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Old 07-27-2011, 01:25 AM   #301
Narcizo
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Originally Posted by Narcizo View Post
OK I think whoever got the powder should 'fess up. No reason for a villager not to do so as far as I can see. If no-one admits it then we know that the wolves got it.

I didn't get the powder.

Oops! Might not be ideal revealing this if the wolves get the item if they night kill you.

Eagle - what happens if you hold an item and the wolves kill you?
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Old 07-27-2011, 01:36 AM   #302
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Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
I think I might have the Pandora one resolved, and the video driver stuff hasn't popped up yet tonight. But the FOFC "last thread" thing remains 100% screwed up.

Think I've seen a thread about the problem somewhere on the site, but it might have been talked about in another thread. I suggest searching for the topic and if you don't find it posting a new thread in Off-Topic.
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Old 07-27-2011, 02:09 AM   #303
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Ok if Chief is a wolf then I think it looks decent for Bug as if he was a wolf I think he'd add his vote to one of the candidates early on. Lathum, I'm not sure. I think he's basically saying that people shouldn't vote Chief which is fair enough and all but could easily be a wolfy move. Don't really see Lathum going that route though.

If Chief is a villager and knowing that I'm a villager then I think we want to look at the people who make sure that the existing candidates get pushed ahead. I would be interested in hearing from Passa and NTN there.

I agree that Jackal's moved vote gets him some trust, although it could also explain why Bhlloy was killed, as a wolf Jackal would be interested in showing that Bhlloy was also a villager. Doesn't really explain why he would move his vote in the first place though so I agree with Danny about Jackal deserving the most trust at the moment, making mau's vote today questionable (along with his dubious early vote yesterday ). Don't see it as a huge indictment of him though.

Don't know why Autumn only mentioned the 4 he did to be honest as, as far as I can see there aren't many who posted much of significance yesterday. That's the nature of day ones but I'm more dubious of people who keep their post count up without really saying anything (Telle, Passa, Packer) rather than people who don't post at all. JAG only has 6 posts but he actually says something in his posts.
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Old 07-27-2011, 02:15 AM   #304
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I may end up going back to Autumn.

On a separate note, I'm not really getting a wolfy vibe from Narc at the moment.
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Old 07-27-2011, 02:45 AM   #305
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Vote ntndeacon

I think there's likely a wolf vote on bhlloy and I'm getting okayish vibes from the rest of the people on him - unsurprisingly I'm not getting any vibe from ntndeacon. Passa, DV and he pretty much decided which three-horse race would emerge. DV was a villager and I think we're likely to get more useful stuff out of Passa rather than Ntn.

Not at all set on this vote though so I might be a-moving it later.
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Old 07-27-2011, 03:24 AM   #306
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EagleFan View Post
[color="Red"]As of post 227:

Darth Vilus 9 - Autumn (98), Narcizo (102), Passacaglia (170), Chief Rum (190), Telle (201), mayboy1 (221), The Jackal (223), bhlloy (225), PackerFanatic (226)
bhlloy 5 - Lathum (138), ntndeacon (165), JAG (196), Danny (199), Darth Vilus (217)
Narcizo 1 - MrBug 708 (192)


Narc, you bring up a great point. We have 9 people on DV and only 5 alive not on DV. You have to figure it's more likely not all the wolves piled on Darth when both players were villagers. Especially since I am in the group of 5 (and I know my allegiance), I think that is a better place for a vote than where I have mine now.

Unvote Mauboy

Despite my earlier gut reads, I can't vote with that over a solid place to go in with the group of 5. My vote will likely land there (Lathum, Ntn, Jag or Mr. Bug)
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Old 07-27-2011, 07:35 AM   #307
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Some trivia from the movie:

Despite his character Fezzik's almost-superhuman strength, André the Giant's back problems at the time prevented him from actually lifting anything heavy. Robin Wright had to be attached to wires in the scene where Buttercup jumps from the castle window into Fezzik's arms because he couldn't support her himself.

While rehearsing for the film, André the Giant's thick accent prevented many of his lines from being understood. To remedy this, actor Mandy Patinkin slapped André in the face to get him to concentrate harder.

When Count Rugen hits Westley over the head, Cary Elwes told Christopher Guest to go ahead and hit him for real. Guest hit him hard enough to shut down production for a day while Elwes went to the hospital.

The video baseball game the Grandson in playing during the first scene is "Hardball" produced by Accolade, Inc., in 1985. It was widely available in the mid-1980s for the Commodore 64 computer system. It was a one or two-player game. The sound was not from the actual game, but later added.

The giant rodents were created with diminutive actors inside rat suits. On the day Westley was supposed to battle the giant rat, the "rat actor" was pulled over for speeding and subsequently arrested, and actually had to be bailed out of jail by the filmmakers so the scene could be filmed.

I never realized that was Christopher Guest.
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Old 07-27-2011, 07:50 AM   #308
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I would be interested in hearing from Passa and NTN there.

Hi!

Personally, if you want to know my thoughts, I'm thinking dacman is the way to go. I know EagleFan sent him a PM to see what's up, but I have little patience for people who aren't even playing. I wouldn't necessarily keep my vote on him if he checked in, but I wouldn't necessarily move it just because he deigned to make one post or something. I think some votes for him have merit because they'll show us who defends him, and who votes for him to save other people.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Narcizo View Post
I'm more dubious of people who keep their post count up without really saying anything (Telle, Passa, Packer)

My post count is up? I find that hard to believe. It's probably that I'm comparing it to my usual WW self.
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Old 07-27-2011, 07:51 AM   #309
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On that note...

VOTE DACMAN
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Old 07-27-2011, 08:38 AM   #310
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On Dacman, I am willing to hear from Eagle as to what is being done.
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Old 07-27-2011, 08:44 AM   #311
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In terms of early thoughts in the game. My fears lie with Wolf on wolf voting in early days. Especially with earlier folks...It is so easy to hide wolvishness in an early wolf vote on Day one. names 2 and 3 to be tossed out were Chief by JAG and NArcizo by PF. I tend to think if there is a wolf-wolf pair there I favor the Chief-JAG pairing rather than the Narc-PF one.

Therefore...
Vote Chief Rum
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Old 07-27-2011, 08:49 AM   #312
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Meh, not a great start. Going to be catching up a bit and going to be on and off today.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Danny View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Jackal
I don't really have much on bhlloy besides a tiny bit of semantics, and DV is pinging all over.

unvote bhlloy
vote DV
You probably don't bother doing this as a wolf.

I disagree. If the wolves were already thinking they were going to kill bhlloy, they would also know a late shift like that would look much more like a villager move than a wolf move. I would feel better about Jackal if bhlloy hadn't been the NK and we found out bhlloy's alligence ourselves.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:09 AM   #313
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OK I think whoever got the powder should 'fess up. No reason for a villager not to do so as far as I can see. If no-one admits it then we know that the wolves got it.

I didn't get the powder.

I don't mind revealing whether or not I received it, but would it make more sense to keep this information secret for now? Do we know what the rules are in the event a person with the item is night-killed (do we go through another selection process?). I guess this exercise doesn't make that much sense thinking about it. If a wolf received it, they'll either claim they didn't or they'll reveal that they did to gain trust. I think best we can do is hope a villager received it and gets to use it as a half-duke at some point.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:12 AM   #314
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Narc, you bring up a great point. We have 9 people on DV and only 5 alive not on DV. You have to figure it's more likely not all the wolves piled on Darth when both players were villagers. Especially since I am in the group of 5 (and I know my allegiance), I think that is a better place for a vote than where I have mine now.

Unvote Mauboy

Despite my earlier gut reads, I can't vote with that over a solid place to go in with the group of 5. My vote will likely land there (Lathum, Ntn, Jag or Mr. Bug)

I disagree with this logic. You could most likely find a wolf in any random group of 5 players.. but there's a good chance you'll be wasting your time working through four villagers before you get to that wolf. This seems like a wolf move to get us to waste time with little return on investment.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:15 AM   #315
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No word from dacman yet. If I don't hear from him by 5:00 I will ask CF to replace him (CF has volunteered). If it was a large game I would give him more time but with a small game time is more important.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:16 AM   #316
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If a person is killed while holding an item that item will be given to a random player.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:21 AM   #317
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As of post 316:

MrBug708 1 - Autumn (268)
The Jackal 1 - mauboy1 (277)
ntndeacon 1 - Narcizo (305)
dacman 1 - Passacaglia (309)
Chief Rum 1 - ntndeacon (311)
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:24 AM   #318
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Killing Bhlloy is a strange move. I guess if the wolves thought he was roled they thought he would reveal if pushed as a lynch candidate this early and then get Fezzik's help. In fact if they thought he was Westley they might see this as their only shot to kill him for a long while, so that might explain it. I guess that bhlloy looked a bit eager to save himself which suggest wolf or, to the wolves, roled so that's probably what happened.

My pet theory is that the wolves killed bhlloy to basically turn our vote on Day One into utterly meaninglessness. By showing bhlloy is a villager right away, we basically have another Day One in store for us on Day Two.

This could be just to do just that--or it's possible that a wolf made a key vote in this one, and they don't want us to look at the voting at all for Day One.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:26 AM   #319
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Agreed - really kills most of the voting from today, if you ask me (at least in terms of looking at the save angle)

Ah ha, I glazed over this. PF basically said what I just did in my last post (but more succinctly).
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:28 AM   #320
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OK I think whoever got the powder should 'fess up. No reason for a villager not to do so as far as I can see. If no-one admits it then we know that the wolves got it.

I didn't get the powder.

I did not get the powder either.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:29 AM   #321
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I'm not sure I agree with that. If we were villager-villager, wouldn't the wolves want us thinking we were wolf-villager, and following what is usually a wild-goose chase? I wonder if that means one of the late bhlloy voters was a wolf, and by showing us that bhlloy was a villager, they wanted to make sure we didn't look that way.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:30 AM   #322
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I suppose, looking back at the vote history, that darth votes narc and then mr.bug switches to narc, making him one of three contenders in the middle of the day. If Narc were bad, we could then look at votes following that to see who might have led things to Darth and Bhlloy.

It finally occurred to me that the wolves were likely hoping that Bhlloy was the scan last night, and that's why they offed him. Which makes it a better move than I thought. If he hadn't been killed we would probably be looking at people like PF who made last minute moves. So the other theory would be that it just so happened wolves made last minute moves (though clearly they didn't have to) and so they wanted to nip that in the bud.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:31 AM   #323
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Oops. Sorry Darth.

Autumn votes darth 1
Narc votes darth 2
jag votes chief 2-1
packerfan votes narc 2-1-1
jackal votes chief rum 2-2-1
mauboy votes narcizo 2-2-2
bhlloy votes chief rum 3-2-2
lathum votes bhlloy 3-2-2-1
mrbug votes autumn 3-2-2-1-1
jag unvotes chief 2-2-2-1-1
jackal unvotes chief 2-2-1-1-1
jackal votes bhlloy 2-2-2-1-1
bhlloy unvotes chief 2-2-2-1
bhlloy votes ntndeacon 2-2-2-1-1
ntn votes bhlloy 3-2-2-1-1
pass votes darth 3-3-2-1-1
dadrth votes narcizo 3-3-3-1-1
chief votes darth 4-3-3-1-1
mrbug unvotes autumn 4-3-3-1
mrbug votes narcizo 4-4-3-1
jag votes bhlloy 4-4-4-1
danny votes bhlloy 5-4-4-1

telle votes darth 5-5-4-1
darth unvotes narc 5-5-3-1
darth votes bhlloy 6-5-3-1
mauboy unvotes narc 6-5-2-1
mauboy votes darth 6-6-2-1
jackal unvotes bhlloy 6-5-2-1
jackal votes darth 7-5-2-1
bhlloy unvotes ntn 7-5-2
bhlloy votes darth 8-5-2
pf unvotes narc 8-5-1
pf votes darth 9-5-1

Late votes I see are Darth, who I have decent trust in (yes, that's a joke). Then Danny and JAG a little bit behind. Not sure what to make of The Jackal's unvote yet.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:32 AM   #324
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Yeah, what they said.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:33 AM   #325
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It finally occurred to me that the wolves were likely hoping that Bhlloy was the scan last night, and that's why they offed him. Which makes it a better move than I thought.

Oh, that's a good possibility, too.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:35 AM   #326
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If he hadn't been killed we would probably be looking at people like PF who made last minute moves.

Does bhlloy being killed really affect your PF argument (which I believe has some merit)? I'm not sure it does.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:35 AM   #327
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Late votes I see are Darth, who I have decent trust in (yes, that's a joke). Then Danny and JAG a little bit behind. Not sure what to make of The Jackal's unvote yet.

I don't get why you're calling those late votes when there's several voters that came in after that? You mean those were crucial ones and the others were piling on?
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:35 AM   #328
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On the same reasoning Danny gave for considering one of the four living voters on bhlloy, I have to consider Bug as a possibility, as the lone standout vote not on one of the two primaries yesterday. This can certainly be moved, but I can see a wolf Bug putting in his vote on Narc and then feeling that moving it would look wolfish later in review.

VOTE MRBUG
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:38 AM   #329
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Does bhlloy being killed really affect your PF argument (which I believe has some merit)? I'm not sure it does.

Bhlloy being killed doesn't, no. But the fact that he was piling on a done deal would make it an odd move for a wolf, knowing they're both villagers.

Now it could be that he did it just to have a relevant vote, and then worried that it would draw attention, and so he killed bhlloy. He might have been worried that just leaving his vote on narc would draw attention as a wasted vote.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:38 AM   #330
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I don't get why you're calling those late votes when there's several voters that came in after that? You mean those were crucial ones and the others were piling on?

I meant late bhlloy votes. That was a continuation of my thoughts from two posts before (thanks for interrupting my dola).
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:45 AM   #331
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Bhlloy being killed doesn't, no. But the fact that he was piling on a done deal would make it an odd move for a wolf, knowing they're both villagers.

Now it could be that he did it just to have a relevant vote, and then worried that it would draw attention, and so he killed bhlloy. He might have been worried that just leaving his vote on narc would draw attention as a wasted vote.

That makes sense to me. It also seems telling that he was the first one to essentially say, "lets all ignore the votes, since we were villager-villager, and go back to square one"
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:46 AM   #332
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Bhlloy being killed doesn't, no. But the fact that he was piling on a done deal would make it an odd move for a wolf, knowing they're both villagers.

Now it could be that he did it just to have a relevant vote, and then worried that it would draw attention, and so he killed bhlloy. He might have been worried that just leaving his vote on narc would draw attention as a wasted vote.

I think Packer's voting yesterday is a bit weird altogether really. I'm not really sure I understand his reasoning for voting me. I thought he meant that I was around so I could reveal if I had to - although it would have to be a pretty big run on me to get me thinking about revealing by the time I have to leave the game. Then he doesn't like the run on Darth but votes him anyway. At the time it just looks like moving a throwaway vote to another throwaway vote. At the moment I tend to think that it's just villager weird rather than fangs and fur weird though.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:47 AM   #333
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Vote ntndeacon

I think there's likely a wolf vote on bhlloy and I'm getting okayish vibes from the rest of the people on him - unsurprisingly I'm not getting any vibe from ntndeacon. Passa, DV and he pretty much decided which three-horse race would emerge. DV was a villager and I think we're likely to get more useful stuff out of Passa rather than Ntn.

Not at all set on this vote though so I might be a-moving it later.

But what if the wolves offed bhlloy because they thought it would add suspicion to those who voted bhlloy and they didn't have anyone voting him? I'll admit that would be rather unconventional for wolves to pile on someone D1, but for a reasonable part of the day the vote was spread out and only became bunched towards the end. I could see a wolf making a late move to DV under the idea that it's not a typical wolf move and because there was a general movement towards him at the end, so maybe they suspected there would be a larger pool of players to hide in. Gonna take a closer look at that when I can.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:47 AM   #334
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I think it's hard to really tell what was happening with the late votes yesterday, given that both ended up being villagers. And I think the wolves know that, hence why they made the seemingly gutsy call. As I said last night, they were more for us wasting a day of history than anything it seems.

So for now, I will go with the only vote that wasn't in the craziness yesterday.

VOTE MRBUG
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:48 AM   #335
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Hmm, re-looking at the vote list, I might end up re-thinking that. I can't think of why a wolf would move his vote from Autumn to Narc in the middle of the day. I can see a villager doing this--starting off with an early vote on Autumn, and then when Autumn wasn't really a aprt of the growing list of candidates, switching to Narc (who had 3 votes at the time, 1 behind the leader) to make his vote relevant.

Unless Autumn and Bug are wolves together, and Bug did it to build early trust. But then Autumn's vote today is already on Bug, and that seems a bit forward for the whole "wolf on wolf to establish trust" plan.

So I might end up switching off of Bug after all, but I'll leave it there noe and see what happens.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:51 AM   #336
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I think Packer's voting yesterday is a bit weird altogether really. I'm not really sure I understand his reasoning for voting me. I thought he meant that I was around so I could reveal if I had to - although it would have to be a pretty big run on me to get me thinking about revealing by the time I have to leave the game. Then he doesn't like the run on Darth but votes him anyway. At the time it just looks like moving a throwaway vote to another throwaway vote. At the moment I tend to think that it's just villager weird rather than fangs and fur weird though.

The initial vote was simply getting one out there on someone who wasn't on the block yet but that I knew would be around to talk about it (rather than someone quiet at the time). My post about not liking the run on him came after I had seen that there was another vote on him while I was posting, and made me think that we were barking up the wrong tree - but I didn't like bhlloy anymore than DV, so why move my vote and draw my attention to myself (which I clearly did well enough without, heh)
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:51 AM   #337
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But what if the wolves offed bhlloy because they thought it would add suspicion to those who voted bhlloy and they didn't have anyone voting him? I'll admit that would be rather unconventional for wolves to pile on someone D1, but for a reasonable part of the day the vote was spread out and only became bunched towards the end. I could see a wolf making a late move to DV under the idea that it's not a typical wolf move and because there was a general movement towards him at the end, so maybe they suspected there would be a larger pool of players to hide in. Gonna take a closer look at that when I can.

I think that's very much possible, which is why I'm wary of voting that list, as appealing and fairly short as it may be. I think the idea that the wolves split their votes among candidates is a bit antiquated, I haven't noticed that as a strong tendency for a long time, really. They could very well all be bunched on darth (or if bug or dacman is a wolf, not even in the race).
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:52 AM   #338
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Originally Posted by EagleFan View Post
If a person is killed while holding an item that item will be given to a random player.

Not sure about revealing with the powder then. Is it likely the wolves would kill someone for a random shot at getting hold of it? And how much weight should we put on that compared with the information of finding out if the wolves have the powder. I lean towards thinking it's worth revealing that you have it unless you also have a role.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:53 AM   #339
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Woo! More than 50% participants in thread at the moment.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:55 AM   #340
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Originally Posted by Chief Rum View Post
Hmm, re-looking at the vote list, I might end up re-thinking that. I can't think of why a wolf would move his vote from Autumn to Narc in the middle of the day. I can see a villager doing this--starting off with an early vote on Autumn, and then when Autumn wasn't really a aprt of the growing list of candidates, switching to Narc (who had 3 votes at the time, 1 behind the leader) to make his vote relevant.

Yeah, Bug's voting is what I'd expect from a villager. It's just a shame that he left it up to us to imply his thinking rather than just telling us what he thought.
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Old 07-27-2011, 09:58 AM   #341
Chief Rum
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chief Rum View Post
Hmm, re-looking at the vote list, I might end up re-thinking that. I can't think of why a wolf would move his vote from Autumn to Narc in the middle of the day. I can see a villager doing this--starting off with an early vote on Autumn, and then when Autumn wasn't really a aprt of the growing list of candidates, switching to Narc (who had 3 votes at the time, 1 behind the leader) to make his vote relevant.

Unless Autumn and Bug are wolves together, and Bug did it to build early trust. But then Autumn's vote today is already on Bug, and that seems a bit forward for the whole "wolf on wolf to establish trust" plan.

So I might end up switching off of Bug after all, but I'll leave it there noe and see what happens.

Here, I am talking about MrBug, whom I had voted for earlier. You guys blitzed the thread with posts and removed the relevancy of my post.
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Old 07-27-2011, 10:00 AM   #342
Passacaglia
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chief Rum View Post
Here, I am talking about MrBug, whom I had voted for earlier. You guys blitzed the thread with posts and removed the relevancy of my post.

That was probably just a ploy to get PF to hop on your bandwagon, because he hasn't done enough suspicious things lately.
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Old 07-27-2011, 10:01 AM   #343
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Originally Posted by Autumn View Post
I think that's very much possible, which is why I'm wary of voting that list, as appealing and fairly short as it may be. I think the idea that the wolves split their votes among candidates is a bit antiquated, I haven't noticed that as a strong tendency for a long time, really. They could very well all be bunched on darth (or if bug or dacman is a wolf, not even in the race).

Rethinking I kind of agree with you and I'm a bit surprised that my argument was enough to swing Danny of his own suspect list. On the other hand it's not my sole problem with ntn so I'm going to wait and see if the vote condenses somewhat before looking at other candidates.
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Old 07-27-2011, 10:03 AM   #344
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vote - The Jackal

I look later hopefully and see if I need to switch. Just didnt want to leave without voting
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Old 07-27-2011, 10:04 AM   #345
Chief Rum
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Originally Posted by Passacaglia View Post
That was probably just a ploy to get PF to hop on your bandwagon, because he hasn't done enough suspicious things lately.

lol... I did think it funny that when I posted up about Bug, re-thinking my vote, that PF had just followed up on my vote.
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Old 07-27-2011, 10:07 AM   #346
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Originally Posted by MrBug708 View Post
vote - The Jackal

I look later hopefully and see if I need to switch. Just didnt want to leave without voting

lol, well that doesn't help
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Old 07-27-2011, 10:08 AM   #347
Narcizo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MrBug708 View Post
vote - The Jackal

I look later hopefully and see if I need to switch. Just didnt want to leave without voting

Could you please give some sort of reasoning for your votes Bug.
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Old 07-27-2011, 10:08 AM   #348
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Not fully caught up yet, but my early inclination is I would be surprised if Autumn was a wolf, based on vibe and how he has previously admitted how he plays as a wolf. Danny is the one pinging me the most, but I'm hesitant to vote there at this point.
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Old 07-27-2011, 10:13 AM   #349
Passacaglia
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Aight, so two people have two votes already, and somehow PF doesn't have any. He's got to at least be considered in this thing.

UNVOTE DACMAN
VOTE PACKERFANATIC
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Old 07-27-2011, 10:14 AM   #350
Passacaglia
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Oh wait, Bug actually has three votes -- I was assuming CR unvoted, but he has not.
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