2018 NFL Over/Under Contest

QuikSand · 09-04-2018, 12:56 PM

Okay, I am convinced this can make for a fun game. So, I will start it here as a trial, for free. If it works out, perhaps we will run it as a for-money game in the future.

THE GAME:

Bid, auction style, on an NFL team and its win total for the 2018 season. You may bid in half-game increments, and must be bidding at a level that beats any previous bid on that team.

For each team, we will honor one OVER and one UNDER bet. So, someone pessimistic about Arizona might end up winning with a bid of ARZ UNDER 6.0. Another player who is more optimistic might end up winning with a bid of ARX OVER 9.5. So, there are essentially 64 elements up for bid here.

To claim the lead, you must bid at least 0.5 wins higher than the current highest OVER bid for that team, or 0.5 wins lowers than the current UNDER bid for that team.

SCORING:

At the season's end, we will score each bid as worth $10 per win, net of the line where you bid on the team. Therefore, if you bid ARZ OVER 9.5 and they win 12 games, you would score +$25. If they only win 8 games, you would score -$15.

My request -- I know we are playing for free, but if you're going to participate, please treat your bids as if you were really putting up actual money on it. I am considering really seriously running this contest here for real money next year (logistics TBD), and I'd like to take this year's results as at least informative for that purpose.

KEEPING ORDER:

I don't like how auctions inevitably turn into a who's-online-at-the-last-minute ordeal, so I want to create a sphincter for this. Today will be no holds barred, bid all you want. Starting after midnight Tuesday, eastern time, a person must bid on one side of one team at a time, then that person must wait 10 minutes to make any additional bids on any team/side. If a person bids at 3:42pm tomorrow, and then that person will have to wait until time-stamped 3:52 to bid again on that or another team.

Bidding ends one hour before the kickoff for each game the team plays in for week one, rounded to the half hour. 12 noon for a 1pm ET game, etc. Time stamp on the forum will be the final determinant, order on the forum breaking ties for equivalent bids.

If this catches fire, I will also welcome thoughts on making this work as a real money game next year.

With that, have at it.

QuikSand · 09-04-2018, 12:57 PM

reserved for inevitable role clarifications, Q&A, etc.

Apparent ambiguity over singular/plural "you" resolved:

The 10-minute limit applies to any one participant. That participant may put in a single bid, and then must sit out at least 10 minutes until bidding on anything further.

Other participants may continue to outbid that bid on the same team/side without any time limit.

QuikSand · 09-04-2018, 12:57 PM

Please make your bids in bold, using this format:

BAL OVER 7.5

that's my legitimate bid to start things off

stevew · 09-04-2018, 01:05 PM

What about an NFL Calcutta pool or something?

albionmoonlight · 09-04-2018, 01:09 PM

New York Giants over 8.5

Dallas Cowboys under 6.5

New Orleans Saints over 10

QuikSand · 09-04-2018, 01:14 PM

CLEVELAND OVER 4.5

NobodyHere · 09-04-2018, 01:20 PM

Indianapolis over 6

Detroit over 4

stevew · 09-04-2018, 01:22 PM

CLEVELAND OVER 5
PITTSBURGH UNDER 9.5
BUFFALO UNDER 5.5

BishopMVP · 09-04-2018, 01:49 PM

ATLANTA UNDER 9.5
PHILADELPHIA OVER 9.5
NEW ENGLAND OVER 10.5
NEW ENGLAND UNDER 12.5

NobodyHere · 09-04-2018, 01:52 PM

NY JETS OVER 1.5

kingfc22 · 09-04-2018, 02:18 PM

OAKLAND UNDER 7
SAN FRANCISCO OVER 9.5
KANSAS CITY OVER 8
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS OVER 7.5

BishopMVP · 09-04-2018, 03:08 PM

NY JETS OVER 3.5
SAN FRANCISCO UNDER 10

albionmoonlight · 09-04-2018, 03:31 PM

L.A. CHARGERS UNDER 10.5

QuikSand · 09-04-2018, 04:21 PM

LA CHARGERS OVER 8
DETROIT OVER 6
NY JETS OVER 3
DALLAS OVER 5.5
NEW ORLEANS OVER 7
WASHINGTON OVER 5.5
MINNESOTA UNDER 11
MIAMI UNDER 10

Ryche · 09-04-2018, 07:08 PM

JETS OVER 3.5
MINNESOTA OVER 7.5
ARIZONA UNDER 7.5
DETROIT UNDER 10.0
DENVER OVER 5.0

jbergey22 · 09-04-2018, 07:26 PM

DETROIT UNDER 9
DENVER OVER 6.5
MINNESOTA OVER 8.5
NEW ENGLAND UNDER 12
MIAMI UNDER 8.5

Ryche · 09-04-2018, 09:27 PM

MINNESOTA OVER 9.0
MIAMI UNDER 9.0
JETS OVER 4.0
HOUSTON OVER 5.5
GREEN BAY OVER 8.0

bhlloy · 09-04-2018, 11:37 PM

LA CHARGERS UNDER 9.5

AnalBumCover · 09-05-2018, 08:24 AM

LA CHARGERS UNDER 9.0

albionmoonlight · 09-05-2018, 08:29 AM

ARIZONA OVER 3.5

AnalBumCover · 09-05-2018, 08:50 AM

LA RAMS UNDER 10.0

albionmoonlight · 09-05-2018, 08:55 AM

TENNESSEE OVER 3.5

Vince, Pt. II · 09-05-2018, 09:50 AM

SAN FRANCISCO UNDER 9.5

AnalBumCover · 09-05-2018, 10:14 AM

Bidding one team at a time now, right?

QuikSand · 09-05-2018, 11:03 AM

Yes, one at a time, and ten minutes between posts. I will edit above.

QuikSand · 09-05-2018, 11:06 AM

DENVER OVER 5.5

albionmoonlight · 09-05-2018, 11:11 AM

TENNESSEE UNDER 12.5

kingfc22 · 09-05-2018, 11:39 AM

10 minutes between posts or 10 minutes between post per a specific O/U for a team?

QuikSand · 09-05-2018, 11:42 AM

10 minutes between any two posts, designed to make the end-stage bidding more subtle

Ryche · 09-05-2018, 12:48 PM

TENNESSEE UNDER 12

stevew · 09-05-2018, 01:23 PM

Tennessee under 10.5

murrayyyyy · 09-05-2018, 01:36 PM

JAGUARS UNDER 10

Ryche · 09-05-2018, 02:12 PM

TENNESSEE OVER 4.5

BishopMVP · 09-05-2018, 02:25 PM

TENNESSEE OVER 5.5

NobodyHere · 09-05-2018, 02:38 PM

CHICAGO OVER 4.5

revrew · 09-05-2018, 02:45 PM

DENVER OVER 7

kingfc22 · 09-05-2018, 03:16 PM

TENNESSEE UNDER 10

stevew · 09-05-2018, 03:48 PM

TENNESSEE UNDER 9

QuikSand · 09-05-2018, 04:27 PM

PHILADELPHIA UNDER 11.5

Ryche · 09-05-2018, 04:41 PM

CINCINNATI OVER 4.5

stevew · 09-05-2018, 04:50 PM

HOUSTON OVER 7

Ryche · 09-05-2018, 06:47 PM

JAGUARS OVER 5.5

stevew · 09-05-2018, 06:57 PM

WASHINGTON UNDER 16

NobodyHere · 09-05-2018, 06:59 PM

WASHINGTON UNDER 15

albionmoonlight · 09-05-2018, 07:04 PM

WASHINGTON UNDER 10.5

NobodyHere · 09-05-2018, 07:11 PM

INDIANAPOLIS UNDER 13

murrayyyyy · 09-05-2018, 07:26 PM

ATLANTA OVER 6

Ryche · 09-05-2018, 07:28 PM

WASHINGTON UNDER 10

BishopMVP · 09-05-2018, 08:11 PM

ATLANTA OVER 6.5

bhlloy · 09-05-2018, 08:59 PM

CAROLINA UNDER 9.5

09-04-2018, 12:57 PM	#2
QuikSand lolzcat Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Annapolis, Md	reserved for inevitable role clarifications, Q&A, etc. Apparent ambiguity over singular/plural "you" resolved: The 10-minute limit applies to any one participant. That participant may put in a single bid, and then must sit out at least 10 minutes until bidding on anything further. Other participants may continue to outbid that bid on the same team/side without any time limit. Last edited by QuikSand : 09-07-2018 at 01:21 PM.

09-04-2018, 01:20 PM	#7
NobodyHere Grizzled Veteran Join Date: Nov 2013	Indianapolis over 6 Detroit over 4 __________________ "I am God's prophet, and I need an attorney"

09-04-2018, 01:52 PM	#10
NobodyHere Grizzled Veteran Join Date: Nov 2013	NY JETS OVER 1.5 __________________ "I am God's prophet, and I need an attorney"

09-04-2018, 02:18 PM	#11
kingfc22 Head Coach Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Morgan Hill, CA	OAKLAND UNDER 7 SAN FRANCISCO OVER 9.5 KANSAS CITY OVER 8 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS OVER 7.5 __________________ Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Arsenal

09-04-2018, 07:08 PM	#15
Ryche College Benchwarmer Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Highlands Ranch, CO, USA	JETS OVER 3.5 MINNESOTA OVER 7.5 ARIZONA UNDER 7.5 DETROIT UNDER 10.0 DENVER OVER 5.0 __________________ Some knots are better left untied. Last edited by Ryche : 09-04-2018 at 07:09 PM. Reason: Forgot Bold

09-04-2018, 01:05 PM	#4
stevew Hall Of Famer Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: the yo'	What about an NFL Calcutta pool or something?

09-04-2018, 01:09 PM	#5
albionmoonlight Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: North Carolina	New York Giants over 8.5 Dallas Cowboys under 6.5 New Orleans Saints over 10

09-04-2018, 01:14 PM	#6
QuikSand lolzcat Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Annapolis, Md	CLEVELAND OVER 4.5

09-04-2018, 01:22 PM	#8
stevew Hall Of Famer Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: the yo'	CLEVELAND OVER 5 PITTSBURGH UNDER 9.5 BUFFALO UNDER 5.5

09-04-2018, 01:49 PM	#9
BishopMVP Coordinator Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Concord, MA/UMass	ATLANTA UNDER 9.5 PHILADELPHIA OVER 9.5 NEW ENGLAND OVER 10.5 NEW ENGLAND UNDER 12.5

09-04-2018, 03:08 PM	#12
BishopMVP Coordinator Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Concord, MA/UMass	NY JETS OVER 3.5 SAN FRANCISCO UNDER 10

09-04-2018, 03:31 PM	#13
albionmoonlight Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: North Carolina	L.A. CHARGERS UNDER 10.5

09-04-2018, 04:21 PM	#14
QuikSand lolzcat Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Annapolis, Md	LA CHARGERS OVER 8 DETROIT OVER 6 NY JETS OVER 3 DALLAS OVER 5.5 NEW ORLEANS OVER 7 WASHINGTON OVER 5.5 MINNESOTA UNDER 11 MIAMI UNDER 10

09-04-2018, 07:26 PM	#16
jbergey22 Grizzled Veteran Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: Minnesota	DETROIT UNDER 9 DENVER OVER 6.5 MINNESOTA OVER 8.5 NEW ENGLAND UNDER 12 MIAMI UNDER 8.5 Last edited by jbergey22 : 09-04-2018 at 07:26 PM.

09-04-2018, 09:27 PM	#17
Ryche College Benchwarmer Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Highlands Ranch, CO, USA	MINNESOTA OVER 9.0 MIAMI UNDER 9.0 JETS OVER 4.0 HOUSTON OVER 5.5 GREEN BAY OVER 8.0 __________________ Some knots are better left untied.

09-04-2018, 11:37 PM	#18
bhlloy Coordinator Join Date: Nov 2003	LA CHARGERS UNDER 9.5

09-05-2018, 08:24 AM	#19
AnalBumCover College Starter Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: La Mirada, CA	LA CHARGERS UNDER 9.0

09-05-2018, 08:29 AM	#20
albionmoonlight Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: North Carolina	ARIZONA OVER 3.5

09-05-2018, 08:50 AM	#21
AnalBumCover College Starter Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: La Mirada, CA	LA RAMS UNDER 10.0

09-05-2018, 08:55 AM	#22
albionmoonlight Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: North Carolina	TENNESSEE OVER 3.5 Last edited by QuikSand : 09-05-2018 at 11:04 AM. Reason: only one bid at a time

09-05-2018, 09:50 AM	#23
Vince, Pt. II Pro Starter Join Date: Sep 2009 Location: Somewhere More Familiar	SAN FRANCISCO UNDER 9.5 Last edited by QuikSand : 09-05-2018 at 11:03 AM. Reason: only one bid at a time

09-05-2018, 10:14 AM	#24
AnalBumCover College Starter Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: La Mirada, CA	Bidding one team at a time now, right?

09-05-2018, 11:03 AM	#25
QuikSand lolzcat Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Annapolis, Md	Yes, one at a time, and ten minutes between posts. I will edit above.

09-05-2018, 11:06 AM	#26
QuikSand lolzcat Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Annapolis, Md	DENVER OVER 5.5

09-05-2018, 11:11 AM	#27
albionmoonlight Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: North Carolina	TENNESSEE UNDER 12.5

09-05-2018, 11:39 AM	#28
kingfc22 Head Coach Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Morgan Hill, CA	10 minutes between posts or 10 minutes between post per a specific O/U for a team? __________________ Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Arsenal

09-05-2018, 11:42 AM	#29
QuikSand lolzcat Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Annapolis, Md	10 minutes between any two posts, designed to make the end-stage bidding more subtle

09-05-2018, 12:48 PM	#30
Ryche College Benchwarmer Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Highlands Ranch, CO, USA	TENNESSEE UNDER 12 __________________ Some knots are better left untied.

09-05-2018, 01:23 PM	#31
stevew Hall Of Famer Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: the yo'	Tennessee under 10.5

09-05-2018, 01:36 PM	#32
murrayyyyy College Benchwarmer Join Date: Jan 2002 Location: Las Vegas	JAGUARS UNDER 10

09-05-2018, 02:12 PM	#33
Ryche College Benchwarmer Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Highlands Ranch, CO, USA	TENNESSEE OVER 4.5 __________________ Some knots are better left untied.

09-05-2018, 02:25 PM	#34
BishopMVP Coordinator Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Concord, MA/UMass	TENNESSEE OVER 5.5

09-05-2018, 02:38 PM	#35
NobodyHere Grizzled Veteran Join Date: Nov 2013	CHICAGO OVER 4.5 __________________ "I am God's prophet, and I need an attorney"

09-05-2018, 02:45 PM	#36
revrew Team Chaplain Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: Just outside Des Moines, IA	DENVER OVER 7 __________________ Winner of 6 FOFC Scribe Awards, including 3 Gold Scribes Founder of the ZFL, 2004 Golden Scribe Dynasty of the Year Now bringing The Des Moines Dragons back to life, and the joke's on YOU, NFL! I came to the Crossroad. I took it. And that has made all the difference.

09-05-2018, 03:16 PM	#37
kingfc22 Head Coach Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Morgan Hill, CA	TENNESSEE UNDER 10 __________________ Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Arsenal