Werewolf CLIX- Haunted Hotel

[Narcizo]

I don't really see anything here at the moment. So I shall base my vote on post count.

Vote Packers

Turns up, drops vote on someone it's going to be easy to pull in votes for, goes away. UTR Wolf 101.

[Narcizo]

I'm still in two minds about Lathum. Feels like he could pull any stunt and people would just shrug their shoulders and say "oh well! That's Lathum". Overall it just not the sort of thing you'd see a wolf pulling but it's pretty much got him a pass through day one when he could have been in the same boat as mau (coming off two big wins as a wolf). Gah!

[claphamsa]

I guess it was a slow night...

[EagleFan]

Going to put in a place holder voge before I go to work. Reasoning is another hit and run day one vote.

vote brit

[Lathum]

Vote EF

cast second vote on me yesterday. I don't think a rolled villager EF thinks I make that play as a wolf so he is either a wolf himself or a vanilla villager.

[PackerFanatic]

Going with Autumn...he put the third vote on Mau about half hour before deadline...early enough where things could still change, but still a big vote at the time. Danny's seems a little too obvious to be a wolf save (and was likely more of a tiebreak vote).

VOTE AUTUMN

[PackerFanatic]

And I do apologize for my UTRness yesterday - work was busier than expected and I couldn't peek in as much as I had hoped. And I don't get too much time at night anymore - I will try and be around tonight and be a little more helpful than yesterday.

[bulletsponge]

meh, maybe its just me being stupid, but i dont think Autumn anything suspicious.

Eagles though im going tio vote for

Vote Eaglesfan

[claphamsa]

here, following along, nothing to add

[Autumn]

Unfortunately I don't think we're going to get much from vote analysis this game with only two wolves. They can't really save a wolf with one vote, so they're just going to vote where they want and cross their fingers.

[Autumn]

I'm fine with voting quiet folks because in a small game, that kills us. it's very, very easy to just quietly coast a couple days and game over.

[britrock88]

I could pretty much quote Packer's posts for my absence yesterday and my idea for voting this morning.

Autumn moving off bullet and onto mau (breaking a 2-2 tie between them) seems to be a pivotal vote in retrospect, so I think voting Autumn might help us learn more about that.

Vote Autumn

Perhaps I'll also remember that the deadline is 9 Eastern (v. Central) tonight. Also, no basketball tonight. (Though yesterday's game was .)

[britrock88]

Originally Posted by britrock88

I could pretty much quote Packer's posts for my absence yesterday and my idea for voting this morning.

And this is funny to me, being that we've each drawn votes today for being UTR. We're conspiring!

[britrock88]

Originally Posted by Autumn

I'm fine with voting quiet folks because in a small game, that kills us. it's very, very easy to just quietly coast a couple days and game over.

Look for the cultist pinning his vote on someone repeatedly if he happens to have found the seer? ???

[Autumn]

Originally Posted by britrock88

I could pretty much quote Packer's posts for my absence yesterday and my idea for voting this morning.

Autumn moving off bullet and onto mau (breaking a 2-2 tie between them) seems to be a pivotal vote in retrospect, so I think voting Autumn might help us learn more about that.

Vote Autumn

Perhaps I'll also remember that the deadline is 9 Eastern (v. Central) tonight. Also, no basketball tonight. (Though yesterday's game was .)

Well since I was basicaly the only vote move yesterday, I think this is overstating it a bit. I know we'll look for anything to base a vote off of. But if it wasn't for me we'd have had a 2-2-2-1-1-1-1 vote or something stupid like that. Someone had to actually consolidate.

if your theory is that I voted bullet, a fellow wolf, and then a half hour before deadline decided to move it, I dont think it's a solid one. We're not going to find the two wolves in the game that way.

[Autumn]

Originally Posted by britrock88

Look for the cultist pinning his vote on someone repeatedly if he happens to have found the seer? ???

Not anymore ;-)

[claphamsa]

zzzz

[britrock88]

Originally Posted by Autumn

Not anymore ;-)

Right, yeah...

[britrock88]

mau and font's votes over yesterday:

mau -- Narc, Packers
font -- Lathum, EF, mau

[Danny]

Not sure what the vote count is, but I was ok going there yesterday, so I will put a vote there for now.

vote eaglefan

Will look closer at other candidates later though.

[Narcizo]

Originally Posted by Autumn

Unfortunately I don't think we're going to get much from vote analysis this game with only two wolves. They can't really save a wolf with one vote, so they're just going to vote where they want and cross their fingers.

I disagree. You seem to have forgotten about the cultist. I think that there might still be information to be gained from vote analysis. I would particularly expect to see the cultist moving to save a wolf. Three voters is asizeable bloc with 13 (now 11) votes.

Incidentally Autumn - "vote early, vote often"?

[claphamsa]

you know, while I haven't played in years... I remember Danny being one of those very detailed and thought out players (100% opposite of me). he hasn't done any detail or thinking yet. maybe hes busy, and maybe hes a wolf.

vote Danny

[Danny]

Since its been a while since we played, I do have a much busier schedule, I usually do get good analysis in, however, that comes when I get home from work. Yesterday was day 1, so no analysis to do.

[claphamsa]

Originally Posted by Danny

Since its been a while since we played, I do have a much busier schedule, I usually do get good analysis in, however, that comes when I get home from work. Yesterday was day 1, so no analysis to do.

well ok! thanks for explaining

we should all just stop working.

[Autumn]

Originally Posted by Narcizo

I disagree. You seem to have forgotten about the cultist. I think that there might still be information to be gained from vote analysis. I would particularly expect to see the cultist moving to save a wolf. Three voters is asizeable bloc with 13 (now 11) votes.

Incidentally Autumn - "vote early, vote often"?

If the cultist knows who the wolves are, yes. Which, I just checked, and he does, so I guess that is true. HOwever, I think my point stands, that we can't chase exclusively after "wolf saving votes". IN a big game, we often chase down several false leads before finding anything real. The chances that any few votes in a game this size were wolf-saves is very small, so we can't simply work our way down the list.

Yeah, I did that yesterday, Narc, vote early, but I'm not really sure where I want to go today. Day two is when I start getting some inklings from people's posts, so I'm hoping something strikes me.

[Zinto]

As of Post 175:
1 Packers- Narcizo(151)
1 Brit- EF(154)
3 EF- Lathum(155), Bullet(158), Danny(170)
2 Autumn- Packers(156), Brit(162)
1 Danny- Clap(174)

[Narcizo]

The real vote tally

1 Packers - Narcizo (151)
3 EF- Lathum (155), Bullet (158), Danny (170)
1 Brit - EF (154)
2 Autumn - Packers (156), Brit (162)
1 Danny - Clap (174)

No vote: Autumn, Chief, murra5y

[Autumn]

I don't think that can be right. I see three EF votes on this page, right?

[Autumn]

lol

[Narcizo]

Originally Posted by Lathum

I don't think a rolled villager EF thinks I make that play as a wolf so he is either a wolf himself or a vanilla villager.

Why do you think a vanilla EF thinks you might be a wolf but not a roled EF? I don't really understand your reasoning.

[murrayyyyy]

which total is correct? I'm assuming Brit doesn't have 3 votes, correct?

[Autumn]

Heck, why not add a new vote. I never feel like I can vote Narc late in the day since he's not around. So clearly the idea is to vote him early in the day. He casts PF as under the radar, but looking back it doesn't seem PF was particularly quiet. Therefore Narc earns ...

VOTE NARCIZO

[murrayyyyy]

Well let's make it a tie at three. Which means Autumn puts his vote on EF.

vote Autumn

[Narcizo]

On a perhaps not unrelated note. Should we be voting for someone we think might be the cultist or not? Towards the end of a game I'd say not but I dunno at this stage. I'm inclined to think its worth it for voting information.

[Narcizo]

Whaaa?

Originally Posted by PackerFanatic

in.

Originally Posted by PackerFanatic

Is mau in this game? Yup?

VOTE MAUCHOW

Sorry bud

Originally Posted by PackerFanatic

But are you vanilla, bullet? I hear people like to know that for sure.

Packers contribution to the thread at the time I voted him. Sign up, vote with no real explanation, a funny. (admittedly a funny funny but still).

[Narcizo]

Autumn I'm fine with votes on me (not really) and glad if they come while I'm still around but you could at least try to come up with a better reason for voting me than that. A-a-a-and what happened to "Glad to vote quiet people"?

[Narcizo]

Originally Posted by murrayyyyy

Well let's make it a tie at three. Which means Autumn puts his vote on EF.

vote Autumn

And EF puts his on Autumn. Meaning it becomes a two-horse race pretty early in the day. Not really sure if that's the way forward.

[Zinto]

I guess I learned my lesson about trying to listen to a podcast while I did my vote tally

Luckily I can edit my posts so no one will ever know!

[murrayyyyy]

unvote Autumn
vote Danny

Making it a 3 horse race maybe and he pointed out I was lazy posting by working yesterday ;-)

[EagleFan]

Quick catch up from work but wow. I find it a little suspicious that after I say I will be out for a while there is a mini run on me.

unvote brit

vote Danny

[Narcizo]

I'm off soon. As revenge for him voting me and to tie things up.

unvote Packers
vote Autumn

[Narcizo]

3 Eagle - Lathum (155), Bullet (158), Danny (170)
3 Autumn - Packers (156), Brit (162), Narcizo (191)
3 Danny - Clap (174), murra5y (189), Eagle (190)
1 Narcizo - Autumn (182)

No vote: Chief Rum

[Lathum]

Originally Posted by Narcizo

Why do you think a vanilla EF thinks you might be a wolf but not a roled EF? I don't really understand your reasoning.

I dunno. Made sense at the time.

I'm hungry.

[claphamsa]

Originally Posted by Lathum

I dunno. Made sense at the time.

I'm hungry.

OMG! HE ADMITTED TO BEING A WOLF!

[Danny]

Well, Autumn and EF wouldnt be my last choices for a three way

[britrock88]

Fun choices for Autumn and CR if we hold in place.

[EagleFan]

Originally Posted by Danny

Well, Autumn and EF wouldnt be my last choices for a three way

CR will be pissed at you.

[Danny]

I never said Chief and I were exclusive lovers

[EagleFan]

This is so looking like UTR wolves. The only real moves yesterday were all built around not having a tie.

I'll be back in a few to see if anyone wants to start some sort of discussion.

[EagleFan]

Originally Posted by Danny

I never said Chief and I were exclusive lovers

lol, that's true.