2022 Midterms Prediction Game

larrymcg421 · 11-06-2022, 09:41 PM

We usually do this, so I figure I'd start a thread...

Predict the following Senate races

Group 1 - 1 pt for picking the winner. No bonus pts

GA:
PA:
NV:
AZ:

Group 2 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 1 bonus pt if you correctly pick the underdog (Bolduc, Barnes, Beasley, Ryan)

NH:
WI:
NC:
OH:

Group 3 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 2 bonus pts if you correctly pick the underdog (O'Dea, Smiley, Demings, Franken, McMullin)

CO:
WA:
FL:
IA:
UT:

House -Predict how many seats the GOP will gain. If you think Dems will gain, predict a negative number. You will lose a pt for every seat you are off.

GOP House Gain:

CrimsonFox · 11-06-2022, 11:34 PM

oh ffs stop!

larrymcg421 · 11-07-2022, 12:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CrimsonFox

oh ffs stop!

???

Solecismic · 11-07-2022, 12:39 AM

Seems like you start a new item every couple of years. The rule here is no new items until your last one has 40,000 replies. It's just cluttering the board if you do this so frequently.

One exception, though. You could do a "hot or not: Patty Murray", and tie that in with the bonus points. Then you'd be OK.

My wife and I are doing something like this, only we printed out all 71 governor and senate races, plus a couple of house races. Obviously, 50 or so aren't going to get a second's thought, but it's good to know who's who around the country. I ended up with +1 R in the Senate, with Georgia going into overtime. If I had to call the House, I'd say +35-40. But we're not doing that, because it'll be a month before we have the final number.

larrymcg421 · 11-07-2022, 08:36 PM

We usually do this, so I figure I'd start a thread...

Predict the following Senate races

Group 1 - 1 pt for picking the winner. No bonus pts

GA: Warnock
PA: Fetterman
NV: Laxalt
AZ: Kelly

Group 2 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 1 bonus pt if you correctly pick the underdog (Bolduc, Barnes, Beasley, Ryan)

NH: Hassan
WI: Johnson
NC: Budd
OH: Ryan

Group 3 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 2 bonus pts if you correctly pick the underdog (O'Dea, Smiley, Demings, Franken, McMullin)

CO: Bennet
WA: Murray
FL: Rubio
IA: Grassley
UT: Lee

House -Predict how many seats the GOP will gain. If you think Dems will gain, predict a negative number. You will lose a pt for every seat you are off.

GOP House Gain: 34

Izulde · 11-07-2022, 09:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by larrymcg421

We usually do this, so I figure I'd start a thread...

Predict the following Senate races

Group 1 - 1 pt for picking the winner. No bonus pts

GA: Warnock
PA: Fetterman
NV: Laxalt
AZ: Kelly

Group 2 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 1 bonus pt if you correctly pick the underdog (Bolduc, Barnes, Beasley, Ryan)

NH: Hassan
WI: Johnson
NC: Budd
OH: Ryan

Group 3 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 2 bonus pts if you correctly pick the underdog (O'Dea, Smiley, Demings, Franken, McMullin)

CO: Bennet
WA: Murray
FL: Rubio
IA: Grassley
UT: Lee

House -Predict how many seats the GOP will gain. If you think Dems will gain, predict a negative number. You will lose a pt for every seat you are off.

GOP House Gain: 34

Cortez Masto will win in Nevada, and it would be a shocking upset to me if she lost. In WI, it unfortunately looks like Johnson will get re-elected. Barnes hasn't run a great campaign IMO, and there's a lot of deep red in this state.

Edward64 · 11-07-2022, 09:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Solecismic

One exception, though. You could do a "hot or not: Patty Murray" ...

You made me google.

Solecismic · 11-07-2022, 10:13 PM

OK. I'll give this a try.

Group 1 - 1 pt for picking the winner. No bonus pts

GA: Walker (but if he doesn't clear 50%, and I think it'll be close, but no cigar, it's a different race next month)
PA: Oz (the debate was simply too painful to watch for late deciders)
NV: Laxalt (Sabato makes a good case for the incumbent, but Nevada's not that naturally blue, yet)
AZ: Kelly (Arizona isn't that red and Masters is off-putting)

Group 2 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 1 bonus pt if you correctly pick the underdog (Bolduc, Barnes, Beasley, Ryan)

Chalk time - I don't see any of these as all that close in the end
NH: Hassan
WI: Johnson
NC: Budd
OH: Vance (by low double-digits - Ryan has run an awful campaign here)

Group 3 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 2 bonus pts if you correctly pick the underdog (O'Dea, Smiley, Demings, Franken, McMullin)

More chalk, more double-digit wins.
CO: Bennet
WA: Murray (though probably not hot)
FL: Rubio
IA: Grassley
UT: Lee

House -Predict how many seats the GOP will gain. If you think Dems will gain, predict a negative number. You will lose a pt for every seat you are off.

GOP House Gain: +36 (again, this gets scored a long time from now).

BishopMVP · 11-08-2022, 02:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CrimsonFox

oh ffs stop!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Solecismic

Seems like you start a new item every couple of years. The rule here is no new items until your last one has 40,000 replies. It's just cluttering the board if you do this so frequently.

One exception, though. You could do a "hot or not: Patty Murray", and tie that in with the bonus points. Then you'd be OK.

Did y'all confuse Larry with Edward?

JPhillips · 11-08-2022, 11:32 AM

Group 1 - 1 pt for picking the winner. No bonus pts

GA: Warnock
PA: Fetterman
NV: Cortez-Mastro
AZ: Kelly

Group 2 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 1 bonus pt if you correctly pick the underdog (Bolduc, Barnes, Beasley, Ryan)

NH: Hassan
WI: Johnson
NC: Budd
OH: Vance

Group 3 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 2 bonus pts if you correctly pick the underdog (O'Dea, Smiley, Demings, Franken, McMullin)

CO: Bennett
WA: Murray
FL: Rubio
IA:Grassley
UT: McMullin

House -Predict how many seats the GOP will gain. If you think Dems will gain, predict a negative number. You will lose a pt for every seat you are off.

GOP House Gain: +14

larrymcg421 · 11-08-2022, 11:53 AM

I hope JPhillips wins.

Edward64 · 11-08-2022, 12:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BishopMVP

Did y'all confuse Larry with Edward?

Just for that, be expecting HoN Patty Murray

NobodyHere · 11-08-2022, 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64

Just for that, be expecting HoN Patty Murray

If you don't, I will.

Swaggs · 11-08-2022, 01:12 PM

Group 1 - 1 pt for picking the winner. No bonus pts

GA: Under 50% threshold - Warnock wins runoff
PA: Fetterman
NV: Cortez-Mastro
AZ: Kelly

Group 2 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 1 bonus pt if you correctly pick the underdog (Bolduc, Barnes, Beasley, Ryan)

NH: Hassan
WI: Johnson
NC: Budd
OH: Ryan

Group 3 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 2 bonus pts if you correctly pick the underdog (O'Dea, Smiley, Demings, Franken, McMullin)

CO: Bennett
WA: Murray
FL: Rubio
IA: Grassley
UT: Lee

House -Predict how many seats the GOP will gain. If you think Dems will gain, predict a negative number. You will lose a pt for every seat you are off.

GOP House Gain: +22

I also think GA, PA, NV, AZ, and Wisconsin will not be called before Thursday.

larrymcg421 · 11-09-2022, 12:39 AM

JPhillips almost certain to win just due to the House score.

Solecismic · 11-09-2022, 05:37 AM

I thought people would take out their frustrations on names they didn't know as well, but that didn't happen. Missed the house as badly as I've ever missed one of these.

JPhillips · 11-09-2022, 03:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by larrymcg421

JPhillips almost certain to win just due to the House score.

This may be my first kinda right prediction.

I really wish McMullin could have taken out that ass Lee, though.

11-07-2022, 08:36 PM	#5
larrymcg421 Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Georgia	We usually do this, so I figure I'd start a thread... Predict the following Senate races Group 1 - 1 pt for picking the winner. No bonus pts GA: Warnock PA: Fetterman NV: Laxalt AZ: Kelly Group 2 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 1 bonus pt if you correctly pick the underdog (Bolduc, Barnes, Beasley, Ryan) NH: Hassan WI: Johnson NC: Budd OH: Ryan Group 3 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 2 bonus pts if you correctly pick the underdog (O'Dea, Smiley, Demings, Franken, McMullin) CO: Bennet WA: Murray FL: Rubio IA: Grassley UT: Lee House -Predict how many seats the GOP will gain. If you think Dems will gain, predict a negative number. You will lose a pt for every seat you are off. GOP House Gain: 34 __________________ Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner

11-08-2022, 11:32 AM	#10
JPhillips Hall Of Famer Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Newburgh, NY	Group 1 - 1 pt for picking the winner. No bonus pts GA: Warnock PA: Fetterman NV: Cortez-Mastro AZ: Kelly Group 2 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 1 bonus pt if you correctly pick the underdog (Bolduc, Barnes, Beasley, Ryan) NH: Hassan WI: Johnson NC: Budd OH: Vance Group 3 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 2 bonus pts if you correctly pick the underdog (O'Dea, Smiley, Demings, Franken, McMullin) CO: Bennett WA: Murray FL: Rubio IA:Grassley UT: McMullin House -Predict how many seats the GOP will gain. If you think Dems will gain, predict a negative number. You will lose a pt for every seat you are off. GOP House Gain: +14 __________________ To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers

11-08-2022, 11:53 AM	#11
larrymcg421 Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Georgia	I hope JPhillips wins. __________________ Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner

11-08-2022, 01:12 PM	#14
Swaggs Coordinator Join Date: Oct 2000	Group 1 - 1 pt for picking the winner. No bonus pts GA: Under 50% threshold - Warnock wins runoff PA: Fetterman NV: Cortez-Mastro AZ: Kelly Group 2 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 1 bonus pt if you correctly pick the underdog (Bolduc, Barnes, Beasley, Ryan) NH: Hassan WI: Johnson NC: Budd OH: Ryan Group 3 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 2 bonus pts if you correctly pick the underdog (O'Dea, Smiley, Demings, Franken, McMullin) CO: Bennett WA: Murray FL: Rubio IA: Grassley UT: Lee House -Predict how many seats the GOP will gain. If you think Dems will gain, predict a negative number. You will lose a pt for every seat you are off. GOP House Gain: +22 I also think GA, PA, NV, AZ, and Wisconsin will not be called before Thursday. __________________ DOWN WITH HATTRICK!!! The RWBL Are you reading In The Bleachers?

11-09-2022, 12:39 AM	#15
larrymcg421 Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Georgia	JPhillips almost certain to win just due to the House score. __________________ Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner

11-06-2022, 11:34 PM	#2
CrimsonFox Head Coach Join Date: Dec 2009	oh ffs stop!

11-07-2022, 12:39 AM	#4
Solecismic Solecismic Software Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Canton, OH	Seems like you start a new item every couple of years. The rule here is no new items until your last one has 40,000 replies. It's just cluttering the board if you do this so frequently. One exception, though. You could do a "hot or not: Patty Murray", and tie that in with the bonus points. Then you'd be OK. My wife and I are doing something like this, only we printed out all 71 governor and senate races, plus a couple of house races. Obviously, 50 or so aren't going to get a second's thought, but it's good to know who's who around the country. I ended up with +1 R in the Senate, with Georgia going into overtime. If I had to call the House, I'd say +35-40. But we're not doing that, because it'll be a month before we have the final number.

11-07-2022, 10:13 PM	#8
Solecismic Solecismic Software Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Canton, OH	OK. I'll give this a try. Group 1 - 1 pt for picking the winner. No bonus pts GA: Walker (but if he doesn't clear 50%, and I think it'll be close, but no cigar, it's a different race next month) PA: Oz (the debate was simply too painful to watch for late deciders) NV: Laxalt (Sabato makes a good case for the incumbent, but Nevada's not that naturally blue, yet) AZ: Kelly (Arizona isn't that red and Masters is off-putting) Group 2 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 1 bonus pt if you correctly pick the underdog (Bolduc, Barnes, Beasley, Ryan) Chalk time - I don't see any of these as all that close in the end NH: Hassan WI: Johnson NC: Budd OH: Vance (by low double-digits - Ryan has run an awful campaign here) Group 3 - 1 pt for picking the winner, 2 bonus pts if you correctly pick the underdog (O'Dea, Smiley, Demings, Franken, McMullin) More chalk, more double-digit wins. CO: Bennet WA: Murray (though probably not hot) FL: Rubio IA: Grassley UT: Lee House -Predict how many seats the GOP will gain. If you think Dems will gain, predict a negative number. You will lose a pt for every seat you are off. GOP House Gain: +36 (again, this gets scored a long time from now).

11-09-2022, 05:37 AM	#16
Solecismic Solecismic Software Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Canton, OH	I thought people would take out their frustrations on names they didn't know as well, but that didn't happen. Missed the house as badly as I've ever missed one of these.

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