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Old 04-25-2013, 08:18 AM   #401
Narcizo
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While we wait for any new potential information I'll go ahead and

Vote InBlue

based on the stuff above.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:22 AM   #402
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Also like to point out that it's pretty wolfy to hang around and wait to see what information is forthcoming before saying anything / coming with up with theories. I think there's quite a lot of stuff to think about out there now and it would be a shame and not beneficial to the village if everyone is going to wait and see if the seer has anything to reveal or who guarded whom or whatever.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:26 AM   #403
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Tough to do my usual voting analysis with only 2 dead people. Good problem to have, but not much to work with.

Is it possible one of my theories from yesterday is accurate? The hitman won't kill other mob members even if hired by a mobster?
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:28 AM   #404
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Tough to do my usual voting analysis with only 2 dead people. Good problem to have, but not much to work with.

Is it possible one of my theories from yesterday is accurate? The hitman won't kill other mob members even if hired by a mobster?

Yeah I think that's a possibility. I think the mob member will want to reveal that anyway as they want to take out the opposition and a lynch will do that for them.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:29 AM   #405
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I know I said I kinda trusted Danny but any game where we're both alive and I have more posts than him is going to make me suspect him.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:31 AM   #406
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Yeah I think that's a possibility. I think the mob member will want to reveal that anyway as they want to take out the opposition and a lynch will do that for them.

Just like Jackal did yesterday.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:31 AM   #407
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Other than InBlue I still think mau bears looking at along with DT. And, of course, we really ought to all vote Path as it's his birthday.

Happy birthday old man.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:33 AM   #408
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Just like Jackal did yesterday.

It's also in the village's interest to lynch the wolves who might have been nightkill targets.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:40 AM   #409
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There's a bunch of UTRs lead by DV sarcastic- and the non-revealing Britrock. Quite a lot of candidates out there. In fact with no night-kill so far I might be tempted to sling an anti-UTR vote out there. At least InBlue has stuck her neck out with her voting to some extent.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:46 AM   #410
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I thought about revealing right at the beginning of yesterday but wanted to see where the votes shook out. If we had another case of a mafioso getting targeted last night, they probably know it and will probably be very careful today. I wasn't terribly surprised to see that font hadn't voted by the time I revealed yesterday.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:48 AM   #411
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I was also surprised that i won the NK with $350, but if you think about it from the mafia's POV - if they knew that they couldn't be NKed, then the chances were good that a villager winning the NK would kill another villager, and if they hit a mafioso, at least there were two teams so it could still only hurt one of them.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:51 AM   #412
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Just like Jackal did yesterday.

Like I've said a few times now, anyone who gives me absolute trust for that reveal is foolish.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:52 AM   #413
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I give Jackal my absolute trust.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:53 AM   #414
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Fonti voted Britrock before your reveal Jacky.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:53 AM   #415
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Part of me does want to know what DT is to add even more clarity to D1 voting.

Also, it looks like no one won the cunning last night but that bid on the seer does lead you to believe that the mafia might have won it.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:54 AM   #416
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Fonti voted Britrock before your reveal Jacky.

Oh, must have missed it on my phone.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:54 AM   #417
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I thought about revealing right at the beginning of yesterday but wanted to see where the votes shook out. If we had another case of a mafioso getting targeted last night, they probably know it and will probably be very careful today. I wasn't terribly surprised to see that font hadn't voted by the time I revealed yesterday.

I think it was smart to wait for the same reason I waited and we did manage to coax a couple votes out of font, so it did work out to some degree at least. It's just stunning to me how the mob has used their cash to this point.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:54 AM   #418
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I give Jackal my absolute trust.

Fool!
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:54 AM   #419
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Oh and DV.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:55 AM   #420
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I also think there's a good chance one of DV or murray are mafia, looking at places where votes fell on D1.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:56 AM   #421
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Oh and DV.

Yeah not sure how I missed both of those. That probably bumps DV up a little in trust, but could be the other team.
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Old 04-25-2013, 08:56 AM   #422
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I think it was smart to wait for the same reason I waited and we did manage to coax a couple votes out of font, so it did work out to some degree at least. It's just stunning to me how the mob has used their cash to this point.

Yeah, kind of makes me look at the UTRs who might be busy in real life and not have the time to think things through/coordinate properly.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:00 AM   #423
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vote murrayyyyy
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:00 AM   #424
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Yeah not sure how I missed both of those. That probably bumps DV up a little in trust, but could be the other team.

I slave away for hours lovingly crafting vote tallies and you just ignore them. I HATE YOU!

Or something.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:00 AM   #425
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I should be around this evening, I'll be at work so hopefully things are slow.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:01 AM   #426
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I went from semi trusted to a good candudate all in a matter of hours...by the same person, narcizo. I'm a little irked by this.. you're always on my case regardless. Lol

Everyone just disregard naecizo and any analysis towards me. K thx
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:01 AM   #427
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I slave away for hours lovingly crafting vote tallies and you just ignore them. I HATE YOU!

Or something.

I have a tab open with your vote history while I'm writing posts this morning. It's very helpful.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:01 AM   #428
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Other than InBlue I still think mau bears looking at along with DT. And, of course, we really ought to all vote Path as it's his birthday.

Happy birthday old man.

I don't really see Mau as a wolf. He got a ton of votes yesterday, he was pretty out in front with his voting too at a time when the wolves were probably sitting back and trying to figure out if one of them had been outed after what I posted about a possible NK on mafia. Leaving his vote on font D1 is a bit suspicious, but he voted her right away to start the day, which is less so.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:03 AM   #429
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I went from semi trusted to a good candudate all in a matter of hours...by the same person, narcizo. I'm a little irked by this.. you're always on my case regardless. Lol

What can I say - I find myself attracted to you. Apparently.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:05 AM   #430
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I don't really see Mau as a wolf. He got a ton of votes yesterday, he was pretty out in front with his voting too at a time when the wolves were probably sitting back and trying to figure out if one of them had been outed after what I posted about a possible NK on mafia.

Well, yeah - he seemed out front about attaching his vote to yours and did seem overly defensive. I won't be voting him today though.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:10 AM   #431
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I'm guessing we're not going to get a seer reveal or NK reveal today, though I'd be happy if I'm wrong about that.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:15 AM   #432
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I'm guessing we're not going to get a seer reveal or NK reveal today, though I'd be happy if I'm wrong about that.

Maybe someone bought the BG and protected you to nullify the NK - wasn't me, but that's a potential option.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:22 AM   #433
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Maybe someone bought the BG and protected you to nullify the NK - wasn't me, but that's a potential option.

Yeah, I figured I was probably a logical NK and BG target. But if the village bought the NK, presumably we have another wolf in our crosshairs. Or if we bought the seer, we should have some more good info to use when we have a lot of decent candidates.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:23 AM   #434
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Stranger things have happened, but it'd be a pretty damn impressive stroke of fortune if whoever bought the BG just happened to guard the right guy, with pretty much zero information on who to protect.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:33 AM   #435
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So do we think font's teammates lined up to try and protect her knowing it would come out soon that she was a wolf anyway? Depending on when the mafia is able to pool their money, they may have wanted to see if they could get her to last an extra day to get her cash, since she would have had at least $600-1000+ on her. But then again, I doubt that's worth shining a spotlight on you. Then again, they didn't have a lot of time to talk over how they wanted to play it so there may not have been deep thought behind their decision.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:36 AM   #436
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Really, no one voted for Brit yet? I guess everyone is off that one now but I thought I'd wake up and see his name on the list. I can't win a bet or a service so throwing darts at the board here. Zinto's quiet so see if it brings him in to post.

vote Zinto
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:42 AM   #437
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Vote DT

Not 100% sure I'm sticking with this, but I feel like he's been off a bit this game and I want to at least get something in.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:43 AM   #438
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Oh sure, now you vote DT. Couldn't do it a couple days ago when I woulda made money.
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Old 04-25-2013, 09:45 AM   #439
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Can someone also explain why brit now? Seeing as wasn't JAG's original theory based on a purchase of the hitman that we're now pretty positive didn't happen?
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Old 04-25-2013, 10:04 AM   #440
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Can someone also explain why brit now? Seeing as wasn't JAG's original theory based on a purchase of the hitman that we're now pretty positive didn't happen?

I think the fact that he didn't reveal that he had the hookers sent to him - suggesting he was maybe trying to work out a gameplan with his wolfie team-mates before saying anything :shurg: A villager would be revealing information as soon as it happens because information is the friend of the village.
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Old 04-25-2013, 10:05 AM   #441
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Except when it isn't.
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Old 04-25-2013, 10:22 AM   #442
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Is there any reason for the BG buyer to not announce he/she did so?

I understand the Casino buyer, since that probably means more money for that person, and would put a target on their back.
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Old 04-25-2013, 10:26 AM   #443
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The only worry there is the revealer would then be known as someone light on money, thus reducing the number of candidates the wolves would want to target to get money.

Benefits might outweigh though.
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Old 04-25-2013, 10:34 AM   #444
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I still believe britrock deserves looking at. Maybe I am weighing not revealing about the ladies too highly, but I just can't think of a good reason for a villager to withhold that information.
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Old 04-25-2013, 10:35 AM   #445
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In my opinion they should reveal as it would give me some trust for the individual if it turns out they blocked a kill on me or someone else, assuming we get no information regarding what happened with the night kill. The lack of info to this point suggests they either haven't been on yet, they are trying to slow play that info to see what happens with voting, or just have a different strategic take on it than I do.
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Old 04-25-2013, 10:39 AM   #446
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Yeah I think they should reveal whom they protected. Particularly if it wasn't JAG. Slow reveal is fine by me though. Just as long as the majority of the village have the information to work with before deadline. If they do reveal they're giving the wolves a tough choice - take out someone with little money but who has more than average trust because of the block. I think the benefits out-weigh the losses.
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Old 04-25-2013, 10:42 AM   #447
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I still believe britrock deserves looking at. Maybe I am weighing not revealing about the ladies too highly, but I just can't think of a good reason for a villager to withhold that information.

I agree. I think he may have withheld the info not realizing that I would find out he should know he was sent the girls even though he bought no services and knowing that if he revealed it, it would make him more of a suspect. His only saving grace is I don't think it's likely he's part of font's team based on her vote for him, so that at least eliminates a couple possible wolves he could be.
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Old 04-25-2013, 11:03 AM   #448
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Yeah, you misunderstood me. I didn't mean that both were on the same team, but that both bore looking at. I just think InBlue's vote is more suspect than DT's, given HER newness and the timing of the votes. Then again maybe InBlue has played a lot werewolf/mafia somewhere else and we're doing her a disservice, as my case against her is based on her newness.

I assume that all of our newer folks have played somewhere before. All of their analyses have been pretty sharp from the start.
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Old 04-25-2013, 11:09 AM   #449
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Is it possible one of my theories from yesterday is accurate? The hitman won't kill other mob members even if hired by a mobster?

Isn't that what Jackal said happened with font? I'm nearly positive it was.
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Old 04-25-2013, 11:27 AM   #450
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Happy birthday old man.

Thanks narc. All you kids just keep getting younger. And get off my lawn!
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