07-25-2007, 11:30 PM | #1751 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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I could care less about prolonging the game, this move makes no sense to me
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07-25-2007, 11:34 PM | #1752 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
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Quote:
I don't think you read my post too closely. I went through all the data, and came to the conclusion that him not making a kill tonight doesn't really help or hurt the chance of us winning. Facts remain.. if there is only 1 wolf left, we should win either way. If there are two wolves left, then they will win either with the wrong kill tonight or the wrong lynch tommorrow. Simply put. So, I have no issues with him putting a kill out tonight and if I was in his shoes I would aim for either me or you. I just know if you and Lathum are both wolves, then him killing me wins the game for you all. Thats all. |
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07-25-2007, 11:35 PM | #1753 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
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Dola, just so its clear.. Even if he doesn't make a kill tonight, the same wrong move tommorrow also ends the game if there are two wolves left. So either way, the only way I don't see the game ending tonight or tommorrow is if there is only one wolf left and its neither.path/me.
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07-25-2007, 11:45 PM | #1754 |
College Prospect
Join Date: May 2005
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07-25-2007, 11:47 PM | #1755 |
College Prospect
Join Date: May 2005
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Oh, and since I see Chief Rum in the thread. Thanks for taking the time to reply to my questions.
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07-25-2007, 11:53 PM | #1756 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
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Twothree, even though I hate to do it, I have to side with Lathum some on this...
Even if it means killing me, if you are a good villager, I think you have to take the chance to kill tonight. If there is only one wolf left, and Path or I are the wolf, and you guess wrong, just lynch the other tommorrow and win the game. If there is only one wolf left, and Lathum is the wolf, then you guess wrong tonight, lynch wrong tommorrow, you could lose unless the bodyguard has a lucky block either tonight or tommorrow night. If there are two wolves left, and you guess wrong tonight, we lose. If there are two wolves left and you dont kill tonight, and the lynch tommorrow is wrong, we lose. The only reason I can see to not kill tonight is if you are afraid there is only 1 wolf left, and its not Path or myself. Then you could arguably have another scan to make a decision the final day lynch when its 2-1. However I would guess that you won't be alive long enough to do so unless we get real lucky. |
07-25-2007, 11:55 PM | #1757 | |
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
No problem. Hope they helped. It's an interesting decision to not use your kill, but I will respect that you have your reasons. I, of course, will be out there guarding someone. |
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07-25-2007, 11:57 PM | #1758 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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07-25-2007, 11:57 PM | #1759 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Quote:
I'll be interested to see them. I think I would take a shot, so to speak.
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07-25-2007, 11:59 PM | #1760 |
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07-25-2007, 11:59 PM | #1761 |
College Prospect
Join Date: May 2005
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Sorry guys. No kill attempt from me tonight.
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07-26-2007, 12:04 AM | #1762 |
College Prospect
Join Date: May 2005
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07-26-2007, 12:04 AM | #1763 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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07-26-2007, 12:05 AM | #1764 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Quote:
I didn't read it all that closely, I admit. It's more that one of my very favorite things about both you and Lathum is that you never, ever give up pleading your case, even in the event such as one now where it appears to be 50/50 you and I. I admire your guys style. I'm going to toss out one idea that just popped in my head in case I'm killed tonight, whether by twothree or the replicants (that seems like a longshot). I haven't researched this carefully, but will tomorrow if I am around. Let's posit that twothree is a seer, but he is Priss instead of Deckard. And furthermore, let's say that he found out early in the game that we either killed or sent the original bodyguard to Mars, as well as Deckard. And then let's posit further that he was able to take that knowledge and pass on to one of his fellows (let's call him Chief) that the bodyguard was dead. So Chief claims bodyguard, twothree claims Deckard, and we all follow them to our deaths. That would be a bold play indeed. There may be some holes, but when I or Alan come up human, it might seem a little more possible. I'm starting to think that Alan and I might both be good.
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07-26-2007, 12:07 AM | #1765 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Quote:
Prepare for a mess then. I'm vanilla as a bean, as the saying goes.
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07-26-2007, 12:07 AM | #1766 |
College Prospect
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07-26-2007, 12:16 AM | #1767 | |
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
Interesting theory. Only problem with that is that it is indisputable twothree was attacked and put in the hospital, but not killed. If what you say is true, only wolves would be left to attack. And why would they attack twothree if he was one of them? And would you buy that the wolves have such a degree of attack ability that can specify to put twothree in the hospital instead of killing him? And that doesn't even get into the problems with me not being a BG, which a number of people have given a crack at, and all pretty much acknowledge I have to be who I say I am. If twothree and I pulled that off, frankly everyone should just bow to us right now. I know I'm not that good. |
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07-26-2007, 12:18 AM | #1768 |
College Prospect
Join Date: May 2005
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07-26-2007, 12:41 AM | #1769 |
College Prospect
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07-26-2007, 07:18 AM | #1770 |
General Manager
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Location: Chicago
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07-26-2007, 09:10 AM | #1771 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2004
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This morning the news is shocking. Not only has another person been faound killed in his home, Lathum, but next to him was lying a seemingly dead man aswell. Only, upon further testing it appeared that the second body had suffered no injuries at all, no broken bones and all major organs were in good health. However, after being taken to the cities new high-tech research lab funded by our generous friends at the Tyrell Corporation it was discovered that the second body was a replicant. He had presumabley expired mere moments after making his final kill, the killswitch finally taking its fatal toll after being turned on a few days previous. In his hand the replicant clutched a note:
I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. I watched C-beams glitter in the dark near the Tannhauser gate. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain. Time to die. ~ path12 Humans Win! Write up coming shortly. |
07-26-2007, 09:12 AM | #1772 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Quote:
You underestimate yourself. Like I said, it was just something that popped into my head. I'm just grasping at straws at this point, because frankly I don't know what the hell is going on.
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07-26-2007, 09:12 AM | #1773 |
College Starter
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Location: Buffalo, NY
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07-26-2007, 09:14 AM | #1774 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Dola, nevermind.
I knew my only chance was to find Tyrell even though I was almost certain he was gone -- that's why I went for my last three kills. I figured last night the only shot was between Lathum, Alan and Telle and chose Lathum. Oh well. Good game, guys and thanks to Tangle for running it.
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We have always been at war with Eastasia. |
07-26-2007, 09:16 AM | #1775 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Quote:
So that explains you unending distrust of Lathum. I couldn't figure out why you just couldn't see that he was a good guy. |
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07-26-2007, 09:17 AM | #1776 |
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
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So I dont understand.. the replicants seem like they were going to run out of time well before getting to a 1:1 ratio. What triggered the killswitch being turned on? Was it DT's death?
So who were the replicants? |
07-26-2007, 09:18 AM | #1777 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Quote:
Sew fear, confusion and doubt. A fun way to play as a wolf. You did very well for your first game, BTW. I hope you keep playing.
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We have always been at war with Eastasia. |
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07-26-2007, 09:19 AM | #1778 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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07-26-2007, 09:19 AM | #1779 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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07-26-2007, 09:19 AM | #1780 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Buffalo, NY
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I'm betting this:
Priss: Ardent Leon: barkeep Roy: Path |
07-26-2007, 09:19 AM | #1781 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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Quote:
I didn't know about it originally (had missed that in the rules). My kill a couple days ago the PM stated that I was starting to feel weaker, so I then knew I wouldn't have time to get to a 1:1. Barkeep was Leon and bulletsponge was Priss.
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07-26-2007, 09:20 AM | #1782 |
College Starter
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07-26-2007, 09:20 AM | #1783 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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dola- Thanks to Tanglewood for running the game.
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07-26-2007, 09:20 AM | #1784 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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That's what happens when you're such a sneaky wolf.
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07-26-2007, 09:21 AM | #1785 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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bulletsponge? I never saw that one.
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07-26-2007, 09:21 AM | #1786 |
College Prospect
Join Date: May 2005
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My reason was the killswitch victory condition, I was surprised no one either remember it or didn't want to bring it up. I assumed the wolf(s) knew about it. I didn't think it would kick in this turn, however. My guess was that we would still need to get through another day and night. Therefore having 2 people killed last night instead of one, might give the wolves a better chance at winning in there were still 2 of them left. However, not killing anyone left 5 people and what I saw as a better chance of voting off a wolf (if there were still 2 left). My secret was only that I would be online all day today, since I don't have to work today. Therefore I would be able to change my vote if needed as the deadline approach, something I have not been able to do on all previous days. |
07-26-2007, 09:24 AM | #1787 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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We got lucky getting Bulletsponge day 2, it's not often you get a wolf that early on without a trade.
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07-26-2007, 09:24 AM | #1788 |
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
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Wow.. I never figured bulletsponge was one...
I'm curious then about the swaggs : Ardent similar pm thing. was it done intentionally to remind us that its a bad idea to share pms, or was it a mistake or what? About the killswitch.. I guess i didn't fully understand what it did, probably because my entire last week was so hectic at times, that I didn't pay close enough attention that I normally should. I didn't even think about that being a possible game ender. |
07-26-2007, 09:24 AM | #1789 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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I'm curious why Cronin came out as early as he did when he was in no real danger
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07-26-2007, 09:25 AM | #1790 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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We never got to use him. That really hurt us.
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07-26-2007, 09:25 AM | #1791 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Wow, bullet tried the hiding in plain sight gambit eh? it backfired pretty badly for the replicants this time, he was their seer and that cost them huge.
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07-26-2007, 09:26 AM | #1792 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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BTW, the mixup on Cronin's death was that I was going to kill him, but he went to Barkeep that night to test him. That's why two people were seen.
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We have always been at war with Eastasia. |
07-26-2007, 09:28 AM | #1793 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: New Mexico
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Quote:
I didn't "come out." The conversation at the time was Swaggs claiming that he must have been scanned. Among my assumptions at the time was that either Swaggs or ardent was a replicant, so I wanted them both lynched. My main purpose was to point out that Swaggs hadn't been scanned. Secondary purpose was to begin to build a public cot between the people I scanned, and the people Deckard scanned. That was supposed to be a gradual process, necessarily hurried along when Telle came blasting at me. |
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07-26-2007, 09:29 AM | #1794 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Mass.
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I think its interesting that Barkeep helped kill their seer in a game where roles aren't reveled at death, thus not really buying barkeep any trust for that move.
It seems to me that since I took so much heat on day 2, you should have used my voting for BS to move off of him to save him |
07-26-2007, 09:29 AM | #1795 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Very well done game Tanglewood, you built the bladerunner universe very nicely and didn't give too much information away which would have taken much of the suspense out of it.
Kudos to you. |
07-26-2007, 09:30 AM | #1796 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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I understood the idea of buying trust early by pushing against Bullet, but you were never able to leverage that with Barkeep later in the game. Add that to the no reveals on death and with hindsight it is pretty easy to suggest that was a losing gambit for the replicants.
I also found it interesting the level of certainty that people had later in the game in terms of trust lists. In a no reveal game, I was surprised that the replicants found themselves in that position. Did the wolves victory condition of eliminating Tyrell and Sebastian go by the wayside if one of them was sent to Mars? |
07-26-2007, 09:30 AM | #1797 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Buffalo, NY
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So the big name humans were:
DaddyTorgo: Tyrell?? Jonathan Ezarik: Sebastian |
07-26-2007, 09:31 AM | #1798 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Quote:
Sorry about that |
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07-26-2007, 09:32 AM | #1799 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Quote:
That was my opinion very early on, that Tyrell == DT and that the wolves were already screwed in the long haul. Add that to the unknown fact that they had lost Priss on day 2 and they really had little to no chance here. |
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07-26-2007, 09:36 AM | #1800 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: New Mexico
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My only criticism of your play was that you should have realized, given the details I provided, that I had been scanned (if you didn't think I was Holden/Deckard). Realizing that, you should have waited to see if anybody else said anything. - my $.02 |
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