10-12-2011, 01:50 PM | #3351 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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Please give me a chance. I'm the most valuable role remaining if there isn't a lifegiver
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10-12-2011, 01:59 PM | #3352 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Normally I'd put up another person to get a runoff and see where the wolves might move. But with only one wolf, most likely, left that doesn't really do anything useful.
This is the point where often the village gets too clever, and thinks their way out of a victory. I will vote Mauboy for now, but I'm not going to vote Nightfall. I'd rather see what Mauboy has to say. If he's the wolf he's got to try to make a case for somebody else, and that at least can be illuminating. If he's not the wolf, the real wolf may let something slip to point us in the right direction. Vote Mauboy1 |
10-12-2011, 02:01 PM | #3353 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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I would also usually give a list of other suspects at this point. But I feel like that's counterproductive now, giving the wolves a list of who they should or shouldn't kill if they want to make it to endgame. I am watching them though ;-)
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10-12-2011, 02:30 PM | #3354 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
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I think McKerney and/or Jackal could be wolves @ this point. They voted EF the day Bug was lynched. This makes them look good, however in hindsight Narc and his 3 extra votes were on Bug. Why would the other wolves vote Bug in that situation?
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10-12-2011, 02:32 PM | #3355 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
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Plus didn't McKerney reveal? Shouldn't he be dead?
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10-12-2011, 02:48 PM | #3356 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
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I'm surprised I'm not dead or converted by now, though I don't have the most useful role at this point. I considered using my role to prevent Bug being lynched and make it me or EagleFan, but I doubt I'll be doing something like that this late and we probably won't have a last minute reveal that needs saving. I suspect I was kept around to be a lynch target by the wolves since they didn't have to worry about the martyr hurting them, especially afte the two people I've been looking at as likely wolves (mau and commo) opened up the day mentioning me as a candidate for fiesta lynch. |
10-12-2011, 02:51 PM | #3357 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
This is continuing to strike me as odd. Has anyone else seen the tincture? Or did Mau actually pass it to J23 Night 1? Why were you asking this, Mauboy, if you knew you passed it to Danny? |
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10-12-2011, 02:52 PM | #3358 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Quote:
Guess I could have been an early conversion target, but I think I drew enough heat D2 (was almost lynched) that the wolves would stay away from me. And they did, all part of my devious, annoying plan! |
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10-12-2011, 02:53 PM | #3359 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Well I need to leave in a little, so I'll hope this is our wolf.
vote mau |
10-12-2011, 02:53 PM | #3360 | ||
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
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Quote:
I guess you are right. Low threat role to the wolves. Probably figure why bother. Commo is defianately public enemy #1 tomorrow.
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10-12-2011, 02:54 PM | #3361 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Also, I never really wanted to vote for bug, I had a suspicion he was the seer the whole time. Now of course a wolf would know and say that's true, but I never liked the way we railroaded him, granted assisted by two wolves and his death was in a way worth it.
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10-12-2011, 02:56 PM | #3362 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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10-12-2011, 02:57 PM | #3363 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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10-12-2011, 03:03 PM | #3364 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I was trying to be sneaky and ask who got the tincture on the night Danny died so that maybe a wolf would slip up.. but of course I asked who got it on n1. My ploy was to see who claimed it and that would have netted us a wolf maybe. That's all.
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10-12-2011, 03:06 PM | #3365 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I am the sheriff.
Pretend u believe me and try getting a new candidate. Don't let the wolves hide their vote/s on me. U guys need me! |
10-12-2011, 03:10 PM | #3366 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
I hate to get all paranoid, but ... instead of asking who got it on the night danny died, you asked who got it N1. We don't know who you sent it to N1, but say that person is still in the game and spoke up. Then you say, "No, I sent it to Danny, ah-hah!" and instant wolf suspect. Just add tincture. If yo'ure a villager, that was a clever ploy. But unfortunately you did it in a way that could also be a wolf ploy. |
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10-12-2011, 03:17 PM | #3367 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I sent it to Danny n1. Goofed up and asked wrong night...
Not lying. |
10-12-2011, 03:20 PM | #3368 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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Did I read that role players won't be able to receive items? If that's true Danny never would have gotten it. Does it go random or wolf?
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10-12-2011, 03:24 PM | #3369 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I haven't gotten an item since opening of game.
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10-12-2011, 03:30 PM | #3370 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
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Why am I reminded of this when I read about your tincture passing scheme?
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10-12-2011, 03:30 PM | #3371 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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No, the rule is that you cannot hand an item to a roled player, like "pass X to bodyguard" without knowing who that person is. You could do it in the first adaptation of this game, which is why it was focused on.
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10-12-2011, 03:32 PM | #3372 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
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Quote:
This was all I saw about items. I don't see anything that says that roled players can't receive items. |
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10-12-2011, 03:42 PM | #3373 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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10-12-2011, 04:10 PM | #3374 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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I don't like to vote nightfall as I find that usually helps the wolves, not villagers. But I also don't want to share too many thoughts in case Mau isn't the one. So makes for a quiet evening. If everybody else feels the same I will vote nightfall - Mauboy hasn't shaken my lack of faith in him with his posts today.
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10-12-2011, 04:22 PM | #3375 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
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Quote:
Going further on this. I'm going to assume that corrupting and converting are essentially the same thing because I don't have any idea how corrupt might differ (other than maybe it can be undone by the exorcist?). Trying to put together a possible timeline, here's what I've got: Day 1: Wolves: Eaglefan, NtnDeacon, Zinto Village lynches Ntn Night 1: Zinto corrupts Narc (or someone else) Wolves NK bhlloy Day 2: Wolves: EF, Zinto, Narc/Other Village lynches Saldana Night 2: Wolves NK Lathum Zinto corrupts someone else here? Day 3: Wolves: EF, Zinto, Narc, Other? Village lynches Zinto Night 3: Wolves NK Danny Day 4: Wolves: EF, Narc, Other? Village lynches Raiders Army Night 4: Wolves NK Dzilla, Crimsonfox Day 5: Wolves: EF, Narc, Other? Village lynches Bug Night 5: Wolves NK SnDvls Day 6: Wolves: EF, Narc, Other? Village lynches Narc Night 6: Wolves NK Grammaticus *If EF is the only wolf left, does he nightkill as well as convert here? Day 7: Wolves: EF, Other Village lynches EF, EF kills ChiefRum Night 7: Wolves NK Grammaticus Night 8: Wolvs NK Hoopsguy Day 9: Wolves: Other So as far as I can tell w/o seeing another wolf role popping up to throw a wrench in this, we're down to our last wolf at this point. |
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10-12-2011, 04:32 PM | #3376 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Yeah I'm out to work now, won't be back until after the deadline. I agree with not sharing too much information as to make the kill decision more difficult.
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10-12-2011, 04:43 PM | #3377 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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The more I look back though the more I think we've got the right guy. Narc even discourages people from voting NTN voters D2. There were no starting wolves on NTN so it seems likely there's a night one convert in there. Granted, that could be me, but it could be Mauboy more likely.
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10-12-2011, 04:45 PM | #3378 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
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The thing that is bugging me is the seer scan on night3, which is why I was trying to look back at the timing. Unless he's got the item or an ability to hide from scans, we could be screwing up here. I was all set for lynching him yesterday w/ EF, but I'm more gunshy atm unfortunately.
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10-12-2011, 04:55 PM | #3379 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: JBLM, WA
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Quote:
He may have an ability to come up clean regardless if he has an item. I'd like to look more into this tonight when I get home from work as I'm only 75% or so sold he is a wolf. Until then vote mau
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10-12-2011, 04:55 PM | #3380 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
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Since I think we're at 6-1, a bad lynch here doesn't cost us the game at least. If those numbers are right and there aren't any oddball items/abilities in play, we can have 3 bad lynches before we lose the game.
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10-12-2011, 05:01 PM | #3381 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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20% chance just guess..
Or if mckerney believes me. |
10-12-2011, 05:03 PM | #3382 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I guess..not just guess
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10-12-2011, 05:04 PM | #3383 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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Vote autum
I still read his posts as screaming wolf. |
10-12-2011, 05:05 PM | #3384 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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Maybe not screaming but at least sounds like so.
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10-12-2011, 05:13 PM | #3385 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I regret revealing. This sucks.
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10-12-2011, 05:26 PM | #3386 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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I continue to find it inexplicable that you're choosing me as a target. I think you could easily be building a case for someone else, there's some other players who could very well be wolves, and presumably you could help build a case for them. The fact that you're not confuses me. Your best bet at convincing us is to make a strong case for someone else. I'm your strong case?
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10-12-2011, 05:26 PM | #3387 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Catonsville, MD
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Who loves ya baby?
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10-12-2011, 05:28 PM | #3388 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Does anyone have Sndvl's detective work written down?
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10-12-2011, 05:36 PM | #3389 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
Clearly we can't throw out the possibility of an item or power. We've seen how powerful Zinto was, for example. We had a brutal, and even a convert who had a triple vote. Those are pretty powerful. I would not be surprised at a cunning, or an object that might have helped them in that sense. But you're right that this is a pretty strong piece in his favor, since we can be nearly certain he was converted before that. If not for his actions yesterday he certainly wouldn't be the top of my possible convert list, just because of that scan. I'm pondering this still. I'd be tempted to save him for tomorrow and try the next on my list, and let him try to prove himself with a block. The distance in distrust between him and the next ones on my list isn't gigantic, they all fit into a mold. |
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10-12-2011, 05:57 PM | #3390 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
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Seer scan could have potentially been interferred with by an item. In a game with items I would assume it is entirely possible.
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10-12-2011, 05:59 PM | #3391 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
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Yeah, the odd actions of him if he was the sheriff on the Bug day makes me lean heavily towards him being a wolf, which is why I was a proponent of lynching him with EF yesterday (and even left my vote there yesterday as well as putting it there today). I'm just trying to figure out if I'm missing something obvious here.
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10-12-2011, 06:13 PM | #3392 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Mauboy has basically done exactly what I was waiting for a wolf to do - come out yesterday and try to distract the village from EF somehow, while building up enough trust to get him through the end game. And then today with the tincture trap. Now it could be said that since he did that the real wolf didn't have to do anything. That's a real possibility, and certainly my two main targets for wolf-saving antics before yesterday have been quieter now. Usually this point in a game I'm just lost, this time I see real arguments for a whole bunch of wolves!
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10-12-2011, 06:15 PM | #3393 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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I've got to go eat. If someone wants to make a push for someone else today, I'm willing to listen. I think we have several good possibilities. Otherwise, let's just get this done with.
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10-12-2011, 06:15 PM | #3394 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Quote:
Bug's scan coming back clear on mau is in the back of my mind on this one, but everything with the sheriff reveal is overriding that at this point. |
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10-12-2011, 06:25 PM | #3395 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I was devestated that bug was villager not converted and that I could have saved him. I know everyone says "sorry xx we lynched you..". I knew I played poorly and revealed poorly.
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10-12-2011, 08:38 PM | #3396 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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I was thinking of pushing for a switch here. Give Mauboy a chance for a block tonight. My thought is - if Mauboy was a wolf why didn't he skip a kill last night? Wouldn't it be worth missing a kill in order to cement trust and get out of a near certain lynch today? Is it just me? Because I'd do that for certain as a wolf if I knew I was going to get lynched the next day. If he's the last wolf he's not anywhere close enough to endgame that it wouldn't make sense to miss a kill. He didn't really put up any fight today to get us to lynch anyone else, so what was his plan, if he's a wolf?
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10-12-2011, 09:10 PM | #3397 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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Frack. I just noticed I won't get the 20% chance to live tonight. Is this not odd at all to anybody? The wolves use an item to taint the fire when it looks likely I'm going down as the sheriff. Why not let the villagers do the dirty work. The villagers have offed two of their biggest roles..wow.
I plead to mckerney to sacrifice himself for the village so that the sheriff may live. Lynch me tomorrow to have a chance. A revived sheriff obviously gains trust from here on out but I don't have that chance. Lynch me tomorrow. |
10-12-2011, 09:11 PM | #3398 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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I think that was just for "Yesterday" wasn't it, that the flame wasn't working? Or does it not work today too?
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10-12-2011, 09:11 PM | #3399 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I'm sorry autumn but the more and more you push to save me the more and more you sound like a wolf. Just saying. At least to me.
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10-12-2011, 09:13 PM | #3400 |
Head Coach
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Location: Bath, ME
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