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Old 04-06-2009, 04:17 PM   #201
Danny
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Join Date: Jul 2001
It's always tricky to judge a new player's actions, but I don't find Cartman's vote any more or less suspicious than the other 3 or 4 people who spread out their vote with already a few candidates up for lynch.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:17 PM   #202
dubb93
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
To what end? Do you really think that a pair of (relative) newbie "wolves" would be casting D1 votes on each other, trying to avoid linkage, etc? For the most part, I would expect most new wolves to completely avoid each other on Day 1. No voting each other, no mentioning each other in thread, no responding to each other, etc.

I do not think that I'll be voting for Cartman today. And I'll accept whatever linkage that may or may not suggest. Bottom line, I do not think that this is your best argument.

One last before I go. I would expect a new wolf to hide his vote on day 1 Hoops. Why jump on someone who is going down if you know them to be good? Why not just bury your vote and go with the flow(at that point it was the way the game was heading, everyone was just burying their vote)?
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:18 PM   #203
Danny
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Clap 3 Lathum ( 114), Passacaglia (158), Danny (181)
Hoops 2 PerdueBrad ( 115) Jackal (165)
Abe 2 BK (110), USFLTechmo ( 139),
Cartman 2 MartinD ( 164), Dubb (184)
Lathum 1 Clap ( 107)
Jackal 1 Hoops (109)
BK 1 Abe (122)
Autumn 1 lerriuqs ( 136)
Lerriuqs 1 Cartman( 167)
Poli 1 Schmidty ( 172)

Again it would be nice if we could cut the list of candidates down a bit.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:19 PM   #204
Danny
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dubb93 View Post
One last before I go. I would expect a new wolf to hide his vote on day 1 Hoops. Why jump on someone who is going down if you know them to be good? Why not just bury your vote and go with the flow(at that point it was the way the game was heading, everyone was just burying their vote)?

I kind of agree with this, but I still don't see the logic for why Cartman's vote stands out as opposed to the other 3 or 4 people who did the same thing.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:25 PM   #205
The Jackal
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I'm sure a lot of us are going to be occupied from 8-12 tonight, but I'll make sure I check in leading up to the deadline a fair amount to see if my vote needs to be moved or what not.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:27 PM   #206
Autumn
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I would like to consolidate votes as well, but would like to suggest we target someone who hasn't shown up today. I'll try to figure out who that is. If I can't get anyone to go with that plan I'll vote for one of the top vote contenders, but so far nothing has made me suspicious enough of anyone in particular.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:29 PM   #207
USFLTecmo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danny View Post
I kind of agree with this, but I still don't see the logic for why Cartman's vote stands out as opposed to the other 3 or 4 people who did the same thing.

I think it's the timing, more than anything. 3 people already had 2 votes on them, and 5 others already had one. There's no point in opening up yet another person for suspicion at that point, and I can see the "burying the vote" point pretty well. Even so, had he fired back at Martin, it's possible it might be chalked up as a "revenge" vote, but that's not the case either.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:30 PM   #208
hoopsguy
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Dubb, I'm not suggesting that Cartman's vote is good/bad/whatever. I just do not see it as standing out as any more nefarious than the other votes out there. I certainly do not see him attempting to avoid linkage with the guy who voted for him in some kind of overly complex wolf/wolf scenario.

I've gotten to the point where I've accepted that I'm not smart enough to spot multiple wolves in one sitting on Day 1. That is what Lathum's argument sounded like to me upon reading it.

Notice that I'm not suggesting Lathum (or you) are wolfish for voting for Cartman. I've got very little idea at this point, frankly. I just said that the argument posed by Lathum did not work for me.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:31 PM   #209
Danny
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Autumn View Post
I would like to consolidate votes as well, but would like to suggest we target someone who hasn't shown up today. I'll try to figure out who that is. If I can't get anyone to go with that plan I'll vote for one of the top vote contenders, but so far nothing has made me suspicious enough of anyone in particular.

Looks like 3 people without votes so far
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:34 PM   #210
Danny
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Chief Rum, Poli and one other who hasn't voted. I didn't really see who from scanning the list. I know CR has checked in and been active though.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:36 PM   #211
Autumn
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The other is me. Poli seems to be the only one not active, if my readthrough is correct.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:36 PM   #212
Danny
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Looks like Autumn is the other without a vote, but he has obviously checked in as well.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:36 PM   #213
Autumn
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Although I have you as not voted yet, Danny, right?
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:37 PM   #214
Danny
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I voted Clap, 3rd vote.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:38 PM   #215
Autumn
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You did? Message number please?
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:39 PM   #216
Danny
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181
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:42 PM   #217
Poli
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Sorry, guess this is me checking in. Can't believe I'm the last of 18 to do so.

Vote Schmidty
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:42 PM   #218
Autumn
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Oh thank you, I had missed writing that down. But what did you mean by third vote? oh, you meant third vote on Clap, I thought you meant third vote by anyone, lol, that explains it.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:44 PM   #219
Danny
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Autumn View Post
I would like to consolidate votes as well, but would like to suggest we target someone who hasn't shown up today. I'll try to figure out who that is. If I can't get anyone to go with that plan I'll vote for one of the top vote contenders, but so far nothing has made me suspicious enough of anyone in particular.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Poli View Post
Sorry, guess this is me checking in. Can't believe I'm the last of 18 to do so.

Vote Schmidty

I realize you and Schmidty have this whole vote for eachother day one thing, but the vote is already spread out enough.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:45 PM   #220
Autumn
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Join Date: Feb 2003
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All right, I still don't have any particular incentive. But it seems prudent to make sure we don't have a tie, so I'll vote Clap now as well. I should be in and out a few more times if we need to change.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:47 PM   #221
Barkeep49
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I feel like I should post. But I don't have anything worthwhile to say other than I support consolidating around a few people for later meaningful analysis than having a huge spread.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:48 PM   #222
Autumn
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oops.

VOTE CLAPHAMSA
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:49 PM   #223
Barkeep49
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danny View Post
I realize you and Schmidty have this whole vote for eachother day one thing, but the vote is already spread out enough.
Amen. I believe Schmidty and Poli have even, once in the past, used their usual votes for each other as wolf cover (when they were both wolves). These automatic D1 votes harm future vote analysis because of the ease with which they can be dismissed by the person casting them.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:49 PM   #224
hoopsguy
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So it looks like the votes are as follows:

3 votes - Clap
2 votes - Hoops, Abe, Cartman
1 vote - Lathum, Jackal, Barkeep, Autumn, Lerriuqs, Poli, Schmidty

I'm not going to move my vote at this point. I don't feel strongly on any of the candidates, beyond what I've already said about Cartman not being an overly devious wolf with his vote.

I won't be around at the vote deadline. Selfishly I'm hoping that this non-move does not come back to bite me. Realistically, it could but if it does we do not lose a roled character. That isn't the worst D1 result in the world.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:50 PM   #225
hoopsguy
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Bump Clap up to four votes with Autum's vote in Post #222.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:51 PM   #226
claphamsa
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unvote lathum
vote abe

dont want a runnaway!
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:52 PM   #227
lerriuqs
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I'm not planning on changing my vote, but I'll check in when I can - I more than likely won't be around at the deadline either (and that'll be the case all week).
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:52 PM   #228
Danny
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Quote:
Originally Posted by claphamsa View Post
unvote lathum
vote abe

dont want a runnaway!

Especially since you're the one running
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:52 PM   #229
Abe Sargent
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Barkeep49 View Post
Amen. I believe Schmidty and Poli have even, once in the past, used their usual votes for each other as wolf cover (when they were both wolves). These automatic D1 votes harm future vote analysis because of the ease with which they can be dismissed by the person casting them.

I congree
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:52 PM   #230
hoopsguy
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Autumn's, that is. Typing is hard.

I think this will be my last post before both deadlines, so here is my thoughts on seer scan for tonight - check Autumn if Clap is good. That vote could very easily be an "agenda vote" protecting one of the people with two votes.

Or check me if you think I've got an agenda in suggesting who you (the seer) scans. Whatever works.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:52 PM   #231
Danny
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Only Chief Rum has yet to vote now.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:54 PM   #232
hoopsguy
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
Votes as of Post #231:
Clap 4 Lathum ( 114), Passacaglia (158), Danny (181), Clap (222)
Abe 3 BK (110), USFLTechmo ( 139), Clap (226)
Hoops 2 PerdueBrad ( 115) Jackal (165)
Cartman 2 MartinD ( 164), Dubb (184)
Jackal 1 Hoops (109)
BK 1 Abe (122)
Autumn 1 lerriuqs ( 136)
Lerriuqs 1 Cartman( 167)
Poli 1 Schmidty ( 172)
Schmidty 1 Poli (217)
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:55 PM   #233
Danny
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Thats a little off, Autumn voted Clap, he didn't vote for himself.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:55 PM   #234
Barkeep49
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
Autumn's, that is. Typing is hard.

I think this will be my last post before both deadlines, so here is my thoughts on seer scan for tonight - check Autumn if Clap is good. That vote could very easily be an "agenda vote" protecting one of the people with two votes.

Or check me if you think I've got an agenda in suggesting who you (the seer) scans. Whatever works.
C'mon. You know he's going to check you. Everyone checks you. It's the curse of being you.
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Old 04-06-2009, 04:57 PM   #235
Abe Sargent
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Barkeep49 View Post
C'mon. You know he's going to check you. Everyone checks you. It's the curse of being sexy

FIXED!
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:00 PM   #236
Barkeep49
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Abe Sargent View Post
FIXED!
Unlike me, you've never actually met hoops in RL. Otherwise you'd never had made that post.
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:02 PM   #237
Poli
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Barkeep49 View Post
Amen. I believe Schmidty and Poli have even, once in the past, used their usual votes for each other as wolf cover (when they were both wolves). These automatic D1 votes harm future vote analysis because of the ease with which they can be dismissed by the person casting them.
I understand...though I think some of you are assuming things of me already. [/rolls eyes]

This is the first time since my "return" to werewolf that I've voted for Schmidty in the first day. I think that's a span of three or four games now.

Honestly, today's vote *is* because Schmidty voted for me...the only other person I think I would vote for is Chief Rum. That, though, spreads out the vote as well.
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:04 PM   #238
Poli
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Barkeep49 View Post
Unlike me, you've never actually met hoops in RL. Otherwise you'd never had made that post.
I can agree with this post.
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:19 PM   #239
EagleFan
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Updated Votes (as of 238):

claphamsa 4 - Lathum (114), Passacaglia (158), Danny (181), Autumn (222)
The Jackal 1 - hoopsguy (108)
Abe Sargent 3 - Barkeep49 (109), USFLTecmo (139), claphamsa (226)
hoopsguy 2 - PurdueBrad (115), The Jackal (165)
Barkeep49 1 - Abe Sargent (122)
Autumn 1 - lerriuqs (136)
cartman 2 - MartinD (164), dubb93 (184)
lerriuqs 1 - cartman (167)
Poli 1 - Schmidty (172)
Schmidty 1 - Poli (217)

Yet to vote: Chief Rum
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:22 PM   #240
Schmidty
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Unvote Poli

Vote Abe


Let's see what happens.
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:26 PM   #241
Abe Sargent
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Barkeep49 View Post
Unlike me, you've never actually met hoops in RL. Otherwise you'd never had made that post.

pix plz, k thx
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:27 PM   #242
Danny
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A reminder that Abe currently does not have his vote on Clap which means the voting is basically 5-4 for Clap right now.
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:28 PM   #243
Abe Sargent
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Schmidty View Post
Unvote Poli

Vote Abe


Let's see what happens.

Dammit, I wanna play with the new players!!!
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:29 PM   #244
EagleFan
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As the 11:00 employee meeting creeps closer, the past hour and a half has seemed like 18 hours, everyone b egins to get more and more nervous and more and more paranoid.

EagleFan's desk look like it has been cleaned out already. His body has been dragged away. Who did this? Everyone begins to ask around but no-one saw anything.

All that is left is what looks to be an empty desk.

"Initech stock has increased by 1 point today. Experts are citing a recent cost cutting strategy and predicting increasing profits." Is heard coming from a radio financial report.

"Excellent!!!!! Muahahahahahaha!!!" Echoes through the halls and sends chills down your spine.
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:31 PM   #245
cartman
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Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
Sorry, got pulled into a RL meeting. No one there was named Bob, thankfully.
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:31 PM   #246
Danny
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cartman View Post
Sorry, got pulled into a RL meeting. No one there was named Bob, thankfully.

lol
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:38 PM   #247
EagleFan
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I'll be out of the thread for a bit, heading home and having dinner. Will be on for a while after that through the deadline.
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:42 PM   #248
Autumn
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I'm going to go sneak dinner in my cubicle. I may not be back before deadline depending on how my files go after that (or rather whether the kids go to sleep).
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:45 PM   #249
Schmidty
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Why is everyone voting for clap again? He hasn't even been here to defend himself.
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Old 04-06-2009, 05:48 PM   #250
Danny
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Schmidty View Post
Why is everyone voting for clap again? He hasn't even been here to defend himself.

Why does anyone vote for anyone on day one usually? No real reason. Unfortunately nothing much has come out and Abe and Clap emerged as the candidates for today.
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