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Old 10-21-2016, 11:55 PM   #1
larrymcg421
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Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
Election 2016 Prediction Contest

We did this four years ago (KCCheif won) and it was fun. So here's this year's contest....

Presidential Election (Popular Vote) - Predict the margin of the popular vote between the top two candidates. You lose 2 pts for every point you are off. (Pick whole numbers. Final margin will be rounded up or down.)

Presidential Election - You get 5 pts for each state you get correct. To make it easy, you can list Romney states Clinton will win, Obama states Trump will win, or any third party win. Anything you don't list will be assumed you're predicting it will fall the same way as in 2012.

Special Note: The NE-2nd and ME-2nd will count as 5 pts on their own. So a perfect score would be 265 (50 states + DC + ME-2 + NE-2).

Senate - 3 points for each state you get correct. Once again, you can list states that will switch parties. Anything you don't list will be assumed you're predicting the same party will hold the seat.

House - How many seats will either party gain. You lose a point for every seat you're off.


You can change your predictions later, but last change is due at November 7, 7pm EST. (Entries submitted on November 28th will not be accepted.)
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Last edited by larrymcg421 : 10-22-2016 at 12:06 AM.
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Old 10-22-2016, 12:06 AM   #2
larrymcg421
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Fixed. Probably wishful thinking.
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Old 10-22-2016, 06:05 PM   #4
Toddzilla
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Location: Burke, VA
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Old 10-28-2016, 10:17 AM   #5
larrymcg421
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Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
Presidential Election

Popular Vote - Clinton +7

Clinton picks up North Carolina
Trump picks up Iowa

Senate

Dems pick up Indiana, Illinois, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire
GOP picks up nothing

House

Dems +15
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Last edited by larrymcg421 : 11-07-2016 at 07:19 PM.
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Old 10-28-2016, 10:53 AM   #6
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Popular vote - Clinton +4 (49-45)

Clinton will win North Carolina.
Trump will win Ohio and Florida.

Dems pick up New Hampshire, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania.
GOP picks up Nevada.

House
Dems +19
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Last edited by Butter : 10-28-2016 at 10:54 AM.
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Old 11-06-2016, 09:45 PM   #7
larrymcg421
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Bump
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Old 11-06-2016, 11:09 PM   #8
Ryche
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Highlands Ranch, CO, USA
Clinton +5 (50%-45%)

Clinton adds North Carolina
Trump adds Ohio and Iowa

Senate:
Dems flip Wisconsin, Nevada, Illinois
GOP flips none

House:
Dems +9
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Old 11-07-2016, 12:46 AM   #9
bhlloy
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Clinton +3

Clinton flips nothing (but wins by just hanging on to her firewall)
Trump flips OH, IA, FL, ME 2nd

Senate:
Dems flip WI, IL, PA
GOP flip nothing

House:
Dems +11
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Old 11-07-2016, 06:38 AM   #10
tarcone
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Pacific
Trump +1

Clinton NC
Trump Ohio, Florida, Iowa

Dems get a +3 gain
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Old 11-07-2016, 06:58 AM   #11
Ben E Lou
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
Presidential Election (Popular Vote) - Predict the margin of the popular vote between the top two candidates. You lose 2 pts for every point you are off. (Pick whole numbers. Final margin will be rounded up or down.) Clinton +3

Presidential Election - You get 5 pts for each state you get correct. To make it easy, you can list Romney states Clinton will win, Obama states Trump will win, or any third party win. Anything you don't list will be assumed you're predicting it will fall the same way as in 2012.




Senate - 3 points for each state you get correct. Once again, you can list states that will switch parties. Anything you don't list will be assumed you're predicting the same party will hold the seat.

Dems gain Illinois, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, and New Hampshire
GOP picks up nothing


House - How many seats will either party gain. You lose a point for every seat you're off. Dems +12
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Old 11-07-2016, 08:12 AM   #12
larrymcg421
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Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ryche View Post
Clinton +5 (50%-45%)

Clinton adds North Carolina
Trump adds Ohio and Iowa

Senate:
Dems flip Wisconsin, Nevada, Illinois
GOP flips none

House:
Dems +9

Dems currently have the Nevada seat, so it wouldn't be a flip for them.
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Old 11-07-2016, 01:00 PM   #13
bronconick
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Kalamazoo, MI
Clinton +3 (308-230 in EV)

R pick up Iowa, Ohio

Senate D- NH, Penn, Illinois, Wisc.
R- None


House- D+14
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Old 11-09-2016, 01:57 PM   #14
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Quote:
Originally Posted by Butter View Post
Popular vote - Clinton +4 (49-45)

Clinton will win North Carolina.
Trump will win Ohio and Florida.

Dems pick up New Hampshire, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania.
GOP picks up Nevada.

House
Dems +19


Well this didn't work out at all.
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