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Old 11-20-2019, 12:08 PM   #401
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
NBA:
TOR -3 (.5u) WIN
GSW +14 (.5u) LOSE
BOS +6 (.5u) WIN

CBB:
Georgia -5.5 LOSE- last second half court buzzer beater from GT to lose by 4 instead of 7...
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Old 11-20-2019, 01:49 PM   #402
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CBB:
Bryant +4 @ Drexel, LOSS
St. John's / Belmont / Memphis / Northern Illinois parlay, -118, WIN
San Diego +7' v. SDSU, LOSS

NBA:
ORL / TOR O207, WIN

CFB:
Mia O -17' 1H v. Akron, LOSS

Live bets:
FGCU ML +245, WIN
Akron TT O3.5, +110, WIN
Akron ML +1000, LOSS
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Old 11-21-2019, 09:01 AM   #403
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Quote:
Originally Posted by kingfc22 View Post
CBB:
Georgia -5.5

I just saw the end of that game.

I'm sorry.
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Old 11-21-2019, 09:14 AM   #404
kingfc22
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
Yea. That was unfortunate.

It was my only solid play yesterday. I should have been more confident with how I saw the Toronto game.
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Old 11-21-2019, 09:47 AM   #405
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CBB:
St. Joe's +13' v. Florida, WIN (also throwing 0.15u on ML which is +775, in Charleston, SC, LOSS)
Charlotte +4' @ App. St., LOSS

Parlay +123:, LOSS
Utah Valley
Drake
Akron
Washington State


Also betting a total of 1/4 unit on the following in round robins and parlays, no single bets, potential win of 13u, WIN 0.06u
Loyola Marymount +135 v. Air Force (in Bahamas), W
Coastal Carolina +170 v. Utah, W
Towson +375 v. Xavier (in Charleston), L
Indiana St. +215 v. Duquesne (in Bahamas), L
Wofford +145 @ S. Florida, L

CFB:
Georgia Tech ML -125 v. NC State... GT came down to EVEN odds like 2 hours later, which effing sucks, WIN
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Old 11-21-2019, 11:30 AM   #406
JonInMiddleGA
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Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
Not sure this exactly belongs here -- since I don't know of any legal way to bet on high school football -- but ...

Entering the 2nd round of the Georgia HS playoffs, the Maxwell Ratings Monte Carlo simulation gives Brookstone (Skydog's alma mater IIRC) 21,725,486:1 odds of winning the Class A/Private title. (they'll visit Athens Academy tomorrow)

For some perspective, the next longest odds for any of the other 103 remaining teams alive for eight titles are 10.5m:1 (North Forsyth in 7A) and 8.5m:1 (Mt Paran also in A/Private).
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Old 11-21-2019, 11:56 AM   #407
kingfc22
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
CBB:
Florida/St. Joes u147.5 WIN
CMU/Minnesota u153 WIN

7-team 10-pt Teaser (+195): LOSE
Coastal Carolina +15 WIN
Xavier +.5 WIN
Hofstra +24 WIN
Stanford -1 WIN
Wisc Green Bay/Wisc u152 LOSE
Tenn St +35.5 WIN
Minnesota +.5 WIN
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Old 11-21-2019, 01:52 PM   #408
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CFB this weekend:

Minnesota -13' @ Northwestern, WIN
Cal ML +110 @ Stanford, WIN
Ohio St. -20.5, +105 v. Penn St., LOSS
Texas / Baylor U57.5, WIN
SMU +3', LOSS
Va Tech -3', WIN
East Carolina -13', -140, LOSS

ML parlay +106, LOSS
Notre Dame / Ohio St. / Georgia / Miami FL / Oklahoma / UVa / Memphis

ML parlay +150, LOSS
East Carolina / Notre Dame / Georgia / USC / Cincinnati / Oregon / Utah

Tennessee ML -105, WIN
Boise St. -4'
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Old 11-21-2019, 08:03 PM   #409
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA View Post
Not sure this exactly belongs here -- since I don't know of any legal way to bet on high school football -- but ...

Entering the 2nd round of the Georgia HS playoffs, the Maxwell Ratings Monte Carlo simulation gives Brookstone (Skydog's alma mater IIRC) 21,725,486:1 odds of winning the Class A/Private title. (they'll visit Athens Academy tomorrow)

For some perspective, the next longest odds for any of the other 103 remaining teams alive for eight titles are 10.5m:1 (North Forsyth in 7A) and 8.5m:1 (Mt Paran also in A/Private).

There are at least a couple of books that do HS FB in Texas and California. Never bet on that myself
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Old 11-21-2019, 09:09 PM   #410
JonInMiddleGA
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Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
Quote:
Originally Posted by Butter View Post
There are at least a couple of books that do HS FB in Texas and California. Never bet on that myself

Really? I never knew.

I just assumed that'd be off-limits due to regulatory stuff.
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Old 11-21-2019, 11:44 PM   #411
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA View Post
Really? I never knew.

I just assumed that'd be off-limits due to regulatory stuff.

Just like the big games and / or playoffs.
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Old 11-22-2019, 03:05 AM   #412
JonInMiddleGA
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Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
Quote:
Originally Posted by Butter View Post
Just like the big games and / or playoffs.

If they ever legalize sports gambling in Georgia, look out. This would do significant action in some parts of the state.
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Old 11-22-2019, 09:50 AM   #413
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CBB today:

Valpo ML -105 v. Grand Canyon (at Virgin Islands), WIN
Oregon -7' v. Houston, WIN
Nevada -5' v. Fordham (at Virgin Islands), WIN
UNC Wilmington -7 v. Cleveland St. (at Washington DC), LOSS
Nicholls St. -9' v. NC A&T (at Jamaica), LOSS
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Old 11-22-2019, 01:35 PM   #414
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
CBB:
Buffalo -5
USC -9
Houston/Oregon o136.5
Temple/USC u145..5
Texas/Cal o124

NBA:
LAL/OKC u210.5
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Old 11-23-2019, 09:30 AM   #415
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Added onto CFB card.

CBB:
DePaul -2 @ BC, WIN
SE La. +11 @ Austin Peay, LOSS
Sacramento St. +10 @ Pepperdine, WIN
SMU / Cal Baptist / Portland St. parlay, +395, LOSS

Soccer:
Liverpool / Arsenal parlay +115, LOSS
Add Everton / Leicester, +510, LOSS
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Old 11-24-2019, 01:03 PM   #416
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
NFL:

10 pt teaser at +275, LOSS
  • New Orleans Saints 0.0
  • Over 27.5 - Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals
  • Seattle Seahawks +11
  • Under 50 - New York Giants @ Chicago Bears
  • Over 42 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
  • Miami Dolphins +20.5
  • Denver Broncos +14

Falcons -3', LOSS
Lions -4, LOSS
SEA ML -105, WIN
OAK -3, LOSS
PIT -6', LOSS

Parlay +640, LOSS
DET / PIT / OAK / CHI / SEA

NE PK / U50.5, -120 (teaser), WIN

GB / SF O48

In game:
CIN / PIT 1H U10.5, WIN
NO TT O30.5, WIN
CIN ML -110, LOSS
NYJ TT O33.5, WIN
JAX / TEN 1H U17.5, WIN
NO -2', WIN

Not a very good weekend. Would've been a freaking nightmare if not for today's live betting. I will bounce back.

Live CBB:
Duquesne 1H ML +190, WIN
St. Joe's +6', LOSS
North Texas ML +350, LOSS
Clemson +11', WIN
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Old 11-25-2019, 10:46 AM   #417
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Northeastern -2 v. S. Alabama (Gulf Coast Showcase-Estero, FL), LOSS
Dayton -2' v. Georgia (Maui), WIN
Bradley -2 v. Northwestern (Fort Myers Tip-off), LOSS
Virginia Tech +11 v. Mich. St. (Maui), WIN
Illinois St. ML -120 v. Grand Canyon (Virgin Islands), LOSS
Bowling Green -2 v. Nevada (Virgin Islands), LOSS
Added: Florida St. -40 v. Chicago St., WIN

CBB season singles total: 27-35

Also going to hit the Ravens tonight... 1H -1.5 WIN, game for -4 WIN, and alt. spread at -12' for +250, WIN. Rams haven't had a good win all year... closest they got was beating the Saints but that was the game Brees got hurt. Maybe today changes that, but it would be pretty out of the blue.
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Old 11-26-2019, 09:55 AM   #418
Lathum
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Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
I can get Bama 25-1 to win the title. As long as they get in I can guarantee a profit by hedging against them.

Here is how I see it. UGA will lose in the SEC title game to LSU and that will eliminate them leaving LSU, Clemson, and tOSU. I say the odds of tOSU getting bounced is slim. Zero chance Clemson gets bounced. Lets assume Bama beats Auburn.

That leaves one spot between Bama, Oklahoma, and Utah. Lets say everyone wins out, does the committee take a one loss Bama who didn't even play in their title game, or OK/Utah who won their conference tournament.

I'm thinking the $100 is worth it. If they make it I lock in a profit, if they don't it cost me $100 to not have to see Bama in the playoffs.

Would love some input on this.
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Old 11-26-2019, 11:12 AM   #419
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Go for it. I think there is a decent chance they lose to Auburn though. But I agree that if they win, they're in if LSU beats Georgia.
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Old 11-26-2019, 12:27 PM   #420
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
UEFA Champions League:

All for 0.6u bet or to win:

Spurs / Man City / Bayern Munich -133, LOSS
Lokomotiv Moscow ML +290 v. Bayer Leverkusen, LOSS
Galatasaray / Club Brugge U2.5, EVEN, WIN
Real Madrid / Paris SG U3.5, LOSS
Dinamo Zagreb +0.75 (half at +0.5, half at +1), +115, LOSS

Parlay at +287, LOSS
Dinamo Zagreb TT O0.5 / Juventus-Atl. Madrid O1.5 / Man City -1.5 / Spurs TT O1.5

Live: Galatasaray / Club Brugge U3.5, -155 to win 1u, WIN

Small bets tailing some other CBB folks since I can't pick a game to save my life. Largest bet is like 0.5u... going to get this narrowed down in future so as not to take 15 bets a day and get to a couple with high confidence. Still figuring it out!

BYU +10, LOSS
Richmond +9', LOSS
Belmont 1H -3, LOSS
S. Alabama -1', WIN
Michigan St. 1H -7', WIN
Loyola-Chi -4, LOSS
Ball St. -16', LOSS then bet Ball St. ML +115 down 11 at halftime, LOSS
Ariz. St./Princeton U142', WIN
ETSU -11', also App. St./ETSU U134', LOSS / LOSS
Wichita St. -3, WIN
No. Colo. / Boston U128', also No. Co. ML -115, LOSS, WIN
Colgate -1', WIN
DePaul -12, WIN
Portland St. -5', WIN
Murray St. / Weber St. O127', WIN
USF / NMSU O122, LOSS
WVU / UNI U127 and UNI +6, WIN, WIN
Bryant ML -115, LOSS
Mt. St. Mary's +2, WIN

12-11, with all the juice down on the day. We'll narrow it down on Wednesday.
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Old 11-27-2019, 08:35 AM   #421
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
UEFA Champions League:

Genk / Salzburg O3.5, WIN
Inter ML +140 @ Slavia Prague, WIN
RB Leipzig -1.5, +120 v. Benfica, LOSS
RB Leipzig TT O4, +700, LOSS

CBB:

Mississippi Valley +20', LOSS
Southern Miss +24', LOSS
Drake -2, WIN
CS Fullerton -3', WIN
Portland St. +8, LOSS
S. Dakota St. -3, WIN
St. Louis +3, WIN
UNC -9, PUSH
SCar Under 126', LOSS
Dayton +4', LOSS
Weber State +5', LOSS
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Old 11-27-2019, 04:36 PM   #422
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
NBA:
SAC +9.5 WIN
POR -2.5 WIN

CBB Parlay (.25u): LOSE
Oregon ML WIN
Virginia Tech ML LOSE
OK St ML WIN
W. Virginia ML WIN
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Old 11-28-2019, 11:16 AM   #423
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
NFL:
DET +6 WIN

CBB:
UNC -3.5 LOSE
Texas Tech -7.5 LOSE
San Diego St -3 WIN

4-Team Parlay + Round Robin (1.25u to win 6.5u)
Iowa State ML LOSE
Wake Forest ML WIN
Gonzaga ML WIN
Texas A&M ML WIN

CFB:
Mississippi St. -2.5 LOSE brutal final drive of the game
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Last edited by kingfc22 : 11-29-2019 at 12:03 PM.
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Old 11-29-2019, 12:04 PM   #424
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
CBB:
Michigan +4.5 WIN
Texas A&M +4 LOSE
DePaul +4 WIN
USC +4.5 LOSE
Penn State -2.5 WIN
San Diego St -3 WIN
VCU +3 PUSH
Utah State +3 LOSE

NBA:
MIL -11 LOSE
GSW +11.5 LOSE
OKC -4 WIN
MEM +7 LOSE
SAS +7 WIN
LAL -11.5 WIN

CFB:
New Mexico +11 LOSE
UAB -3 WIN
Nevada -6.5 LOSE

NFL:
CIN +3 WIN
PHI -9.5 LOSE
GB -6.5 WIN
KC -10 WIN
NE -3 LOSE

NFL 5-Team ML Parlay + Round Robin (1.5u to win 29.4u):
LAC LOSE
ARZ LOSE
PIT WIN
CIN WIN
SF LOSE
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Old 11-30-2019, 10:45 AM   #425
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
A wise person told me that this is one of the worst weeks of the year for recreational bettors. I guess I'm testing that theory out today.

CBB:
Fresno St. -7, LOSS
Oakland +12, WIN
UNC-Greensboro +7, WIN
Idaho +12', LOSS

CFB:
Took a bunch of Clemson lines, 1H -16, WIN, 1H O27.5, LOSS, full game at -25', WIN and -28, WIN

UK / L'Ville U52, LOSS
Indiana / Purdue U56, LOSS
LSU TT O38', WIN

Ohio St. -9, WIN
SMU -3, WIN
Minny +3, LOSS
Notre Dame -17, WIN

Small singles, parlay, and round robins on:
  • Appalachian State -16.5 (+130), WIN
  • Clemson -34.5 (+240), WIN
  • Georgia -34.5 (+200), WIN
  • Temple -34.5 (+200), LOSS
  • Miami Florida -13.5 (+140), LOSS
  • Notre Dame -20.5 (+150), WIN
  • North Carolina -13.5 (+150), WIN

AND these first half lines:
  • Missouri -9.5 (+130), LOSS
  • Clemson -17 (+120), WIN
  • Temple -18.5 (+125), LOSS
  • Notre Dame -10.5 (+130), LOSS
  • North Carolina -6.5 (+105), LOSS
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Old 11-30-2019, 11:25 AM   #426
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
CBB:
Ark Little Rock +4.5 WIN
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Last edited by kingfc22 : 11-30-2019 at 11:28 PM.
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Old 12-01-2019, 11:47 AM   #427
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Good day at college football yesterday.

Hopefully not giving half of it back on NFL today.

CBB:
Montana +11, WIN
Tulane -14, WIN
FAU -6, LOSS
Loyola Marymount PK, WIN
Jackson St. +12, LOSS

NFL:

ML parlay, LOSS
Packers / Eagles / Panthers -115

Half unit each, then small parlay at +1300:
TEN ML EVEN, WIN
CIN ML +140, WIN
TB ML -150, WIN
CLE ML -135 (for full unit), LOSS


7 pt. Teaser +450, LOSS
  • Green Bay Packers PK
  • Philadelphia Eagles -3.5
  • Carolina Panthers -3.5
  • Over 39.5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Under 47 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Over 38 - San Francisco 49ers @ Baltimore Ravens

10 pt. Teaser +110, LOSS
  • Arizona Cardinals +13
  • Over 27.5 Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos
  • Over 39 Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs
  • Kansas City Chiefs -1
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Old 12-01-2019, 12:07 PM   #428
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
Added NFL:
NE/HOU o46.5 WIN

CBB:
USC -1.5 WIN
Temple -2 WIN
Maryland -3.5 WIN

NBA:
TOR -2 WIN
BOS -7 WIN
GSW +8.5 WIN
MEM +11.5 WIN
WAS +12 LOSE
LAL -6 LOSE
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Old 12-02-2019, 06:27 AM   #429
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Quote:
Originally Posted by kingfc22 View Post
Added NFL:
NE/HOU o46.5 WIN

CBB:
USC -1.5 WIN
Temple -2 WIN
Maryland -3.5 WIN

NBA:
TOR -2 WIN
BOS -7 WIN
GSW +8.5 WIN
MEM +11.5 WIN
WAS +12
LAL -6 LOSE

Nice day. I got Houston ML last night for +165 to go slightly positive for the day. Gotta stop playing the teasers, really. That's my takeaway from yesterday.
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Old 12-02-2019, 09:02 AM   #430
Lathum
Favored Bitch #1
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
Got totally shitfaced last night. Went to dinner with friends. Drank a bunch of red wine. came home and drank almost a bottle of titos. Started playing three card poker online with live dealer. Got a little juice and started upping my bets. Ran 200 up to 2K. They go until 3 AM. Last hand of the night I double my bets. They deal my hand. A of diamonds, K of diamonds, q of diamonds. Last hand of the night win 6K. Worth staying up until 3AM for.
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Old 12-02-2019, 12:35 PM   #431
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
Let's see if we can keep the hot hand going:

NBA:
UT/PHI o208.5 LOSE
GSW/ATL o223 LOSE
NY/MIL o220.5 LOSE
PHX -4.5 WIN
CHI +5.5 WIN

CBB:
Clemson +3 LOSE
South Florida +4 WIN

CBB ML Parlay (.25u to win 1.85u): LOSE
Clemson LOSE
South Florida WIN
Washington WIN
Illinois LOSE
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Old 12-02-2019, 04:11 PM   #432
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CBB:

S. Dakota +13, LOSS
Stony Brook -5', WIN
FAMU +25', WIN
Navy +3', LOSS
N. Florida -15, WIN
Illinois -8, LOSS
Elon -6', WIN
Furman -3, LOSS

Also put in a future before the weekend of Clemson winning national title at +300. OSU is +150, and LSU/Clemson are now same odds at +250.
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Old 12-03-2019, 07:19 AM   #433
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Lost a lot of juice yesterday, going 4-4. Also missed on 2 in game bets, and hit on 2 others, so treading water.

CBB:

George Mason -8', LOSS
Boston Coll. -2, LOSS
Butler +1', WIN
Creighton -13, LOSS
Incarnate Word +17, LOSS
Illinois St. +14 for half unit, WIN
Missouri St.-4' for half unit, LOSS
Michigan -2, +265 for half unit, LOSS

Also going to take Dayton team total if it is under 100. Houston Baptist is #1 in tempo, and #337 in defensive efficiency. They have played 3 teams in the top-50 in offensive efficiency (Texas Tech, Michigan, Houston) who have scored 103, 111, and 112. Dayton is #5 in off. eff., the best offense they've faced so far. The only drawback is Dayton is playing it's first game as a ranked team in 4 years and first game since a very good Maui showing, which are usually negative performance indicators. Right now, spread and O/U indicate that Dayton TT should be around 97.5 when released.

Edit: Got Dayton TT at Over 97, WIN
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Old 12-03-2019, 08:19 PM   #434
Lathum
Favored Bitch #1
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
Excellent call on Dayton. Coasted to the first half over 78.
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Old 12-03-2019, 11:01 PM   #435
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lathum View Post
Excellent call on Dayton. Coasted to the first half over 78.

Glad you got the first half. Dayton got to 93 with 5 minutes left and it took a walk on dunk with 5 seconds left to squeak them to 99 total points. Quite a sweat.
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Old 12-04-2019, 03:08 PM   #436
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Starting my CBB record from yesterday, as I haven't really been tracking up to now.

CBB, 3-6, -2.54u
Bets to win half unit unless noted

Followed plays
Notre Dame +9' for 1u, LOSS
NC State -5' for 1u, WIN
Oklahoma St. -11 for 1u, LOSS
UNC Central +22' for 1u, LOSS
UMKC +18' for 1u, WIN

Akron -3, WIN
Yale -5 for 1u, WIN
Portland -5 for 1u, LOSS

Follow record: 4-4, -0.9u

My own plays

St. Francis PA -5. WIN
Loyola Marymount +17, WIN
Western Illinois +11', WIN
Ohio St. +3', WIN
N. Alabama +1, LOSS
Robert Morris +7', LOSS
Florida Atlantic -4', LOSS
San Jose St. +23, WIN
Florida Int'l -12', WIN
San Diego St. -5', WIN
Delaware St. +14', WIN
Idaho +14, WIN
FAMU +30, WIN

Georgetown / Okie St. O145, WIN

Iona +13, LOSS
Cleveland St. +13, LOSS
Green Bay +17, WIN
Texas St. +12', WIN

Own record: 13-5,+3.75u

Record: 17-9
Gain / Loss: +2.85u


As usual, that's too many games. We'll see what happens as the bets are already in.

26 games. Jesus. I separated them by system/follower. If I do this again, it'll be on paper and not with actual bets. But once I started betting, as they say, you have to bet the whole system or it doesn't work. I feel good about avoiding the 0-26.

In game:
NCSU / Wisc 1H U52, LOSS
DePaul -1', WIN
NCSU / UVU / SDSU parlay +135, 1u to win 1.35u, LOSS
Above with Houston and UNC, +335, 0.6u to win 2u, LOSS
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Last edited by Butter : 12-05-2019 at 08:06 AM.
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Old 12-04-2019, 06:40 PM   #437
Lathum
Favored Bitch #1
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
The first half total in the Virginia -Purdue game is 48 and the game total is 102. Thats insane.
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Old 12-05-2019, 07:58 AM   #438
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
Kenpom posted this about this year's UVa team, and yesterday's UVa / Purdue game (which went over by almost 10 points).

No game should be expected to have less than 100 points | The kenpom.com blog

Then Bart Torvik, who's website is the source of one my systems (the one that went 11-3 yesterday) posted this on Twitter:

Bart T🏀rvik on Twitter: "After reading this Kenpom blog post, I looked up what would be the lowest scoring projected game of all the games in my database (using end of season numbers). https://t.co/OYfQA0xNQE"
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Old 12-05-2019, 08:25 AM   #439
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CBB

Own record: 13-5, +3.75u
Followed plays: 7-10, -3.44u


Own plays Tonight: 2-3, -1.3u
Northern Illinois +15, WIN
St Francis +3.5, WIN
SEMO +4, LOSS

Abilene Christian / SEMO U135, LOSS
St Francis / Hartford U137, LOSS

Followed plays Tonight: 0-2, -0.6u
Oklahoma -6, LOSS
Elon / High Point U131.5, LOSS in OT

EPL:

As a pure fade of Arsenal:

Brighton (Draw No Bet) +315 for half unit, WIN

Sheff. Utd. OR Newcastle to win by score of 1-0, 2-0, or 2-1. +115 odds if Sheff Utd. wins, +225 odds if Newcastle wins on total outlay of 0.6u., WIN at +225
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Last edited by Butter : 12-06-2019 at 07:12 AM.
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Old 12-05-2019, 05:39 PM   #440
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
CBB:
Furman/Auburn u148 LOSE

NFL:
CHI +3 WIN
DAL/CHI o43 WIN
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Last edited by kingfc22 : 12-06-2019 at 11:25 AM.
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Old 12-05-2019, 09:01 PM   #441
Lathum
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Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
Just lucked my way into the first quarter under 7.5 and doubling down on the second quarter over 12.5. Both teams moving the ball well.
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Old 12-05-2019, 09:43 PM   #442
Lathum
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Location: homeless in NJ
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lathum View Post
Just lucked my way into the first quarter under 7.5 and doubling down on the second quarter over 12.5. Both teams moving the ball well.

Thought it may not get there
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Old 12-05-2019, 10:43 PM   #443
Lathum
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Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
MAn I find creative ways to lose.

Had 3rd quarter over 7.5 in the Cowboys game. Bears score to put it at 7. Cowboys have the ball down 17 with 90 seconds left in the quarter and run three straight times up the middle and let the quarter run out. Any incomplete pass and I get a crack at it, any completed pass likely a TD, and how about some urgency down 17?

Here is the better one. Parlay in game with the under 237.5 in the rockets game, which had already got there, and the under 261.5 in the Pels game. Pels outscore the suns by 18 in the 4th and the game ends 125-125 and I lose in OT. So Gross.
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Old 12-05-2019, 10:58 PM   #444
kingfc22
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
OT in the Furman game is likely going to kill my under and 3-0 night
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Old 12-06-2019, 08:40 AM   #445
Butter
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
I've been restricted on Bovada, so some of my units are lower because that is the max I can bet right now... I am looking into moving out of there, but in the meantime, I'm still playing as much as they'll let me, which is only 20 dollars on certain games, but up to 200 on others. It makes no sense.

The reason why I was restricted is a story for another time, after I get money out of there. Unit sizing listed if other than 1 unit.

CBB

System record: 15-8, +2.45u
Followed plays: 7-12, -4.04u


Own plays Tonight: 2-4, -3.18u
Alabama -10', 0.8u. LOSS
Pepperdine -14, LOSS
Tennessee St. -21, LOSS

Pepperdine / Idaho St. O147', LOSS
SFA / Alabama U160, 0.4u, WIN
MVSU / MOSU O139', 0.4u, WIN

Followed plays: Tonight: 2-1, +1.12u
Rhode Island -2', WIN
Louisville -14, WIN
Bryant -2', 0.8u, LOSS
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Last edited by Butter : 12-06-2019 at 11:02 PM.
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Old 12-06-2019, 08:56 AM   #446
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CFB

LSU -7, WIN
App St. -6 WIN
Boise St. TT O38.5, LOSS
Clemson 1H -17, WIN

Parlay +590, LOSS
App St -9' / Clemson -34'

1u each and 1.95u total on round-robins and parlays on below:
Baylor +3', +180, LOSS
Utah -13', +200, LOSS
App St -9', +150, LOSS
LSU -13', +175, WIN
Clemson -34', +175, WIN

Added 1/2 unit on Cincy ML +265, LOSS
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Last edited by Butter : 12-07-2019 at 10:58 PM.
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Old 12-06-2019, 11:26 AM   #447
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
NBA:
DEN/BOS o205 LOSE
BOS -3.5 WIN

CFB:
Utah -6.5 LOSE

CBB:
VT +7 LOSE
Rhode Island +2 WIN
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Last edited by kingfc22 : 12-07-2019 at 12:13 PM.
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Old 12-06-2019, 12:12 PM   #448
Arles
Grey Dog Software
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Phoenix, AZ by way of Belleville, IL
CBB:
Providence -1.5

CFB:
Oregon +7 (just got it at -115 off shore)
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Old 12-07-2019, 12:15 PM   #449
kingfc22
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
CBB:
Nevada -3 WIN
New Mexico St -3.5 LOSE
Indiana -1 LOSE
Arkansas -1.5 LOSE
Temple -3 LOSE
E. Tenn St -4.5 LOSE
Georgetown +4 WIN
Colorado/Kansas u138.5 WIN

CFB Round Robin (1u total to win 4.53u):
Boise State -16 WIN
Ohio State -16.5 LOSE
Clemson -30.5 WIN
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Last edited by kingfc22 : 12-08-2019 at 10:58 AM.
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Old 12-07-2019, 12:21 PM   #450
Butter
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
CBB

All bets are for 1/2 unit unless listed.

System record: 17-12, -0.73u
Followed plays: 9-13, -2.92u


Own plays Today: 11-7, +1.47u
Detroit +3', LOSS
S. Carolina St. -1', WIN
Towson +8', LOSS
Pacific +1', WIN
Arizona St. -16', LOSS
N. Florida +3', LOSS
Gardner Webb +7', WIN
Chas. So. -4, WIN
Alabama A&M +9', WIN
Ark. Pine Bluff +26, WIN
Robert Morris +3, WIN
Colorado +10', LOSS


All total bets for 0.4u unless listed:
FIU / Kennesaw St. O142, WIN
Bethune Cookman / Jacksonville U134, LOSS
G'town / SMU O141, WIN
Jax St. / Alabama A&M U138, WIN
Robert Morris / FGCU U128, WIN
Ark Pine-Bluff / UTEP O122', LOSS


Followed plays: Today: 5-1, +2.52u
St. Francis PA ML -125 for 0.4u, WIN
Butler -2 1H for 0.8u, WIN
Temple -3 for 0.8u, LOSS
Coastal Carolina +6 for 0.6u, WIN
Georgetown +4 for 0.6u, WIN
Nevada -3' for 1u, WIN
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