MVP
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2024 SEASON PREVIEW (03/25)
2024 MLB Season Preview: Kansas City Royals
K.C. isn't expected to compete this year, but there must be signs that a solid foundation has been built by year's end.
By MLB.com Staff
03/25/2024
2023 Record: 56-106 (5th, AL Central)
Manager: Matt Quatraro (2nd season)
2024 Payroll: $86 million
Key additions: RHP Tyler Glasnow, OF Andrew McCutchen, IF Jordan Westburg, LHP Joely Rodriguez, RHP Kyle Wright, LHP Jalen Beeks, RHP Nick Anderson
Key losses: OF/C MJ Melendez, RHP Jackson Kowar, OF Edward Olivares, 1B Vinnie Pasquantino, RHP Zack Greinke, RHP Jordan Lyles
Expectations for 2024
After tying a franchise record for losses with 106 last season, Kansas City really can't go anywhere but up — on paper, they seem to be a lot better than last year, acquiring such players like Glasnow, Wright, McCutchen, and Westburg. However, they did have to part with Pasquantino as part of the Westburg package from Baltimore, leaving Nick Pratto as the everyday first baseman; and also traded away outfielders in Melendez and Olivares, while releasing Lyles and paying his $8.5 million price tag in the process. Zack Greinke also decided to not return for this year and retire as a near-lock for the HOF.
Matt Quatraro is back for his second season as the team's skipper; and after tinkering with the lineups nearly day-to-day and using the most openers in baseball last season, he noted early on in the spring that he would likely cut down on the use of openers going forward. This season, he has former Rays in Glasnow, Beeks, and righty reliever Nick Anderson on his Opening Day roster. They also added Kyle Wright from the Braves via trade, although he will miss the entirety of the season due to injury.
"Last season was a lot of evaluation and just trying to figure out what pieces fit the best, and how we could make the team better going forward," he said late in the spring season after much of the roster had been pared down. "This season, we have a better idea of who goes where, and there should be less experimentation with the roster, for lack of a better term."
After playing third base much of last season, the Royals have moved Maikel Garcia over to second base to accomodate Westburg, who won the third base job, as expected by many within the organization. Garcia is also Bobby Witt Jr's (more on him later) main backup at shortstop. Michael Massey is expected to still get a significant amount of at-bats, especially against right-handed arms. Quatraro and the coaching staff were also impressed with Salvador Perez at first base in his limited stints, and should get some work there to get Freddy Fermin at-bats and work behind the plate against southpaws. The outfield from last year remains largely intact, with the addition of Rule 5 pick Shane Sasaki adding depth and additional speed/defense off the bench. Massey can also play third base and shortstop in a pinch, although the Royals could be exposed depth-wise if one of Garcia or Witt go down to injury.
In particular, outfielder Drew Waters has been one of the more impressive players in camp, reporting to spring training in "the best shape I've ever been", per one reporter that covers the team. He came in with the goal of playing all 162 games, which is an admirable goal, but has missed parts of the last two seasons with the Royals with injuries.
The addition of Glasnow should help lengthen a rotation that saw Cole Ragans come out of nowhere and be one of the top three or four pitchers in the American League over the last few months. Unfortunately, a wrist injury for Ragans midway through the spring has lingered, and instead of being ready for Opening Day, Ragans is going to embark on a rehab assignment. Quatraro expects him back by the end of April, which is when his rehab stint expires, but is hopeful he'll be back prior to that.
In the meantime, he has some flexibility with the fifth spot in the rotation now -- both James McArthur and Daniel Lynch made the roster, and Quatraro noted there's some opportunity for both of them to get 'significant innings' every fifth day, meaning they'd be used as a opener or a follower, depending on matchups. Right-hander J.T. Brubaker, formerly of Pittsburgh, could also figure into the opener/follower mix.
Glasnow, Ragans (when he returns), and Kris Bubic, who had an outstanding spring, are the expected top three pitchers. Brady Singer was also mentioned by Quatraro as being in the regular rotation, along with Brubaker. The top two have a pretty lengthy injury history, so chances are that their starting pitching depth will be tested this season. While Carlos Hernandez was solid as the closer after trading away Scott Barlow at the deadline last season, he could face some challenges from Beeks and righty Devin Sweet, who was claimed from the A's in February and had a solid spring to make the roster. Kansas City also added southpaw Joely Rodriguez in a trade with the Red Sox, giving them a proven lefty arm out of the pen, although he struggled to a 6.55 ERA in 2023.
Stories to watch
Superstar shortstop Bobby Witt Jr is back for his third season, but still does not have an extension in hand; although there appears to be some openness in the Witt camp about extending sooner rather than later, which would mean they would need to come to an agreement before Opening Day or soon thereafter. The Royals have notoriously been tight-lipped when it comes to inside information, but G.M. J.J. Picollo was asked by the MLB Network earlier in the spring about a BWJ extension, and was surprisingly candid about the process to date.
"You know, it can get a little contentious, not nasty of course, but we're talking about a generational talent here," he said. "We're still in the early stages of trying to get something done. Will it get done before Opening Day? I don't feel confident that it will at this point, but Bobby has maintained that he doesn't want to get too far into the season before extending, and let it be a distraction to the team."
Also, about that new stadium -- it's still not determined where the new stadium will be built. Ownership, led by principal and KC native John Sherman, has been getting a lot of pushback from the city, but they've maintained that it will be built. It was disclosed that they've actually considered moving across the state line to Kansas, where it could be put near Children's Mercy Park, the home of MLS' Sporting KC squad. It's still unlikely that happens, as the Royals have always been in Missouri and want to keep it that way, but the longer the delay in getting a stadium built, the further you have to push back the timeline.
It was thought that the new stadium, if started by Opening Day this year, could be finished in time for the 2027 season, but it's now looking like (barring something miraculous happening) it will be 2028 or 2029. Ownership is requesting a 3/8th cent sales tax increase for county residents, and has offered to pay the entire cost of building a 'Ballpark Village' of sorts surrounding it, similar to St. Louis and Atlanta.
Final outlook
Much of the success of the Royals in '24 will hinge on two things -- one, the health of their top three starters. If they can get 70-plus starts between Glasnow, Ragans, and Bubic, it should take some pressure off a suspect bullpen and lineup. Secondly, where is the power coming from? After BWJ and Perez, Pasquantino was likely that other big bat that you had to account for. They really need one (preferably two) 'big bats' to step up, and it doesn't really matter who it is -- Waters, Pratto, Westburg, and/or possibly Nelson Velazquez, who flashed some good power late in the season after being acquired from the Cubs. Or maybe McCutchen can continue defying the odds to be a 15-20 homerun bat as he enters his age-37 season, especially if he's going to DH quite a bit.
Last edited by artoodeetoo; 12-08-2023 at 10:09 AM.
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