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JTW's College Football BCS Rankings

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Old 09-26-2021, 10:01 PM   #1
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JTW's College Football BCS Rankings

We're four weeks into the season, and I thought this would be as good as time as any to bust out my Excel skills and start calculating the old BCS rankings.

I was always fond of the BCS, I just felt it was a horrible decision to use the rankings to just pick two teams.

I'll be calculating using the BCS formula as it was the final season it was used. I'll be using the AP Poll and the USA Today Coaches' Poll as well as the six computer rankings that were used (Sagarin, Massey, Billingsley, Colley, Wolfe, and Anderson).

(Note: Wolfe (October) and Anderson (site still has last year's rankings) are not releasing rankings till later in the season. So, I will be averaging the four available ratings. Once I get a fifth computer rating, I will be dropping a team's highest rating. Once all six are available, I will be dropping the highest and lowest rating).

Also, I'll be offering a what-if scenario in what if the NCAA expanded the college football playoff to something similar to the FCS. In other words, what would a 24-team field look. All ten FBS conferences will get automatic bids, leaving 14 at-large bids.

Without further ado, here is the first edition of the BCS Rankings.

NCAA Football Rankings - BCS Rankings - Updated: Sep 26, 2021
RKLWTEAMWLPOINTS
1--Alabama40.9889
2--Georgia40.9604
3--Oregon40.8110
4--Iowa40.7985
5--Oklahoma40.7835
6--Penn State40.7597
7--Notre Dame40.7316
8--Arkansas40.6470
9--Cincinnati30.6179
10--Ohio State31.6074
11--Florida31.5950
12--Michigan40.5172
13--Ole Miss30.4978
14--BYU40.4183
15--Texas A&M31.3959
16--Michigan State40.3779
17--Oklahoma State40.3442
18--Coastal Carolina40.3014
19--Clemson22.1795
20--UCLA31.1753
21--Texas31.1522
22--Fresno State41.1407
23--Baylor40.1376
24--Auburn31.1258
25--SMU40.1205


Next Five
26. Kentucky (.1090)
27. Maryland (.0917)
28. Wake Forest (.0883)
29. NC State (.0822)
30. LSU (.0725)

College Football Playoff


Computers Love (Greatest Difference Over Human Poll Average)
1. Oklahoma State (+.2788)
2. Michigan (+.2742)
3. SMU (+.2692)
4. Texas (+.2367)
5. LSU (+.1612)

Computers Hate (Greatest Difference Under Human Poll Average)
1. Cincinnati (-.3569)
2. Oregon (-.2865)
3. Coastal Carolina (-.2271)
4. Florida (-.2175)
5. Fresno State (-.2111)
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Old 10-03-2021, 04:22 PM   #2
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Re: JTW's College Football BCS Rankings

Week 5 BCS Rankings

NCAA Football Rankings - BCS Rankings - Updated: Oct 3, 2021
RKLWTEAMWLPOINTS
12Georgia500.9723
21Alabama500.9710
34Iowa500.8835
46Penn State500.8257
59Cincinnati400.8224
65Oklahoma500.8215
712Michigan500.7072
810Ohio State410.6690
914BYU500.5415
1017Oklahoma State500.5381
113Oregon410.5284
1216Michigan State500.4901
137Notre Dame410.4835
148Arkansas410.4506
15NRKentucky500.4479
1618Coastal Carolina500.3560
1713Ole Miss310.3416
1811Florida320.3156
1921Texas410.2743
20NRWake Forest500.2491
2124Auburn410.2447
2219Clemson320.1464
2325SMU500.1384
24NRNC State410.1294
25NRArizona State410.1228


Next Five
26. Iowa State - 0.0789
27. San Diego State - 0.0583
27. Pittsburgh - 0.0583
29. UT-San Antonio - 0.0382
30. Wyoming - 0.0367

Dropped Out
15. Texas A&M (Now #34)
20. UCLA (Now #36)
22. Fresno State (Now #44)
23. Baylor (Now #38)

College Football Playoff


Computers Love (Greatest Difference Over Human Poll Average)
Texas (+0.2935)
Iowa State (+0.2117)
Florida (+0.1866)
Oklahoma State (+0.1528)
SMU (+0.1524)

Computers Hate (Greatest Difference Under Human Poll Average)
Oregon (-0.3725)
Coastal Carolina (-0.2489)
BYU (-0.2272)
Michigan State (-0.1951)
Ole Miss (-0.1374)
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Old 10-10-2021, 07:20 PM   #3
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Re: JTW's College Football BCS Rankings

Week 6 BCS Standings



NCAA Football Rankings - BCS Rankings - Updated: Oct 10, 2021
RKLWTEAMWLPOINTS
11Georgia600.9998
23Iowa600.9394
36Oklahoma600.8685
45Cincinnati500.8468
52Alabama510.8228
67Michigan600.7654
78Ohio State510.7494
84Penn State510.7239
915Kentucky600.5913
1010Oklahoma State500.5852
1112Michigan State600.5716
1213Notre Dame510.5350
1311Oregon410.4933
1417Ole Miss410.4429
1516Coastal Carolina600.3583
1618Florida420.3368
1720Wake Forest600.3221
1814Arkansas420.2503
199BYU510.2474
20NRTexas A&M420.2327
2125Arizona State510.2157
2223SMU600.1836
2319Texas420.1584
2424NC State410.1295
2522Clemson320.0953
25NRBaylor510.0953


Next Four
27. San Diego State (0.0898)
28. Auburn (0.0862)
29. Iowa State (0.0837)
30. Pittsburgh (0.0809)

Dropped Out of Top 25
#21 Auburn (Now #28)

College Football Playoff

*No MAC schools scored any points in the BCS spreadsheet this week. By average, Western Michigan is the highest rated MAC school in the four computer rankings)

Computers Love (Greatest Difference Over Human Average)
Texas - (+.3024)
Iowa State - (+.2345)
Pittsburgh - (+.2086)
Notre Dame - (+.1425)
Baylor - (+.1420)

Computers Hate (Greatest Difference Under Human Average)
Oregon - (-.4699)
Coastal Carolina - (-.2675)
Michigan State - (-.2274)
NC State (-.1643)
Cincinnati (-.1302)
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Old 10-11-2021, 01:00 AM   #4
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Re: JTW's College Football BCS Rankings

I love it.

The funny thing to me is how much we complained about the BCS and "needed" more of the human aspec.. when in reality, the BCS was pretty damn accurate.

Thanks for doing this.

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Old 10-11-2021, 01:29 PM   #5
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Re: JTW's College Football BCS Rankings

Quote:
Originally Posted by bigbob
I love it.

The funny thing to me is how much we complained about the BCS and "needed" more of the human aspec.. when in reality, the BCS was pretty damn accurate.

Thanks for doing this.

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Looking back, I don't necessarily think fans were angry at the BCS. We were angry that we wanted a playoff and they gave us a national title game. The BCS was an imperfect solution to the prior problem that we were never guaranteed a bowl matchup between #1 and #2.

I always argued for a four team playoff. Then the funny thing is we get it and now I want more.

Appreciate it.
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Old 10-12-2021, 05:28 PM   #6
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Re: JTW's College Football BCS Rankings

Quote:
Originally Posted by bigbob
I love it.

The funny thing to me is how much we complained about the BCS and "needed" more of the human aspec.. when in reality, the BCS was pretty damn accurate.

Thanks for doing this.

Sent from my SM-N986U1 using Tapatalk
I can't help but find the irony in the small schools complaining that they were never included in a BCS championship when undefeated and no power team was...and with the committee, they are light years away from it so far. If Nebraska's kicker didn't put the kickoff out of bounds in the Big 12 Championship, Cincinnati would've played for one in the BCS era. If they are 13-0 and still get left out, then I think it's official that they're just plain banned from the playoff.
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Old 10-12-2021, 08:37 PM   #7
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Re: JTW's College Football BCS Rankings

Man, pretty awesome. I do a computer poll myself. Sort of like the BCS with no human element in it. Just factors in winning percentage, opponents' winning percentage, and opponents' opponents' winning percentage. It is close to yours, but a little off also towards the bottom. It works out the more the season progresses.
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Old 10-12-2021, 10:27 PM   #8
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Re: JTW's College Football BCS Rankings

Quote:
Originally Posted by Collegefbfan
Man, pretty awesome. I do a computer poll myself. Sort of like the BCS with no human element in it. Just factors in winning percentage, opponents' winning percentage, and opponents' opponents' winning percentage. It is close to yours, but a little off also towards the bottom. It works out the more the season progresses.

Sounds like something similar to the college basketball RPI. I remember back in high school, I calculated the RPI for the local high school region for a prep website.

God I was such a nerd (still am lol).

Thanks for checking in.


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