Been working for the last few weeks on improving the sim stats and some suggested value changes are listed below.
Once you get under the hood of the SimStat engine via Frosty you realise there is a very sophisticated engine sitting there. It's just a shame that EA did not make much effort to put in the right values.
I hope this provokes some discussion and the swapping of ideas. Even if you don't like my suggestions at the very least I hope that by giving you the suggested values that you can change that will help others build their own SimStat set.
Its still not perfect by any means. I will look at a second set once I get feedback on these.
To guide me I used the last three years of real life NFL stats from
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/
First of all a big shout out to SABO and his Revival Mod. Everything I have done is based on his mod. If you are using a PC to play Madden then you really need to be using his gameplay mod to improve your Madden experience.
It was also SABO's work that inspired me to start tinkering in the first place.
So thank you SABO for all your work.
If you use my suggestions make sure you use SABO's mod as well. Otherwise I can't promise any success. Also SABO's mod fixes the number of Field Goal Attempts per season.
OK here we go:
Number of plays per game
Madden gets this wrong by about 4 plays a game per team. This is significant over a season.
1.Under Supersim_Play_Time I changed Spotball Max to 24 and Spotball Min to 14.
Although this gets plays to the right level there is a problem in that the Sim Stat engine is calling more runs then the RL NFL average (2 a game approx.). This is the 2019 NFL not the 1989 NFL where run/pass was more balanced. I will see if I can change that via Franchise Editor but I have not had a chance to play with that yet. So for now you will see more rushes than is realistic.
NB All values below are changed under Supersim_Compound_Ability unless otherwise stated
Running
There are two basic problems with the default SimStat engine. Firstly it exaggerates the YPC of the elite RB's - especially Bell, Elliott and Gurley. Even elite backs in the real life NFL do not consistently break the 5.0 barrier. However the other problem is that the non elite RB's get too low YPC. Squaring that circle proved hard. I had to nerf the elites without damaging too much the average RB's. I think my suggestions make it better - but you may well still see one or more of the elite backs have a freak season. There is some wide ranging "dice rolls" which I can't control. TD's are still a little too high in my view despite my changes. And some lower rated RB's may struggle to get over 3.0 yards per carry over the season.
1.Supersim_Breaktdrun_rb_chance: max_P1 to 60 and min_P1 to 10 (reduces TD's)
2.Supersim_MaxAdditionalYardage: max_P1 to 1.6. Also change P1 Overall Rating to 0.(reduces YPC - more at the elite backs)
3.Supersim_MaxInitialYardage: Max_P1 to 50 and Min_P1 to 44. Max_P2 to 47 and keep Min_P2 at 34 (more tuning of the YPC)
4.Supersim_Run_MaxRunAfter_Yardage: Max_P1 to 18 and Min_P1 to 12. This helps boost the longest runs of the lower rated RB's.
Under Supersim_Fatigue - change RB to 3.1 - this reduces the number of backs with over 200 attempts. I may change this later once I have a better feel for supersim injuries.
Passing
Another difficult one to fix. The default stat engine gets a lot wrong. Ints and sacks are too low, completion % is too high, TD's too high and YPA too high. This means QBR is also too high. However there were also issues with longest pass being too low for a number of QB's by the end of the season. Pass TD's are still a bit too high now, but everything else I think looks much better thanks to these changes.
1.Supersim_Breaktdrun_WR_Chance: Max_P1 to -98 and Min_P1 to -99. Change Max_P2 to 99 and Min_P2 to 98. (Reduces TD's)
2.Supersim_Minrunaftercatch_yardage: Max_P2 to 40 and Min_P2 to 20
(brings down YPA)
3.Supersim_MaxRunAfterCatch_Yardage: Max_P1 to 99 and Min_P1 to 40. (increases longest pass)
4.Supersim_Pass_ReceiverOpen_Mancover_Chance: Max_P2 to 16 and Min_P2 to 11. (decreases Completion % and increases Ints).
5.Supersim_Pass_ReceiverOpen_Zonecover_Chance: Max_P2 to 16 and Min_P2 to 11. (decreases Completion % and increases Ints).
6.Supersim_Pass_Intercepted_Chance: Max_P1 to 67 (the changes above actually increased Ints too much)
7.Supersim_Pass_Scramble_Chance: Max_P1 to 40, NB this reduces QB scrambles and increases pass attempts a bit. However you are less likely to see Cam, Lamar, Mitch etc run over a 100 times a season so some may not like this change.
8.Supersim_Breaktackle_QB_Chance: Max P1 to 90.(increases QB Yards per run average.
9.Supersim_Avoidsack_Chance: Max_P2 to 60.(increases sacks).
Punts
Easy to fix apart from the total number of punts per team, which is still a bit low. That's not something I can easily fix.
1.Supersim_Punt_Minpunt_yardage: Max_P1 to 38 and Min_P1 to 28. Reduces punt average.
2.Supersim_Punt_Block_Chance: Max_P1 to 1.5
3.Supersim_Faircatch_Chance: Max_P1 to 6. Reduce number of fair catches and increases number of punt returns
4.Supersim_Breaktackle_PR_Chance: Max_P1 to 19. Increases
PR averages and number of
PR TD's
Kickoffs
1.Supersim_Kickoff_Maxkick_Yardage: Max_P1 to 83 and Min_P1 to 78. This increases the number of touchbacks and reduces number of kickoff returns
2.Supersim_Kickoff_MaxInitialReturn: Max_P1 to 26 and Min_P1 to 16. This reduces kickoff return average.
3.Supersim_Breaktdrun_KR_Chance: Max_P1 to 35. Increases KR TD's.
Extra Points
1.Supersim_PAT_MakeChance: Max_P1 to 96 and Min_P1 to 93. Reduces PAT accuracy.
Field Goals
My playtime changes + SABO's mod fixes the number of field goal attempts. Field goal accuracy is already correct. Just need to reduce FG blocks.
1.Supersim_Fieldgoal_block_chance: Max_P1 to 4.5
Fumbles
The number of fumbles per season needs to be nearly doubled. However the SimStat engine does not seem to try and calculate fumbles on QB sacks and special team returns. Which means that all the fumbles fall on the RB's and a few WR's. In RL NFL it's the QB's and returners that tend to fumble the ball. So if you want to see realistic FF and FR numbers for the defenders then use my change, but don't be surprised if the stats show the RB's as the lead fumblers. Your choice...
1.Supersim_Fumble_Forcefumble_chance: Max_P1 to 7.0
Conclusion
I still would like to fine tune this so feedback is encouraged. All testing was done using SABO's 1.2 Revival mod and with injuries off to encourage consistency. The week 3 NFL roster was used. Obviously my simstat suggestions may need to be adjusted if player ratings start to change over the course of a long term career franchise....
One thing I can't control is the rate at which the elite teams win - I think the simstat engine is a little too inclined to allow "On any given Sunday". I would like to see the elite teams win more each week. Might try and work on this later!
Thanks
Steve
Edit 7/10/19 - The folks over at Discord spotted some typos - so a couple of values have now been amended. Thanks