Rockies Struggle to Find Consistency Despite Great Start to Season
DENVER, CO-- If you would have told me in March that on May 22nd the Rockies would be in the division race, have won 30 games in 48 tries, and have the NL leader in homers on their squad...I admittedly would have called you insane. But I'm certainly not the only one who thought this way. Many (myself included) thought this team was destined to finish .500 or worse this season with a pitching staff that, to put it nicely, would suck so bad it would compare to the 2003 Tigers staff's ineptitude. Offensively this team looked like a top 5 club easily, with studs all over the place on paper but the staff looked to hold them back.
Around the quarter mark here, it's popular to judge how teams are looking and see what their prospects are for the season going forward. And honestly, this team could go either way for the rest of the season. The staff has shown stints of brillance from a trio young arms (Pomeranz, Friedrich, Chacin) and huge inconsistencies from everyone else they've trotted onto the rubber every fifth day. Whether it's JDR going from allowing 10 runs one day to flirting with a perfecto his next start, or Chris Volstad being the most consistent guy three starts into the season...and watching the Rockies on TV from the AAA dugout today. Juan Nicasio is the epitome of this season for Rockies pitchers; he's got an ERA floating around 4.20 right now, but if you've watched him throw the ball this season he's looked excellent at times. But at other times he's looked like post operation/exploding elbow Jeremy Bonderman (for my non-Tigers fans, he was awful after he blew out his elbow.) My point, is that in the rotation, the Rockies could use a ton of help to build consistency and improve their chances at a playoff berth. An arm (or even two) at the deadline could be important to making this season an excellent one for the Rocks. A wild card in things could be Roy Oswalt; Oswalt, a veteran working his way back into shape in Colorado Springs, has pitched incredibly well in AAA and could be challenging for a callup very soon here. Oswalt's been an ace before and if he could regain that form, it would be valuable for a very inexperienced staff going down the stretch.
Offensively, Colorado leads the league in homers because of the breakout player of the year in Wilin Rosario. Rosario leads the National League in homers and RBIs and is tied for 4th in batting average currently sitting at a cool .320 clip. Tulowitzski has 12 dingers and is playing just like he always does at the shortstop position. And Carlos Gonzalez has been red hot since moving to the leadoff spot and back into center field. What all that means, is that the Rockies are very strong up the middle with 2nd base being the only "weak spot" with weak being a very conservative way to describe the platoon of Eric Young Jr. and Josh Rutledge, both of whom are perking up with the bats after scuffling earlier in the year. First and third base have been a revolving door all year long with Nelson, Helton, Cuddyer, Colvin, Pacheco, and Arenado all seeing time at those two positions in the first 48 games. Arenado is on his way back from an injury and Cuddyer/Colvin are manning the outfield very well this year. All of that means the Rockies either need to get a consistent player at first base OR they need one of Pacheco/Helton to swing the stick well enough to stay in the lineup. The platoon hasn't warranted very good results from either player and inconsistent play could hurt Colorado down the stretch when teams finally figure out to stop pitching to Rosario and Tulo in important situations.
The bullpen rates out as one of the best in the NL, and with a bunch of power arms who mean business, I don't think their in for a huge regression going forward. Betancourt, Lopez, Escalona, and Brothers have all been nothing short of excellent all season long. Betancourt has been arguably the best closer in baseball this season and the backend of this bullpen has been solid. Matt Belisle has been pretty good as well in middle relief. Francis and Garland have been long guys and done exactly what long guys do...mop up messes. This is the one spot where I can honestly say the Rockies haven't had a determinable weakness all season long. Guys have off days every now and again (as do all relievers) but the league as a whole haven't figured this bullpen out yet.
So the outlook? Having said all those things and having looked ahead for the Rockies, they could surge a bit in June and July. But that starting staff currently isn't looking so hot for a stretch run. If your ace is Chacin/Pomeranz/Friedrich going into September...you'll have an awesome October! Watching the playoffs on your gigantic TV, since you're a professional athlete and can afford such a thing. Basically, the Rockies need to get at least one more (but preferably two more) starting pitchers or else they are in serious danger of losing out to LA, Arizona, San Francisco, and even the Padres if they can start hitting again. All these teams have good pitching and if their offenses get hot, it could spell a long winning streak for them, and bad news for the Rockies. Or the Rockies could get hot at the right time and coast to a division title. That's the beauty of inconsistency and baseball; it goes both ways and the Rockies are hoping they can catch lightning in a bottle and find their way into the postseason dance...because once they're in, it's not a season long grind. It's potentially 1, 5, and 7 games where anything can happen. And that's just the way these Rockies like it.