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Old 04-10-2009, 10:09 PM   #1401
Autumn
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Okay, really going now.
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Old 04-10-2009, 10:10 PM   #1402
dubb93
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VOTE MARTIN D
VOTE NIGHTFALL


We appear to be on a roll tonight.
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Old 04-10-2009, 10:27 PM   #1403
EagleFan
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votes as of :

MartinD 7 - Abe Sargent (1343), PurdueBrad (1347), Danny (1353), lerriuqs (1356), Autumn (1357), Barkeep49 (1386), dubb93 (1402)


Nightfall 7 - Abe Sargent (1391), PurdueBrad (1347), Danny (1353), lerriuqs (1356), Autumn (1357), Barkeep49 (1386), dubb93 (1402)


yet to vote: Chief Rum, MartinD, USFLTecmo
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Old 04-10-2009, 10:27 PM   #1404
USFLTecmo
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VOTE MARTIND
VOTE NIGHTFALL


As for my squirrel theory, it's just something I've seen him do in the past. Now that I know for sure there was a BG block, my theory doesn't seem to hold as much water as it did when I was unsure of both nights.
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Old 04-10-2009, 10:29 PM   #1405
EagleFan
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votes as of 1404:

MartinD 8 - Abe Sargent (1343), PurdueBrad (1347), Danny (1353), lerriuqs (1356), Autumn (1357), Barkeep49 (1386), dubb93 (1402), USFLTecmo (1404)


Nightfall 8 - Abe Sargent (1391), PurdueBrad (1347), Danny (1353), lerriuqs (1356), Autumn (1357), Barkeep49 (1386), dubb93 (1402), USFLTecmo (1404)


yet to vote: Chief Rum, MartinD
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Old 04-10-2009, 10:37 PM   #1406
PurdueBrad
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Hmmm, 10 left. When Martin D goes, assuming he's the brutal and he doesn't pick someone with the stapler that can fight him off, we'll have 8, most likely a 6-2 split. That means we've still got a pretty good shot now.

I was going to post all my thoughts but decided that that would be a bad play.

I will say this, if I had to vote for another person right now, it would be Danny.
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Old 04-10-2009, 10:38 PM   #1407
PurdueBrad
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Let me ask this publicly as I had hoped somebody would step up. IF a good guy has the stapler, I may be in need of it to fight off or intimidate at least, the brutal from taking me out. Yeah, that probably means they go a different way but it also means the stapler is still in play AND means I can again be creative with my blocks. Consider it, I'm not begging, but think about the play.
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Old 04-11-2009, 12:31 AM   #1408
Danny
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Originally Posted by PurdueBrad View Post
I will say this, if I had to vote for another person right now, it would be Danny.

Happy easter to you too!
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Old 04-11-2009, 12:38 AM   #1409
Danny
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Updated color vote chart

Day 1

Hoopsguy 6 - PurdueBrad (115), The Jackal (165), Chief Rum (284), claphamsa (285), Schmidty (345), Lathum (356)
claphamsa 5 - Passacaglia (158), Danny (181), Autumn (222), Abe Sargent (251). lerriuqs (294)
Abe Sargent 2 - Barkeep49 (109), USFLTecmo (139)
cartman 2 - MartinD (164), dubb93 (184)
The Jackal 1 - hoopsguy (108)
lerriuqs 1 - cartman (167)
Schmidty 1 - Poli (217)
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Old 04-11-2009, 12:39 AM   #1410
Danny
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Oops

Day 1

Hoopsguy 6 - PurdueBrad (115), The Jackal (165), Chief Rum (284), claphamsa (285), Schmidty (345), Lathum (356)
claphamsa 5 - Passacaglia (158), Danny (181), Autumn (222), Abe Sargent (251). lerriuqs (294)
Abe Sargent 2 - Barkeep49 (109), USFLTecmo (139)
cartman 2 - MartinD (164), dubb93 (184)
The Jackal 1 - hoopsguy (108)
lerriuqs 1 - cartman (167)
Schmidty 1 - Poli (217)
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Old 04-11-2009, 12:40 AM   #1411
Danny
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Day 3

cartman 6 - Autumn (692), Barkeep49 (796), USFLTecmo (801), Chief Rum (834). lerriuqs (842), Abe Sargent (873)
Barkeep49 3 - dubb93 (761), Poli (852), The Jackal (858)
Autumn 5 - cartman (780), Danny (800), MartinD (808), PurdueBrad (859), Lathum (879)
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Old 04-11-2009, 12:42 AM   #1412
Danny
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Day 4

Day 4

Autumn 5 - Abe Sargent (989), Lathum (993), PurdueBrad (996), Poli (1098), USFLTecmo (1132)
Lathum 7 - Barkeep49 (1036), Danny (1075), Autumn (1086), dubb93 (1087), lerriuqs (1096), MartinD (1115), Chief Rum (1146)
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Old 04-11-2009, 12:49 AM   #1413
Danny
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The overall I take from that voting is the wolves have consistently spread their votes every single vote.

Looking at day 4, I'm guessing the wolves split their votes 2-2 amongst the candidates, which would mean there is one more wolf in each list.

Looking at day 3, again, chances are the third wolf was on Cartman (there wasn't a potential convert at that point)

Looking at day 1, I again would have expected the other wolf to spread their vote based on how the wolves have played this. If we do assume Leriuqs, BK, and Autumn are all good (which I'm still not convinced for sure, but that's the logic everyone is taking right now), I would guess there is a wolf between Abe and USFL and between Dubb and I.

My vote will likely be headed for USFL.
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Old 04-11-2009, 02:23 AM   #1414
MartinD
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Well, that turned around in a hurry! Nice switch CR, and good call PB.

Not much point in dragging this out - it's pretty obvious that I'm a goner...

VOTE NIGHTFALL
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Old 04-11-2009, 07:19 AM   #1415
EagleFan
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votes as of 1414:

MartinD 8 - Abe Sargent (1343), PurdueBrad (1347), Danny (1353), lerriuqs (1356), Autumn (1357), Barkeep49 (1386), dubb93 (1402), USFLTecmo (1404)


Nightfall 9 - Abe Sargent (1391), PurdueBrad (1347), Danny (1353), lerriuqs (1356), Autumn (1357), Barkeep49 (1386), dubb93 (1402), USFLTecmo (1404), MartinD (1414)


yet to vote: Chief Rum
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Old 04-11-2009, 08:20 AM   #1416
USFLTecmo
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FYI, I'm gone until Sunday night, Easter festivities and whatnot.

If you guys feel the need to off me, go for it, I'm roleless, but just do me a favor and find out something while you're at it by not all steamrolling me, eh?
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Old 04-11-2009, 09:12 AM   #1417
PurdueBrad
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USFL, I doubt I would be voting for you, so don't sweat it. You're like fourth or fifth on the list of suspects.
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Old 04-11-2009, 09:38 AM   #1418
Barkeep49
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Day 1 Vote Coloring, including unvotes

Hoops – Purdue, Jackal, CR, clap, Schmidty, Lathum
Clap – Lathum, Pass, Danny, Autumn, Abe, lerriuqs
Abe – Barkeep, USFL, clap, Schmidty
Cartman Martin, dubb
Jackal – hoops
Lerriqus – Cartman
SchmidtyPoli
Lathum – clap, lerriuqs
PassLathum
CR - Lathum
Poli Schmidty
Barkeep - Abe
Autumn – lerriuqs
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Old 04-11-2009, 09:53 AM   #1419
PurdueBrad
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Ummm yeah, so we basically screwed the pooch with the Hoops vote. WTG me. Sorry again Hoops.
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Old 04-11-2009, 09:55 AM   #1420
Barkeep49
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Day 3 voting, including unvotes

Cartman – Autumn, Abe, Barkeep, USFL, CR, lerriuqs, Abe
Autumn – cartman, Danny, Martin, Abe, lerriuqs, Purdue, Lathum
Barkeep – dubb,Lathum, Poli, Jackal
Abe – Lathum, Purdue
MartinBarkeep, Poli
Lerriuqs – Lathum, cartman
Lathum Lerriqus
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Old 04-11-2009, 10:03 AM   #1421
Barkeep49
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danny View Post
Day 4

Day 4

Autumn 5 - Abe Sargent (989), Lathum (993), PurdueBrad (996), Poli (1098), USFLTecmo (1132)
Lathum 7 - Barkeep49 (1036), Danny (1075), Autumn (1086), dubb93 (1087), lerriuqs (1096), MartinD (1115), Chief Rum (1146)
There were, amazingly enough, no unvotes on this day.
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Old 04-11-2009, 10:08 AM   #1422
Barkeep49
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Day 5 Voting (Feel like it's still useful since we had no clue CR was going to duke)

Autumn – Purdue, Abe, Danny, Lerriuqs, Barkeep
Barkeep – dubb, Poli
Lerriuqs – Danny, USFL, Autumn, Martin, CR, Barkeep
Martin - Lerriuqs
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Old 04-11-2009, 10:09 AM   #1423
Barkeep49
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Day 5 Voting now with proper formatting

Autumn – Purdue, Abe, Danny, Lerriuqs, Barkeep
Barkeep – dubb, Poli
Lerriuqs – Danny, USFL, Autumn, Martin, CR, Barkeep
Martin - Lerriuqs
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Old 04-11-2009, 10:10 AM   #1424
Barkeep49
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I'm going to now go back and look at voting as a matter of time, as I observed some interesting things about voting patterns that way as I put together those posts.
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Old 04-11-2009, 10:13 AM   #1425
PurdueBrad
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Location: DeKalb, IL
HI CLAPHAMSA! Sorry I couldn't save you before.
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Old 04-11-2009, 10:18 AM   #1426
PurdueBrad
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BK- Thanks for all the analysis.
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Old 04-11-2009, 11:11 AM   #1427
Barkeep49
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Day 1 Voting Trends

92 Lathum votes for Pass
107 Clap votes for Lathum
108 Hoops votes for Jackal
109 Barkeep votes for Abe
114 Lathum unvotes Pass
114 Lathum votes Clap
115 Purdue votes Hoops
119 lerriuqs votes Lathum (Lathum has 2 votes, 5 other have 1)
122 Abe votes Barkeep
136 Lerriuqs unvotes Lathum
136 Lerriuqs votes Autumn (7 people have 1 vote)
139 UFL votes Abe (Abe has 2 votes, 6 others have 1)
158 Pass votes Clap (Abe and Clap have 2 votes, 5 others have 1)
164 Martin votes Cartman
165 Jackal votes Hoops (Abe, Clap, and Hoops have 2 votes, 5 others have 1)
167 Cartman votes lerriuqs
172 Schmidty votes Polie
181 Danny votes Clap (Clap 3, Abe & Hoops 2, 7 others have 1)
184 dubb votes Cartman (Clap 3, Abe, Hoops, and Cartman 2, 6 others have 1)
217 Polie votes Schmidty
220 Autumn votes Clap (Clap 4, Abe, Hoops, and Cartman 2, 6 others have 1)
226 Clap unvotes Lathum
226 Clap votes Abe (Clap 4, Abe 3, Hoops and Cartman 2)
240 Schmidty unvotes Polie
240 Schmidty votes Abe (Clap 4, Abe 4, Hoops and Cartman 2)
251 Abe unvotes BK
251 Abe votes Clap (Clap 5, Abe 4, Hoops and Cartman 2)
284 Chief Rum votes Hoops (Clap 5, Abe 4, Hoops 3)
285 Clap unvotes abe
285 Clap votes Hoops (Clap 5, Hoops 4, Abe 3)
294 Lerriuqs unvotes Autumn
294 Lerriuqs votes Clap (Clap 6, Hoops 4, Abe 3)
317 Lathum unvotes Clap
317 Lathum votes CR (Clap 5, Hoops 4, Abe 3)
345 Schmidty unvotes Abe
345 Schmidty votes Hoops (Clap 5, Hoops 5, Abe 2)
356 Lathum unvotes CR
356 Lathum Votes Hoops (Hoops 6, Clap 5, Abe 2)

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Old 04-11-2009, 11:25 AM   #1428
Lathum
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Location: homeless in NJ
BK= too much free time
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Old 04-11-2009, 11:31 AM   #1429
Barkeep49
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lathum View Post
BK= too much free time
BK = At a job where he has few responsibilities and a lot of free time
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Old 04-11-2009, 11:55 AM   #1430
Barkeep49
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Day 3 Voting Trends

657 Lathum votes Abe
660 Barkeep votes Martin
670 Lathum unvotes Abe
677 Lathum votes lerriuqs
681 Purdue votes Abe
686 Cartman votes Lerriuqs (Lerriuqs has 2)
692 Autumn votes Cartman
712 Lerriuqs votes Lathum
757 Abe votes Cartman (Lerriuqs & Cartman have 2)
761 dubb votes Barkeep
763 Lerriuqs unvotes Lathum
764 Poli votes Martin (Lerriuqs, Cartman, and Martin have 2)
780 Cartman unvotes Lerriuqs
780 Cartman votes Autumn (Cartman and Martin have 2)
796 Barkeep unvotes Martin
796 Barkeep votes Cartman (Cartman has 3)
800 Danny votes Autumn (Cartman has 3, Autumn has 2)
801 USFL votes Cartman (Cartman has 4, Autumn has 2)
808 Martin votes Autumn (Cartman has 4, Autumn has 3)
816 Abe unvotes Cartman
816 Abe votes Autumn (Autumn has 4, Cartman has 3)
827 Lerriqus votes Autumn (Autumn has 5, Cartman has 3)
828 Autumn reveals rope
834 CR votes Cartman (Autumn has 5, Cartman has 4)
842 Lerriuqs unvotes Autmn
842 Lerriuqs votes Cartman (Cartman has 5, Autumn has 4)
843 Lathum unvotes Lerriuqs
843 Lathum votes Barkeep (Cartman has 5, Autumn has 4, Barkeep has 2)
852 Poli unvotes Martin
852 Poli votes Barkeep (Cartman has 5, Autumn has 4, Barkeep has 3)
858 Jackal votes Barkeep (Cartman has 5, Autumn and Barkeep have 4)
859 Purdue unvotes Abe
859 Purdue votes Autumn (Cartman and Autumn have 5, Barkeep has 4)
873 Abe unvotes Autumn
873 Abe votes Cartman (Cartman has 6, Autumn and barkeep have 4)
879 Lathum unvotes Barkeep
879 Lathum votes Autumn (Cartman has 6, Autumn has 5, and Barkeep has 3)

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Old 04-11-2009, 12:21 PM   #1431
Autumn
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Wow, graphs, you're really getting into this Office Space thing. I expect a collated copy on my desk.

I'm just in for a minute and i'm not sure what we can get from these yet, but thanks.
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Old 04-11-2009, 12:35 PM   #1432
EagleFan
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Where are the cover sheets for those graphs?????
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Old 04-11-2009, 12:41 PM   #1433
PurdueBrad
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IF I read those charts right BK, Abe looks really suspicious right about now with the way his votes have dropped off.
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Old 04-11-2009, 12:43 PM   #1434
PurdueBrad
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Actually, I sort of take that back now, reading that Schmidty and Claph account for the big unvote drop off for Abe in day 1.
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Old 04-11-2009, 01:01 PM   #1435
Barkeep49
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Day 4 Voting Trends

989 Abe votes Autumn (1-0)
993 Lathum votes Autumn (2-0)
996 Purdue votes Autumn (3-0)
1036 Barkeep votes Lathum (3-1)
1075 Danny votes Lathum (3-2)
1086 Autumn votes Lathum (3-3)
1087 dubb votes Lathum (4-3 Lathum)
1096 Lerriuqs votes Lathum (5-3)
1098 Poli votes Autumn (5-4)
1115 Martin votes Lathum (6-4)
1132 USFL votes Autumn (6-5)
1146 CR votes Lathum (7-5)

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Old 04-11-2009, 01:06 PM   #1436
Barkeep49
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I'm not sure how helpful the graphs really are, but Google Docs makes doing and posting them easy so I figured I'd go ahead and create them.

The thing that has stood out to me is the fact that lerriuqs has put a sort of nail in the coffin vote on each day. He has voted fairly late in the day and each time the person he was voting for went up by 2 votes. To me this seems like it could be a case of a wolf trying to hide in a group.

The other thing is how spread out the wolf votes have been and how we don't have a lot examples of wolves voting for wolves (excluding the runaway votes). The only example we have so far is Poli voting for Martin early on, and then later changing the vote.
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Old 04-11-2009, 01:17 PM   #1437
PurdueBrad
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CHIEF IS HERE!!!

Hi Chief!
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Old 04-11-2009, 01:18 PM   #1438
Chief Rum
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Sorry if I was the one holding up the show.

Oh, and great analytical work, guys (BK, Danny, Autumn, etc.).

VOTE MARTIND
VOTE NIGHTFALL


VOTE GO IN A CORNER AND WAIT FOR THE WOLVES TO KILL ME
__________________
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I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready.
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Old 04-11-2009, 01:18 PM   #1439
PurdueBrad
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Alright CR, it's you or me. Good luck!
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Old 04-11-2009, 01:19 PM   #1440
Chief Rum
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PurdueBrad View Post
CHIEF IS HERE!!!

Hi Chief!

HI!
__________________
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I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready.
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Old 04-11-2009, 01:21 PM   #1441
Chief Rum
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PurdueBrad View Post
Alright CR, it's you or me. Good luck!

True, but you're more valuable, and you have an ace in the hole (you can still protect yourself).

It will be interesting to see if the owner of the stapler is still out there. One would think it would be me, but, no, alas, that bastard still has my Swingline.

I may have to burn the building down.
__________________
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I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready.
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Old 04-11-2009, 01:29 PM   #1442
Barkeep49
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Here's hoping that everyone with a night action got it in and we can have a nice long Day 6.
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Old 04-11-2009, 01:42 PM   #1443
EagleFan
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Day phase to be run in a minute, the night phase I will give a little bit of time as there have been a few changing orders and I want to make sure everyone is certain with their plan.
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Old 04-11-2009, 01:55 PM   #1444
EagleFan
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Wednesday morning arrives much quicker than you expected. PurdueBrad comes forward and claims that he has blocked an attack, that MartinD was the attacker.

As you gather together you notice that Chief Rum has regained his stapler and is bracing himself, seemingly expecting an attack for some reason.

The mob turn towards MartinD and begins to unleash all of their frustration, terror, anger, every last bit of emotion they can manage.

When everything is done he lays motionless on the floor. You begin to search his body and you notice a business card. He is an executive consultant named Bob. MartinD was a Bob.

"The exectutive bonuses of Nina and Bob will be redistributed."

"Thank you!!!! Thank you all!!! You have increased my bonus yet again!!! Nothing will be able to stop me soon as my plan will be followed!!! Prepare for reorganization!!!"
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Old 04-11-2009, 01:58 PM   #1445
Autumn
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Nice, that's how I hoped it would go. I gave Chief the stapler.

We're what 7-2 now we assume?
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Old 04-11-2009, 02:03 PM   #1446
PurdueBrad
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That is surprising. I thought we had to have had the brutal.
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Old 04-11-2009, 02:07 PM   #1447
Barkeep49
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Ok so Martin was an original wolf. That leaves the convert and the brutal left.
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Old 04-11-2009, 02:08 PM   #1448
EagleFan
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The "night" phase will be in about 15 minutes.
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Old 04-11-2009, 02:18 PM   #1449
EagleFan
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Wow, had to clear my messages again. This would have really been a pain on our old board. Wasn't the limit something like 50 over there?
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Old 04-11-2009, 02:19 PM   #1450
Chief Rum
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All right, I have the stapler. It protects me once like the BG. Good deal, Autumn, thanks for that.
__________________
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I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready.
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