone in particular being there.
I am also cautious about going after Bug. Killing danny is an obvious way to frame Bug. The question is were the wolves playing first level or second level, knowing taht seeming to frame Bug might make people not vote Bug. If Bug is not a bad guy (or not known to the other bad guys maybe) they might have killed Danny to make it an obvious vote and a wasted day. I think looking at Thomkal voters is the best place to go. The vote was close enough that until the very end, wolves weren't going to move off of Thomkal. It was back and forth enough that I would think an earlier Zinto voter would jump onto J23 or Thomkal or Bug at some point. So while I'm still keeping an eye on CF, I think in general, the Thomkal voters are the place to vote today. |
10-06-2011, 10:04 AM | #1724 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
|
oh and narc you don't have Zinto colored in his Thomkal vote.
|
10-06-2011, 10:07 AM | #1725 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
|
I was feeling funky about Mauboy last night, so would probably go there, barring time to do a real post analysis. But I don't want to spread things too thin and make it easy for the wolves. For now I trust Thomkal and so will follow him to keep things consolidated. If I get a chance later I will look at things more in-depth and maybe move this.
vote raider's army |
10-06-2011, 10:28 AM | #1726 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
|
I know dzilla shouldn't be a candidate today (maybe maybe not) but I gotta think if he can be converted we should give him a look too.
|
10-06-2011, 10:28 AM | #1727 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Whittier
|
Checking in this morning!
|
10-06-2011, 10:40 AM | #1728 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
|
Quote:
Oh yes, I forgot he had revealed. And mckerney as well. That does limit the choices more, barring conversion. I would like at some point to look back at night kills and see if we can guess who was responsible for them. I would guess that the bad guys have to cycle through players for kills, or at least choose amongst themselves. If Vlad was converting he could not be killing at the same time. |
|
10-06-2011, 10:48 AM | #1729 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Whittier
|
Since it's pretty well accepted that there are two different parties of wolves, what is the action? Can they alternate kills? Conversions? Anything else? I would imagine we would have see a double night kill if they could do two kills at night.
|
10-06-2011, 10:50 AM | #1730 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
|
In terms of speculation, I would guess that they alternate kills and perhaps each team has one conversion to use or something along those lines.
|
10-06-2011, 10:55 AM | #1731 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Whittier
|
I would think that a kill and a conversion, with two initial baddies on either side, would make the game end much quicker. No chance of either a kill or convert during your turn?
|
10-06-2011, 10:57 AM | #1732 | ||
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
|
Quote:
That was the flat out leader last time. There were no split clans, just different monsters within the Red Death. I think you are barking up the wrong tree with split clans.
__________________
Quote:
|
||
10-06-2011, 10:59 AM | #1733 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
|
I'm not caught up but where I'm at it looks like im voting Mr. Bug but not necessarily for the reason Danny is. I also think CF has been converted. I feel very strongly about that.
__________________
Quote:
|
|
10-06-2011, 11:03 AM | #1734 | |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Tennessee
|
Quote:
I moved from Autumn to Lathum on day two. |
|
10-06-2011, 11:13 AM | #1735 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
|
I can't stress this enough. I don't think there are multiethnic wolf teams. Just major/lesser wolves within the one team. I also think we have eliminated most of the major wolves at this point which means what is left is going to be fairly restricted in what they can do.
__________________
Quote:
|
|
10-06-2011, 11:14 AM | #1736 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
|
Well multiethnic wolf teams works too. Got to love autocorrect.
__________________
Quote:
|
|
10-06-2011, 11:16 AM | #1737 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Whittier
|
multi-specied
|
10-06-2011, 11:24 AM | #1738 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: JBLM, WA
|
Quote:
I agree, to me RA was possibly the convert, but if I look closely I'm sure there are one or two other people possibly.
__________________
I killed a wolf and I liked it. |
|
10-06-2011, 11:28 AM | #1739 | ||
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: JBLM, WA
|
Quote:
Quote:
Unless we were not told his items the Charm of Protection Against Detection is probably with another wolf right now, so if someone has been scanned clear and they are a possibility they might want to be scanned again.
__________________
I killed a wolf and I liked it. |
||
10-06-2011, 11:33 AM | #1740 | |||
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
|
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Looks like pretty similar kills to me. Nothing suggesting a vampire in any of them. Unless it's the crazy psycho vampires of Baldur's Gate II. Got to say that I kind of agree with Dubb here unless one team can convert and the other can kill or something. |
|||
10-06-2011, 11:37 AM | #1741 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
|
Quote:
Yes, this sounds more like werewolf/beasts than vampires. Maybe Zinto tried converting every night and the other guys were killing. Or maybe the sherriff has acutally gotten some blocks to prevent multiple kills. Or maybe there's one team and they've been using a werewolf to kill and Zinto to convert. |
|
10-06-2011, 11:43 AM | #1742 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
|
Quote:
Bug, I've seen you in the thread today. Care to share anything about this? |
|
10-06-2011, 11:44 AM | #1743 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: JBLM, WA
|
Quote:
This was my concern, maybe we wait another night possibly two and see if there is a more important role we want to revive. While I can see them losing their powers, I would think there is still a good shot they keep them since they were not converted.
__________________
I killed a wolf and I liked it. |
|
10-06-2011, 11:46 AM | #1744 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Whittier
|
|
10-06-2011, 11:49 AM | #1745 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: JBLM, WA
|
Well, I'm off, should be back on my computer between 2-4 hours before deadline through the deadline.
__________________
I killed a wolf and I liked it. |
10-06-2011, 11:50 AM | #1746 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: JBLM, WA
|
Dola, as usual, will be looking from phone if it starts to become a run-away, which I too do not want, I will find a new person to move to from work.
__________________
I killed a wolf and I liked it. |
10-06-2011, 11:52 AM | #1747 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2001
|
Quote:
my thoughts: they are working together but can't PM (or only leaders can PM) and can do either a kill or conversion/corruption per group per night. I'd guess we have 1 lonely wolf now without PM rights and two lower vamps. both converts. |
|
10-06-2011, 11:58 AM | #1748 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
|
dubb and Narc have alreayd said it, but I'll bang that drum, too. I find it extremely unlikely we have two wolf teams. And if there are two wolf teams, they absolutely have some interaction with each other.
We have had only one kill each night, not multiples. And we know the wolves have both kill and corruption abilities. If each side has that, as noted, that would rather quickly become unbalancing. If it's use one or the other each night, why wouldn't we have seen multiple kills or even no kills on a given night, regardless of the interaction of the BG role(s). That's why I say if there are two wolf teams, they can communicate and coordinate their actions. But Occam's Razor says that's all bullshit, and we have one wolf team.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
10-06-2011, 12:02 PM | #1749 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
|
I think we're focusing way too much on whether there is one or two+ wolf teams in general. Let's worry about that once we string up a wolf that has a description which clearly states that it has limits on their communication.
|
10-06-2011, 12:06 PM | #1750 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
|
All we are basing any of this speculation on is that Abe said all wolves may or may not be able to PM with each other. Which suggests there is the option for a lone wolf role, at the least. But if that role is even in the game, we don't know if they know who the other wolves are, or if the wolves know who they are but can't PM .. it's all speculation. I don't think it needs to focus in to any voting reasoning at this point.
|
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 4 (0 members and 4 guests) | |
Thread Tools | |
|
|