Werewolf Xtreme III --- Game Over (Result in Post 434)

[The Jackal]

your self vote doesn't count per the rules either btw CF

[CrimsonFox]

i don't think coffee/telle are wolves together.

render could be with either i guess. This is based on page 1 arguments

[CrimsonFox]

okay sorc doesn't know wolves and wolves don't know sorc so no help there

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by timmae

Just saying this now... if you are inactive then I will likely vote for you. Unless there is definite evil to vote on instead. Inactives bit me at the murder hotel and not gonna let that happen again.

trying to analyze this

wolves like to vote inactives but this passion and this reasoning is very true
inactives have always been a huge reason for evil wins in this game

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by The Jackal

I feel like day 1 vote movement, albeit rife with randomness, is particularly interesting in small games. There's a pretty solid chance that at least 1 wolf will be involved in the voting at some point today if not both

i mean yes

not a HUGE revelation but analysis nonetheless

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by Coffee Warlord

Should probably mention - my kids go to bed right around voting deadline. If I'm not around then, that's why.

excuses...not a fan

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by RendeR

i'M NOT INACTIVE!

hahaha

i like this post actually

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by timmae

I am thinking priest coming out D2 and Seer D3 makes sense. Need to maximize our knowledge.

I get what you are saying about inactives on D1 but it is just as easy to not do anything and try to skate by. Then D2 they pull the whoops card and buy another day. I am ok with letting them sit today but tomorrow they would need to show up big time or be gone.

For what it is worth I am reading telle and jackal as good this game.

My axis of evil is render, crimson and coffee. I could easily go for a coffee train.

Neutral on autumn and nothing on brit or mau.

whya re you reading telle and jackal as good

esplain

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by timmae

Having said all of that they are just mainly gut reads right now. Lets hope we hit a wolf.

yuk hate this

vote timmae

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by RendeR

Pure self defense... My wife is an asshole, she was hoping I'd forget to come back LOL.....


VOTE TELLE

Again, I know nothing, this is day 1 and its my neck on the line here.

wow!

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by RendeR

If we get lucky and nab a wolf day 1, I would suggest they come out and let us know who they are because we then have a distinct advantage and it narrows down the hunted group right away.

If we fuck up then they have to stay quiet because we're a;ready at a huge disadvantage.

but we won't know whether anyone is a wolf that we lynch right?
gotta know from the priest?

ugh i hate noreveal games

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by timmae

Well, VV is better than risking a special. Darn inactives.

is even better

[CrimsonFox]

i edited because this site is still so stupid
can't even shrink pictures

[CrimsonFox]

EF/Timmae wolves final answer

[CrimsonFox]

maybe telle is sorc?

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by The Jackal

I also don't love CF's vote that didn't count followed up by nothing

what didn't you like about it

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by The Jackal

priest would have to reveal I guess, which a couple people have suggested, assuming they're still alive and agree with that idea

probably dead already

[EagleFan]

I don't get an overall bad feel from timmae, but he does confuse me. At the moment I am thinking one of CW/Telle with CF being sorcerer. That self vote seems like an attempted signal to the wolves.

[JAG]

Originally Posted by CrimsonFox

i edited because this site is still so stupid
can't even shrink pictures

Editing is allowed within a short time frame, other than posts with votes. We apologize for our Stone Age technology here.

[EagleFan]

The edit makes it even more suspicious if you ask me.

[JAG]

Day 2 Voting as of Post 220:

2 CrimsonFox - The Jackal (152), timmae (155)
2 timmae - Coffee Warlord (186), CrimsonFox (209)
1 Telle - EagleFan (146)

[CrimsonFox]

what do you mean "we"? it isn't your site

[EagleFan]

sorry, missed what was edited. Thought it was the self vote you edited when I saw a different pic.

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by EagleFan

The edit makes it even more suspicious if you ask me.

i edited because the original picture i posted was huge and would have sent you guys scrolling off to the side to find the reply button

[EagleFan]

Originally Posted by CrimsonFox

what do you mean "we"? it isn't your site

We are a family.

[EagleFan]

I still think the self vote is a rather suspicious move. Me thinks SorcererFox may be the correct name...

[timmae]

unvote

[timmae]

vote coffee warlord

[EagleFan]

unvote

[RendeR]

Originally Posted by timmae

Ok, let's try this then. To my trusted allies... Tell me why it isn't a coffee/crimson wolfy duo. Seems plausible to me but game theory is not my strong suit.

Originally Posted by timmae

Originally I thought they should come out D2 but that was if our seer was still around. Now I am thinking D3 may be the better play if autumn was in fact the seer. Worst case for us in that scenario is that it is a 1 in 3 chance they hit the priest with the NK. That is if they know their sorc and we mislynch tonight. Worst case overall is that we could have off'd our inactive priest and then the wolfies NK'd our seer.

Originally Posted by timmae

I am guessing there was a reason they went after Autumn with the NK. His hint at a N0 peek would have been me in his post. Is autumn one to leave hints in that scenario?

Originally Posted by Coffee Warlord

Here's where I'm at right now on Timmae.











I believe he went Telle -> Render -> Brit yesterday, for reference.

So we go from "Kill inactives" ... To being okay with voting Telle ... To back to jumping on the inactive train ... To today, deciding that Autumn is the seer (who was "Neutral" to him yesterday) and RNG selected him as the N0 scan.

That's just kinda all over the place, with some analysis thrown in that I just
mostly don't get.

Be nice to see some more people offer some views, but for now, I'm going here.

Vote timmae

Thank you,

This is exactly where I was going as well. Something about Timmae Smells, like dog fur....

VOTE TIMMAE

[EagleFan]

I'll have a vote by around 7:00. As I said, I think that one of either Telle or CW is a wolf, I doubt both. I could get behind a CW vote as well. I just saw that the sorcerer doesn't know the wolves either, so the CF move could be a signal that way too I guess. How can you avoid the votes as a wolf, act like the sorcerer (especially if britt was a wolf as the other wolf would need some sort of voting block).

Sorry, more thinking out loud.

[RendeR]

Originally Posted by The Jackal

render, you awake yet?

Finally yes, stupid phone kept ringing all day "Hi My name is James, I'm calling from canadian Pharmacy"


I swear to god if I ever find james I'm going to jail for murder.

But yeah, I'm around.

[EagleFan]

Originally Posted by RendeR

Thank you,

This is exactly where I was going as well. Something about Timmae Smells, like dog fur....

VOTE TIMMAE

You know what has a good sense of smell... a WOLF!!!

[JAG]

Day 2 Voting as of Post 233:

3 timmae - Coffee Warlord (186), CrimsonFox (209), RendeR (230)
1 CrimsonFox - The Jackal (152)
1 Coffee Warlord - timmae (228)

[EagleFan]

At this point I am thinking:

RendeR
one of Telle/CW
CF as Sorcerer

[EagleFan]

vote Coffee Warlord

[RendeR]

There are just too many assumptions from Timmae that he seems to think we'll just take as facts. I don't see his "hint", i don't see any correlation to his other assumptions in the posts. its like listening to Trump talk about how the flu ended WWI, it just makes you go..."umm..wha??"

[The Jackal]

unvote

[timmae]

I am leaning Render/CW right now. Crimson's barrage of posts I liked and he was providing thoughts. I didn't like the end conclusion but there was some content at least.

[RendeR]

I gotta find some food, back in a while.

[EagleFan]

If both wolves and the sorcerer exist after today we're done.

[timmae]

Originally Posted by RendeR

There are just too many assumptions from Timmae that he seems to think we'll just take as facts. I don't see his "hint", i don't see any correlation to his other assumptions in the posts. its like listening to Trump talk about how the flu ended WWI, it just makes you go..."umm..wha??"

Wolfy post. Casting doubt and evil thoughts. I never said anything was a fact, reread my posts about my thoughts and possible scenarios.

[EagleFan]

If two villagers were gone yesterday we need all villagers on the same page. If the priest is around we need to know about britt.

[EagleFan]

If britt was a villager that is. If not, maybe tomorrow would be best for reveal.

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by EagleFan

We are a family.

you got all your sisters and me?

[mauchow]

Sorry, guys. I didn't redownload the app to get alerts. Good luck

[CrimsonFox]

Originally Posted by EagleFan

If both wolves and the sorcerer exist after today we're done.

hate to break it to you but it is impossible for a village to win this game

[EagleFan]

Scenarios:

Worst: britt V - Autumn V

We are at 4 villagers, 2 wolves, 1 sorcerer. We have to hit today with this lynch


Bad: britt V - Autumn S OR britt S - Autumn V

We are at 5 villagers and 2 wolves; if we don't hit today we still have a chance


Better: britt W - Autumn V

We are at 6 villagers, 1 wolf, and 1 sorcerer; we still have an edge if we don't hit today


BEST: britt W - Autumn S

We are at 7 villagers and 1 wolf; sitting much better

[EagleFan]

Originally Posted by CrimsonFox

hate to break it to you but it is impossible for a village to win this game

So CF is the sorcerer...

[RendeR]

Originally Posted by timmae

Wolfy post. Casting doubt and evil thoughts. I never said anything was a fact, reread my posts about my thoughts and possible scenarios.

How is this in any way wolfy? I read and reread your posts and none of it makes any sense, nothing you posted actually has anything supporting it. Everything you posted you salted with a "this makes me look safe" flavoring.

Thats literally how a wolf acts but you made it almost too obvious and it seemed to be getting overlooked. I simply pointed it out.

Nothing more.