06-16-2009, 01:58 AM | #151 |
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06-16-2009, 07:49 AM | #152 |
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Pretty big news concerning the possibility of a revolution. It appears the current regime has issues now with some members of the Revolutionary guard organizing to back the opposition. This creates a MUCH bigger threat to the regime than the protesters, though it is likely to bolster the protester as well.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/weblo...arrested-iran/ In addition, supporters of the current winner will be holding a rally at 3 PM in the same place that an opposition protest was already scheduled for 5 PM. Could be a collision of forces. Large explosions have been reported at university dorms and police headquarters in northern Iran in the past few hours. No exact counts other than 'many dead'. Should be another interesting day to watch. Last edited by Mizzou B-ball fan : 06-16-2009 at 07:50 AM. |
06-16-2009, 07:54 AM | #153 |
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when you say watch.....where can you 'watch'? Twitter?
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06-16-2009, 08:09 AM | #154 |
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I've been watching Andrew Sullivan's website along with the Huffington Post updates. Both sites are posting updates, video, and twitter info every 15-20 minutes throughout the day. They've done a great job providing a wealth of information. I know you're not a fan of getting information from partisan blogs, but I think it's been great thus far. I commend them for their coverage. The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan Iran Updates (VIDEO): Live-Blogging The Uprising |
06-16-2009, 08:11 AM | #155 |
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I am very thankful that this thread has avoided the partisan sniping so far.
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06-16-2009, 08:18 AM | #156 | |
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Pictures of scantily-clad Persians has that calming effect on people. Anyone else notice that they delayed last night's Twitter update until this afternoon to allow the opposition to continue to communicate without interruption today? Even issued a press release noting that they were supporting the opposition's efforts with the delay. Shows the far reaching effect of technology. |
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06-16-2009, 08:27 AM | #157 | |
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yeah - i saw that. A+ to Twitter - and they've finally demonstrated a way in which they can actually be...useful
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06-16-2009, 08:59 AM | #158 | |
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Not sure how this could turn partisan anyway.... It's not as if anyone here supports Ahmadinejad Although I've seen some right-wing sites saying Obama is showing weakness in this situation. |
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06-16-2009, 08:59 AM | #159 | |
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In my opinion you're overestimating it. As I understand it, most of his support is in the rural areas of the country (they're busing people in from there to have rallies of their own). 75% of the country is considered rural. I don't doubt that his popularity is lowest in the big cities and especially Tehran, I don't doubt that he got less than 62% of the vote, but I find it hard to believe he would receive less than 14%. |
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06-16-2009, 09:03 AM | #160 | |
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I'd be curious to know how much his rural support has eroded as he's essentially been a populist that really hasn't delivered much. Just saw a documentary the other night (obviously slanted against him) that was based on this. |
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06-16-2009, 09:07 AM | #161 | |
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You might be surprised. On another board, the Iran thread has devolved into Obama's-not-doing-enough/Ahmanijad-is-not-much-worse-than-Bush/McCain-would-have-nuked-Iran-had-he-won bullshit. As annoying as political threads here can be at times, it can be even worse.
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06-16-2009, 09:13 AM | #162 | |
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Hopefully we'll have the chance to see a 'more legit' election and find that out. |
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06-16-2009, 09:20 AM | #163 |
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http://twitter.com/BreakingNews
I have no idea who these guys are, but after following them for a few days they do get accurate information out quickly. They're reporting that a pro-Ahmadinejad and a pro-Mousavi rally have gathered near each other.
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06-16-2009, 09:41 AM | #164 |
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06-16-2009, 09:43 AM | #165 |
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06-16-2009, 09:47 AM | #166 |
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Bear in mind that there are many layers to the government and power structure in Iran. I think it's possible some members of the Guardian Council helped rig the election (or turned a blind eye) without Khatemi's knowledge. Possible. If they did, though, Lord help them. I can't imagine Khatemi is going to be happy with people who put him in the position of having to come out in public and sort this mess out. The above is pure, pure speculation, though, and continues to be based mostly on the premise that I simply can't understand why Khatemi himself would see the need to rig an election that's already, for all intents and purposes, rigged. |
06-16-2009, 09:49 AM | #167 | |
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+1 that's why he almost can't have rigged it. it makes zero sense
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06-16-2009, 09:54 AM | #168 | |
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Successful revolution or not... heads will roll.
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06-16-2009, 09:54 AM | #169 | |
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Sometimes people do things that don't make sense. Maybe he thought that a landslide for the incumbent would take the wind out of the sails of the reform movement. In hindsight, that is not at all what happened. But I could see someone who was out of touch with the people thinking that. I have to imagine that, like most Supreme Leaders, he is surrounded by yes men and underestimates the numbers and passion of the people who are against his government. All of this is, of course, speculation. |
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06-16-2009, 10:02 AM | #170 |
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People make mistakes. Maybe the Supreme Leader selected Mousavi thinking he would be ineffectual as a candidate, later realized he was wrong but didn't want to back down from allowing him as a candidate (that would show he was afraid of the guy), and rigged the election as a result. The text messaging services that Mousavi + supporters were using that were down for days prior to the election is a system that's supposedly under the charge of the Supreme Commander.
The above is as much speculation as anything else in this thread though. In any case, Mousavi himself has pointed out that these protests are not because they think he's such a great guy. |
06-16-2009, 10:03 AM | #171 | |
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Apparently I didn't need to write my last post. |
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06-16-2009, 10:07 AM | #172 |
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It amuses me that MBBF ignores the facts even when there is photographic evidence that HE POSTS.
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06-16-2009, 10:10 AM | #173 | |
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Yeah, they're more anti-opression or pro-rights than they are pro-Mousavi. The government is the ones that are painting them as pro-Mousavi to imply that they are sore losers. |
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06-16-2009, 10:21 AM | #174 | |
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Let's not do this dance. There was a station burned in Tehran. The twitter reports said the pictured station was the one that burned. A similar incident occured in Northern Iran. It happening, though very little is actual MSM reports. Most of what's being discussed here is second and third hand. Just take it as such. Andrew Sullivan has already retracted a couple of his reports, but that doesn't dimish what's being passed on in his blog. |
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06-16-2009, 10:39 AM | #175 |
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This thread is still lacking in beautiful women. And I have tracked her down via the interweb (yes I should be working but I was on a conference call just listening) - courtesy of the Iranian Babe of the Day thread on bigsoccer.com - Claudia Lynx
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Get bent whoever hacked my pw and changed my signature. Last edited by DaddyTorgo : 06-16-2009 at 10:40 AM. |
06-16-2009, 10:45 AM | #176 | |
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Brutal video leaked out of Iran. This man was used as an example.
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan Translation of video by one of Sullivan's readers: Quote:
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06-16-2009, 10:51 AM | #177 | |||
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Really? Quote:
So, first of all, apparently "confirmed" means "posted on twitter. Quote:
So is it some different base in Northern Iran that is burning, or is this the one you mentioned in your earlier post? This picture is CLEARLY of a building that has not been scratched with a burning car next to it. I just can't fathom how you can ignore the truth in SO MANY DIFFERENT WAYS on this board. You say "Here's a picture of the burning base" and post a picture of a BURNING CAR. You CONSTANTLY refer to "Facts" and "confirmed" information that are from blogs, etc. If it supports your cause, it's the MSM's fault. If it doesn't, where are the facts to back it?
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06-16-2009, 10:52 AM | #178 |
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Guess it's no longer treasonous for Congressmen to criticize the President's foreign policy during an international crisis. Oh, well.
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06-16-2009, 10:54 AM | #179 | ||
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Foreign Policy: CNN Embarrasses Itself On Iran : NPR Quote:
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06-16-2009, 10:57 AM | #180 | |
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I noticed that as well. I thought elected officials were all supposed to rally round the president in public on foreign policy.
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06-16-2009, 11:00 AM | #181 |
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brutal video.
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06-16-2009, 11:02 AM | #182 | |
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Right up until JPhillips brought it up.
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06-16-2009, 11:04 AM | #183 |
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Oh well. It went longer than I expected at least.
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06-16-2009, 11:05 AM | #184 |
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06-16-2009, 11:12 AM | #185 |
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agreed - save the discussion of what's going on here with regard to it for a post-mortem. we can't really make any judgement about it until then anyways.
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06-16-2009, 11:17 AM | #186 |
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+1 for trying to keep this thread non-partisan.
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06-16-2009, 11:35 AM | #187 | |
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After this is all over I'll be interested in reading more about this:
Quote:
It's from Michael Ledeen a notorious Iran hawk. I don't know how accurate he is, but I have been struck by the amount of women publicly protesting. How much of this is about gender?
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06-16-2009, 11:53 AM | #188 |
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FYI - we've moved the partisan sniping back to the Obama thread, where it belongs. Please redirect yourself there for your daily dose of unfounded MBBF assertions, Cam hit-and-runs, weird Flasch posts, sociopathic rantings by JiMGA and general unfocused vitriol.
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06-16-2009, 11:54 AM | #189 | |
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you forgot to include "quasi-socialist propaganda and sniping by JPhillips and DaddyTorgo"
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06-16-2009, 11:57 AM | #190 |
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This just in (via bbcnews breaking alert):
Iranian opposition supporters are staging a mass rally in northern Tehran, witnesses have told the BBC.
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06-16-2009, 12:02 PM | #191 | |
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FYI.....it should be noted that the rally was moved via Twitter communication to a different area. The Ahmini camp had decided to organize a protest right where the opposition was going to protest, so the opposition just switched the spot to avoid conflict and short-circuited the gov't attempt to create a conflict which could undermine the opposition. We'll likely look back on this regardless of outcome and laugh at how a simple instant messaging program was used to subvert each and every attempt by a gov't to diffuse the situation. It's pretty comical at this point. |
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06-16-2009, 12:10 PM | #192 |
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06-16-2009, 12:14 PM | #193 |
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i can't follow the twitter-ing anymore - since everyone is setting their location to Tehran it's pulling in a bunch of noise in the geo-searching and you end up with just junk
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06-16-2009, 12:15 PM | #194 | |
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hxxp://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/middle_east/jan-june09/iran2_06-15.html
hxxp://garysick.tumblr.com/post/124278890/pbs-newshour-on-iran-with-karim-sadjadpour-and-gary Quote:
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06-16-2009, 12:27 PM | #195 |
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I take back my pseudocriticism of the US government's lack of overt involvement...
Perhaps it is this lack of involvement that is good for Iran, in that Ahmadinejad can't use it to spin the entire thing on the US interfering in national affairs. Somehow, his denouncement of foreign media and the EU as being interventionist don't really have a leg to stand on at home, as compared to if the US admin had taken sides.
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06-16-2009, 12:33 PM | #196 | |
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If you look at the 'pro-government' protesters, many of them are carrying signs that make varying 'Down with U.S' slogans. Without that message being supported by any direct message from the president, they don't have that crutch to lean on. They (Ahmini camp) are trying to stir a pot that has nothing to do with the issue at hand. |
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06-16-2009, 12:35 PM | #197 | |
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OMG. I think I'm agreeing with MBBF. *HEAD EXPLODES*
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06-16-2009, 12:38 PM | #198 |
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I wonder if there is also a bit of the old self-reliance message going out to the reformists. Basically a "look, if this is going to happen, it has to come from you. The USA/UN is not going to send in troops to support you. You have to win your freedom with your blood and sweat--not just hold on long enough to wait for us. And good luck."
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06-16-2009, 12:38 PM | #199 |
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06-16-2009, 12:39 PM | #200 | |
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Code:
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