2018 NFL Over/Under Contest

[MIJB#19]

Week 16 update of picks

team	W	fofc over	over	fofc under	under
Arizona	3	albionmoonlight	3.5	Ryche	7.5
Atlanta	6	Vince, Pt. II	8.5	BishopMVP	9.5
Baltimore	9	QuikSand	7.5	albionmoonlight	10
Buffalo	5	QuikSand	4	stevew	5.5
Carolina	6	QuikSand	6.5	bhlloy	9.5
Chicago	11	NobodyHere	4.5	Ryche	10.5
Cincinnati	6	BishopMVP	5	BishopMVP	9
Cleveland	7.5	stevew	5	GoldenCrest Games	10.5
Dallas	9	GoldenCrest Games	6.5	albionmoonlight	6.5
Denver	6	revrew	7	BishopMVP	9
Detroit	5	QuikSand	6	jbergey22	9
Green Bay	6.5	Ryche	8	kingfc22	11
Houston	10	Ryche	7.5
Indianapolis	9	NobodyHere	6	albionmoonlight	8.5
Jacksonville	5	Racer	8	GoldenCrest Games	9.5
Kansas City	11	kingfc22	8	Sublime 2	10.5
LA Chargers	11	QuikSand	8	AnalBumCover	9
LA Rams	12	QuikSand	9.5	AnalBumCover	10
Miami	7	BishopMVP	4.5	jbergey22	8.5
Minnesota	8.5	GoldenCrest Games	9.5	QuikSand	11
New England	10	BishopMVP	10.5	GoldenCrest Games	11.5
New Orleans	13	albionmoonlight	10	BishopMVP	12.5
NY Giants	5	albionmoonlight	8.5	BishopMVP	8
NY Jets	4	Ryche	4	kingfc22	7
Oakland	4	BishopMVP	6	kingfc22	7
Philadelphia	8	BishopMVP	9.5	QuikSand	11.5
Pittsburgh	8.5	MIJB#19	7	stevew	9.5
San Francisco	4	kingfc22	9.5	Vince, Pt. II	9.5
Seattle	9	BishopMVP	6.5	kingfc22	9
Tampa Bay	5	GoldenCrest Games	3.5	albionmoonlight	6
Tennessee	9	BishopMVP	5.5	stevew	9
Washington	7	QuikSand	5.5	chesapeake	9.5

Week 16 update of scores

rk	fofc name	#	score	avg
1	BishopMVP	12	175	14.6
2	QuikSand	9	140	15.6
3	GoldenCrest Games	6	120	20
4	NobodyHere	2	95	47.5
5	kingfc22	6	80	13.3
6	jbergey22	2	55	27.5
7	Ryche	5	50	10
8	stevew	4	40	10
9	bhlloy	1	35	35
10	Vince, Pt. II	2	30	15
11	chesapeake	1	25	25
12	MIJB#19	1	15	15
13	Sublime 2	1	-5	-5
14	revrew	1	-10	-10
15	albionmoonlight	7	-20	-2.9
16	Racer	1	-30	-30
17	AnalBumCover	2	-40	-20

[MIJB#19]

How are we doing vs the Bookmakers?

TEAM	Odds*	FOFC	Real
New Orleans	9.4	11.2	13
LA Rams	9.7	9.7	12
LA Chargers	9.4	8.4	11
Kansas City	7.7	9.2	11
Chicago	6.7	7.4	11
New England	11.2	10.9	10
Houston #	8.5	9.9	10
Dallas	8.5	6.4	9
Baltimore	8.2	8.7	9
Seattle	8	7.7	9
Tennessee	7.7	7.2	9
Indianapolis	6.5	7.2	9
Minnesota	10.2	10.2	8.5
Pittsburgh	10.2	8.2	8.5
Philadelphia	10.4	10.4	8
Cleveland	5.5	7.7	7.5
Miami	6.5	6.4	7
Washington	6.5	7.4	7
Green Bay	10.2	9.4	6.5
Atlanta	9.2	8.9	6
Carolina	8.7	7.9	6
Denver	7.2	7.9	6
Cincinnati	6.5	6.9	6
Jacksonville	8.7	8.7	5
Detroit	7.7	7.4	5
NY Giants	6.7	8.2	5
Tampa Bay	6.5	4.7	5
Buffalo	6	4.7	5
San Francisco	8.5	9.4	4
Oakland	7.7	6.4	4
NY Jets	6.2	5.5	4
Arizona	5.7	5.5	3

# nobody took the under for Houston, but for the purposes I took Vince's late 12.5 under.
* Odds refers to the over/under that I found on OddsChecker on September 5th, shortly before the season opener. Because the over/under figure varied per broker, I took the average for each team and normalized. For example: New England was highest with most brokers giving an over/under of 11 or 11.5 wins. Normalized from 257.5 to 256 wins combined for all teams, it came down to 11.2 wins. FOFC set the over at 10.5 and the under at 11.5, after normalizing from 258 to 256 wins gives 10.9. New England's current record is 10-5. That last figure is obviously not set in stone yet, with next weekend's results to come.

[GoldenCrest Games]

At least I didn't red anyone!

[MIJB#19]

Final picks

team	W	fofc over	over	fofc under	under
Arizona	3	albionmoonlight	3.5	Ryche	7.5
Atlanta	7	Vince, Pt. II	8.5	BishopMVP	9.5
Baltimore	10	QuikSand	7.5	albionmoonlight	10
Buffalo	6	QuikSand	4	stevew	5.5
Carolina	7	QuikSand	6.5	bhlloy	9.5
Chicago	12	NobodyHere	4.5	Ryche	10.5
Cincinnati	6	BishopMVP	5	BishopMVP	9
Cleveland	7.5	stevew	5	GoldenCrest Games	10.5
Dallas	10	GoldenCrest Games	6.5	albionmoonlight	6.5
Denver	6	revrew	7	BishopMVP	9
Detroit	6	QuikSand	6	jbergey22	9
Green Bay	6.5	Ryche	8	kingfc22	11
Houston	11	Ryche	7.5		12.5
Indianapolis	10	NobodyHere	6	albionmoonlight	8.5
Jacksonville	5	Racer	8	GoldenCrest Games	9.5
Kansas City	12	kingfc22	8	Sublime 2	10.5
LA Chargers	12	QuikSand	8	AnalBumCover	9
LA Rams	13	QuikSand	9.5	AnalBumCover	10
Miami	7	BishopMVP	4.5	jbergey22	8.5
Minnesota	8.5	GoldenCrest Games	9.5	QuikSand	11
New England	11	BishopMVP	10.5	GoldenCrest Games	11.5
New Orleans	13	albionmoonlight	10	BishopMVP	12.5
NY Giants	5	albionmoonlight	8.5	BishopMVP	8
NY Jets	4	Ryche	4	kingfc22	7
Oakland	4	BishopMVP	6	kingfc22	7
Philadelphia	9	BishopMVP	9.5	QuikSand	11.5
Pittsburgh	9.5	MIJB#19	7	stevew	9.5
San Francisco	4	kingfc22	9.5	Vince, Pt. II	9.5
Seattle	10	BishopMVP	6.5	kingfc22	9
Tampa Bay	5	GoldenCrest Games	3.5	albionmoonlight	6
Tennessee	9	BishopMVP	5.5	stevew	9
Washington	7	QuikSand	5.5	chesapeake	9.5

Final scores

rk	fofc name	#	score	avg
1	BishopMVP	12	195	16.3
2	QuikSand	9	190	21.1
3	GoldenCrest Games	6	120	20
4	NobodyHere	2	115	57.5
5	kingfc22	6	80	13.3
6	Ryche	5	50	10
7	jbergey22	2	45	22.5
8	Vince, Pt. II	2	40	20
9	bhlloy	1	25	25
9	chesapeake	1	25	25
9	MIJB#19	1	25	25
12	stevew	4	20	5
13	revrew	1	-10	-10
14	Sublime 2	1	-15	-15
15	Racer	1	-30	-30
16	albionmoonlight	7	-50	-7.1
17	AnalBumCover	2	-60	-30