06-14-2010, 03:53 PM | #2451 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2002
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Quote:
I don't think people realize how huge the gap between the Big East and the rest of the BCS conferences is becoming. And I also think that the ACC has closed the gap considerably, financially, between itself and the SEC. I believe the ESPN deal the ACC just signed is good for $12-14 million per team or thereabouts. Not too bad compared to the SEC's $17 million. And the Big East is more like $3.5 million or so. The SEC basically said that they didn't think a raid of the ACC was possible a lot recently in stories. Part of the issue could be that all of the likely targets have either in state SEC schools working against them or political ties that make it hard for them to leave (VT.) And in the end, it's just not a huge step up in money anyway, at least for the time being. |
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06-14-2010, 03:57 PM | #2452 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Michigan
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A&M Rivals guys are reporting the conference sticking together is premature and that the A&M regents are going into their meeting right now. The feeling is they are going to still vote to go to the SEC but nothing is certain.
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06-14-2010, 03:58 PM | #2453 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Scottsdale, Arizona
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Well i dont think anyone in the Mizzou camp believes the rumors or so called leaks out there are coming from the any of the key players in the Missouri camp, for better or worse. While Chip Brown and the texas rivals site are getting fed information, the guys like Gabe at powermizzou(mizzou's rivals site) are having to cite information from other sources and rumors they heared 3rd hand. Maybe mbbf knows things the rest of us dont, but all information i have seen from mizzou people has been speculation because none of the reliable sources have said a thing.
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06-14-2010, 04:00 PM | #2454 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Michigan
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Heh, apparently A&M fans have been e-mailing everyone who is anyone at the school and letting them know that if the regents vote against going to the SEC they will stop donating to the school.
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06-14-2010, 04:02 PM | #2455 |
Grey Dog Software
Join Date: Nov 2000
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IMO, the key team in this whole thing is Oklahoma State. This new prevision gets Oklahoma, Texas and A&M a lot more money to keep them in the big 12 ($20ish mil). However, Missouri, OK St and Kansas are still going to stay in the $10 mil range at best.
OK St. figures to make $17-24 mil with the Pac 10 and Scott could simply offer OU-OSU and State would do everything they could to land in the Pac 10. Then, Texas would be forced to join the Pac or leave Tech hanging. |
06-14-2010, 04:02 PM | #2456 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Michigan
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And now Joe Schad is tweeting:
OSUs Board of Regents have scheduled an expansion-related meeting for Wednesday at 3 p.m. |
06-14-2010, 04:04 PM | #2457 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2002
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Quote:
Can't really dispute the second part. I don't know what the SEC is thinking at the moment. Why Texas A&M but not kick the tires on Oklahoma or Va Tech or West Virginia or something else? Their behavior so far hasn't made much sense to me. To the first part, well, that's easier. The Big XII had a decent tv deal but as we've seen, if a team has, say $10M in the bank, they'd still rather break things up if they can get $15M elsewhere. That's the problem the ACC faces. No matter what you can offer, the SEC and Big 10 can offer more and they're both geographically positioned to pillage. Not only that, but if you're a coveted candidate school (i.e. a domino that might fall) then you don't want to accept an ACC invitation if they're going to lose their strongest to one of those more powerful conferences. Getting out of a conference is just as hard as getting in, even if you're a big name school. SI
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06-14-2010, 04:15 PM | #2458 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Apr 2005
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Is West Virginia the most attractive school in the East that isn't in the ACC, SEC, or Big Ten?
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06-14-2010, 04:27 PM | #2459 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2002
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Random note. I was listening to Kansas City 810 this morning on the web and Soren Petro had someone from CNBC on talking about the money figures that are being thrown around. There were some interesting salient points
1) If you're making a deal with another network (say, Fox or ESPN), you care only about teams that bring you ratings. Yes, pulling in, say, the Denver market with Colorado is kindof substantial but at the end of the day, it's not that big of a number- sure, you've added maybe 300K buffs fans there but that's a drop in the bucket unless it's a national profile team (read: Texas, Notre Dame). 2) If you're making your own network (Pac-10, Big 10) then you care about markets you can get into for subscriber fees. I suppose that's why Rutgers is coveted but, realistically, unless you can get the Rutgers fanbase to get so riled up to get the Big 10 Network included on the major New York providers, they're kindof useless. He thought it was unlikely Rutgers fans have that clout. It's something slightly perplexing about the Nebraska deal to him, tho they play the part of a team from point 7 below (not increase subscribers but increase ratings so you can collect more per subscriber). 3) The Big XII pretty much has to be done. Even if they get this deal from Fox that Beebe is trumpeting and, frankly, he doesn't think the dollars are there. Maybe it's a deal where Texas gets $20M and everyone else gets $5M but no tv exec can figure out where these numbers are coming from so he thinks they're just made up for posturing. 4) Similarly, the numbers being bandied about by the Pac 10 are similarly fictional. There are startup costs and this was the first year the Big 10 Network made money, 4 years in, and it's nowhere near the amount people are throwing around. Basically, the Pac 10 Network numbers are grossly inflated and/or made up. It's not because the right collection of teams couldn't get $20M per for a network once it's up and running. But there's no way you're getting $20M per for 16 teams for quite a while and especially not right off the bat. 5) Soren argued back that the Big XII has a $150M deal per year right now and that means that no only is there someone willing to pay $150M but to get to $150M, there had to be someone bidding against them at, say, $140M to get it up to $150M. The possible wild card in all this could be Comcast and Versus as ESPN is already lined up and Fox is who is putting together the possible cash for the Big XII-2 deal, which leaves no real players out there. He contended that if the Big XII imploded, that cash has a home somewhere so that's where the additional cash would possibly come from. 6) This is why Texas is willing to listen to the Fox deal for the Big XII-2. Everyone knows the conference is going to implode, sooner or later, but Texas thinks that they'll still be coveted this badly in a few years so let everyone get their ducks in a row (Big 10 keep courting Notre Dame, Pac 10 start their own network, SEC make their possible moves) so they don't have to assume any of the monetary risk and can reap whatever reward they want. 7) Basketball is getting pretty ignored in all this and there could be some bargains out there. For instance, he talked about how the Big 10 network had a couple of dozen mostly lower tier football games but over 120 basketball games. If they wanted to add some ratings and thus hope to increase the subscriber fees they could collect, they might want to add a big basketball program or two (read: Kansas). 8) Texas A&M to the SEC is pretty baffling to him. Why do it now? You have one more mouth to feed with no real value added to the league. That said, he also thought only Delaney really had an eye on the concept that each added team adds one more split and that he didn't think the Pac 10 or SEC commishes had their eye on this important part of the ball. They were looking mainly to increase their standing but I didn't buy everything that the guy was selling but it was an interesting look at some of the "lesser covered" angles of this story, if there are any of those left. SI
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06-14-2010, 04:28 PM | #2460 | |
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Quote:
I would have thought Va Tech but I see W Va talked about more. I'm not really sure, tho. SI
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06-14-2010, 04:29 PM | #2461 |
College Starter
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06-14-2010, 04:29 PM | #2462 |
Head Coach
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Location: Michigan
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06-14-2010, 04:41 PM | #2463 |
Torchbearer
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Location: On Lake Harriet
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06-14-2010, 04:41 PM | #2464 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
Mike Alden is meeting with the coaches of the MU athletic programs at 4:00 CDT to update them on the current situation. Last edited by Mizzou B-ball fan : 06-14-2010 at 04:42 PM. |
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06-14-2010, 04:49 PM | #2465 |
Torchbearer
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06-14-2010, 05:01 PM | #2466 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
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the Big 12 staying together would be a mistake for everyone involved. We know it is blowing up, just get it over with.
I'm just looking at the conference if it stays at ten and looking at football: 1) Texas 2) Oklahoma 3) OSU 4) A&M 5) Missouri 6) Texas Tech 7) Kansas State 8) Kansas 9) Baylor 10) Iowa State That's brutal. Texas/OU winner is the champion 95% of the time. |
06-14-2010, 05:01 PM | #2467 | |
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Quote:
Even strictly football/basketball wise, Pitt may be WVU's equal, especially looking forward (and there financials definitely play a big part).
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06-14-2010, 05:02 PM | #2468 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Seattle
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Quote:
I would definitely agree that the TV numbers Beebe is throwing out there right now are fiction, and the wild numbers I've seen in the last couple of days for the Pac-16 are similarly fictional (up to $30M per team?). That said, I'd also be surprised if the Pac-16 didn't pull a better TV deal, perhaps significantly so, than the weakened Big-"12". Definitely agree about basketball, and I'd be shocked if Scott didn't extend an invite to Kansas if the Pac-16 happens for precisely that reason. Good points too about even if the Big-"12" survives, it may just be temporary, and Texas is willing to wait things out a little longer so long as they are also taken care of in the near term (which is what Beebe is trying to do). That allows them to evaluate what kind of TV deal the Pac-12 can pull and see if they can get a Pac-Network going without having to pitch in for the initial start-up costs. Right now, I'm rooting hard for A&M to jump to the SEC, as that will almost assuredly kill the attempts to keep the Big-"12" on life support, force Texas and Oklahoma to the Pac and open a spot up for Kansas to come along with them. |
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06-14-2010, 05:06 PM | #2469 |
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I know in my heart of hearts that scenario is probably the best thing for Kansas (short of, I suppose, the Big 10 coming calling for KU and MU over the giant number of well qualified candidates they have for reasons I can't fathom) but it doesn't mean I like it.
SI
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06-14-2010, 05:20 PM | #2470 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2002
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Quote:
Actually WVU has a 15-20% bigger athletic budget than Pitt (probably because people go to WVU football games.) Pitt is potentially more financially attractive to a conference because it's in a large TV market, but their sports do not do as well as WVU financially as things are, so that wouldn't be a competitive advantage for them. If they land in a better conference than WVU that could change, of course. |
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06-14-2010, 05:21 PM | #2471 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Hog Country
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Couple of things. 1) I'm starting to pick rumblings that VaTech has accepted a preliminary offer to the SEC. 2) This is fucking awesome:
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06-14-2010, 05:24 PM | #2472 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Quote:
No chance -- those schools are all as tight-lipped as they come! |
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06-14-2010, 05:29 PM | #2473 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Now that it looks like the Big 12 has worked things out, it would be awesome if the Big Ten started to flirt with Missouri again.
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06-14-2010, 05:30 PM | #2474 |
College Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Norman, OK
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The Pac 10 plane never made it to KC yesterday. It flew back to California this afternoon.
Also, I'm disappointed if the conference stays at ten. I don't feel very solid with the TV promises and I don't trust Beebe. I wanted to keep things together at 12, but when two left, I'd rather just go to the Pac Ten than not really being sure what's going to happen for years on end. |
06-14-2010, 05:40 PM | #2475 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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Quote:
You seem to assume that they haven't, simply because there isn't as much smoke around the water cooler about them doing so. I wouldn't be so sure about that. This is, after all, a conference whose current commissioner negotiated a $2.5B TV deal last year, in addition to a separate $825m deal with another network. They also ended up with a branded "SEC Network" that reaches almost double the B10N households (via syndication) while getting someone else to foot the bill, deal with the admin, and worry about the sales. His predecessor spearheaded the formation of the BCS and navigated the waters of college football's first championship game sized expansion. Think what I might about the overall academics of the SEC, I have no qualms about the ability of the conference administrators to handle this current tremor. I'd say anyone selling them short does so at their own (conference) peril.
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06-14-2010, 05:53 PM | #2476 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Hog Country
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hahahaha no way I believe this for a second but:
1049 The Horn tweet (Radio station in Austin) Looks like Big12 will be back to 12. BYU and Air Force will be invited to replace NU and CU by Wed. Texas/Okla schools are all on board. |
06-14-2010, 06:00 PM | #2477 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Apr 2005
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Quote:
Would WVU carry the Pittsburgh market? Does Pitt draw better locally, but does WVU sell better nationally? |
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06-14-2010, 06:01 PM | #2478 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Big Ten debates divisional alignments in expansion - AnnArbor.com
Quote:
What a bunch of crap. Bo and Woody divisions? Okay, there's a little humor in being the Woody Division champs, but that idea is so so stupid. |
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06-14-2010, 06:03 PM | #2479 |
Coordinator
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06-14-2010, 06:07 PM | #2480 |
College Starter
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06-14-2010, 06:14 PM | #2481 | |
Hall Of Famer
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Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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Quote:
Hmm ... after pondering that seemingly simple question for a bit I've come to the conclusion that the best answer is "it depends". Mostly on the eye of the beholder in question. For the SEC, yeah, I'd say probably so. For the B10(+x), probably not. "Most attractive" in this situation is kind of like the whole blondes/brunettes/ redheads question I think. There's not a universal standard of "beauty" you can apply to answer the question.
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06-14-2010, 06:27 PM | #2482 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Scottsdale, Arizona
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The only possible thing i can think of is holding onto the denver market in some way, but it makes 0 sense to me to take Air Force...hell, BYU makes little sense to me as well.
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06-14-2010, 06:32 PM | #2483 | |
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Join Date: Nov 2000
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Quote:
While I don't think this report is even remotely believable, even hypothetically it would be largely a case of finding any port(s) in a storm rather than some detailed marketing strategy. They probably make more sense than adding two random schools from Texas or non-football schools from elsewhere in the midwest, so beyond that what realistic criteria could they really apply when selecting replacements?
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06-14-2010, 06:36 PM | #2484 |
College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2002
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Couple of new tweets following up the Air Force/BYU talk:
We apologize, but it seems like someone had access to the account that shouldn't have. 104.9 The Horn DID NOT report that Air Force and BYU would be two new Big12 teams. |
06-14-2010, 06:36 PM | #2485 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Scottsdale, Arizona
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Quote:
Well if they are actually committed to staying I dont think they need or should get replacements. Their not going to get a bigger offer for anyone they can add right now, so why cut up the pie two more ways. Hypothetically if they did, I think you have to look to strengthen your northern ties. The southern players would still be in place, but you lost two teams geographically on the far northern and western borders of the conference. Hypothetically, i think you have to look there...look at a Utah, a New Mexico, someone who offers a nice TV market. And also one who wouldnt challenge the status quo of southern power, because Texas wouldnt stick around if it didnt get more then its fair share.
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06-14-2010, 06:40 PM | #2486 | |
General Manager
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Quote:
LOL, that's all it takes to get the message boards and the college football world buzzing - an radio station intern with a twitter password. |
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06-14-2010, 06:54 PM | #2487 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Seattle
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So if Texas and Oklahoma are satisfied with the plan that Beebe has put together, is that regardless of what A&M does? Do they really think that a Big-"12" that is missing Nebraska, A&M & Colorado is going to bring in enough revenue to resist going to a Pac-16? Do they not think that the league will lose a lot of prestige and suffer accordingly when it comes to rankings, BCS assignments and bowl affiliations?
I buy the idea that the Big-"12" survives (for a little while at least) if A&M stays, but if they don't? And are the rest of the remaining Big-"12" programs going to be happy with a revised conference that is even more unequal in revenue between the haves (Texas, Oklahoma) and the have-nots? I think there's still room for Larry Scott and the Pac-10 to tip this back in their favor, especially if A&M jumps to the SEC. |
06-14-2010, 06:58 PM | #2488 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Scottsdale, Arizona
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Of course not, its blatantly clear now that the entire big 12 north was unhappy with how things were. If what they say about the new deal is true, its going to get even more unequal. The problem these schools face is they hold no leverage. Beyond being big and having a following, Texas can say either take it or i go to the pac 10 and you are left with nothing. So no, schools like K-state and mizzou would not at all be happy with the deal, but until they have alternative options it remains the best option for them.
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Underachievement The tallest blade of grass is the first to be cut by the lawnmower. Despair It's always darkest just before it goes pitch black. Demotivation Sometimes the best solution to morale problems is just to fire all of the unhappy people. http://www.despair.com/viewall.html Last edited by Blade6119 : 06-14-2010 at 07:02 PM. |
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06-14-2010, 07:02 PM | #2489 |
College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2002
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Chip Brown tweets: Sources say a TV deal that will hold the B12-Lite together is done. A formal announcement soon.
He followed that up to announce the UT press conference tomorrow at 10 am. Also apparently the ESPN scroll says Texas has turned down the Pac 10 offer. Last edited by timmynausea : 06-14-2010 at 07:08 PM. |
06-14-2010, 07:07 PM | #2490 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
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It's on the UCLA boards that Larry Scott has confirmed Texas has turned down the Pac-10 offer, which of course means none of the schools are moving over. All contingent on Texas A&M staying, but they have also apparently been satisfied with the deal being negotiated, and are wrapping up their meeting to confirm this.
No word on what the Pac 10 does, but I assume they invite Utah and call it a day. I would guess that this arrangement is a bandaid. The remaining north schools will be even more unhappy with this deal, as noted, and the conference is probably going to lose its conference championship game, which is a money hit that works against the deal (even if the coaches might be happy about that).
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06-14-2010, 07:28 PM | #2491 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Quote:
You know that the Pac-12 and Big Ten aren't going to stop wooing Texas... |
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06-14-2010, 07:30 PM | #2492 |
College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2002
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It seems like there is some confusion about who came through on this Big 12 TV deal. Many are suggesting that ESPN outbid Fox. I guess ESPN's Joe Schad did just tweet this:
The survival of the Big 12 is in the best interests of fans, coaches and players. Best for the sport. |
06-14-2010, 07:37 PM | #2493 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Michigan
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Texas and A&M are both confirming they will be back in the Big 12.
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06-14-2010, 07:39 PM | #2494 | |
Torchbearer
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Quote:
But not for his career as a reporter with the scoop? |
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06-14-2010, 07:52 PM | #2495 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Seattle
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So for those dogging Chip Brown - sure seems like he was right a lot more often than he was wrong in this whole deal.
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06-14-2010, 08:01 PM | #2496 | |
College Prospect
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Post Count: Eleventy Billion - so deal with it! Last edited by Scarecrow : 06-14-2010 at 08:01 PM. |
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06-14-2010, 08:06 PM | #2497 | |
College Starter
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Location: Kalamazoo, MI
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Quote:
Since when has anything in college football been done for the best interest of fans, coaches and players? That's pretty f'ing hilarious. If ESPN bid that much (I've heard as much $163 million per year), it's just to keep their sparkly new BCS contract worth something more than scrap paper. |
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06-14-2010, 08:14 PM | #2498 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Apr 2005
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I would of figured Colorado State would be more attractive than Air Force. I think the ACC has a great chance to go for 16 teams if they really wanted too. Last edited by Galaxy : 06-14-2010 at 08:14 PM. |
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06-14-2010, 08:14 PM | #2499 |
Bonafide Seminole Fan
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Location: Miami
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How the hell did ESPN find all that money? The ACC is obsolete as a football conference and I hope Florida State leaves it for the SEC.
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06-14-2010, 08:18 PM | #2500 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
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If Utah or BYU leave, the MWC won't be able to score high enough for a BCS bid. I wonder if Boise St. will be pissed off if both leave?
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