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Old 02-07-2020, 03:24 PM   #601
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CBB

Own spread record: 135-121, -2.25u



Today: 1-0, +1u


Illinois 1H -1', WIN
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Old 02-07-2020, 03:32 PM   #602
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
NBA:
PHI -5.5 WIN
DET +12.5 WIN
POR +10 WIN

CBB (.5u unless noted):
VCU -9 (1u) WIN
Harvard +5.5 WIN
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Old 02-07-2020, 11:42 PM   #603
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Tennis
Total pre-match: 11-7, +5.57u
Total live: 9-5, +3.78u

Today pre-match: 1-1, 0u
Today live: 0-2, -1.91u


ATP Montpellier
Monfils ML -137 v. Krajinovic, WIN
Goffin 2-0 +135 v. Pospisil, LOSS
**Live:
Goffin ML -125, LOSS

WTA St. Petersburg Qualifying
Gasparyan +240 ML for 0.66u, LOSS
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Old 02-08-2020, 09:54 AM   #604
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CBB

Own spread record: 136-121, -1.25u



Today: 4-3, +0.7u


Michigan St. -2', LOSS
Tennessee +2', LOSS
Duquesne -4, LOSS
Northern Iowa -9, WIN
Stanford +9, WIN
Chattanooga +6', WIN
Wake Forest +10, WIN
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Old 02-08-2020, 10:09 AM   #605
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
NBA:
NO +2 WIN

CBB (.5u unless noted):
TCU +8 (1u) LOSE
Michigan +3 WIN
Pitt -2 WIN
Duquesne -4 LOSE
Drake +9 LOSE
Mercer +8.5 LOSE
Colorado -8.5 LOSE
Syracuse -9.5 LOSE
Illinois St +4 WIN
Utah St -9.5 LOSE
Oregon St +3 WIN
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Old 02-08-2020, 11:06 AM   #606
henry296
College Starter
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
A friend of mine gave me a nice referral bonus to DraftKings so I built up a nice bankroll with all free money, so this is all risk free. I have about 280 units to play with and will try to take advantage of any other promos to get free rolls. Here is what I have today. 1 unit unless noted

UVA +7
LSU +4.5
Minnesota +6.5
Indiana -2
Pitt -2.5
Kentucky -2.5

Also went with 2 XFL for 0.5 unit
LA +6.5
Seattle +8.5

Michigan St, Gonzaga, Duke, Kansas ML parlay 0.5 free bet +307
UNC ML 1 unit free bet +250

Lost with Illinois last night -3.5
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Old 02-08-2020, 11:46 PM   #607
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Tennis
Total pre-match: 12-8, +5.57u
Total live: 9-7, +1.87u

Today pre-match: 2-4, -2.2u
Today live:


ATP Rotterdam Qualifying
Fucsovics / Kohlschreiber parlay -102, WIN

ATP Montpellier Final
Monfils -4, +200, 1/2u, WIN

WTA St. Petersburg Qualifying
Zvonareva +130 ML v. Cornet, LOSS

ATP NY Open Qualifying
McDonald / Istomin parlay, +103, LOSS

Dallas Challenger Final
Kudla ML -170 v. Rodionov, LOSS

Combo parlay for half unit, +389:
McDonald / Istomin / Kudla / Krueger, LOSS
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Old 02-09-2020, 09:13 PM   #608
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Tennis
Total pre-match: 14-12, +3.37u
Total live: 9-7, +1.87u

Today pre-match: 3-3, -1.05u
Today live: 9-5, +11.4u


ATP Buenos Aires
Cuevas -2.5, -125 v. Sonego, WIN
Ruud -140 ML v. Andujar, 1/2u, WIN
**Live:
Munar 1st set +2.5, +175 v. Monteiro, 0.6u, LOSS

ATP New York
Sandgren ML -135 v. Johnson, LOSS
**Live:
Jung / Krueger U18.5 games, -140, WIN
Soeda 1st set -2.5, +150 v. Tomic, 1/2u, WIN
Soeda to win 2nd set 6-0 or 6-1, 0.75u, net WIN 1.22u
Johnson / Sandgren 1st set O12.5 games, -135, WIN

WTA St. Petersburg
Sakkari 2-0 +110 v. Diatchenko, LOSS
**Live:
Diatchenko to win 2nd set 6-1 or 6-2, 1.75u bet, LOSS
Sakkari 2nd set ML +165, 2u bet, WIN
Sakkari / Diatchenko to win in 3 sets, 2.1u on Sakkari and 1u on Diatchenko, net WIN 6u thanks to Sakkari win, still would've been about 3u won if Diatchenko had won

ATP Rotterdam
Evans / Kohlschreiber O22.5, -120, LOSS
Dimitrov ML EVEN v. Shapovalov, WIN
**Live:
Carreno Busta to win Set 2, -1.5, +120 v. Mannarino, LOSS, PCB literally had a break point in 5 of 6 service games and couldn't break
PCB 2nd set ML +220, 0.5u, LOSS
RBA 2nd set ML -115 v. Fucsovics, WIN
RBA to win Set 3, Game 7, +150, 0.6u WIN 0.9u

WTA Hua Hin
**Live:
Paquet ML +160 v. Plipeuch, LOSS

**Live:
Kecmanovic / Ruud / Dimitrov parlay, 0.85u, +127, WIN

Tennis Futures bets:

ATP NY Open
Isner to win his quarter of draw: +135 for 1/2u, LOSS
Kecmanovic to win his quarter of draw: +400 for 1/4u, WIN
Raonic to win his quarter of draw: -125, LOSS

ATP Buenos Aires
Ruud to win tournament: +2000 for 1/4u, WIN
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Old 02-10-2020, 01:22 PM   #609
henry296
College Starter
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
On Sunday, I had the following

Won:
Marquette -3
Wisconsin -1.5

Lost:

Wichita St +5
Bruins -1.5
Dustin Johnson Top 5 +175

So far, really good on CBB and lost every other bet.

Tonight going
Duke/FSU o148.5

Butter - any thoughts on the Karlovic Match over 26.5 +118. I figure either 2 tiebreakers or a third set and i win.
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Old 02-10-2020, 01:35 PM   #610
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
NBA:
BRK +6.5 WIN
ATL +8.5 LOSE

CBB (.5u unless noted):
Florida St +8 WIN
Portland St +9 WIN
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Old 02-10-2020, 08:40 PM   #611
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Quote:
Originally Posted by henry296 View Post

Butter - any thoughts on the Karlovic Match over 26.5 +118. I figure either 2 tiebreakers or a third set and i win.

2 tiebreakers would only guarantee you 26 games. If you're thinking about this bet, I would go over 2.5 sets for +135.

Karlovic is the 2nd worst in the top 150 at returning, while the 2nd best at winning on his serve. New York is known as one of the fastest courts out there, which would seem to favor Ivo and getting to tiebreakers. But his 1st serve percentage is middle of the road. If its off at all, you may not get to any tiebreaks.

Hard match for me to handicap as neither player is in any kind of form either. Ivo is the definition of a one tool player and Thompson is the epitome of mediocre, IMO. No great weapons but doesn't usually beat himself.

Good luck no matter what you do.
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Old 02-10-2020, 10:01 PM   #612
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Tennis
Total pre-match: 17-15, +2.32u
Total live: 18-12, +13.27u

Today pre-match: 2-9 -6.62u
Today live: 6-3, +4.63u



ATP New York
Edmund -3 / Nishioka -2 parlay, +111, LOSS
**Live:
Thompson 1st set -1.5, +275, 0.75u, WIN
Kwon -5.5, +115 v. Soeda, 0.75u, WIN

ATP Rotterdam
Barrere (-145) ML v. Bublik, LOSS
Auger Aliassime (+115) ML v. Struff, WIN
**Live:
Rublev / Basilashvili U19.5 games, WIN
Tsitsipas 2-0, +110 v. Hurkacz, LOSS

ATP Buenos Aires
Verdasco -3, -110 v. Martinez, PUSH Verdasco w/d
Moutet -2, -105 v. Kovalik, LOSS
Martin -2, -120 v. Bagnis, LOSS
Londero 2-0, -135 v. Horansky, LOSS
**Live:
RCB 1st set ML +200 v. Cecchinato (really took this for value as I don't think there is that much separating these 2 players), WIN
Sousa -135 ML v. Diaz Acosta, WIN
Djere ML -135 v. Cerundolo, WIN

All WTA matches for half unit.

WTA Hua Hin
Martic -6 (+200) v. Xiyu Wang, LOSS

WTA St. Petersburg
2-0 Brady (+135) vs Kuznetsova, LOSS
Vekic -6 (+115) vs Ahn, WIN
Ostapenko (-145) ML vs Cornet, This match is tomorrow
Putintseva (-150) ML vs Kudermetova, LOSS
Alexandrova 2-0 v. Kasatkina, -110, LOSS
**Live:
Brady/Kuznetsova to go 3 sets, 1.25u, LOSS
Alexandrova 3rd set -2.5, EVEN v. Kasatkina, 1u, LOSS

Edit: Bloodbath today, mitigated by live betting and limiting my betting on the WTA. I keep thinking I will learn about betting too many matches, but I didn't learn it before last night.
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Old 02-11-2020, 10:39 AM   #613
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CBB

Own spread record: 140-124, -0.55u



Today: 2-1, +0.9u


Wake Forest +2, WIN
San Diego St. -15', WIN
Syracuse 1H -2', LOSS
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Old 02-11-2020, 11:40 AM   #614
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
NBA:
WAS -3 WIN

CBB (.5u unless noted):
North Carolina -2 LOSE
Mississippi St -1 LOSE
Colorado St +2 LOSE
Kentucky -11.5 WIN
Syracuse -5 LOSE
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Old 02-12-2020, 09:21 AM   #615
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Tennis
Total pre-match: 19-24, -4.3u
Total live: 24-15, +17.9u

Today pre-match: 3-0, +3.78u
Today live: 6-2, +4.46u


ATP Rotterdam
Evans ML +140 v. Khachanov, WIN
**Live:
Haase 1st set, -2.5, -110, WIN
Carreno Busta ML +275 v. Bautista Agut, 1/2u, bet 1/4u on RBA in 3rd set tiebreak at +225 to get the freeroll... net WIN of 1.13u
Monfils / Sousa U20.5 games, -105, WIN
Pospisil 2nd set ML +165 v. Medvedev, WIN

ATP New York
Seppi ML +135 v. Johnson, WIN 1.3u (hedged at Johnson +2000 for 0.05u)
**Live:
Kecmanovic 2-0 v. Lorenzi, -140, WIN
Raonic 2-0, -125 v. Kwon, LOSS

ATP Buenos Aires
Ruud / Lajovic parlay, +108, WIN

WTA St. Petersburg
Bencic / Kuznetsova 2nd set O10.5 games, +110, 0.56u, LOSS
Rybakina 2nd set -1.5, -125 v. Ferro, 0.5u, WIN
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Old 02-12-2020, 12:40 PM   #616
Arles
Grey Dog Software
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Phoenix, AZ by way of Belleville, IL
Betting the XFL looks like it will be a crapshoot. I was just reading the rules. Basically, you could have a team at +8.5 on the game, the game tied and 10 seconds left - and still lose. The opponent could score, go for 3 from 10 and win by 9 - yikes!
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Old 02-12-2020, 03:49 PM   #617
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
NBA:
ATL -2 LOSE
ORL -7 LOSE
DAL -8.5 WIN

CBB (.5u unless noted):
Auburn -8 LOSE
E. Carolina +10.5 LOSE
Loyola Chicago -8.5 LOSE
Florida -5.5 WIN
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Old 02-12-2020, 08:39 PM   #618
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Just scorching hot on live betting right now. Even won a WTA live bet on Wednesday.
Also hit all 3 pre match bets on Wed., thanks to not trying to force a bunch.

Tennis
Total pre-match: 22-24, -0.52u
Total live: 30-17, +22.36u

Today pre-match: 2-4, -2.50u
Today live: 4-3, +2.05u


ATP Rotterdam
Pospisil ML -125 v. Krajinovic, LOSS

ATP Buenos Aires
Cuevas / Ramos O22, -125, WIN
**Live:
Londero to win final set 6-1 v. Djere, +220, 0.5u, WIN
Schwartzman to win U12.5 games v. Delbonis, -125 LOSS

ATP New York
Jung ML EVEN v. Norrie, WIN
Isner 2-0 +125 v. Thompson, LOSS
**Live:
Edmund / Koepfer U21.5 games, -125, WIN
Doubles: Cacic/Nys to win U8.5 games v. Monroe/Sock, -125, WIN

WTA St. Petersburg LIVE
Kvitova to win final set 6-3 or 6-4, 0.75u, LOSS
Vekic / Alexandrova 2nd set O10.5 games, +150, 1u, WIN

ITF Naples LIVE
Hernandez-Fernandez ML -110 v. Zhu, 0.5u, LOSS

Rolling in my bet on Raonic to win his quarter of the draw LOSS into today's record.
Also rolling in the loss on Isner to win his quarter of the draw into today's record.
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Old 02-13-2020, 11:14 AM   #619
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CBB

Own spread record: 142-125, +0.35u



Today:


6 point teaser, +125
FGCU -0.5 / Cincinnati -1 / Cal St. Bakersfield -15', LOSS
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Old 02-13-2020, 05:04 PM   #620
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
CBB (.5u unless noted):
La Tech -10 (1u) LOSE
Colorado +5 LOSE
Cincinnati -7 LOSE
BYU -11.5 WIN
Oregon St -5 WIN
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Old 02-14-2020, 07:35 AM   #621
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Tennis
Total pre-match: 24-28, -3.02u
Total live: 34-20, +24.41u

Today pre-match: 3-3, +1.7u
Today live: 7-9, -2.92u


ATP New York
Kecmanovic +110 v. Humbert, 2u, WIN
**Live:
Humbert to win 1st set 6-3, -188, for 1/2u, WIN
Edmund ML EVEN v. Kwon, WIN
Jung to win Set 3 6-4, EVEN, WIN
Thompson ML -125 v. Seppi, 1/2u, LOSS

ATP Buenos Aires
Londero / Pella O22.5 games, -125, WIN
**Live:
Ruud / Lajovic O19.5 games, -150, LOSS

ATP Rotterdam
Rublev -4, +115 v. Krajinovic, LOSS
**Live:
Carreno Busta 2nd set ML -125 v. Sinner, LOSS
Carreno Busta total games won U15.5, -120, LOSS
Monfils 1st set ML -150 v. Evans, WIN
Monfils / Evans 2nd set U7.5 games, +110, 1/2u, another 1/2u at +300, LOSS
Rublev ML EVEN v. Krajinovic, LOSS

All women's tennis for half unit.

WTA Hua Hin LIVE
Hibino / Svitolina 3rd set O7.5 games, -138, for 1u WIN
Svitolina to win final set, +900, 0.25u, LOSS

WTA St. Petersburg
Alexandrova ML +150 v. Kvitova, PUSH, Kvitova w/d
Potapova ML +340 v. Bertens, LOSS
**Live:
Bencic / Sakkari, Total games in Set 2 U9.5, -138, LOSS
Total games in Set 2 O12.5, +175, 1u, LOSS
Sakkari ML +110, 1u, WIN

WTA
Zheng / Rybakina parlay, +108, 1u bet LOSS

Cleveland Challenger LIVE
Kudla 1st set ML -110 v. Escobedo, WIN

Adding in WIN of bet on Kecmanovic to win his quarter of draw at NY Open to today's record.
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Old 02-14-2020, 06:07 PM   #622
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
CBB (.5u unless noted):
Akron -3.5
Princeton +4
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Old 02-14-2020, 10:09 PM   #623
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Tennis
Total pre-match: 27-31, -1.32u
Total live: 41-29, +21.49u

Today pre-match: 1-3, -1.45u
Today live:


Half unit for ladies' tennis.

WTA Dubai Qualifying
Ajla Tomljanovic -1.5 sets (-190) vs Bethanie Mattek Sands, LOSS
Kristyna Pliskova ML (+200) vs Jennifer Brady, LOSS
Katerina Siniakova ML (-115) vs SaiSai Zheng, WIN

WTA St. Petersburg
Ekaterina Alexandrova (+120) ML vs Kiki Bertens, LOSS
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Old Yesterday, 08:44 AM   #624
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Tennis
Total pre-match: 28-34, -2.77u
Total live: 41-29, +21.49u

Today pre-match: 1-1, +4.5u
Today live: 3-1, +2.55u


ATP Marseille Qualifying LIVE
Novak to win 2nd set 6-3, -138, WIN

ATP Buenos Aires
Perfect hedging scenario as I have Ruud to win the tournament for 5 units on an outlay of 0.25 units vs. Lucky Loser Pedro Sousa who is a +450 underdog. Putting in 1/2 unit on Sousa to win 2.25 u. So I will either profit 2 units or 4.5 units based on outcome.

WTA St. Petersburg LIVE
Bertens to win Set 1 6-1, +210, 1/2u, WIN
Bertens / Rybakina total games U15.5, +110, 1/2u, LOSS

ATP Rotterdam LIVE
Monfils to win Set 1 6-2, EVEN, WIN
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Old Yesterday, 09:02 AM   #625
henry296
College Starter
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Curious in everyone’s thoughts. Last night I made an in game bet on Houston over SMU +175. During OT I could have bet SMU at +114 and locked in about 0.2 of a unit. Should I lock in profits whenever possible or depending on my thoughts on the game take my chances on the bigger pay day. Right now my bets are pretty small so it wouldn’t be a ton of money.
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Old Yesterday, 09:43 AM   #626
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
I used to hedge more often, but I've found the problem with hedging is it eats into your profits. It really depends on your risk tolerance. I tend to do it on larger dogs, or larger bet sizing.
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Old Yesterday, 10:14 AM   #627
Lathum
Favored Bitch #1
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
Quote:
Originally Posted by henry296 View Post
Curious in everyone’s thoughts. Last night I made an in game bet on Houston over SMU +175. During OT I could have bet SMU at +114 and locked in about 0.2 of a unit. Should I lock in profits whenever possible or depending on my thoughts on the game take my chances on the bigger pay day. Right now my bets are pretty small so it wouldn’t be a ton of money.

In this instance I wouldn't. You start hedging in these spots and it gets very convoluted. The caveat of course if how much does the money mean to you.

I bet a lot of futures and thats where I like to hedge. For example last year When the Indians were 8 games back I bet a dime on them at 8-1 to win the division. They went on a run and pulled even with Minnesota. At that point Minn was 3-1 to win the division so I bet $1500 on them, locking in a nice profit.

The other good hedge spot is if you do multi team parlays. So for example lets say you do a 4 teamer at 10-1. I like to do this and put one late game on. That way if I hit the first 3 legs I can bet the opposite side on the last one and lock in a profit of at least 2-3 units.

One other reason to hedge in a single game scenario is to buy your way out of a bet, if someone gets injured or such.
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Old Yesterday, 10:16 AM   #628
Lathum
Favored Bitch #1
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
dola- here is what I will say about in gaming. While I don't really hedge I very much look to middle a game. This is pretty easy to do in hoops, especially NBA. Lets say you took the over 227 in a game and the first quarter they put up 68. The in game total will likely sit around 238 or so.this is a great spot to take the in game under and give yourself a shot at an 11 point middle.
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Old Yesterday, 07:03 PM   #629
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Tennis
Total pre-match: 29-35, +1.73u
Total live: 44-30, +24.04u

Today pre-match:
Today live:


As always only a half unit on women's tennis

WTA Dubai Qualifying
Van Uytvanck ML -120 v. Siniakova
Hercog ML +110 v. Mladenovic

WTA Dubai
Riske ML -130 v. Jabeur
Mertens / Wang O21 games, -120
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Old Yesterday, 09:16 PM   #630
Lathum
Favored Bitch #1
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
I ended up taking LeBron MVP at +450, 1st quarter over 86.5 and game over 305.5
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Old Yesterday, 09:56 PM   #631
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Took 1Q Over, Giannis -1' 2nd Q, and put both of those winnings on LeBron full game at EVEN.
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Old Yesterday, 11:36 PM   #632
Lathum
Favored Bitch #1
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
So not only did I lose the 2nd quarter by the hook. I had the in game over 312.5. When it was 156-155 literally the only way I lose is on a walk off free throw. Sums up my gambling life.
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