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Old 03-05-2012, 01:37 PM   #251
Breeze
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Event 4 - High Jump - Event Results

Code:
Nielsen - 7' 3" Ginsberg - 6' 11" Rambis - 6' 11" Justice - 6' 11" McGillicuddy - 6' 11" Ashkayev - 6' 11" Gunderson - 6' 11" Gonzalez - 6' 11" Llyw - 6' 10" Bafou - 6' 10" Babson - 6' 10" McCloud - 6' 9"
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Old 03-05-2012, 01:37 PM   #252
Coffee Warlord
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Was really hoping I could nail that 7'5" and get a big point swing. Should score well in any case.
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Old 03-05-2012, 01:39 PM   #253
Breeze
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Event 4 - High Jump - Event Points


Code:
Nielsen - 1002 Ginsberg - 906 Rambis - 906 Justice - 906 McGillicuddy - 906 Ashkayev - 906 Gunderson - 906 Gonzalez - 906 Llyw - 878 Bafou - 878 Babson - 878 McCloud - 859
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Old 03-05-2012, 01:42 PM   #254
Breeze
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Overall Standings - After 4 Events


Code:
Babson - 3808 McCloud - 3651 Nielsen - 3618 Rambus - 3535 Llyw - 3528 McGillicuddy - 3512 Ginsberg - 3495 Gunderson - 3494 Justice - 3476 Bafou - 3470 Gonzalez - 3406 Ashkayev - 3368

Last edited by Breeze : 03-05-2012 at 02:32 PM.
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Old 03-05-2012, 02:16 PM   #255
Breeze
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Event 4 - High Jump - Review

With 10 of the 12 competitors all posting jumps of 6' 10" or 11" there was very little juggling in the standings. The only competitor that really made a move was Nielsen who used his result to go from 5th overall to 3rd. Because Babson finished towards the bottom of this event the field did make up some ground on him. There is only 1 event left in day 1 and it happens to be one that Babson is extremely poor in...so the standings could be very tight going into day 2...

Last edited by Breeze : 03-05-2012 at 02:17 PM.
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Old 03-05-2012, 02:29 PM   #256
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... what a crappy event. I move we never do it again.

But on the other hand, I'm glad it didn't hurt me that much scorewise. Did "good enough"
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Old 03-05-2012, 02:31 PM   #257
Breeze
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Event 5 - 400 Meters - Preview

Unlike the previous event where the results were bunched and movement on the leaderboard was minimal, this event could have significant impact on the overall standings. The ability levels here are widely varried...

The following players are typically strong in this event...

Ginsberg
Bafou
McGillicuddy
Ashkayev
Gonzalez


with Ginsberg being the best of that group...

The following players are expected to struggle...

Babson
McCloud
Nielsen
Rambis
Justice
Gunderson


With Babson potentially needing to stop of oxygen at about the 200 Meter mark...
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Old 03-05-2012, 02:44 PM   #258
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Dammit, can't the running events be held in spurts of 7 foot vertical jumps?
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Old 03-05-2012, 02:51 PM   #259
CrimsonFox
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coffee Warlord View Post
Dammit, can't the running events be held in spurts of 7 foot vertical jumps?


Ha!

I'm not sure why I"m not a favorite since I have speed and explosion to burn. It's not THAT long.

Maybe if we allowed rest breaks every 100 feet
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Old 03-05-2012, 03:00 PM   #260
JAG
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No no, Babson can make it 250m before the paramedics will be called.
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Old 03-05-2012, 03:20 PM   #261
DavidCorperial
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I'd bet on 325m before he collapses.
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Old 03-05-2012, 10:20 PM   #262
kingfc22
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Time to make a move to better my position on Day 2.
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Old 03-05-2012, 11:18 PM   #263
ntndeacon
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It is time to get out of LAST!!!
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Old 03-06-2012, 08:22 AM   #264
Breeze
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Event 5 - 400 Meters


The runners are all on the infield, warming up and stretching waiting on the official to announce the start of the race...which will happen shortly. We come into the last event of day 1 with Babson riding his strong performance on the 1st 3 events to a big lead. However, it is well known that this is a terrible event for him, and it will be interesting to see how much ground the field can make up here...

The official has the athletes at the line and the gun sounds...


Ginsberg is out quickly, jumping in front of the pack so as not to get caught up in the fight for position...Llyw tucks in behind him, with McGiillicuddy on his outside hip and Ashkayev right behind. Gonzalez is a few feet back followed by Bafou and Justice...Rambis and Nielsen are a little off their pace, but way behind the leaders...and then there is already a pretty good gap to the remainder of the runners...who are well off the pace. In fact, in the first 100 it looks like the bottom 3 are around a full second behind Ginsberg already.

Ginsberg looks to separate himself from his tails and picks up his effort...and he starts to pull way. Ashkayev, makes a move as well, passing both Llyw and McGillicuddy to move into second. Llyw hangs on to 3rd, but McGillicuddy has fallen off the pace and he's been passed by both Bafou and Justice who had nice 2nd 100 splits. In the back of this event Babson trails the 11th place competitor McCloud by almost a full second, and we are only half way through the event...

Ginsberg continues his domination, posting for the 3rd straight split the fastest 100 meter time...and he opens a commanding lead of over a half second over Ashkayev who has a nice gap on 3rd place runner Bafou - who seems to be benefitting from all the running up and down the court in basketball...

The remainder of the pack looks like this...

Llwy - poor 3rd split has him falling back, can he hold on in the last 100?
Justice - fell into Llwy's pace in the 3rd 100 and wasn't able to pass
Gonzalez - picked up his pace and has crept into a stride for stride run on the outside hip of Justice
McGillicuddy - suffered another bad split, and maybe he went out too fast initially, half a stride behind those in front of him..
Rambis - followed McGillicuddy's pace
Nielsen - closed up slightly on those ahead of him
McCloud - picked up his pace and has caught Gunderson as they are now running stride for stride
Babson - Way off the pace...of 11th...over a full second behind and it is starting to look like he is moving a refridgerator as he tries to complete the final 100...(actually by the time you've read this the race is probably already over...)

Ginsberg posts another strong split and contines to pull away from the group...winning the event in an impressive time of 46.55. Bafou and Llyw have strong kicks at the end and they close the gap on Ashkayev, but he still beats them to the line...

Ashkayev - 47.85
Bafou - 48.10
Llyw - 48.15


Gonzalez kept up his strong effort from the 3rd split to push himself into 5th place, and McGillicuddy hopped on his heals and followed him to the line to finish 6th...Rambis continued to stay in McGillicuddy's pace and was able to slip past Justice who really finished poorly...

Gonzalez - 48.45
McGillicuddy - 48.5
Rambis - 48.65
Justice - 48.8


In the back of the pack Nielsen and Gunderson increase there effort enough to finish ahead of McCloud...and of course Babson, who will finish eventuallly...

Nielsen - 49.25
Gunderson - 49.55
Babson - 51.20

Last edited by Breeze : 03-06-2012 at 08:55 AM. Reason: Cause I really need to proof read better!!!
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Old 03-06-2012, 08:28 AM   #265
Coffee Warlord
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I'm so awesome I finished 3 times?
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Old 03-06-2012, 08:50 AM   #266
Breeze
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coffee Warlord View Post
I'm so awesome I finished 3 times?

Corrected my cut and paste error...just in case CWs post confuses anyone...
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Old 03-06-2012, 09:13 AM   #267
kingfc22
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Another mid pack finish. Going to need a strong day 2.
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Old 03-06-2012, 09:34 AM   #268
JAG
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Babson: "The race was rigged! I was told this was a 400, how was I supposed to know they meant meters and not feet? Other than that, I blame German food for my performance. That stuff is really heavy."
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Old 03-06-2012, 09:42 AM   #269
Breeze
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Event 5 - 400 Meters - Event Points

Code:
Ginsberg - 981 Ashkayev - 916 Bafou - 904 Llyw - 902 Gonzalez - 887 McGillicuddy - 885 Rambis - 877 Justice - 871 Nielsen - 849 Gunderson - 835 McCloud - 822 Babson - 760

Last edited by Breeze : 03-06-2012 at 10:19 AM. Reason: Corrected for transcribe error
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Old 03-06-2012, 09:57 AM   #270
Simbo Klice
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Hey, I think Rambis was over-credited. Gonzalez and McGillicutty both finished ahead but got less points.
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Old 03-06-2012, 10:05 AM   #271
Breeze
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Simbo Klice View Post
Hey, I think Rambis was over-credited. Gonzalez and McGillicutty both finished ahead but got less points.

possible I transcribed wrong. i'll double check...
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Old 03-06-2012, 10:09 AM   #272
Breeze
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Breeze View Post
Event 5 - 400 Meters - Event Points

Code:
Ginsberg - 981 Ashkayev - 916 Bafou - 904 Llyw - 902 Gonzalez - 887 McGillicuddy - 885 Rambis - 877 Justice - 871 Nielsen - 849 Gunderson - 835 McCloud - 822 Babson - 760


Corrected...thanks Klice...
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Old 03-06-2012, 10:22 AM   #273
Breeze
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Overall Standings

Code:
Babson - 4568 Ginsberg - 4476 McCloud - 4473 Nielsen - 4467 Llyw - 4430 Rambis - 4412 McGillicuddy - 4397 Bafou - 4374 Justice - 4347 Gunderson - 4329 Gonzalez - 4293 Ashkayev - 4284

Last edited by Breeze : 03-06-2012 at 10:25 AM.
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Old 03-06-2012, 10:28 AM   #274
Simbo Klice
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Originally Posted by Breeze View Post
Corrected...thanks Klice...

Hey, whatever I can do to knock myself a place at the end of day 1.
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Old 03-06-2012, 10:44 AM   #275
DavidCorperial
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Sweet, a huge performance to run up the leader board there.
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Old 03-06-2012, 10:54 AM   #276
larrymcg421
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Ugh, very disappointing finish in the 400.
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Old 03-06-2012, 10:55 AM   #277
Breeze
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Event 5 - 400 Meters - Review


This event went pretty much as expected...Ginsberg was great and Babson was awful...which allowed some reeling in by the pack on the leader at the end of day 1. Babson went from an over 150 point lead to around a 90 point lead. Ginsberg jumped from 7th to 2nd with his impressive sprint. Llwy can also probably be considered a winner in this event. He was the only C rated competitor out of the 12 and he finished 4th, meaning he beat several B rated competitors.

Last edited by Breeze : 03-06-2012 at 10:55 AM.
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:15 AM   #278
chesapeake
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Had Llyw not fallen so far below expectations in the shot put, he may have finished day 1 in a medal position. Still, I can't complain too much as I think he should be a better day 2 competitor.
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:21 AM   #279
Breeze
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Day 2 - Preview


Before we get down into specific events, I thought I'd take a minute to preview the entire second day. Events in the 2nd day include:

Hurdles
Discus
Pole Vault
Javelin
1500 Meters

And a lot like the first day, Babson is going to be strong in several of the early events, but he'll still have endurance issues that will impact him at the end of the day and if you thought he was bad in the 400, wait for the 1500...

Ginsberg is considered really strong at the beginning of day 2 and the end of day 2, but he's going to suffer with the 2 throwing events...

McCloud will be good until the 1500...then like Babson he'll need to hold on for dear life...

Nielsen will be solid in the field events, like high jump could make a big move in the Pole Vault then will need to over achieve in the 1500...

Llyw should be about as steady as any competitor on day 2, question will be if he can continue to over perform like he did a couple of times in day 1. If he can he could not only end up on the podium, but could be on top...

Rambis is similar to Llyw but with slightly better upside and a little bigger downside possibilities...if the risk/reward works out he could be a factor down the stretch

McGillicuddy - if he can survive the 2 throws and keep the leaders within sight, he could challenge to be on the podium.

Bafou - the field events and the pole vault will probably doom any chances he has of getting a medal.

Justice might be the most consistent performer in day 2 and could make a big move with some good rolls.

Gunderson - needs big results in the 2 throws and some favorable rolls in events where he is an underdog to make any noise

Gonzalez - going to be hard pressed to move up the leaderboard

AshKayev - after his great start it has really been down hill...the throws and pole vault will hurt any chances of moving up very high, but he could climb serveral places with a strong Day 2...

As you can see from the leaderboard, even the bottom competitors aren't that far out of medal position. So a few fortunate rolls or a couple poor results by currently leaders will cause a serious shake up on the leaderboard. Also injuries are still a potential game changer...it will be interesting to see if they will have an impact on the results before all is said and done?

Last edited by Breeze : 03-06-2012 at 11:24 AM.
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:37 AM   #280
Breeze
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Event 6 - Hurdles - Preview


Two of the favorites in this event are 2 of the leaders on the board...Babson and Ginsberg. McCloud is also expected to do well as is McGillicuddy. There aren't any real terrible performers here, but underdogs would include Rambis, Gunderson and Gonzalez...
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:51 AM   #281
Breeze
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Event 6 - Hurdles - Heat 1


The first heat will be the fast one...with Babson, Ginsberg, and McCloud all lined up next to each other...The rest of the heat contains Llyw, Rambis and Nielsen...

The comptetors take the marks...the gun fires and Babson is out quickly already opening a lead with Ginsberg and surprisingly Llyw on his heals...McCloud got a terrible start and is trying despirately to catch up....at the halfway point Babson still leads, BUT WAIT, he's clipped a hurdle...he's off balance...stumbling...he's able to stay up but he's lost a lot of ground. Llyw, completely focused on his effort has taken over the lead as Ginsberg is a stride back and McCloud is continuing to clse. Rambis and Nielsen have done a nice job holding off the charging McCloud...

We come to the tape and surprise it is Llyw that wins the heat...followed by Ginsberg and Nielsen who perfectly negotiated the final 5 hurdles to really carry some speed to the line. McCloud and Rambis finish together and finally Babson crosses - a very disappointing result for the overall leader....

Official times will be posted shortly

Last edited by Breeze : 03-06-2012 at 11:53 AM.
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:54 AM   #282
chesapeake
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Woohoo!
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Old 03-06-2012, 12:00 PM   #283
Breeze
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Event 6 - Hurdles - Heat 1 - Official Results

The official times are in...

Code:
Llyw - 13.90 (yes this is once again a Max Out) Ginsberg - 14.20 Nielsen - 14.20 McCloud - 14.30 Rambis - 14.30 Babson - 14.60

Last edited by Breeze : 03-06-2012 at 12:01 PM.
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Old 03-06-2012, 12:11 PM   #284
Breeze
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Event 6 - Hurdles - Heat 2

McGillicuddy should be a heavy favorite in this heat, but judging from the results in the first heat, he might not want that pressure...

The runners take their marks and - BANG!...there they go...

Unlike the last event where Babson, Llyw and Ginsberg were out quick, this heat everyone is bunched up tight...in fact it is so tight early it is hard to tell who is leading...

At the half way point, McGillicuddy has edged ahead, but just barely. surprisingly it looks like Gonzalez is next followed by Bafou...Justice and Gunderson have lost their rythem and are chop stepping through each hurdle costing themselve a bunch of time...

The runners approach the tape and McGillicuddy does win his heat...but he's only able to out nose a charging Bafou who really hit is stride in the back half. Gonzalez held off Ashkayev for 3rd and Gunderson and Justice bring up the rear with very disappointing efforts...

Last edited by Breeze : 03-06-2012 at 12:12 PM.
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Old 03-06-2012, 12:16 PM   #285
Breeze
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Event 6 - Hurdles - Heat 2 - Official Results

The official times are in...

Code:
McGillicuddy - 14.25 Bafou - 14.30 Gonzalez - 14.35 Ashkayev - 14.40 Gunderson - 14.80 Justice - 14.80
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Old 03-06-2012, 12:18 PM   #286
Coffee Warlord
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Tied for second in a race? I'll happily take that.
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Old 03-06-2012, 12:36 PM   #287
Breeze
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Event 6 - Hurdles - Official Results

Code:
Llyw - 13.90 Ginsberg - 14.20 Nielsen - 14.20 McGillicuddy - 14.25 McCloud - 14.30 Rambis - 14.30 Bafou - 14.30 Gonzalez - 14.35 Ashkayev - 14.40 Babson - 14.60 Gunderson - 14.80 Justice - 14.80
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Old 03-06-2012, 01:48 PM   #288
Breeze
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Location: Northern Suburbs of ATL
Event 6 - Hurdles - Event Points

Code:
Llyw - 987 Ginsberg - 949 Nielsen - 949 McGillicuddy - 942 McCloud - 936 Rambus - 936 Bafou - 936 Gonzalez - 930 Ashkayev - 924 Babson - 899 Justice - 874 Gunderson - 874
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Old 03-06-2012, 02:08 PM   #289
Breeze
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Overall Standings

Code:
Babson - 5467 Ginsberg - 5425 Llyw - 5417 Nielsen - 5416 McCloud - 5409 Rambus - 5348 McGillicuddy - 5339 Bafou - 5310 Gonzalez - 5223 Justice - 5221 Ashkayev - 5208 Gunderson - 5203

Last edited by Breeze : 03-06-2012 at 02:29 PM.
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Old 03-06-2012, 02:28 PM   #290
CrimsonFox
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man this sucks.
tanking tanking tanking
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Old 03-06-2012, 02:28 PM   #291
Breeze
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Overall Standings - Review


Babson's stumble in the hurdles has really changed the outlook of this competition. He now leads by only 42 points and the top 5 competitors are only separated by 58 points. This is a whole new ballgame now. In fact, Gunderson in 12th is closer to the leader than 3rd place was back at event 3. With 4 more events left there is still a lot to be decided...

Next up Discus...
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Old 03-06-2012, 02:33 PM   #292
Breeze
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Event 7 - Discus - Game Mechanics

Discus works just like long jump and shot put from day 1. You have the 3 columns to choose from for you attempt - Safe, Average, Allout.

I will be posting your card reviews tomorrow and we'll start the next event...
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Old 03-06-2012, 02:33 PM   #293
larrymcg421
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I'm not in a good spot with two throwing events left. Will need a really good pole vault score to be close enough for the 1500.
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Old 03-06-2012, 02:35 PM   #294
Breeze
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EVENT 7 - DISCUS - Result Specifics

Chances of Occurance

Conservative
Fouls - 0%
Injuries - 0%

Normal
Fouls - 16.66%
Injuries - 1.38%

Aggressive
Fouls - 41.67%
Injuries - 2.78%

Last edited by Breeze : 03-06-2012 at 02:36 PM.
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Old 03-06-2012, 03:28 PM   #295
CrimsonFox
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I was banking on hurdles being one of my big event but drat...hope my strength can do SOMETHING in the discus
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Old 03-06-2012, 03:32 PM   #296
ntndeacon
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I just got outta last. I am afraid that soon Iwill be back there
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Old 03-07-2012, 08:11 AM   #297
Breeze
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Event 7 - Discus - Card Preview

*note - the allout column is all about risk reward, so the most likely outcome in that column is typically going to be less than the average, but the potential upside is typically greater and in some cases signficantly greater...


Babson
Safe - low appears to be an embarassing 103 on the 26. High is a very nice 170 on 24. The high probability rolls are littered with results ranging from upper 150s to mid 160s. Quite a few 140 results in the teens and low 20 rolls. Most likely result - Upper 150s
Average - serveral results in the mid to upper 170s...including really nice ones on 36, 37, 32, 31 and 25...a few more 170+ results mix in. Worst result looks like 156 and there are about 4 of them...most likely result - low 170s
All Out - Got a big 182 but would need to roll a 12 to get it. A few upper 170s...low is a 142 on the next to impossible to roll 19. quite a rew results in the mid 150 to 160...most likely outcome mid 160s


Ginsberg
Safe - low looks like a 115 on 11, there are a few 117s including one in a bad spot on 36. The high is 135 and there are a few other results over 130. Most likely result is probably mid 120s to low 130s
Average - got a bad 118 on a roll of 30...but other than that not a bad column for his skill in the event. quite a few results over 150...but only 1 in the high probability rolls of the 30s...Most likely result is low 140s.
All Out - 161 looks like the top, on a roll of 11...got a 158 on the 17...a couple other good results but for the most part the rest of this colum looks like results in the 140s. Most likely result is in the mid to upper 140s


Nielsen
Safe - the shortest throw in the column looks like a 123, high end is in the 150s but its a low probability roll. Quite a rew over 140, but most of the card and all of the high probability rolls are in the 130s...most likely result is lower to mid 130s.
Average - Pretty solid column here...High exceeds 160, 2 of them...one on a low probability rollm, the other on a very promising 36. The low is 141, and most of the column is upper 140s to mid 150s. Most likely outcome low to mid 150s
All Out - This column basically comes down to 3 rolls...18 (good luck), 22, and 24. All three of these rolls is above 160...the rest are 149 or below...most likely result mid 140s


McCloud
Safe - low looks like a 128 in a bad spot on the 36. Another poor result of 129 on the 34 and a 130 on the 33...all this is very disconcerting...but the column has some very good results too, including a high of 159 on the 32...and several more exceeding 150. Most likely outcome low 140s...
Average - low end is 141 on the 38, right next to a 143 on the 37...but the rest of the card is pretty strong. Got a 170 (but on 19), and serveral in the 160s, including the 33 and 36. Most likely result low 160s
All Out - Got a 175 on the 11...a 176 on the 15, a 170 on the 19....then most of the column is low 150s to mid 160s, but enough 140 results to make things interesting....most likely result is mid 150s.


Llyw
Safe - 121 on the 18...a few other results under 130..but most of the card is in the low 130s...with a ghigh of 147, which appears a couple of times. There is a nice 144 on the 35...most likely result is upper 130s to mid 140s
Average - a 135 on the 27...a few more in the upper 130s and more in the lower 140s. High is 159 and there a bunch of results in the 150s for rolls in the 30s...most likely result is lower to mid 150s
All Out - 3 results greater than 160...with the exception of a few spots, most of the rest of the results are in the 140s...most likely result mid 140s


Rambis
Safe - a 127 on the 26 is the low roll, the high roll looks like a 158 on the prime location of 35. a bunch of results in this column are over 150, and with the exception of the low end roll, I don't believe any others drop below 140...most likely result - lower 150s
Average - half of this colum results exceed 160... the low is a 141. Got some good 160+ results on rolls of 31, 33, 36, 37, 39, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26...all high probability rolls...most likely result low to mid 160s
All Out - 7 results over 170, all but 1 are in the teens (the other is on 20). The rest of the column is upper 140s to upper 150s...Most likely result - tough to call this one...but it is probably an upper 150...


Justice
Safe - 123 is the low end of the scale and 149 is the high...good news is the high is on a roll of 33...most of the column is evenly spread through the 130s and 140s. Most likely result is upper 130s.
Average - a 136 appears to be the worst that you can do, but it appears a couple of times (neither high probability rolls though)..most of the column is mid to low 150s and the high is 157 on the 30...most likely result - low 150s
All Out - honestly, I only see 2 rolls worth going for here...an 18 and a 26...both results are greater than 160...but the rest of the column isn't nearly as good as the average column....


Bafou
Safe - wide spread of results here...pretty evenly spaced out. Low end is in the mid to upper 120s, high end is in the upper 140s. Most likely result is in the low to mid 130s....
Average - much better column here...with low end results of 131 and 136 and the rest of the column being 140 or greater...high is a 155 on the 37, and a couple more nice 150+ results on 38, 39, and 31...others scattered around...most likely result is in the mid to upper 140s
All Out - high is 162, also there is a 160, a 159, a 156, and a 150...everything else is 140s or below. Most likely outcome is upper 140s...


McGillicuddy
Safe - Awful column, low result is a 110, high is a 148...nothing special about those numbers...what makes this an awful colum is the 117 on 36 and 37, the 119 on 35, the 120 on 34...that is the heard of the card and all the results are poor...most likely outcome is - probably one of the rolls mentioned....
Average - much better here...low is a 118...the high is 154. A couple other results in the 150s, including one on a roll of 31. Most of the column is in the 140s...most likely outcome is lower 140s
All Out - high is 150..and I could 2 of them in the low probability areas of the teens. a few upper 140s and the rest is a mix of poor results and mid to lower 140s. Most likely result is low 140s.


Ashkayev
Safe - low is in the mid 120...and with the 126 on 35 and the 125 on 36...combined with 2 more rolls in the mid 120s on the upper edge of the 30s...this column has some concerns...high is 149 in a nice spot on the 24. Most likely result is upper 120s to mid 130s
Average - 138 is the low, then it jumps into the 140s...high is 156 in a low probability area, but there are a couple of 155 including one on the 37...most likely result is mid 140 or low 150s.
All Out - This column isn't worth playing. The only result in the entire column better than the average is the 161 on the 21...


Gunderson
Safe - Got some very good results in this column - including the column high of 159 sitting on the 32. Got a 157 on 38 as well. There are a few other results in excess of 150. The low looks like a 134, but there are some upper 130's spread around and a couple sitting in the upper to mid 30 rolls. Most likely result is mid 140s
Average - a bunch of results in the 160s...15 by my count...including all of the 30s except the lowest probability rolls in the 30s of 30 and 39...almost all of the 20s is also greater than 160...the lower results are mostly concentrated in the lower probability rolls of the teens. most likely result lower 160s.
All Out - 3 results greater than 170, including a 175 on the 11 and two 173s on the 12 and 20. Got a couple of upper 160s, and the rest is the risk stuff of mid 150s and down...to the lower 140s...most likely result is lower 150s


Gonzalez
Safe - strange column in that the results are pretty tightly bunched... from the mid 120s to the mid 130s. A couple of results in the 140s, but all are in low probability rolls, except the nice 140 on 33 and the 145 on 23 and 149 on 2 (all pretty decent probability rolls)...most likely result is upper 120s to lower 130s.
Average - again pretty tightly bunched...low in the lower 130s, but none on a roll in the 30s (which is good), and a high of lower 150s, and a couple of those are possible with rolls in the 30s. Most likely result is mid 140s
All Out - 5 results of 150 or better...top end is 162 on the 15. Rest of the results are between upper 130s to upper 140s. Low end is a nasty 128 on the 22...most likely result is mid 140s...
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Old 03-07-2012, 08:20 AM   #298
JAG
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Old 03-07-2012, 08:31 AM   #299
Coffee Warlord
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Old 03-07-2012, 08:32 AM   #300
DavidCorperial
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David Ginsberg will go average.
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