10-01-2009, 05:38 PM | #301 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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What about the seer, danny?
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10-01-2009, 05:39 PM | #302 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: non white trash MD
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Quote:
ya, this logic shit is tough! IF you were telling the truth... it wouldnt matter who we lynch today, since you would be dead tongiht (your not, but thats beside the point) if I am telling the truth (I am) then lynching you keeps the BG alive... that better?
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10-01-2009, 05:39 PM | #303 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Oh, I think I follow you.
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10-01-2009, 05:39 PM | #304 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Catonsville, MD
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Quote:
I agree with that reasoni ng, an I hate it when people say that.
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10-01-2009, 05:39 PM | #305 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: non white trash MD
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Quote:
no i was the seer last game...... not sure what your getting at here!~
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10-01-2009, 05:39 PM | #306 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Quote:
You are assuming I protected myself last night. I was in the running to be lynched, why would the wolves target me night 1? |
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10-01-2009, 05:40 PM | #307 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Wow I really need to read all the posts before commenting. Looks like they both revealed as BG.
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10-01-2009, 05:40 PM | #308 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: non white trash MD
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what makes his fake reveal logical? if i were lying... it would come out within a day or 2. by him revealing, hes done nothing but guarantee he dies tommrow. THIS MAKES NO SENSE!
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10-01-2009, 05:41 PM | #309 |
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10-01-2009, 05:42 PM | #310 |
Grizzled Veteran
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Location: non white trash MD
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because every other choie is someone you dont know is on your side, also, it looked like it was gonna be a runaway on me when you left. and you even said yourself, your sacrificing yourself with this fake reveal.
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10-01-2009, 05:42 PM | #311 | |
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Quote:
What makes a wolf fake reveal on Day 2 for no reason?
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10-01-2009, 05:42 PM | #312 |
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Location: non white trash MD
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it helps.... but i dont do it either
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10-01-2009, 05:43 PM | #313 |
Grizzled Veteran
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knwing that he will be a prime target for the lynch, and the thought that he could get the body guard lynched instead! its a trade!
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10-01-2009, 05:44 PM | #314 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Quote:
As Jackal said, if Clap did this he deserves to get lynched even if he is a villager. One of them is certainly a wolf. |
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10-01-2009, 05:44 PM | #315 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Quote:
Sure, but there are obvious targets (well-known good players) that I could choose from. Obviously I didn't choose KWhit, but I'd like to keep it in the dark who I chose so that the wolves will have a nice decision in front of them if you are the one to be lynched today. |
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10-01-2009, 05:45 PM | #316 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Quote:
That's the thing - a fake reveal BG can last longer than a fake reveal seer, though. If you don't die, you can say it's because the wolves don't know who you protected night 1 and therefore don't know your protection pattern and don't want to risk losing a NK. And they'd rather go after a random person who could be the seer, because the seer can devastate the wolves chances by revealing 2-3+ scans. |
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10-01-2009, 05:45 PM | #317 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: non white trash MD
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i agree. one is a wolf and its jackyl not me! I would never reveal as a role i did not have as a vilager.
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10-01-2009, 05:46 PM | #318 | |
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Quote:
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10-01-2009, 05:46 PM | #319 | |
Head Coach
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Quote:
Not to be mean, but when you actually have a role you rarely reveal early and sometimes not at all. I could definitely see this from you as a wolf. That said, Im not saying I am going to vote you yet, but this is not a valid reason for not voting you. |
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10-01-2009, 05:48 PM | #320 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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But that's exactly why you could still get by without being lynched after two days of surviving clap.. It doesn't work if you fake reveal as the seer (see last game, after one no NK with no BG around, it was obvious i was a wolf) - but if you fake as the BG and the BG doesn't come clean (and as Lathum suggested, the BG should've stayed quiet except it was me), you could stick around for a long while. |
10-01-2009, 05:53 PM | #321 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Clap revealed before deadline. He actually often does not do that with a role. This was clearly done to save himself if he is the BG or to save himself and potentially get a real BG reveal if he is a wolf.
Jackal really had no reason to reveal if he was a wolf unless he simply expected him to be a primary lynch candidate. Certainly not a guarantee with. If he is a wolf and does not counter right away, the opportunity is gone for a counter later. If he is the BG, he made the right play. That way we can address this issue now and have meaningful voting records. And as I said earlier, a reveal later when needed quite possibly wouldn't be believed anyway. I am going to vote Clap at this point. This isn't a usual first reveal case because Clap revealed to save himself from lynch, not because he had found a wolf. And Jackyl was not caught as a wolf when he revealed. Vote Claphamsa |
10-01-2009, 06:13 PM | #322 |
Grizzled Veteran
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i have no revealed early... once! and thats cuz i had to work...... so......
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10-01-2009, 06:15 PM | #323 |
Grizzled Veteran
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heh, whatever lynch me or not, we have jackyl as a wolf, while not a fair trade thats all i get.
make sure you take looks at danny and abe abe jumped on my twice already, and danny is making shit up about my habits of revealing. which is bull shit and wrong.
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10-01-2009, 06:22 PM | #324 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
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I believe Jackal over Clap. Do we gain more by lynching him now though?
If we(those that are of the same opinion as me) are right, and he's a wolf, if we lynch him that's great. We killed one. If we're wrong, and he is the BG, if we don't lynch him, he'll have a chance at a lucky block as long as we leave him alive, or he'll be NK'd and it will be proven he was the BG and we know that Jackal is a wolf. Can someone tell me if I'm crazy here for thinking we might be better off focusing on other people and letting the wolves show us who the BG is with their NKs? |
10-01-2009, 06:25 PM | #325 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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Quote:
I like it actually. We'll build a better voting history when we get that figured out. Now if both continue to live, we'll have to deal with this eventually, but perhaps we should go after the other two wolves (or how many there are) and allow these two to live for a bit... |
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10-01-2009, 06:44 PM | #326 |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saskatchewan
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The issue could also be solved for us by the seer if we wait as suggested.
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10-01-2009, 06:46 PM | #327 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Yeah, but it would be smarter for the seer to scan other people, as the good/bad between me and clap will come out on its own.
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10-01-2009, 06:47 PM | #328 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Still, I've always been a proponent of going after a wolf when you think you have one. But I'm not in a position to push anyone, and J's idea isn't terrible. See what the rest of people think.
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10-01-2009, 06:51 PM | #329 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
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I'm still pretty new to this, so I don't want to lead us down the wrong path, but even if I'd say I'm 80% sure Clap is against us (wolf/sorceror?), when I run through the scenarios in my head, I think we gain more in the long-run by letting it play itself out.
BTW, can someone tell me what the sorceror role is? Is that the same thing as Cultist I saw in another game? (even if it is, please give me the run-down to be sure I remember stuff correctly if ya don't mind). |
10-01-2009, 06:53 PM | #330 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Yes, the Sorceror is someone who knows who all the wolves are to start, but the wolves don't know who they are.
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10-01-2009, 06:54 PM | #331 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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But they count as a villager in the final ratio (but of course, will vote with the wolves in endgame).
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10-01-2009, 06:59 PM | #332 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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If clap is indeed the sorceror, that's a win for the wolves, but alas, I was forced into it. Hopefully he's a witch!
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10-01-2009, 07:06 PM | #333 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jul 2009
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So we don't have to dig it up later, here's what happened to save Clap:
Code:
Someone please double check if you don't mind. |
10-01-2009, 07:13 PM | #334 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Early, TX
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Quote:
What if the Seer hits on a wolf day 1. Do they reveal right away and ask to be guarded at night so they can get a total of 2 scans and a guaranteed wolf? I just don't think that 2 scans are enough for "devastation", although getting a wolf would be huge. Anyway, I'm buying The Jackyl more than I am clap, so for now: Vote clap
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10-01-2009, 07:24 PM | #335 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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I was saying 2-3+, Schmidty, 'cause there's only 15 of us, and after 3 days the pressure will be on the seer to reveal if they have pertinent information, depending on how the game is going.
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10-01-2009, 08:01 PM | #336 | |
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Quote:
I would welcome scanning.
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10-01-2009, 08:05 PM | #337 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Early, TX
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So, we basically have a wolf - clap or The Jackal. Either we get one today, or tomorrow.
How many wolves do you guys think are in this game? 2 or 3?
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10-01-2009, 08:17 PM | #338 |
General Manager
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Location: Chicago
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10-01-2009, 08:28 PM | #339 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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There should be 3, Schmidty. Maybe even 3 and a sorceror, but bare minimum 3.
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10-01-2009, 08:30 PM | #340 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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VOTE BARKEEP49
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10-01-2009, 08:44 PM | #341 | |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
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Quote:
I am not a fan of this but I will keep the reasons to myself for now. For arguments sake who do you suggest we vote than? |
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10-01-2009, 09:53 PM | #342 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
Current Vote Count as of post 341 Claphamsa 5 - TheJackal Danny PurdueBrad AbeSargent Schmidty The Jackal 1 - Claphamsa I am out until morning. Have fun. |
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10-01-2009, 10:26 PM | #343 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Quote:
Re-read because that's what I said, you rarely reveal early as in you usually reveal very late or not at all. That was consistent with your pattern here. The initial two paragraphs of that post were summarizing the analysis, the last one is why I came to the conclusion to vote you. |
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10-01-2009, 10:28 PM | #344 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Quote:
This, seer should not be scanning either Jackal or Clap because yes then they would know who is a wolf, but then would have to reveal. |
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10-01-2009, 10:32 PM | #345 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Little Rock, AR
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Jackal,
What is your reason for coming out and revealing that you are the actual bodyguard?
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10-01-2009, 10:34 PM | #346 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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On the scenario of waiting, I believe you always go for the wolf. If we find the wolf first, we are golden. If we miss, we still have a decent voting record to go on for our next lynches. If we don't know which between the two is a wolf, our record of what to go on is not clear.
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10-01-2009, 10:36 PM | #347 | |
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Quote:
Yup, totally agree.
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10-01-2009, 10:52 PM | #348 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Quote:
I went over that at length earlier today.. The way the vote turned out day 1, it was clear I was going to be the main target for lynching today, and I decided to reveal straight off instead of waiting until near the deadline and hoping people would look another way. And I know that clap is not the BG, which suggests he is a wolf, and it seems a decent tradeoff, considering I was going to be drawing heat from the village anyways. |
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10-01-2009, 11:03 PM | #349 | |
Coordinator
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Location: Early, TX
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Quote:
Yeah, not to be insulting to people who want to wait, but I think this is a no-brainer.
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10-02-2009, 01:03 AM | #350 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: SoCal
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are we seriously in this same mess again? how this blows.
Vote Clap if he's innocent then jackyl's next
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