12-09-2009, 03:42 PM | #251 | |
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I can't find anything specific in the rules to account for it. However, the way he blasted out the Danny vote first thing in the morning leads me to believe he had some reason. But he's said already he is "vanilla", so there's something that doesn't add up yet. He may have a very good explanation, and if he does, I'm happy to switch over to Danny. But right now, there's three scenarios: 1. He's actually a vanilla villager. This I do not believe based on the way he came out firing on Danny. 2. He's a villager with some sort of role. So far he has stated that he does not have a role ("I'm vanilla"), but of course if he did, it wouldn't make sense for him to advertise it prematurely. If this scenario were the case, then Danny needs to fry. 3. He's a wolf and knows Danny scanned him. |
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12-09-2009, 03:45 PM | #252 | |
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of the three which do you think is the most plausable? |
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12-09-2009, 03:48 PM | #253 |
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I wonder if tonigh is the night the duke should step up. Would clear another player and if they duke Danny or Schmidty it clears some stuff up also.
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12-09-2009, 03:49 PM | #254 |
Favored Bitch #1
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BTW another perilous thing is if we believe Danny odds are the BG guards him which gives a free shot somewhere else. Another reason to kill Danny today IMO.
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12-09-2009, 03:54 PM | #255 | |
College Starter
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I don't think it's necessarily the case that he knew he was scanned. I think he just threw an early vote on one of the previous lead vote getters and got lucky that one was the seer (if Danny is telling the truth). I just think it's too risky to lynch the potential seer when there's another way to know if he's telling the truth (by lynching Schmidty). |
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12-09-2009, 04:13 PM | #256 |
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12-09-2009, 04:14 PM | #257 |
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[quote=Telle;2182580]I don't think it's necessarily the case that he knew he was scanned. I think he just threw an early vote on one of the previous lead vote getters and got lucky that one was the seer (if Danny is telling the truth).
QUOTE] why does a wolf make this play, drawing that kind of attention to yourself never works out well. The only reason to make this play as a wold is if you are trying to set up a reveal as seer. |
12-09-2009, 04:16 PM | #258 | |
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I think #3 is a huge longshot. I don't remember the last game where a wolf knew he was scanned and considering the vanilla ruleset this game I think it very unlikely something like that exists. Why is it so unthinkable that Danny figured Schmidty was the seer, got spooked and fake revealed? Seems rather obvious. Way more lekely that happened then there is some strange mechanic in place where a wolf knows they were scanned. |
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12-09-2009, 04:19 PM | #259 | |
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I think at this point a vote for Danny is a vote that the seer is either Schmidty, Lathum, Clap or KWhit b/c there is no way the actual seer would vote with someone making a false reveal. I can't see the seer missing a deadline so that rules out Schmidty, Kwhit, and Lathum. It could be Clap, but I think I'm going to play it a little safer and go with the guy actually claiming to be the seer rather than the guy who has said nothing of the sorts.
Vote Schmidty
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12-09-2009, 04:19 PM | #260 | |
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I agree that Danny being spooked is a plausible scenario, but what doesn't add up is Schmidty's early vote, which, based on the timing and certainty, appeared that it was based on hard information. |
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12-09-2009, 04:20 PM | #261 | |
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I think Schmidty's early vote was more along the lines of, "Oh shit, I better not miss another deadline." than it was, "I have proof this guy is a wolf."
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12-09-2009, 04:22 PM | #262 | |
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We need AlanT to come in here and clear this up for us.
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12-09-2009, 04:22 PM | #263 |
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As of 261:
Danny 4 - Schmidty (204), Lathum (222), claphamsa (223), KWhit (229) Schmidty 6 - Danny (214), Telle (236), J23 (237), RealDeal (246), Darth Vilus (247), dubb93 (259) |
12-09-2009, 05:11 PM | #264 |
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12-09-2009, 05:15 PM | #265 |
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danny... why did you scan smity?
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12-09-2009, 06:05 PM | #266 | |
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12-09-2009, 06:14 PM | #267 |
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You guys are making the wrong choice. Big time.
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12-09-2009, 06:25 PM | #268 |
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Heading home from work, so I'll be out of the loop a little bit. I'll try to get back in time to make a final decision on my vote. I am eager to hear more from Schmidty.
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12-09-2009, 06:28 PM | #269 | |
Coordinator
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What do you want me to say? I've already told the truth, and it's only day two. I didn't even vote, so how can I defend myself. I did happen to be the Seer, what do I gain by outing myself. Danny's going to die either way, and so am I. I'd rather it be him first though.
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12-09-2009, 07:05 PM | #270 | ||
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Last time I read the rules we have a bodyguard. I don't buy that you are the seer and scanned Danny last night though. If you didn't make the voting deadline you didn't make the night action deadline since they are both 9P.
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12-09-2009, 07:38 PM | #271 |
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Dubb, your point makes sense to me. I don't think Schmidty's the seer.
Unvote Danny Vote Schmidty |
12-09-2009, 07:41 PM | #272 |
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As of 271:
Danny 3 - Schmidty (204), Lathum (222), claphamsa (223) Schmidty 7 - Danny (214), Telle (236), J23 (237), RealDeal (246), Darth Vilus (247), dubb93 (259), KWhit (271) |
12-09-2009, 07:43 PM | #273 | |
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I am the Seer. Good job wolves. At least Danny's toast tomorrow. I give up. This is frustrating.
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12-09-2009, 07:44 PM | #274 | ||
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My fear is that someone other than Danny may be the seer but is setting on it which in a small game like this could be terrible. In a big game that is one thing but I'd hate for the seer to be sitting on his role here on day 3 in a smaller game while letting us lynch another villager. Besides like I said the rules say we have a bodyguard, he could protect the seer if the seer isn't really Danny and the seer came forward. I am confident however that Schmidty is not the seer. We are at 11 today. So a bad lynch here brings us down to 9 assuming a night kill tonight. No night kill and we have to assume 10 with a conversion. One thing is for sure we don't have a whole hell of a lot of room for error left.
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12-09-2009, 07:44 PM | #275 | ||
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Your scans? And why did you submit a night action by 9 and not vote?
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12-09-2009, 07:46 PM | #276 |
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You're wrong, and you're going to look bad. I hope you get voted off day 4. I feel like swearing right now.
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12-09-2009, 07:47 PM | #277 | ||
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Fine I will accept that you are the seer. Nevermind you say who you scanned. I should just blindly accept that you are the seer.
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12-09-2009, 07:47 PM | #278 | |
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Do you not read the thread? I explained why I missed the vote; however, I sent in my scan early yesterday because I missed my first scan so I wanted to make sure my scan was in early. Have fun being wrong. Sorry I'm being hostile, but I'm ticked off right now.
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12-09-2009, 07:48 PM | #279 | |
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Like I said, I hope they turn to voting you off after Danny's done tomorrow. Seriously. I wish we could swear again.
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12-09-2009, 07:49 PM | #280 |
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I will say this: I didn't scan dubb, I only scanned once and it was Danny.
But I'm still mad at dubb, so look at him next.
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12-09-2009, 07:50 PM | #281 | |
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Still at this point you have yet to say who you scanned N1.
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12-09-2009, 07:50 PM | #282 | ||
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Why didn't you scan N1?
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12-09-2009, 07:51 PM | #283 |
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Because I forgot to. Seriously. I screwed that one up. Just being honest.
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12-09-2009, 07:55 PM | #284 |
Coordinator
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I know I look bad, but I really hope you guys have a change of "gut" and heart. Danny's lying and I'm not. We lose a scan if you kill me.
If I were a wolf, I would have given up by now. Plus, I think other wolves would be backing me up subtly before the big rush on me, but no one really did. I'll be picking my daughter up from karate in a few minutes, but will be back right before deadline.
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12-09-2009, 07:58 PM | #285 |
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One more thing: When/if I die, look at some of the people who voting for me right before it became a pile-on. There's at least one wolf in there, guaranteed.
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12-09-2009, 08:13 PM | #286 |
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So it seemed obvious to me Schmidty was the seer and was hoping the wolves wouldn't think he was.
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12-09-2009, 08:21 PM | #287 |
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I hope the duke lynches Danny. Someone voting Schmidty explain to me why he waits so long to fake reveal seer if he is a wolf?
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12-09-2009, 08:28 PM | #288 |
College Starter
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12-09-2009, 08:36 PM | #289 |
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12-09-2009, 08:38 PM | #290 |
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I just have a hard time believing that the one person who came after Danny right after the deadline happened to be the one person who Danny scanned and that one person happened to be a wolf.
Seems like a large coincidence to me. |
12-09-2009, 08:38 PM | #291 |
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12-09-2009, 08:44 PM | #292 |
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schmidty did you put in a scan for tongiht? for when lathum dukes?
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12-09-2009, 08:49 PM | #293 |
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Is Lathum the Duke? I didn't see that anywhere.
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12-09-2009, 08:51 PM | #294 |
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eh, well he certainly thinks we need a duking... and frankly i agree!
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12-09-2009, 08:52 PM | #295 |
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I only have a few seconds, at work, can't remember if I voted earlier:
vote danny The reveal always seemed a bit fishy to me |
12-09-2009, 08:55 PM | #296 |
Head Coach
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If I am being duked, the duke should at least say so, so that the BG doesn't waste a guard on me.
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12-09-2009, 08:56 PM | #297 |
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i dont think anyone belives you, i think they just want the drama!
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12-09-2009, 08:57 PM | #298 |
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and i agree, i dont think danny should be guarded. and not cuz im a wolf, but becasue he is one!
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12-09-2009, 08:58 PM | #299 |
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time check
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12-09-2009, 08:59 PM | #300 |
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check check 12 12
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