Preview: 2015-16 Boston Celtics
Before the season opener at home against the Philadelphia 76ers, our staff goes into a war room to debate and finalize agreed predictions for the Boston Celtics this season. Some findings may be a surprise...
Regular Season Record: 34-24, .586 winning percentage, 4th Overall in Eastern Conference
This team is so young -- the starting rookie PG is a year older than two starting vets -- so its a stretch to predict this team to win the Atlantic Division over the Raptors. But we believe they will be 2nd, landing them a surprising 4th seed in the NBA Playoffs.
Most Likely to ASG: Harrison Barnes
This was the only no-brainer that prompted no debate. Barnes' experience last year will elevate him to superstar status in Boston this season. We expect him to average no less than 20 PPG, but his passing and defensive IQ has surprised us most evaluating him during training camp.
Most Likely Surprise: Jared Sullinger
Sullinger came to camp in the best shape of his career, and beat out both Taj Gibson and David Lee to be named starting PF. The announcement shocked most experts around the league, but he's worked his tail off entire training camp and earned the spot. Inside info here -- Sullinger has been shooting the lights out of the gym from 3 point range in training camp, particularly at the top of the key. Expect a career year, as he plays for a contract extension.
Most Likely Disappointment: R.J. Hunter
Kill us with hate mail if you wish, but there is a learning curve for Mr. Popular. Keep in mind he only shot 39% from the field (only 31% from three) at his final junior year at Georgia State. And there is a second year player from Kentucky -- James Young -- who has shown great strides from last year and will be stealing minutes off the bench.
Biggest Strength: Youth, Coaching and Schemes
Coach Brad Stevens has his system and the players he desired in place. Lots of motion, pick-n-pop, and high screen-n-roll will be utilized no matter the lineup on the floor. Expect a disciplined, selfless team that will rank top 10 in the NBA in assist.
Biggest Weakness: Youth, Lack of Superstars
This is the NBA. To win big in this league, you need a star, or two, or three. After Barnes predicted explosion on the team, things keep skimpy. If Barnes is off offensively, who steps up? This truth will affect the Celtics mostly on the road this season, and especially against Western Conference opponents. Outside of Barnes, no one else on this roster potentially puts fear in the opposition.
Most Likely to Impress: Terry Rozier
We expect the rookie to get trampled the first couple months of the season by the likes of John Wall, Stephen Curry, Damian Lillard, and Russell Westbrook. But after he gets his feet wet and embarrassed a few times, watch out for this kid. His athletic ability on both ends of the floor and IQ at the PG position is superior, reason Marcus Smart is now an Atlanta Hawk. He will turn the ball over a lot, but expect Rozier to take strides as a leader on this team.
Most Likely Distraction: Eric Gordon
Tisk. Tisk. Tisk. There is an opening on this roster for another 20+ PPG player to emerge (even if off the bench), and E.G. refuses to take advantage of the opportunity within his reach. Gordon will convert an ideal situation in his contract year and make it sour.
Most Likely Traded: David Lee
If a team's priority is to empty cap space and rid a star, expect Danny Ainge to pull the trigger by the trade deadline and get Harrison Barnes a legitimate sidekick. Lee, due to Coach Stevens' offensive schemes and defensive demands, has been outplayed by every big man on the roster during training camp. Lee is too valuable of a player -- when healthy, which he now is -- to be last on any team's depth chart.