07-15-2008, 04:26 PM | #3951 | |
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: non white trash MD
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Quote:
confirmed this. evertythign is fixed excpet beds... so we shoudl all be there!
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07-15-2008, 04:26 PM | #3952 |
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Location: non white trash MD
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can we get a BG protect on danny? is he worth it? is cheese good?
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07-15-2008, 04:28 PM | #3953 |
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Join Date: Jul 2001
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I think Pass is still a bigger target than I am, but if they get in two kills they may go for me in there somewhere. It would be nice if we could get them back to 1 kill a day
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07-15-2008, 04:29 PM | #3954 |
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07-15-2008, 04:29 PM | #3955 | |
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Quote:
Good points. Like I said, I was mainly playing devil's advocate, I admiteddly rushed through the whole sequence of Pass suddenly being a doctor. But ok, yeah, if you two are as confident as you seem that it's on the up-and-up, I'll let that dog lie. So ok, we snipe olie today and work off that list. |
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07-15-2008, 04:30 PM | #3956 | |
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: non white trash MD
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Quote:
bah!
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07-15-2008, 04:30 PM | #3957 |
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Is the number of kills related to the number of presumed Spawn? Or could even just 1 spawn kill like that?
Just seems if they're knocking off 2 each night (presuming we're correct about olie being Spawn and there are only 3 today) without a BG, this game could end real quick. |
07-15-2008, 04:31 PM | #3958 | |
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Quote:
You're only reading half of what I post I think.. Go back and re-read what my thoughts are about Pass... I clearly listed the -ONLY- way he could be a spawn would have been to be converted the night before using his duplicant ability when he did not know he had a spawnling inside of him.. and then the next day when he became a doctor, he also became a spawn. Since the probability of the timing on all of that is really small, that is why I said we had better targets to go after today, and tommorrow. |
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07-15-2008, 04:32 PM | #3959 | |
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Join Date: Jul 2001
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Quote:
Hopefully we can get lucky and they end up with a failed kill, but yes I think it's pretty important to nail a spawn each of the next two nights. |
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07-15-2008, 04:33 PM | #3960 | |
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Quote:
The rules state that each spawn can carry out their own action.. or they can team up for a better chance of success.. Just 1 spawn carrying out an action = less chance of success.. So two nights ago, we obviously had at least 4 spawn left but only 3 kills.. last night we have at least 3 spawn left since there were 3 kills. They could have split up and only done one person per kill and just got extremely lucky.. or they could have alot more than 3 spawn left, which also then increases our chances of getting spawn correct on lynches too. |
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07-15-2008, 04:34 PM | #3961 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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If they have a lot more then 3 spawn left would hit a spawn every night and still lose. I'm hopefully optimistic there there is in fact a max of 3 left.
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07-15-2008, 04:34 PM | #3962 | |
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Quote:
That is the best idea I have heard all day! Who do you want me to guard tonight Alan???? |
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07-15-2008, 04:34 PM | #3963 | |
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That is why I had kwhit and I hand out some phasers.. even with a phaser it doesn't mean they can't kill us.. but it helps with the odds for us.. Also makes them possibly make different decisions to team up instead of spreading out if their juicy targets all have phasers. |
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07-15-2008, 04:45 PM | #3964 |
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07-15-2008, 04:47 PM | #3965 | |
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Location: Fresno, CA
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Quote:
No I get it, and I did when I made the post you quoted. Hence why I'm not pushing it any more. I think you're right, the odds are small that it's just not the problem of the day. |
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07-15-2008, 05:27 PM | #3966 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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What would be great for tomorrow is a list of the players Alan mentioned and their supposed night actions and day status as exhausted or not for all of the days. So far it seems like analyzing what's happened during then night is the best way to catch spawn.
Also, something to keep in mind, but none of the three dead spawn right now were on the counsel. This means the three longest living spawns are still alive and I would put people who were cleared earlier on on like Schmidty a touch down the list of guys like Packerfanatic who have never been cleared. |
07-15-2008, 05:28 PM | #3967 |
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Ok folks I'm outta here, check ya in the A-M.
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07-15-2008, 05:29 PM | #3968 | |
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Location: Bethlehem, Pa
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Quote:
none of them have gotten scanned, and i dont think they have pulled in more than 2 or 3 votes as a group all game...that pretty much looks like we are assuming they are good guys..no suspicion whatsoever has been on them |
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07-15-2008, 05:30 PM | #3969 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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I have been scanned Saldana. Also, it is unlikely Jeheinz is bad because I have worked with him so much. I also have no gotten bad reads on Clap or Purdue although I am less sure about them from my ability
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07-15-2008, 05:31 PM | #3970 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Oh, and if it wasn't for my ability, I might think Jeheinz is a spawn from his posting throughout the game
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07-15-2008, 05:35 PM | #3971 |
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Location: Bethlehem, Pa
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yeah, danny, i was posting as i caught up, thanks
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07-15-2008, 06:39 PM | #3972 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Happy birthday, Bulletsponge.
Hope you don't pick up the birthday curse in WW |
07-15-2008, 07:31 PM | #3973 |
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: DeKalb, IL
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Alright guys, let's get a good lynch today. I'm out till late, good luck guys!
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07-15-2008, 07:50 PM | #3974 |
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: TX
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ok ive seen enough of oliegirl to know shes acting like someone whos a wolf for the first time and looking a sure hanging in the face. its exactly how i acted my first wolfy time.... ok most of the time when im goina get hung.
Vote oliegirl |
07-15-2008, 08:52 PM | #3975 |
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most boring WW. Day. Ever.
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07-15-2008, 08:53 PM | #3976 |
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07-15-2008, 08:55 PM | #3977 |
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yeah, talk about a loss of momentum!
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07-15-2008, 08:55 PM | #3978 |
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How many votes do we have on Oliegirl now?
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07-15-2008, 08:58 PM | #3979 |
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07-15-2008, 08:59 PM | #3980 |
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I might want to switch my vote to Jeheinz. He thought he might have the ability gut feeling. If he does, I would like one of the players from the list of 6 to switch with me.
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07-15-2008, 09:01 PM | #3981 |
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07-15-2008, 09:03 PM | #3982 |
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07-15-2008, 09:04 PM | #3983 | |
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Quote:
you would need at least 3 other people to switch with you.. since it is triggered by a predetermined amount of votes (between 2 and 4) |
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07-15-2008, 09:04 PM | #3984 | |
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Quote:
Yeah. Happy birthday.
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07-15-2008, 09:05 PM | #3985 |
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Join Date: Jul 2001
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This is the list I am referring to
bulletsponge oliegirl Schmidty Saldana PackerFanatic There's actually a player not here who I suspect might be a spawn, but I will keep that private for now as it is entirely gut feeling. I would like Packerfanatic to switch his vote to Jeheinz with me if he comes online. |
07-15-2008, 09:05 PM | #3986 |
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07-15-2008, 09:07 PM | #3987 |
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07-15-2008, 09:09 PM | #3988 | |
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Quote:
Why am I a suspect again? Because I was proven to be a human on day 2, and could have been converted since? Just checking. I don't really have a defense against that. All I've done since then is defend the water every night. All you have is my word, which means nothing in WW. But, yeah, I am a human.
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07-15-2008, 09:10 PM | #3989 |
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Because it's theoretically possible for you to be converted since then. Personally, I think you are good.
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07-15-2008, 09:10 PM | #3990 | |
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Quote:
Dola. I'll be waiting for the person or persons that seriously start to push for my lynching before I have a suspect. Not a vengeance thing, just a way to have any idea at all to target someone, since only the Spawn know that I'm good.
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07-15-2008, 09:15 PM | #3991 | |
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dont take it personally schmidty..i am on the list too, even though i have none absolutely nothing but be helpful the entire game |
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07-15-2008, 09:22 PM | #3992 | |
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Quote:
In case I am night killed.. the way I view both you and Passacaglia... is you showed an ability which means you were not an original spawned.. Both of you have a possibility of having been converted, but right now it seems to indicate that we have not found any of the original spawn council yet, or at least haven't found the Spawn Queen nor any of the other special spawn roles.. So until we at least lynch the spawn queen plus another roled spawn, it doesn't seem worthwhile even bothering to entertain any suspicions at either of you. |
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07-15-2008, 09:33 PM | #3993 | |
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Quote:
Nah. I don't take it personally. I just have to try to defend myself in anyway I can. My credibility is tenuous, and I understand that. It's pretty tough right now. I'm not sure that any chicanery by even the Spawns is going to work at this point, since clearance for anyone is tough. That's why I said that the ONLY thing I have to go on, is who potentially starts a run on the only person I know 100% is good - me. It's grasping at straws, but it's all I have.
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07-15-2008, 09:33 PM | #3994 | |
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Quote:
agreed |
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07-15-2008, 09:47 PM | #3995 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Unvote Oliegirl
Vote Jeheinz Would like to see one or two people switch with me, to at least give this a chance to work. |
07-15-2008, 09:51 PM | #3996 |
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07-15-2008, 09:52 PM | #3997 | |
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Quote:
Why? Unless I missed something, I'm pretty sure there is a huge chance that olie is a Spawn. Are you just trying to sow confusion? I just don't get that. Of course, I miss a lot of things, so I'm willing to listen.
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07-15-2008, 09:53 PM | #3998 |
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Jeheinz thought he might have the gut feeling ability. This way he can see if he does and potentially get a read on someone good or bad. It's not a great move, but could be useful
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07-15-2008, 09:54 PM | #3999 |
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Jeheinz mentioned earlier in the day that he doesn't know what his secret role is yet, so thinks he may be the gut feeling.. so Danny is trying to explore that to help him see if that is the case. To do so though, Danny needs 2-3 more people to move to vote for jeheinz. not enough to lynch him but enough to try it out.
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07-15-2008, 09:54 PM | #4000 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Olie is a spawn. I believe Jeheinz to be good, but earlier he suggested a couple people put votes on him to see if he was gut feeling.
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