FOFC's Greatest Athlete III (interactive)

[Breeze]

Overall Standings - After Day 1

Babson		4828
Peltonen	4716
Chilton		4712
Nielsen		4688
Ketola		4656
Jordan		4596
Llyw		4563
Path		4547
Palmiero	4516
Mighty		4454
Rambis Jr	4429
Ginsberg	4380
Bafou		4365
Schaplowsky	4309
Honcho		3509

[Breeze]

Overall Standings Analysis

So at the end of the first day we are already starting to see the shuffling that was mentioned after the high jump. Peltonen's excellent effort in the 400 moves him up from 6th to 2nd. Chilton also climbs into the top three.

Nielsen, Ketola, and Jordan all suffered after (expected) poor results in the 400. Babson was able to perform well enough to maintain his approximately 100 point lead.

Some changes in the middle of the pack as well...the bottom remains unchanged.

[Breeze]

Event 6 – Hurdles – Preview


Favorites

Palmiero
Ginsberg
Chilton

Underdogs

Nielsen
Honcho

[Breeze]

Event 6 - Hurdles - Event Specifics

Safe
Injury - 0%
False Start - 0%

Average
Injury - 4.23%
False Start - .5%

Allout
Injury - 8.5%
False Start - 14%

[britrock88]

Ugh. All that effort and a middling finish.

[Breeze]

Event 6 – Hurdles – Card Preview

Ketola
Safe – 14.3 (extremely rare) to 15.6 (rare) – average result 15.075
Ave – 14 (ave) to 15.55 (rare) – average result 14.695
Allout – 13.7 (fair) to 15.2 (rare) – average result 14.48
Prediction – 14.75

Babson
Safe – 14.05 (rare) to 15.15 (fair) – average result 14.678
Ave – 13.7 (extremely rare) to 14.7 (rare) – average result is 14.107
Allout – 13.45 (rare) to 14.5 (fair) – average result is 14.088
Prediction – 14.15

Nielsen
Safe – 14.9 (rare) to 16 (fair) – average 15.5
Ave – 14.6 (ave) to 15.65 (fair) – average 15.233
Allout – 14.5 (rare) to 15.55 (fair) – average 15.028
Prediction – 15.3

Honcho
Safe – 14.95 (rare) to 16 (fair) – average 15.523
Ave – 14.8 (fair) to 15.75 (ave) – average 15.109
Allout – 14.5 (good) to 15.6 (ave) – average is 14.98
Prediction – 15.25

Jordan
Safe – 14.05 (fair) to 15 (good) – average is 14.603
Ave – 13.8 (fair) to 14.8 (ave) – average is 14.217
Allout – 13.5 (good) to 14.7 (fair) – average is 14.128
Prediction – 14.35

Mighty
Safe – 14.15 (rare) to 15.15 (ave) – average is 14.655
Ave – 13.80 (fair) to 14.95 (ave) – average is 14.294
Allout – 13.3 (rare) to 14.7 (fair) – average is 14.1
Prediction – 14.3

Rambis
Safe - 14.05 (fair) to 15.2 (rare) – average is 14.688
Ave – 13.80 (extremely rare) to 14.75 (fair) – average is 14.257
Allout – 13.4 (fair) to 14.75 (rare) – average is 14.148
Prediction – 14.5

Schaplowsky
Safe – 14.05 (rare) to 15.15 (fair) – average is 14.625
Ave – 13.7 (rare) to 14.8 (rare) – average is 14.167
Allout – 13.3 (extremely rare) to 14.75 (fair) – average is 14.093
Prediction – 14.25

Path
Safe – 14.5 (fair) to 15.65 (extremely rare) – average is 15.09
Ave – 14.1 (extremely rare) to 15.55 (fair) – average is 14.607
Allout – 13.8 (rare) to 15.2 (fair) – average is 14.498
Prediction – 14.75

Palmiero
Safe – 13.65 (fair) to 14.8 (extremely rare) – average is 14.248
Ave – 13.45 (ave) to 14.35 (good) – average is 13.853
Allout – 13.25 (extremely rare) to 14.3 (good) – average is 13.77
Prediction – 13.95

Ginsberg
Safe – 13.7 (fair) to 14.7 (fair) – average is 14.278
Ave – 13.45 (fair) to 14.25 (rare) – average is 13.813
Allout – 13.1 (extremely rare) to 14.25 (fair) – average is 13.768
Prediction - 14

Peltonen
Safe – 14.15 (rare) to 15.10 (fair) – average is 14.707
Ave – 13.6 (rare) to 14.65 (extremely rare) – average is 14.3
Allout – 13.3 (extremely rare) to 14.7 (rare) – average is 14.093
Prediction – 14.25

Bafou
Safe – 14.45 (good) to 15.65 (rare) – average is 15.01
Ave – 14.15 (good) to 15.30 (fair) – average is 14.63
Allout – 13.75 (extremely rare) to 15.20 (rare) – average is 14.518
Prediction – 14.7

Llyw
Safe – 14.45 (fair) to 15.65 (rare) – average is 15.035
Ave – 14.15 (ave) to 15.2 (good) – average is 14.624
Allout – 13.8 (fair) to 15.05 (good) – average is 14.515
Prediction – 14.75

Chilton
Safe – 13.7 (rare) to 14.75 (rare) – average is 14.212
Ave – 13.4 (rare) to 14.40 (rare) – average is 13.859
Allout – 13.15 (extremely rare) to 14.35 (ave) – average is 13.735
Prediction – 13.9

[Breeze]

Event 6 - Hurdles - Player Announcements

Ready for players to announce their effort levels for the event...

[Coffee Warlord]

Average for the mighty Dane. Who can't run for shit.

[Breeze]

I'd like to get all annoucement in so I can run this one tomorrow afternoon...

[JAG]

Babaon's card is interesting. I guess he's going safe.

[DavidCorperial]

Average for Ginsberg.

[collegesportsfanms]

Average for Schaplowsky

[PilotMan]

All Out for Honcho, if FS, then avg.

[Greyfriars Bobby]

Average for Peltonen.

[cmp]

Average for Ketola

[Simbo Klice]

Gotta chase them points, this looks like a good chance for Rambis to ALL OUT

[ntndeacon]

all out for palmiero

[thealmighty]

Mighty goes average

[Breeze]

Waiting on:

Jordan
Path
Bafou
Llyw
Chiton

[britrock88]

Average for Bafou.

[JAG]

Originally Posted by JAG

Babaon's card is interesting. I guess he's going safe.

Please change Babson to average, for some reason I was thinking higher was better...

[Breeze]

Event 6 - Hurdles - Heat 1

Lane 2 – Ketola
Lane 3 – Babson
Lane 4 – Nielsen
Lane 5 – Honcho
Lane 6 – Jordan
Lane 7 – Mighty
Lane 8 – Rambis
Lane 9 – Schaplowsky

The runners are ready and they are off with the gun…Mighty got a great start as he and Schaplosky seem to have the early lead.

Oh…Honcho clipped the very first hurdle, which caused him to stumble, going to be hard to get his speed back up now. Schaplowsky is looking smooth through the middle of the course. Mighty is working to stay with him. Behind Mighty it is pretty tightly bunched…Rambis, Ketola, and Babson are stride for stride, with Nielsen on their heals. Jordan is in 7th and Honcho is still trying to find his stride after his early mistake.

Unless he trips on one of the last couple hurdles Schaplowsky will win this heat, and Mighty will be behind him. The rest are still too close to call…but Babson has started clipping hurdles…he’s hit 3 in a row and it’s cost him some speed. Rambis currently has a slight lead on Ketola, but he’s obviously hurting. Jordan is starting to close on Babson, having already passed Nielsen.

Schaplowsky does win.
Mighty second.
Third is too tough to call. Ketola closed hard on Rambis, but I couldn’t tell at the line.
Jordan charges to the line, but he doesn’t quite catch Babson…
Nielsen is 7th, and Honcho brings up the rear.

Official times…
Schaplowsky- 13.95
Mighty – 14.15
Rambis – 14.25
Ketola – 14.25
Babson – 14.4
Jordan – 14.45
Nielsen – 14.6
Honcho – 15.6

[Breeze]

Event 6 - Hurdles - Heat 2

Lane 2 – Path
Lane 3 – Palmiero
Lane 4 – Ginsberg
Lane 5 – Peltonen
Lane 6 – Bafou
Lane 7 – Llyw
Lane 8 – Chilton

I expect this heat will be much faster than the first…
At the start it already is, as all but Llyw get out of the blocks quickly.

Through the first hurdles things are tight, but Peltonen, Ginsberg, and Chilton appear to be hitting their stride better than the rest, and not surprisingly Llyw seems to be off a bit, having to chop his steps coming into his jumps…which is preventing him from getting any real speed.

At the halfway point, Ginsberg looks to be establishing himself, exploding off each jump and starting to pull away from this fast field. Bafou has hit a hurdle hard and it cost him a good bit of time.

As we come to the finish, Ginsberg is looking phenomenal. Chilton and Peltonen are neck and neck with Palmiero trying to close but seemingly unable to. Path has had a solid run, and has passed Bafou. Llyw seems content to just finish at this point.

Ginsberg wins it going away.
It’s close for second but Chilton’s lean seems to give him second.
Peltonen has a great run for 3rd.
Palmiero comes across next followed by Path about a half stride back. Bafou and Llyw round out the field.

Official results
Ginsberg – 13.65
Chilton – 13.85
Peltonen – 13.9
Palmiero – 14.2
Path – 14.5
Bafou – 14.8
Llyw – 15.2

[PilotMan]

heh

[Breeze]

Event 6 – Hurdles – Standings

Ginsberg	13.65
Chilton		13.85
Peltonen	13.9
Schaplowsky	13.95
Mighty		14.15
Palmiero	14.2
Rambis		14.25
Ketola		14.25
Babson		14.4
Jordan		14.45
Path		14.5
Nielsen		14.6
Bafou		14.8
Llyw		15.2
Honcho		15.6

[Breeze]

Event 6 - Hurdles - Event Points

Ginsberg	1020
Chilton		 994
Peltonen	 987
Schalowsky	 981
Mighty		 955
Palmiero	 949
Ketola		 942
Rambis Jr	 942
Babson		 924
Jordan		 917
Path		 911
Nielsen		 899
Bafou		 874
Llyw		 825
Honcho		 778
 

[Breeze]

Event 6 - Hurdles - Event Recap

Lot's of extremes in this one:

Winners

Nielsen – rolled the best result in the column (only 4 results better in the allout column and they were no more than .1 better)
Ketola – only 2 rolls better in the entire colum
Peltonen – only the low end 13.6 was lower in the column


Losers

Honcho – hit the worst outcome in the column…
Palmiero – only 1 roll worse in the column, plus several competitors around him in the standings outperformed their expectations and actually beat Palmiero head up.
Llyw – hit one of the three 15.2s in the column, the worst outcome possible


Interesting

Babson – had he stayed at conservative he would have hit the only row in the event where the fastest time was in the conservative column, and his time would have improved by .25 seconds.

[PilotMan]

Originally Posted by Breeze

Event 6 - Hurdles - Event Recap

Lot's of extremes in this one:


Losers

Honcho – hit the worst outcome in the column…

Imagine for a moment if all the small percentage hits and bad luck that I've had this time had gone the other way! At least it's consistent!

[Breeze]

Overall Standings - After 6 Events

Babson		5752
Chilton		5706
Peltonen	5703
Ketola		5598
Nielsen		5587
Jordan		5513
Palmiero	5465
Path		5458
Mighty		5409
Ginsberg	5400
Llyw		5388
Rambis Jr	5371
Schaplowsky	5290
Bafou		5239
Honcho		4287

[Breeze]

Overall Standings - Overview

Chilton and Peltonen have built on their move up the standings by closing in on Babson, cutting his 100 point lead in half. Nielsen, though he performed well in the hurdles, slid further back, but he has several strong events coming up so don't count him out yet.

The middle jumbled a bit with Llyw dropping several places and Palmiero leapfrogging Path. While at the bottom of the standings Ginsberg made a nice move with his strong event, and Schaplowsky closed the gap on several athletes in front of him.

[Breeze]

Event 7 – Discus – Preview

Favorites

Babson
Honcho

Underdogs

Mighty
Ginsberg
Chilton

[Breeze]

Event 7 - Discus - Event Specifics

Safe
Injuries - 0%
Foul - 0%

Ave
Injuries - 1.4%
Foul - 16.8%

Allout
Injuries - 2.82%
Foul - 47.55%

[Breeze]

Event 7 – Discus – Card Preview

Note: No prediction due to the wide range of results

Ketola
Safe – 151 (excellent) to 183 (rare) – average 167.9
Ave – 165 (rare) to 193 (fair) – average – 181.78
Allout – 164 (ave) to 210 (extremely rare) – average is 189.65

Babson
Safe – 165 (fair) to 193 (extremely rare) – average 178.03
Ave – 177 (ave) to 212 (rare) – average 192.7
Allout – 182 (ave) to 221 (fair) – average is 201.15

Nielsen
Safe – 150 (ave) to 183 (rare) – average 167.03
Ave – 169 (ave) to 194 (extremely rare) – average 181.93
Allout – 162 (ave) to 204 (rare) – average 188.55

Honcho
Safe – 163 (ave) to 195 (fair) – average 179.17
Ave – 177 (fair) to 212 (excellent) – average 193.96
Allout – 170 (ave) to 220 (fair) – average 201.75

Jordan
Safe – 136 (fair) to 157 (ave) – average 150.9
Ave – 154 (rare) top 180 (good) – average 164.74
Allout – 147 (ave) to 183 (good) – average 170.95

Mighty
Safe – 119 (ave) to 148 (fair) – average 138.67
Ave – 135 (rare) to 161 (ave) – average 151.33
Allout – 138 (ave) to 175 (extremely rare) – average 159.45

Rambis
Safe - 150 (excellent) to 185 (fair) – average 169.67
Ave – 169 (rare) to 191 (good) – average 182.22
Allout – 167 (good) to 205 (extremely rare) – average 187.7

Schaplowsky
Safe – 150 (excellent) to 182 (poor) – average 166.2
Ave – 167 (good) to 194 (rare) – average 182.22
Allout – 164 (ave) to 202 (fair) – average 188.35

Path
Safe – 159 (ave) to 180 (rare) – average 169.73
Ave – 167 (rare) to 195 (ave) – average 180.89
Allout – 164 (ave) to 203 (rare) – average 187.3

Palmiero
Safe – 154 (good) to 185 (Rare) – average 168.33
Ave – 166 (fair) to 196 (ave) – average 180.74
Allout – 166 (ave) to 210 (extremely rare) – average 189

Ginsberg
Safe – 122 (good) to 150 (rare) – average 138.33
Ave – 134 (rare) to 163 (extremely rare) – average 150.07
Allout – 133 (ave) to 179 (extremely rare) – average 157.95

Peltonen
Safe – 128 (fair) to 169 (rare) – average 151.6
Ave – 150 (excellent) to 181 (fair) – average 163.3
Allout – 148 (ave) to 189 (fair) – average 174.05

Bafou
Safe – 129 (ave) to 167 (fair) – average 151
Ave – 147 (extremely rare) to 183 (fair) – average 162.3
Allout – 150 (ave) to 187 (extremely rare) – average 172.15

Llyw
Safe – 128 (fair) to 166 (extremely rare) – average 149.77
Ave – 143 (rare) to 183 (fair) – average 163.96
Allout – 142 (ave) to 186 (fair) – average 172.45

Chilton
Safe – 122 (ave) to 157 (rare) – average 139.27
Ave – 135 (ave) to 162 (fair) – average 151.52
Allout – 139 (ave) to 175 (extremely rare) – average 159.1

[Breeze]

Event 7 - Discus - Player Announcements

Announce you efforts for throw 1 now...

[collegesportsfanms]

Average for Schaplowsky

[JAG]

Babson - Average

[chesapeake]

I'm back from vacation and see that a good 400 was followed by a craptastic hurdles. too bad.

I'll start with average effort and hope I left my penchant for fouling back in Day 1.

[path12]

path will go average first throw.

[DavidCorperial]

Average for Ginsberg.

[britrock88]

Average for Bafou.

[ntndeacon]

Average for Palmiero

[Breeze]

I will finish up the event tomorrow around 1 EDT if I don't receive instructions.

[Coffee Warlord]

Average for Nielsen

[cmp]

All out for Ketola

[PilotMan]

avg for honcho

[thealmighty]

Avg. for Al

[BYU 14]

Avg for Chilton. just hoping to get something here

[Simbo Klice]

Average for rambis

[Breeze]

Just waiting on Peltonen and Jordan...

[Breeze]

Event 7 - Discus - First Atttempt



Schaplowsky – he spins, tosses, and it’s a nice start. His throw measures in at 183 feet, so just over his typical average attempt, now he can work on improving with his next two tosses. I count 10 of the 27 results in the average column that are better, including several on very reasonable rolls. I also count 13 of 20 results that are better in the allout column.

Babson – one of the favorites in this event, looking for a good score to open up his overall lead, and his first toss is a good one…190 feet on the nose. That’s about average for him as well. Will be interesting to see if he takes his next couple of attempts. Every other time he’s gotten a good start, he’s rested, is this one good enough? I count 13 of 27 rolls better than your current score, but 8 are rare rolls…7 rolls are over 200 feet. Only 5 results in the allout column are lower.

Llyw – his first throw, like the two before him are about dead on his average attempt. He records a distance of 164 feet. About dead on average in the allout column, 5 of 20 outcomes are lower in allout.

Path – Path takes his first attempt, and it looks like he stands up and comes out of the spin a little early…this results in a poor throw measuring only 173 feet. Lower end result…Only 4 rolls lower in average column

Ginsberg – His first effort looks like it is going to be a really good one to build on…It lands out around the 160 foot line. The measure is announced at 159, that’s well over his typical result, so a nice start in the event for David. I count only 4 results better in the average column, a 163 on an extremely rare roll of 10 and 3 160 foot distances. I count 11 of 20 results better in allout.

Bafou – wow…big throw here. He was a bit late with the release so the discus is hugging the foul line…it lands…fair – no white flag. We’ll have to wait on the distance but he’s clearly pleased…it measures in at 181 feet. Only the max score of 183 is better in the average column. In allout I only count 5 results better, 4 of which are not likely to be rolled.

Palmiero – here’s another good attempt…Palmiero is also smiling, knowing he’s got a good starting point to work from. The throw is 183 feet. Still 11 results better in the column, including some on very possible rolls. 7 of 20 rolls are shorter in the allout column.

Nielsen – Nielsen, spins, throws, and he’s off balance…he steps on the toe board and we have our first foul of the event.

Ketola – he follows Nielsen’s lead and ends up with the white flag raised. Second consecutive foul in the event.

Honcho – an OK start for Honcho…toss lands just under 190…officially the distance is 187. About 60% of the results in the ave column are better…some much better. Only 5 results out of 20 worse in allout.

Mighty – On the board with a throw of 150’. 14 rolls better in ave (6 of them in the teens so low probability), 15 out of 20 results better in allout.

Chilton – Form is sloppy…and the rotation is a slow because of that. Of course this leads to a less than satisfying effort on Chilton’s part. The throw only measures 140’. Only 2 results shorter in average.

Rambis – This is going to be a good score to build off of. The toss is very good…maybe slightly higher than he wanted but the distance is still 181 feet. 9 results still better in average and 12 of 20 better in allout.

Jordan – Throw of 163 feet is almost dead on his typical result. Looks like just under half the results in the average column are still better.

Peltonen - didn’t make a good pass, looked like he was going to foul by hitting the toe board, which may have been the cause for the awkward form…but regardless the toss is only 152 feet, well off even his average attempt. This is the second shortest throw on the average column.