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Old 06-13-2019, 02:14 PM   #1
Sharkn20
High School Varsity
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Primary / Secondary / Outlet Routes

I wonder if anyone has strong numbers about targets % distribution / rationale between the 3 types of routes.

2 Theories:

1) Random seed tied to %

2) QB "reads" how "tight" the coverage is by order Primary / Secondary / Outlet and throws to the most favourable.

What do you guys think?


Last edited by Sharkn20 : 06-13-2019 at 02:14 PM.
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Old 06-13-2019, 11:05 PM   #2
Front Office Midget
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Manitowoc, Wisconsin
Does the OSFL still have the Kalispel Stags GM who creates the crazy custom gameplans? I know he tracked a lot of data...
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Old 06-14-2019, 11:59 AM   #3
Sharkn20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Front Office Midget View Post
Does the OSFL still have the Kalispel Stags GM who creates the crazy custom gameplans? I know he tracked a lot of data...

Yes he does, last year he was a Superbowl finalist.
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Old 06-15-2019, 07:28 PM   #4
Ushikawa
H.S. Freshman Team
 
Join Date: May 2015
Are you trolling?

2. Primary is quite dominant, secondary is you guessed it, outlet frequency mostly depends on the QBS timing bar.
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Old 06-16-2019, 07:13 AM   #5
Sharkn20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ushikawa View Post
Are you trolling?

2. Primary is quite dominant, secondary is you guessed it, outlet frequency mostly depends on the QBS timing bar.

Not trolling, just throwing a discussion out there to see if anyone came with some data (%) about it... Quite unsuccesfully though, lol.
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Old 06-17-2019, 09:20 AM   #6
Nemesis
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ushikawa View Post
Are you trolling?

2. Primary is quite dominant, secondary is you guessed it, outlet frequency mostly depends on the QBS timing bar.


Timing? How do we know this?
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Old 06-17-2019, 01:38 PM   #7
Sharkn20
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Originally Posted by Nemesis View Post
Timing? How do we know this?

Good question
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Old 06-19-2019, 10:43 AM   #8
Ushikawa
H.S. Freshman Team
 
Join Date: May 2015
I know about Timing from logging plays, very rough jsut eyeball analysis but a high Timing QB should throw 4-6 times per game to a non-Primary/Secondary receiver, a low Timing QB maybe just once or twice.


So many factors regarding coverage/route/receiver not ot mention double couverage to really guess how often the Primary receiver gets the target and I started to track for a while but ended up deleting the column. IIRC was about 20-25% of the time going to Secondary receiver but again I feel like that number could change quite a bit for various intuitive reasons.
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Old 07-02-2019, 11:32 AM   #9
TeamBills59
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Join Date: Jan 2014
I haven't gone through the data but it seemed to me like it always went to primary or secondary.
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